Trading strategies for natural gas

Trading strategies for natural gasBull and Bear Plays

There are four ETFs that offer leveraged and/or inverse exposure to natural gas futures, offering 2x and 3x exposure to natural gas:

3x Long Natural Gas ETN ( UGAZ C+ )

This VelocityShares fund applies 300% exposure to the SP GSCI Natural Gas Index ER Bloomberg Index, which is composed entirely of natural gas futures. More specifically, the index reflects the price levels of the futures contracts on a single commodity as well as the discount or premium obtained by rolling hypothetical positions in such contracts forward as they approach delivery.

It is important to note that UGAZ rebalances its theoretical exposure on a daily basis, increasing exposure in response to that day’s gains or reducing exposure in response to that day’s losses. Furthermore, UGAZ is structured as an ETN. meaning it is subject to the credit risk of the issuing institution.

The 3x Inverse Natural Gas ETN ( DGAZ C ) is the sister fund to UGAZ. offering -300% exposure to the same underlying index.

Ultra DJ - UBS Natural Gas ( BOIL B )

ProShares BOIL offers 200% exposure to the Dow Jones - UBS Natural Gas Subindex. Like UGAZ. the fund is rebalanced daily and the underlying index utilizes a rolling strategy, where as the date for a futures contract comes due, the index replaces such contract with similar contracts with later expirations.

Contracts are rolled over the course of 5 consecutive business days, starting on the 6th business day of the month. Each day, approximately 20% of each futures position that is included in the months roll is rolled. Unlike UGAS. BOIL is structured as an ETF. but it does require investors to fill out a K-1 tax form.

The UltraShort DJ - UBS Natural Gas ( KOLD B - ) is the sister fund to BOIL. offering -200% exposure to the same underlying index.

The Bottom Line

These four fund are great tools for active investors looking to make a bull or bear play on natural gas. We encourage you to take a close look under the hoods of these products, especially considering their different structures, before making any investment decisions. Furthermore, be sure to fully understand the risks associated with trading leveraged and inverse products.

Disclosure: No positions at time of writing.

Common Sugar Trading Strategies

Though you can trade sugar at any time during the year, investors should be aware of its peak seasons in order to make a more educated play. As far as futures are concerned, prices typically bottom out around April and May. Subsequently, they have enjoyed a nice spike in June and July for the past few years, as peak harvest begins and the demand for sugar increases. At the same time, directly investing in futures can be risky business and sometimes falls beyond the risk spectrum for investors [see also Ultimate Guide To Sugar Investing ].

For those looking for an alternative way to play this sweet commodity, there are three exchange-traded products specifically designed to invest in sugar futures:

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Etf trading strategies for gold,silver,miners and natural gas

Etf trading strategies for gold,silver,miners and natural gasETF Trading Strategies for Gold, Silver, Miners and Natural Gas

It was another wild session

The SP500 continued to rally and is pushing extreme overbought conditions today. Our net short ETF trading strategy on the SP500 is close to getting stopped out as the trend is on the verge of turning back up if sellers do not step in tomorrow. We are under water on this trade and unfortunately we lose when trends reverse as that is just part of trading. The trend remains down and we could get a miracle tomorrow to save the day. only time will tell.

Natural Gas ETF Trading Strategies: This morning we closed out our natural gas trade for a big profit of roughly 18-20% depending where you entered and placed your stop. I have had a several emails from members wanting to add to their position yesterday, and another bunch today saying they still hold their position in natural gas cause they think price will continue to move in their favor. Technically, closing out our trade today was the proper thing to do. We followed our rules and the trade managed its self perfectly. While natural gas could continue to sell down in the long run, wanting to hold your position or add to a trade that is up 40% without any real pullbacks is the sign of a GREEDY trader. General rule is, if you do not take profits on a trade, the market will simply take them back, its that simple.

ETF Trading Strategy for DGAZ Pays out 20% return!

It looks as though precious metal miners and gold are having an impulse wave higher and have turned up. Silver remains in a down trend/basing pattern. I plan to get long this sector on the first pause or pullback. Though we could get long Silver tomorrow using one of our precious metals etf trading strategies .

Welcome to market realist

Welcome to market realistWeather Impacted the Natural Gas Market: It Fell 8% in October

Weather Impacted the Natural Gas Market: It Fell 8% in October (Part 4 of 4)

Natural Gas Prices Are Trading Close to the Resistance Level

Price channel

December natural gas futures contracts have been showing the emergence of a downward trending price channel since October 2015. Prices were trading close to the key resistance of $2.30 per MMBtu (British thermal units in millions) on October 30, 2015. Weather and rising production are swinging natural gas prices.

Key pivots

A cold winter and lower natural gas prices are driving natural gas prices. Natural gas prices could see resistance at $3 per MMBtu. Prices hit this mark in April 2015. In contrast, long-term oversupply and rising production will drag natural gas prices lower. Natural gas prices could see support at $2 per MMBtu. Prices hit this mark in October 2015.

The EIA (U. S. Energy Information Administration) estimates that US natural gas prices could average around $2.80 per MMBtu in 2015 and $3.10 per MMBtu in 2016. Goldman Sachs (GS ) forecasts that gas prices could average around $2.70 per MMBtu in 4Q15. The gas price chart suggests that natural gas prices could fluctuate between $2 and $2.60 per MMBtu in the short term.

US upstream players like Newfield Exploration (NFX ), Cimarex Energy (XEC ), Gulfport Energy (GPOR ), and Comstock Resources (CRK ) benefit from higher natural gas prices. These companies’ natural gas production mixes are greater than 49% of their total productions. They account for 5.4% of the SPDR SP Oil Gas Exploration Production ETF (XOP ).

The uncertainty in the oil and gas market also affects the Velocity Shares 3x Inverse Natural Gas ETN (DGAZ ) and the iShares US Oil Equipment Services ETF (IEZ ).

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Tips for trading onlineTips for Trading Online

This is complilation of some common sense tips that will help to make your online trading experience much more enjoyable.

Always, always, ask for and check references.

It seems so simple and yet so few people actually do it. All it takes is a simple e-mail messages out to each of the references the person your trading with supplies. If the person you’re trading with is a member of MOTL. be sure to check out their references list on the site. This is THE MOST important thing to do when trading online. If you do nothing else, at least do this.

Save your e-mail messages.

The best thing to do is to create a folder with the e-mail program you use and store all your trade-related e-mail messages there. I keep hearing “I lost your address” from people I’ve just given my address to only a day ago. This will also help you out in the unfortunate event that you get ripped off, as it’s a almost impossible to track rippers down without detailed information such as an address.

If it’s too good to be true, it is.

This may seem like a tired phrase, but trust me, it’s true. If someone seems very eager to give you an incredibly good deal for your cards, be wary. A lot of problems in life can be avoided if you stop and take a moment to analyze your possible risk vs. your possible gain in a given situation. If you can’t risk losing your cards, find another person to trade with, which brings me to my next point.

There are lots of people to trade with.

Don’t feel pressured into a deal because you don’t think you’ll be able to trade your cards to anyone else. You will. The Internet is not your local card shop, there are millions of people on the Net and a couple thousand on this site alone. Don’t worry, other people will want your cards.

Don’t assume every card is in mint condition.

Always be sure to describe the conditions of the cards you’re trading and ask the person you’re trading with to do the same. You wouldn’t do a trade at a card shop or convention blindfolded, so don’t do it on the Net.

Communicate often.

Nothing upsets people more than to deal with someone who never contacts them, and nothing pleases them more than to deal with someone who does. If the person you’re trading with sends you an e-mail message, e-mail them back promptly. Make sure to send an e-mail message out when you send your cards and when you receive theirs.

Ask permission for references.

Don’t just assume that the person you just traded with wants you to use them as a reference. When you receive their cards, make sure you tell them whether or not they may use you as a reference. There’s nothing worse than having someone check on your references and having one of them respond negatively.

Don’t force people to send first.

If you have a well-established online reputation, you may ask that the person you’re trading with send first, but if you act arrogantly about it, they’ll probably just break off the trade. Don’t assume that since you belong to such-and-such organization, including this one, that it makes you better than everyone else, it doesn’t. Also, if the person you’re trading with does end up sending first, throw in some extra cards with what you send. It doesn’t have to be anything big, just maybe a couple uncommons to thank them for trusting you.

Be patient.

Sometimes the mail is fast, sometimes it’s slow. If the person you’re trading with is in another country, even Canada, expect the trade to take considerably longer. Don’t go crying “ripper!” if their cards didn’t arrive in a week, no one will listen to you. Also consider that some people also can’t afford to drop everything and go to the post office when your cards arrive. If you haven’t heard anything from the person you’re trading with a week after sending your cards, send them a polite e-mail messages asking if they got your cards, whether you received theirs or not. Remember, the cards you send are your responsibility until they reach the hands of the person you’re trading with, so make sure that they got to their destination.

Take steps to safely ship your cards.

Using a hard sleeve and a bubble mailer can go a long way to insuring that your cards get to their destination safely. The post office typically pays more attention to these type of packages, and they’ll actually honor the “Do Not Bend” markings. It only costs a dollar, on average, to send your cards like this. Look at it this way, the stamp you’d normally use + the price of a candy bar = great happiness for the person you’re trading with.

Things don’t get lost in the mail (at least in the U. S. ).

Face it, it just doesn’t happen anymore. You could label a package with just a name and a zip code and it would still probably get to it’s destination. If someone tries to give you the excuse that the cards got lost in the mail, they’re probably full of it, plus, they are still responsible for making sure you get your cards. If you think something may have been lost, go to your local post office and have them do a trace on your package. If you want to be absolutely sure that your cards get to their destination, send them by certified mail and the person you’re trading with will have to sign for them when they arrive.

Ripping someone off is mail fraud.

This is another reason to save your e-mail messages. Any documented deal in which you agreed to send a certain item in exchange for another by mail, is under the jurisdiction of laws pertaining to mail fraud. If you don’t believe me, read Title 18, Section 1341 of the US Code. Those found guilty of mail fraud can be fined and sent to jail for up to 5 years . Contact your local postmaster if you seriously believe you’ve been ripped off, and he or she will tell you what you can do.

Finally, most people are honest.

Although there are some rippers out there, online trading wouldn’t exist if most people weren’t honest. If you just use some common sense and try to follow these guidelines, you should have many successful trades.

© 2012 – 2014 Magic Online Trading League.

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