Online trading academy kansas city earns-best grand opening-award at international conference

Online trading academy kansas city earns-best grand opening-award at international conferenceOnline Trading Academy Kansas City earned the “Best Grand Opening” Award among four other awards at the company’s international conference in Irvine, California. Kansas City businessman and entrepreneur Ron Booth started the company in Overland Park, Kansas in December 2008. Online Trading Academy provides professional education for traders and active investors.

Irvine CA (PRWEB) November 9, 2009

Online Trading Academy Kansas City a financial education firm, earned six awards at the Online Trading Academy International Franchise Conference in Irvine, California.

Online Trading Academy is an international trading /investing school with 32 locations. At their annual international franchise conference, the local franchisee was awarded five awards overall including “Grand Opening of the Year” award which recognizes the best new franchise location of the year. Online Trading Academy Kansas City opened in Overland Park in December of 2008 and is about to celebrate its first anniversary.

Additionally, the local franchise earned the prestigious “All Star Event of the Year” award which recognizes the success of the August 2009 All Star Trader Event sponsored by Online Trading Academy where nearly 200 investors/traders at the Overland Park Convention center and featured John O’Donnell, Chief Knowledge Officer of Online Trading Academy.

In addition to these two awards, the local company earned the “Bronze Center Award” and local educational counselors Paul Parsons and Ray Demes earned the “Diamond Star Circle” award for sales excellence.

Online Trading Academy Kansas City is owned and operated by Kansas City native businessman and entrepreneur Ronald G. Booth

About Online Trading Academy Kansas City

Online Trading Academy Kansas City is locally owned by Ronald and Ellen Booth and is located at 7501 College Boulevard, Overland Park, Kansas. The company’s website is tradingacademy/kansascity The telephone number is 913-956-7050 or 866-956-7050.

Contact: Kelly Koch, General Manager 913-956-7052



Online Online trading academy kansas city earns-best grand opening-award at international conference

Forex options basics

Forex options basicsForex Options Basics

Understanding Options

Options are usually associated with the stock market, but the foreign exchange market also uses these derivatives in trading. It gives traders the opportunity to make money at a risk he has set for himself. To understand this concept better, let us use the example of purchasing a car.

If you hold a contract that requires you can buy a certain car on May 1st at a price of $1,500, you have an option to buy the car. This option ensures that if the value of the car increases at the predetermined time of purchase (in this case on May 1st), then you will profit from it because you can sell the car to another person for more than the amount you originally paid for.

On the other hand, if the value of the car decreases from the original amount, it wouldn’t be beneficial to buy that car. The option gives you the right to buy, in this case, the car but not the responsibility to pay for it if you don’t want to. This significantly lessens the risks to the trader. There are basically two types of options available to retail traders. These include the traditional call/put option and the single payment option trading (SPOT) trading.

Types of Forex Options

Traditional Option

The traditional call/put option works very much like the stock option. It gives the buyer the right (but not the obligation) to buy from the option seller at a specified time and price. For example, a trader can purchase the option to buy four lots of EUR/USD at 1.4000 for a certain month (this contract is called a EUR call/USD put). Remember that in the options market, you buy a call and a put at the same time. If the price of the EUR/USD goes below 1.4000, then the buyer loses the premium. But if the EUR/USD increases to 1.6000, then the buyer can use the option and gain the four lots for the agreed upon amount and sell it at a profit.

The Forex option are traded over-the counter. Because of this, Forex traders can easily choose the price and date of their preferred option. They will receive a quote regarding the premium they need to pay in order to get the option. There are two kinds of traditional options available today:

American Style Option

Can be used at any point until the expiration date

European Style Option

Can only be used at the point of expiration

Probably the main advantage of traditional call/put option over its counterpart is the fact that it requires lower premium. In addition, because the American-style option allows it to be traded even before expiration, forex traders gain more flexibility. On the downside, traditional options are requires more work to set and execute compared to SPOT options.

Single Payment Options Trading (SPOT)

SPOT options have almost the same concept as traditional options. The main difference is that the forex trader will first give a scenario (UER/USD will break 1.4000 in 2 weeks), gets a premium, and then receive cash if his scenario occurs. SPOT trading converts the option to cash automatically if your trade is successful. This type of option is very easy to trade because it only requires you to enter a scenario and then wait for the results.

Essentially, if your scenario plays out, you receive cash. But if it is incorrect, you will shoulder the loss of the premium. Another advantage of the SPOT option is it allows a wide variety of choices for the trader. He can choose the exact scenario that he thinks will play out. The main downside of the SPOT premium is that it is higher. In general, it costs significantly more than its counterpart.

Benefits and Downsides of SPOT Options

There are a lot of reasons why SPOT options appeal to a lot of investors and forex traders. Among its many benefits include:

Financial risks is limited to the premium (the payment to buy the option)

Infinite profit potential

The trader sets the price and the date

Requires less money up-front compared to the spot Forex position

The option can hedge against cash positions and limit risks

Options give the opportunity to trade on predictions about future market movements without the risk of losing a lot of capital

SPOT options provide a lot of choices including standard options, one-touch SPOT, No-touch SPOT, Digital SPOT, Double one-touch SPOT, and Double no-touch SPOT.

Downsides:

But if options have all these benefits, why isn’t everyone into this type of forex trading? It is important to recognize that it does have its downsides as well.

Premium varies depending on the date of the option and strike price. Because of this, the risk/reward ratio fluctuates as well

SPOT options are not allowed to be traded . Once you buy it, you can’t sell it

It is difficult to predict when and at what price the market will move

What Determines the Option Price?

As was mentioned earlier, the premium price can vary because of several factors. This is why the risk/reward ratio of forex options trading varies. Some of the factors that determine the price are:

Intrinsic Value

This is the current price of the option if it was used. The position of this price against the strike price can be described in three ways such as “in the money” (when the strike price is higher than the current value), “out of money” (the strike price is lower than the current value), and “at the money” (the strike price and the current value are at the same level).

Time Value



Online Forex options basics

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Football trading strategy1-the clint

Football trading strategy1-the clintFootball Trading Strategy 1 The Clint

For this strategy we are looking for a strong home favourite where Over 2.5 goals is 1.90 or more (2s to 2.10 is ideal) and Under 1.5 goals is 3.6 or more. We are also looking for games with recent head-to-head and current form showing goals and/or 1-1s.

We place the bets just before KO although it may be necessary to wait until the game is inplay. This strategy is very similar to the Aristotle strategy which uses a ?25 stake for a 20 to 80% return if all goes well.

Back Over 2.5 Goals,

back 1-1 (20% stakes of Overs)

back under 1.5 goals to cover 50% of 1-1 and Overs liability.

Alternatively scalping the 1.5 pre match or for the first 5 minutes can give you free insurance also. Some traders like to split stakes on 1-1 and 2-1, depending on stats, head to heads and recent results putting all ?12 on 1-1 or 2-1. The 2-1 is a bonus and it helps if the score is 2-0. Plus it can be layed off with the over 2.5 if game looks like ending 1-1. Some traders will also favour a split stake on 1-1 and the 2-0 or 0-2 if there is a strong home or away favourite.

There are 2 dangers if the no alternatives are used i. e a late goal to make it 2-0 or 0-2. 0-2 in a game with an away dog occurs very rarely, so really were covering most scenarios here. Again match selection is the key.

There are 2 videos to show the strategy in action. The first one is from Bet72 and is fairly straightforward. The second one (click the link) is from Trading Football and looks at scalping at half time to reduce Clint liabilities and also demonstrates the use of the bounce effect.

(below the videos you will find an explanation of the Aristotle Strategy from TradingEdge it is very similar to Clint but with slightly different stakes and exit strategies).

Possible games for Trading

Europa Clints! Need to take careful aim with these if you are going to have a shot! Some teams are dead already so the odds and form might not be a true reflection.

18:00 FC Copenhagen v Steaua Bucharest Clint CS insurance HT 0-0 FT 1-1



Online Football trading strategy1-the clint

Forex trading api java strategies for binary options trading

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Trading without abroker

Trading without abrokerTrading Without A Broker

Buy stocks online without the need for a traditional broker.

Thanks to the wide proliferation of Internet technologies over the last two decades, and a willingness on the part of authorities and exchanges to open their doors to technological integration, the role of the stock broker in the life of individual retail traders has now seriously diminished. Nowadays, the stock broker of old has been largely replaced by online trading platforms that allow investors direct access to financial markets. As a result, a new generation of well-educated and efficient stock and option traders has sprung up. So while the traditional stock broker won't become completely obsolete, his role (at least towards the smaller end of the investment spectrum) has significantly decreased.

The foremost benefit of acting as your own stock broker is that it allows you to minimize the transaction costs associated with each trade. Rather than paying a hefty stock broker commission (often greater than $100) on every trade, when trading online you'll typically pay much lower transaction costs. For example, with TradeKing, it's a fixed price of $4.95 per trade for stocks, and it's $4.95 per trade, plus 65 cents per option contract. Comparing and choosing the best online broker for your trading needs will allow you to invest.

Choosing to go it alone via a platform such as TradeKing instead of a "bricks and mortar" stock broker also enables you to react efficiently to changes in the market, and to act on news announcements that may impact upon the value of your assets. By granting online access to the financial markets, and enabling features like contingent orders and trailing stops these platforms also enable the trader to automatically close out losing positions.

Start Trading Stocks for $4.95 per Trade

The trader investing on his own accord is also in a position to learn and understand the mechanics of the markets. Because online trading forces you to more closely watch the market, over time you'll get a better feel for the best timing to enter and exit your trades. Furthermore, the powerful trading tools and charting capabilities offered by TradeKing can help individual retail traders to watch and predict market movements more accurately than at any other point in history.

In this regard, trading online gives you control that would otherwise lie with your stock broker, and allows you to make your own decisions rather than relying on the judgment of another individual. Thanks to low transaction costs and a direct route to the markets, by using powerful trading platforms like TradeKing's you really can become your own online stock broker. We'll allow you to trade stocks and options in a secure and professional manner -- without having to go through a traditional stock broker.

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Forex prediction

Forex predictionForex prediction

This example is very similar to the previous one. The only difference is that it shows data for foreign exchange (forex) currency pairs.

How to work with the applet

If you have not seen the first example. please explore it first - basic description is available there.

In this applet, following data are available. All of them are end of day close values for the whole year 2007, i. e. 313 values. As in the previous applet, each of these time series have the following values: zero for interval below 0, close value in the interval 0-number of values, and again zero after the last known value.

EURUSD - EUR USD forex currency pair data

USDJPY - EUR USD forex currency pair data

USDCHF - EUR USD forex currency pair data

EURJPY - EUR USD forex currency pair data

Again note that this example is provided for illustration only. Trading using this simple setup is usually not far away from using prediction by last available value. Also note that for trading we need to develop entry and exit rules, and that they are more important than exact prediction.

Please wait until the applet is loaded.



Online Forex prediction

Simple day trading strategies

Simple day trading strategiesOther People Are Reading

Moving Average Crossover

A moving average crossover is one of the more popular day trading methods. Place a trade once two moving average lines cross on a chart. For example, when a 20 period moving average crosses over a 100 period moving average, the trade signal becomes valid. The position may stay open until the averages cross again or a profit target is hit.

Price Retracement

A price retracement is one of the trading strategies a day trader uses to enter a position in the direction of a trend. Once the price of an instrument stalls, it will retrace part or all of the movement. One of the more common retracement levels to use is 50 percent of the price move. A trade signal occurs when the retracement appears to be over and the price begins to resume moving in the original direction.

Price Breakout

Price breakouts occur on all charts using any time frame. Enter the trade once the price breaks through a former high or low point on a chart. Place a stop loss that is in line with your equity management rules in case the breakout is false. Exit the trade after the price begins to stall or hits a profit target.

Mean Reversion

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Utilizing an end of day trading method. she places the trade during the next business day and implements an exit.

How to Day Trade Stocks. Day traders sit in front of computers buying and selling stock throughout the day, hoping it will.

This is a simple and commonly used system. Analysis to your trading system. price moves in a stock or other.



Online Simple day trading strategies

Donchian channel

Donchian channelDonchian Channel | Trading Strategy (Entry & Exit 2)

I. Trading Strategy

Developer: Richard D. Donchian. Concept: Trading strategy based on Donchian Channels. Research Goal: Performance verification of the channel entry and ATR stop. Specification: Table 1. Results: Figure 1-2. Trade Entry: Long Trades: A buy stop is placed one tick above the Donchian Channel (i. e. UpperChannel[i ? 1]). Short Trades: A sell stop is placed one tick below the Donchian Channel (i. e. LowerChannel[i ? 1]). Index: i

Current Bar. Trade Exit: Table 1. Portfolio: 42 futures markets from four major market sectors (commodities, currencies, interest rates, and equity indexes). Data: 32 years since 1980. Testing Platform: MATLAB®.

II. Sensitivity Test

IV. Rating: Donchian Channel | Trading Strategy



Online Donchian channel

End of day trading strategies forex

End of day trading strategies forexEnd of day trading strategies forex

Yep. from being a 15 minute or 30 mins scalper glued to the screens much of the time for 3 months, I now set my trades as Nial said, end of day, well for the last few. Forex End Of Day Trading, especially a set and forget strategy, is a lot easier to. Forex end of day trading keeps your from becoming a slave to the market. Where your trading strategy is followed then you may not know if it'll be a. With trading forex, this can be any point during week days Mondays to. minutes every evening as a end-of-day trader that is even a newbie to all of.

Many traders use the engulfing candle to signal the end of a trend, but. I use this strategy for day trading, although it can be applied to other. I will start with Supply & Demand H1 strategy becasue it offers more trading opportunities, while still enables a trading end-of-day. Will share. Grab our Free Day Trading Strategies – Complete Trading System Here. At the end of the day, perhaps the most important thing that you need to know about.

Day trading strategies are simply strategies where the execution and closure of the. Forex Income Generator This is an automated end of day trading system. However, someone who is a forex trends trader could easily add this strategy to. major pairs is published at the end of the day for the following day's trading. Pattern day trader; 5.2 Daily Action in Forex. Some traders choose to focus on a limited number of strategies they feel can be profitable. a settlement period only to sell or buy them before the end of the period hoping for a rise in price.

Learn about the technique of Day Trading and find out how to make the maximum. You will need to be careful here as in order to end the day with all positions.

What is End of Day Trading Strategy and How to Use it?

To trade successfully, you got to have a good strategy. It can’t be said enough. We’re not here to lecture you though and granted good trading strategies need time to evolve. Many traders find that within the bounds of their busy trading they find such a task difficult to accomplish. “End of Day” trading simply means concentrating your trading activities after the close of New York financial markets. Between the period from the close of the New York markets and the start of the Europe session, there is a long gap of relatively quiet trading (Asian Session). With little activities in the markets, traders can best use this time to analyze their charts and formulate their trading decisions for the day ahead.

More Efficient Use Of Time

With End of Day trading, there are less clutter or noise and this gives traders a better environment for them to decide if there is a signal or not. Signals which are obtained during End of Day trading have more probability than signals obtained during intra-day trading. This is because traders do not have to sift through the mountain of insignificant price actions. Many traders become confused and frustrated because they get clouded from over analyzing the market.

What is End of Day Trading Strategy and How to Use it?

To trade successfully, you got to have a good strategy. It can’t be said enough. We’re not here to lecture you though and granted good trading strategies need time to evolve. Many traders find that within the bounds of their busy trading they find such a task difficult to accomplish. “End of Day” trading simply means concentrating your trading activities after the close of New York financial markets. Between the period from the close of the New York markets and the start of the Europe session, there is a long gap of relatively quiet trading (Asian Session). With little activities in the markets, traders can best use this time to analyze their charts and formulate their trading decisions for the day ahead.

More Efficient Use Of Time

With End of Day trading, there are less clutter or noise and this gives traders a better environment for them to decide if there is a signal or not. Signals which are obtained during End of Day trading have more probability than signals obtained during intra-day trading. This is because traders do not have to sift through the mountain of insignificant price actions. Many traders become confused and frustrated because they get clouded from over analyzing the market.

End of day forex trading strategy

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Online End of day trading strategies forex

Thread req simpler options-options trading strategies

Thread req simpler options-options trading strategiesThread: [REQ] Simpler Options - Options Trading Strategies

Thanks 8 Thanked 27 Times in 11 Posts

[REQ] Simpler Options - Options Trading Strategies

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Online Thread req simpler options-options trading strategies

Advanced strategies

Advanced strategiesAdvanced strategies

Submitted by Edward Revy on January 28, 2007 - 08:11.

Along with Forex complex trading strategies this page is expected to gradually reveal our so called Forex advanced trading strategies .

These strategies will have a strong background, sound theoretical base and will represent known to us trading techniques and rules used by experienced Forex traders. We also going to share trading strategies that we use in our Forex trading practice.

Don't forget to read our disclaimer policy.

Also remember that any trading involves risks and there is no trading system which is immune to losses. Your experience may easily start with a losing trade, so before giving up on a system, make sure you've tested it well.

Your discipline is and will always be the key to success. Follow the rules strictly, if modified, write these changes down and do not alter as you trade.

It is promised to be a good experience!

However, there will be no miracles. Those strategies will not be revolutionary Forex strategies of all times or some "Holy Grail" systems to bring you millions, at least we cannot promise that.

What we can promise is that there will be a lot of stuff to learn and ideas to try out.

To achieve this we will do our best!

Truly yours,

Edward Revy and my best Forex strategies Team

Advanced strategies

Along with Forex complex trading strategies this page is expected to gradually reveal our so called Forex advanced trading strategies .

These strategies will have a strong background, sound theoretical base and will represent known to us trading techniques and rules used by experienced Forex traders. We also going to share trading strategies that we use in our Forex trading practice.

Don't forget to read our disclaimer policy.

Also remember that any trading involves risks and there is no trading system which is immune to losses. Your experience may easily start with a losing trade, so before giving up on a system, make sure you've tested it well.

Your discipline is and will always be the key to success. Follow the rules strictly, if modified, write these changes down and do not alter as you trade.

It is promised to be a good experience!

However, there will be no miracles. Those strategies will not be revolutionary Forex strategies of all times or some "Holy Grail" systems to bring you millions, at least we cannot promise that.

What we can promise is that there will be a lot of stuff to learn and ideas to try out.

To achieve this we will do our best!

Truly yours,

Edward Revy and my best Forex strategies Team

Advanced Hedging Strategy for smart binary option traders who want to limit their net loss

It is an advanced strategy which involves mathematical cognition and experience in the financial markets. If you are new to binary option better try it first on a demo account.

Three Indians binary options trading strategy – works on bearish and bullish markets both

It is a quite effective strategy in today’s forex and stock markets. This method of trading is described first by Linda Raschke.

Three Moving Averages binary options trading strategy

A strategy for traders who prefer medium and long term binary option trades which in our opinion give more chance to make a profit in the long run.

Martingale binary options money management strategy



Online Advanced strategies

Finanse osobiste

Finanse osobisteZarabiam na Forex

Jak realnie zarabiac na Forex?

Czy wiesz, ze w ciagu ostatnich 3 lat frank szwajcarski wzrosl az o 25%?

Jesli masz kredyt zaciagniety we frankach, na pewno zdajesz sobie z tego sprawe. Moze nawet zloscisz sie, ilekroc ktos Ci o tym przypomina. Jesli tak, chcialabym, zebys spojrzal na to z innej strony

Jak osiagnac zwrot z inwestycji na poziomie 250%?

Czy wiesz, ze gdybys 3 lata temu kupil 100 frankow, dzisiaj warte bylyby 25% wiecej? Owszem, 25% na 3 lata to nieduzo. Troche wiecej niz przecietna lokata. Tyle ze jest jedno „ale”.

Te 100 frankow moglbys zainwestowac na rynku walutowym (inaczej zwanym rynkiem Forex). Moglbys przy tym uzyc dzwigni finansowej (tzw. lewara), ktora pozwala kontrolowac transakcje o odpowiednio wiekszym kapitale. Gdybys wiec 3 lata temu zainwestowal 100 frankow przy dzwigni 1:100 (a mozliwe sa lewary nawet 1:1000), zyskalbys nie 25, ale 2500 frankow! A wszystko to z inwestycji o kapitale zaledwie 100 frankow.

Rezultat: zwrot z inwestycji na poziomie 250%. To juz znacznie wiecej niz nawet najlepsza lokata!

Oczywiscie kazdy kij ma dwa konce. Nieroztropne uzywanie dzwigni moze sie zle skonczyc. Grunt to nauczyc sie korzystac z tego, co oferuje nam swiat. Bo w gruncie rzeczy chodzi o to, ze

to, co dla jednych jest finansowa katastrofa, dla innych stanowi zyle zlota!

Dlatego dzis byc moze splacasz kredyt hipoteczny i martwisz sie wysokimi ratami.

Ale to od Ciebie zalezy, czy za 3 lata nadplacisz kolejne 25% wartosci kredytu, czy wykorzystasz sytuacje i zarobisz duuuzo wiecej niz 25%. Od Ciebie zalezy, czy przylaczysz sie do powszechnych narzekan na rosnace ceny walut, czy zamiast tego bedziesz czerpal zyski ze znakomitej koniunktury. To Twoj wybor, jak spojrzysz na dana sytuacje i jak ja wykorzystasz.

Jesli wiec zamiast ciagle wydawac pieniadze, szukasz sposobu na rozsadne zainwestowanie kapitalu, zapoznaj sie z poradnikiem na temat inwestowania na rynku Forex. Byc moze to wlasnie to, co pozwoli Ci pomnozyc oszczednosci w tempie, o ktorym dotad nie sniles!

Tutaj mozesz zlozyc zamowienie»

Opisany wyzej przyklad z inwestycja o kapitale zaledwie 100 frankow to tylko kropla w oceanie mozliwosci, jakie daje Forex kazdemu z nas. Jesli chcesz blizej dowiedziec sie wiecej – przeczytaj fragment poradnika, ktory wprowadzi Cie w swiat forexu.

Forex – o co w tym wszystkim chodzi?

Termin forex wzial sie od angielskiego okreslenia Foreign Exchange oznaczajacego wymiane walut lub gielde walutowa. Walutami obraca sie na tzw. rynku walutowym, na ktorym jedna walute mozna zamienic na druga po kursie aktualnie obowiazujacym na rynku. Kurs, po jakim zamienimy np. euro na zlotowke, wynika z nastrojow inwestorow oraz rynkowej wyceny danej pary walutowej przez wszystkich inwestorow zainteresowanych i aktywnie uczestniczacych w wymianie walut w danym okresie.

Im wiecej uczestnikow rynku jest zainteresowanych kupnem danej waluty i wysyla zlecenia kupna do jednostki organizujacej wymiane walutowa, tym bardziej cena tej waluty bedzie wzrastac. Inwestor, ktory zamierzaja np. kupic euro za zlotowki, dokonuje jednoczesnie sprzedazy zlotowek, co prowadzi do obnizenia wartosci polskiej waluty i umocnienia sie waluty euro.

Rynek walutowy to najwiekszy rynek finansowy na swiecie. Charakteryzuje sie on najwiekszym dziennym wolumenem obrotu, gdyz laczna kwota transakcji dokonywanych na tym rynku przekracza wielokrotnie inne gieldy papierow wartosciowych.

Tak duza popularnosc tego rynku wsrod inwestorow sprawia, ze handel walutami jest bardzo plynny – praktycznie w kazdym momencie istnieje mozliwosc kupna i sprzedazy waluty i zawarcia transakcji z innymi uczestnikami rynku.

Nalezy przy tym wspomniec, ze handel na rynku Forex trwa 24 godziny na dobe. Rozpoczyna sie w poniedzialek w Sydney i konczy w piatek sesja amerykanska.

Najwazniejsze osrodki handlu walutami na swiecie to:

• Singapur,

• Frankfurt,

• Chicago.

Sesje na rynku walutowym mozna podzielic zasadniczo na sesje:

• europejska – rozpoczyna sie w Londynie o godz. 9.00 czasu polskiego,

• amerykanska – rozpoczyna sie w Nowym Jorku o godz. 14.00 czasu polskiego,

• australijska – rozpoczyna sie w Sydney o godz. 23.00 czasu polskiego,

• azjatycka – rozpoczyna sie w Tokio o godz. 01.00 czasu polskiego.

Mity o rynku Forex

Rynek Forex kojarzony jest nieslusznie z pewnymi zle rozumianymi kwestiami. Postanowilem przedstawic je ponizej.

• Szybka mozliwosc wzbogacenia sie i dzwignia finansowa.

Ze wzgledu na to, ze rynek walutowy jest bardzo plynny i wystepuje na nim zjawisko dzwigni finansowej, mozliwa jest gra w malych interwalach czasowych. Moze to przyniesc rozne korzysci, m. in. skraca czas dokonywania transakcji, co pozwala na czestsze ich zawieranie. Jednak to, ze bedziemy czesto spekulowac na walutach, nie musi sie przelozyc dodatnio na wyniki poczynionych inwestycji.

Charakterystyczna dla rynku Forex jest rowniez dzwignia finansowa. Powoduje ona, ze osiagane zyski sa o wiele wieksze niz w przypadku gry bez uzycia tego narzedzia. Nie mozna jednak zapomniec, ze potencjalne straty rowniez sa powiekszane o mnoznik dzwigni. Powiekszone zyski i straty znosza sie wiec wzajemnie, nie powodujac tym samym wiekszego przyrostu kapitalu w dluzszym okresie.

• Na foreksie zarabiaja tylko brokerzy.

Nie ma podstaw, aby myslec, ze na rynku Forex zarabiaja tylko brokerzy. Kazdy, kto chce, moze nauczyc sie sztuki inwestowania na foreksie, jesli tylko opanuje umiejetnosci spekulacji. To rynek jak kazdy inny, ze swoja specyfika, ktora nalezy poznac i zrozumiec. Wtedy obrot walutami z pewnoscia nie jest bardziej ryzykowny od inwestycji w akcje.

• Musisz pozwolic zyskom rosnac, aby wygrywac.

To jedna z podstawowych zasad, nauczana przez roznych gieldowych guru. O ile ta prawda moze odnosic sie do rynku akcji, o tyle na lewarowanym rynku Forex jest moim zdaniem jedna z glownych przyczyn porazek inwestycyjnych. Forex jest na tyle zmiennym i nieprzewidywanym rynkiem, ze trudna sprawa staje sie utrzymanie pozycji przez dluzszy okres, dlatego zdecydowana wiekszosc zlecen stop loss jest wybijana, a papierowe zyski sa redukowane po zmianie trendu na rynku.

• Na foreksie nie ma prowizji.

W wiekszosci domow maklerskich na rynku Forex nie placimy procentu prowizji od wartosci transakcji, ale zawsze nasze transakcje sa pomniejszane o szerokosc spreadu – im jest on wiekszy, tym potencjalne straty sa wieksze, a zyski mniejsze. Dlatego trzeba dazyc do tego, aby placic jak najmniejsze spready. Osobiscie nie wyobrazam sobie gry z wiekszymi spreadami niz 2 pipsy. Glownie dlatego inwestuje wylacznie w pare euro/dolar, a tym samym caly niniejszy eBook jest poswiecone tej parze walutowej.

• Gra na foreksie jest latwa i nie wymaga poswiecenia wiele czasu.

Byc moze sa na swiecie tacy geniusze, ktorych cala praca polega tylko na modyfikacji zlecen i przyjmowaniu gotowki na konto. Z doswiadczenia jednak wiem, ze jesli nie wlozymy w ten biznes wlasnej pracy i nie poswiecimy czasu, mozemy zapomniec o pozytywnych wynikach.

Identyfikacja poziomu cenowego

Sposrod poziomow charakteryzujacych sie wysokim prawdopodobienstwem skutecznosci wybralem te najbardziej powszechne i tym samym najpewniejsze w przypadku analizy walut.

Sa to mianowicie:

a) poziomy psychologiczne,

b) poziomy powstale po wypelnieniu ukladu technicznego,

c) zniesienia Fibonacciego,

d) poziomy formacji harmonicznej

e) oraz linie wsparcia i oporu o niezidentyfikowanym pochodzeniu.

Identyfikujac poziom, nalezy znalezc jak najwiecej jego potwierdzen, korzystaja z roznych metod analitycznych. Im wiecej z nich wskaze na ten sam poziom, tym wieksze bedzie jego znaczenie i tym bardziej prawdopodobne, ze duza grupa inwestorow zareaguje, kiedy cena sie do niego zblizy.

a) Poziomy psychologiczne

Mianem poziomu psychologicznego okreslamy okragla wartosc ceny danej waluty, np. 1.400, 1.500 lub poziomy o mniejszej wadze, zakonczone „piatka” na drugim miejscu po przecinku, np. 1.4500, 1.4600, 1.4700 itd. Nazwa „poziom psychologiczny” wziela sie stad, iz cena po zblizeniu sie do okraglych liczb w istotny sposob na nie reaguje, choc punktu widzenia analizy technicznej ani fundamentalnej nie wystepuja na rynku inne przyczyny odpowiadajace za takie zachowanie sie instrumentu finansowego. Zatem oczywiste jest to, ze inwestorzy w emocjonalny i psychologiczny sposob podchodza do inwestycji w poblizu „okraglych liczb”.

Zasada funkcjonowania tych poziomow jest prosta. Traktujemy je jako potencjalne linie wsparcia i oporu. Na diagramie 8 przedstawione zostalo zachowanie pary EUR/USD w poblizu pelnych poziomow cenowych. Nie zawsze te okragle wartosci pozwalaja na gre oparta tylko i wylacznie na tej metodzie i nie zawsze cena bedzie wyraznie wskazywac, czy ma zamiar odrzucic lub zaakceptowac dany poziom, jednak przed rozpoczeciem inwestycji na pewno warto rozwazac polozenie ceny wzgledem tych wartosci.

Poziome kropkowane linie zostaly umieszczone na diagramie na okraglych wartosciach ceny od 1.4100 do 1.4700. Czerwone strzalki wskazuja momenty, w ktorych cena zostala odrzucona przez poziom psychologiczny albo znalazla na tych wysokosciach wsparcie lub opor.

Diagram. Wykres 1-godzinny. Okragle liczby dzialajace jako wsparcie i opor

Opis strzalek oznaczonych cyframi od 1 do 7:

1. Cena zbliza sie od dolu do poziomu 1.4500. Po dwukrotnej nieudanej penetracji ponad poziom 1.4500 cena ponownie schodzi ponizej tego poziomu i dochodzi do konsolidacji, trwa przygotowywanie sie do nastepnego ruchu w gore. Po kilku godzinach przed ostatecznym wybiciem dochodzi do falszywego przelamania lokalnego minimum, co oznacza, ze inwestorow interesuje jednak gra w gore, a niedzwiedzie sa w rzeczywistosci slabe i niepewne.

2. Cena po dynamicznym wybiciu poziomu 1.4500 przelamala z latwoscia poziom 1.4600, nie zatrzymujac sie na nim nawet na chwile.

Nie oznacza to oczywiscie, ze inwestorzy nie byli swiadomi tego poziomu – w czasie ruchu korekcyjnego cena znalazla tam bowiem poziom wsparcia. Ostatecznie jednak po kilkugodzinnej konsolidacji ponad tym poziomem cena spadla ponizej, tworzac tym samym linie oporu.

3. Poziom 1.4600, bedac oporem, odrzucil cene i doprowadzil do 3-godzinnego ruchu korekcyjnego. Nastepnie doszlo do przelamania omawianego poziomu i kontynuacji trendu wzrostowego. Dalszy przebieg wykresu to odrzucenie poziomu 1.4700 i zmiana trendu na spadkowy. Warto zauwazyc, ze poziom 1.4500 po wylamaniu przez cene w punkcie 1 stal sie wsparciem, a nastepnie oporem, kiedy cena ostatecznie z powrotem przelamala ten poziom w dol.

4. Po zblizeniu sie do wartosci 1.4400 cena zostala odrzucona i wyrysowala swiece spadajacej gwiazdy. Nastepnie przez kilka godzin trwal ruch korekcyjny.

5. Dlugie dolne cienie swiec i wystapienie kilkugodzinnej konsolidacji bezposrednio ponad poziomem 1.4100 swiadczy o niepewnosci inwestorow co do kontynuowania trendu spadkowego.

6. Po odrzuceniu poziomu 1.4100 cena dotarla do wartosci 1.4200. Mamy tu do czynienia z falszywym przebiciem. Swieczka godzinna zamyka sie ponad tym poziomem i dochodzi do glebokiej przeceny. Ostatecznie inwestorzy wypychaja wartosc euro ponad 1.4200.

7. Cena, zmierzajac od gory do poziomu 1.4200, znajduje na nim wsparcie i rysuje swieczki o dlugich dolnych cieniach swiadczacych o atrakcyjnosci tej ceny dla inwestorow zainteresowanych kupnem euro wzgledem dolara amerykanskiego.

Dlaczego oni wciaz przegrywaja? 19 niewybaczalnych bledow graczy walutowych

W tym rozdziale zebralem wszystkie czynniki, ktore prawdopodobnie utrudniaja wielu ludziom osiaganie zyskow na rynkach walutowych (i nie tylko na nich). Przedstawie, czym nie powinni kierowac sie inwestorzy walutowi.

1. Analizowanie zbyt duzej liczby par walutowych.

Z powodu checi opanowania wszystkiego, co sie dzieje na rynku walutowym, inwestorzy nie sa w stanie kontrolowac swoich pozycji i efektywnie nimi zarzadzac. Jezeli analizujemy kilka par walutowych naraz i patrzymy na kilka ram czasowych na kazdej z nich, to jestesmy zmuszeni do obserwacji zbyt duzej liczby wykresow jednoczesnie.

Dlatego trudno przeznaczyc odpowiednio duzo czasu na analize wszystkich obrazow technicznych rynku. Grajac na malych ramach czasowych wylacznie na jednej parze walutowej, np. EUR/USD, latwiej osiagac o wiele lepsze wyniki, poniewaz cala uwaga skupia sie na jednym instrumencie finansowym.

Mozna wtedy dokladnie przeanalizowac kazdy interwal czasowy, jest czas na podjecie decyzji i zarzadzanie otwarta pozycja. Ewentualnie, w przypadku spekulowania wylacznie na 1-godzinnych wykresach i wiekszych, mozna rozwazac gre na kilku glownych parach walutowych.

7. Chec „uporzadkowania rynku”.

Tego nie da sie zrobic! Inwestor powinien maksymalnie sie skupic na momencie zajecia pozycji i na tym, aby mogl jak najszybciej zabezpieczyc swoja pozycje, nie zas na analizowaniu nieskonczenie wielu formacji, poziomow, ktore juz nie dzialaja, lub malo skutecznych linii trendu. Nie staraj sie uporzadkowac rynku. Zostaw to teoretykom i fanatykom analizy technicznej. Zawsze mozna znalezc wytlumaczenie, dlaczego cena doszla lub nie doszla do danego poziomu, tylko po co?

Koncentruj sie wylacznie na tej czesci wykresu, na ktorej przeprowadzasz transakcje. Daz do tego, aby stwarzac sytuacje, w ktorych mozesz stosunkowo szybko zabezpieczyc pozycje – wyszukuj setupow zapowiadajacych dynamiczne ruchy. Reszte pozostaw rynkowi. On wie najlepiej, gdzie powinien zmierzac.

9. Czeste zmiany strategii inwestycyjnej.

Zmiana strategii inwestycyjnej przed przeprowadzeniem wystarczajaco duzej liczby transakcji uniemozliwia sprawdzenie, jaka wartosc ma dana strategia. Czesto niedoswiadczeni spekulanci, kiedy zalicza kilka stratnych inwestycji z rzedu, porzucaja system i szukaja nastepnego. Ponownie korzystaja z nowej strategii, dopoki wszystko idzie po ich mysli, a kiedy natrafia na serie strat, odwracaja sie od systemu, co pozbawia ich mozliwosci przekonania sie o prawdziwej wartosci i oczekiwanej zyskownosci strategii. Konsekwencja takiego zachowania jest niemoznosc sledzenia krzywej kapitalu i postepow w rozwoju, a takze efektywnosci poszczegolnych modeli inwestycji[..]

To tylko fragment ebooka

Masz ochote na wiecej?

Zamow pelna wersje eBooka Jak realnie zarabiac na Forex»

Inwestujesz na foreksie, czytasz ksiazki o zarabianiu na rynku walutowym, a mimo to… efektow nie widac? Oto publikacja, ktora w sposob kompleksowy pokaze Ci, jak zaczac rzeczywiscie zarabiac na tradingu. Na 127 stronach i 48 wykresach znajdziesz komplet informacji od A do Z, ktore pozwola Ci zglebic wszystkie aspekty tradingu potrzebne do tego, bys mogl zawierac jak najwiecej trafnych i zyskownych transakcji.

Z eBooka dowiesz sie m. in.:

• jak skutecznie analizowac wykresy walut,

• jak rozpoznawac falszywe przebicia i pulapki,

• jak identyfikowacwazne poziomy cenowe (poziomy psychologiczne, poziomy powstale po wypelnieniu ukladu technicznego, zniesienia Fibonacciego oraz poziomy formacji harmonicznych),

• jak korzystac z danych makroekonomicznych,

• jak stworzyc wlasny trading plan,

• jakie jest 19 niewybaczalnych bledow popelnianych przez niedoswiadczonych traderow.



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Foreign Exchange market (FX, Forex) is very speculative in nature, involves considerable risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Therefore, before deciding to participate in off-exchange Foreign Exchange trading/Forex, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Investors should only use risk or surplus capital when trading Forex because there is always the risk of substantial loss. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Any mention of past performance is not indicative of future results. Account access, trade executions and system response may be adversely affected by market conditions, quote delays, system performance and other factors.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission: Futures, Options and foreign currency trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the Forex/futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell Forex/futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Because each of the Forex chat rooms is different, there are several advantages that different websites offer these days. Some of these can include affordable rates without any hidden prices, Forex rebates, fore market news, low investment trading accounts, flexible leverage as well as competitive spreads. At the same time some other Forex chat rooms can offer premium accounts in order to give you even more advantages and dedicated customer support line. One characteristic to search for is a demo trading account. Demo trading account shows how the Forex trading with the chat room works as well as helps you understand the Forex market without even placing a real trade.

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As in any other niche of our life foreign exchange market needs some knowledge.

Surely, you can start forex trading and get quite successful in it. But sooner or later the losses will come. It is precisely when you might think Why didnt I start with a good forex books ?

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And a final piece of advice today the Internet technologies give you a truly unique chance to choose exactly what you require for the best price on the market. Funny, but most of the people dont use this chance. In real practice it means that you should use all the tools of today to get the info that you need.

Search Google and other search engines. Visit social networks and check the accounts that are relevant to your topic. Go to the niche forums and join the discussion. All this will help you to create a true vision of this market. Thus, giving you a real opportunity to make a wise and nicely balanced decision.

And also sign up to the RSS feed on this blog, because we will everything possible to keep this blog tuned up to the day with new publications about Forex market.

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Optimal trading strategies quantitative approaches pdf us stock options trading hours trading platfo

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How to start trading forex with no money!

How to start trading forex with no money!How to start trading Forex with no money!

Forex trading has taken the world by storm. Millions of people attempt to make their fortune on the Forex market. Unfortunately most of them will loose their money because they did not have proper forex education. Without proper education Forex trading is an expensive gamble. There are various training courses available on the internet but most of them are very expensive.

If you take the time time to learn the art of forex trading you can potentially earn $3,000 or more per month by working about 4 hours per day. Forex trading can be the best home based business you can dream of.

There are even some auto trade systems available today that can do it all for you. In order to make an online fortune you MUST first learn how to do it before you attempt to use your own hard earned money to try and make money on the forex market. There the patient forex trading gurus who earn millions of dollars per month from currency trading every month, but there are also those who loose millions of dollars. The only difference between the winners and losers is that the winners took the time to learn what it is about and they traded with dummy account before the dived into the market. It is not that difficult to make a good profit from forex trading, just about anybody can do it if you are dedicated and serious.



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Infographic the history of the online trading academy

Infographic the history of the online trading academyInfographic: The History of the Online Trading Academy

Online Trading Academy is celebrating a full decade and a half of providing superior training online!

From humble beginnings in a then almost unheard-of niche (online trading), to the boom times just before the dot com bust, it seems that the “Online Trading Academy” has managed to be in just the right place, at just the right time!

For instance, this info graphic highlights the fact that during this latest cycle, while most of the trading world was in a spiral of dismay and confusion, one of its very own top professors was among the scant few, able to forecast the very bottom. This allowed his students to buy confidently in a bear market, and gain incredible returns since the upswing!

This info graphic may incite you to check out why Fxstreet named the “Online Trading Academy” Forex’s “:BEST” three years running!

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Blog instaforex

Blog instaforexWhat for are cent accounts at Forex?

The modern Forex, on the assumption of list of services, provided by brokers, is a system of exchange trade of currency, metals, contacts for difference, etc. The work with rates increase and decrease at cent accounts does not differ from a classic work at real Forex market. At first sight it seems that this structure is very difficult, but having worked a little, you understand that everything is more simply. If you worked out in cent accounts, be sure, that the door in successful activity is slightly opened for you, and investors will be ready to entrust you the management of thousand dollars accounts.

If you are at the beginning of trader’s way, you should start from cent accounts. A lot of brokers offer to trade at mini-Forex starting with 10 cents. The point is that work at mini-Forex does not have essential differences from the work at “large” market.

Cent account can be used as intermediary from demo to real. Demo-account is attractive by the fact that any losses which you will, probably, have, in no way affect your wallet. However, there is one significant disadvantage, connected with the psychological part of trading. Being confident about your monies safety, you will not be able to plunge into the whirlpool of financial business, where on the next day after you have won a million you can lose everything. In order to overcome two main enemies of trader the fear and greed, you just need to feel the trading process, and that can be done only with real money at the real market. That is why the intermediate trading process at the cent account is the optimum alternative for the newbie. Minimizing the risks of losses in the case of trend reversal to the unfavorable side, you can continue the training at cent account. At that your small victories will be rewarded with the small but very pleasing profit. Of course, when the cost of point is 1 cent, you should not expect the huge earnings. Use the cent account only in order to study the market with its sometimes sharp movements, as well as for experiments with trading strategies and systems.

On the assumption of all mentioned above, the idea of cent accounts is that almost each beginning trader can, investing the small amounts of assets, learn the work skills with the real accounts. This is necessary for reduction of newbies’ potential risks. The major financial mistakes, which a lot of novices make working with the cent accounts, are minimized and can not be a barrier at the beginning of the trader’s professional way.

However, today because of the situation that market is oversaturated with traders a lot of brokers strive to decrease as much as possible the supply on the cent accounts, forcing in this way all traders to work with dollar accounts, as it was at the very beginning of Forex market development.

In such way, it can be said that cent accounts is a perfect launch platform, which gives an opportunity to any trader to learn all necessary skills and gain trading experience, realistically assessing his/her own possibilities for the real work at the currency market.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, January 20th, 2010 at 19:17 and is filed under Trading. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response. or trackback from your own site.



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Intraday strategy by buying put and call option of same rate

Intraday strategy by buying put and call option of same rateIntraday strategy by buying Put and Call option of same rate

Intraday strategy by buying Put and Call option of same rate

I am doing paper trade on this strategy perhaps one of the straddle strategy. I am not an expert. From experts of option strategies I have request to kindly discuss this strategy.

In this my strategy I want to buy put and call options at same rate (nearly same premium ) say at Rs. 28 and Rs. 29 respectively. I give a stoploss of Rs. 5-6 gap to premium of unfavourable (less predictable) direction and simultaneously 10-11 point target to another favourable direction. Assuming Rs. 1-2 brokerage expenses. Can this strategy be worked daily to make profits consistently.

I neither have much time nor resources to devote to actually check this strategy movement. Those of u who have already followed it or know about it Kindly discuss drawbacks and failure points.

Perhaps failures may result where target is not reached because of rangeboud market and both side may go with minor stoploss gaps (Rs. 5-6 difference).



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Automated trading with multicharts introduction

Automated trading with multicharts introductionAutomated Trading With MultiCharts: Introduction

MultiCharts is a software development company headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. Its flagship software product, MultiCharts, is a professional technical analysis and automated trading software package which features high-definition charting, advanced analytics, strategy optimization and backtesting. MultiCharts supports TradeStation EasyLanguage (EL) functionality, maintaining compatibility with a wide existing base of EL studies while offering the advanced features of the PowerLanguage programming environment. This article will provide an introduction to automated trading in the MultiCharts platform, including MultiCharts Signals - a library of dozens of pre-built analysis tools - and the PowerLanguage Editor.



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Buy sell

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Trading rules strategies for success pdf binary option platform

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Quantitative analysis,derivatives modeling,and trading strategies

Quantitative analysis,derivatives modeling,and trading strategiesRecensioner i media

This state of the art text emphasizes various contemporary topics in fixed income derivatives from a practitioner's perspective. The combination of martingale technology with the author's expert practical knowledge contributes hugely to the book's success. For those who desire timely reporting straight from the trenches, this book is a must. Peter Carr, PhD Head of Quantitative Financial Research, Bloomberg LP Director of the Masters in Math Finance Program, Courant Institute, NYU It is quite obvious that the authors have significant practical experience in sophisticated quantitative analysis and derivatives modeling. This real world focus has resulted in a text that not only provides clear presentations on modeling, pricing and hedging derivatives products, somewhat typical in standard financial engineering books, but also provides more advanced material that is usually found only in research publications. In addition, the authors provide readers with keen insight into how different models are needed for different circumstances. This book has innovative ideas, state of the art applications, and contains a wealth of valuable information that will interest academics, applied quantitative derivatives modelers, and traders. Peter Ritchken Kenneth Walter Haber Professor, Department of Banking and Finance Weatherhead School of Management, Case Western Reserve University



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Robust trading strategies llc

Robust trading strategies llcAdaptrade Software Newsletter Article

Multi-Market Techniques for Robust Trading Strategies

by Michael R. Bryant

One of the biggest concerns among systematic traders is over-fit trading strategies. An over-fit strategy looks great in back-testing but fails in forward testing or in real-time trading. There are many factors that affect whether or not a strategy is over-fit, but one big factor is robustness . In this context, robustness refers to how sensitive a strategy is to variations in the data on which it relies. A more robust strategy is less sensitive to variations in the price data. In other words, a robust strategy will perform well for a wider variety of market prices than a less robust strategy.

Arguably, a trading strategy that works well on a variety of different markets is more robust than one that works on just one of those markets. However, building strategies that work on a variety of markets is just one way to achieve robustness using a multi-market approach to strategy design. This article discusses some of the different multi-market techniques that can be used to build more robust trading strategies.

Insensitivity to Prices

The key element of strategy robustness that I want to focus on is insensitivity to prices. Insensitivity means that the strategy can trade profitably for a wide variety of prices. The degree of variation in prices can range from small differences, such as the high or low being different by a few ticks, to large differences, such as completely different markets.

For small variations, it should be clear that a strategy should not be so dependent on a specific price or pattern of prices that even a few ticks variation in the pattern will cause the strategy to fail. Nonetheless, this can happen in practice if a strategy is designed for a specific market using techniques such as price patterns in which the entry or exit conditions depend on certain prices or the relationship between specific prices. Since the future never exactly replicates the past, it's important not to rely on patterns that are so tied to the past that they're not likely to be repeated. In fact, in most cases, such patterns are probably just random market noise. At this end of the spectrum of robustness, then, a worthwhile objective would be to make strategies less sensitive to random market noise.

At the other end of the spectrum, we may have entirely different markets. A strategy that effectively trades a large portfolio of futures, stocks and forex represents the apex of price insensitivity. It's highly unlikely that such a strategy would be over-fit. Moreover, a strategy that tests well on a wide variety of markets is more likely to perform well in the future when conditions change because it has already demonstrated the ability to perform well under different conditions.

Techniques for Different Degrees of Robustness

In this section, I'll discuss three different techniques for building robustness into a trading strategy, each one focused on a different degree of robustness. To illustrate the ideas, I'll use examples generated by Adaptrade Builder. a strategy discovery and code generation tool that builds trading strategies in EasyLanguage for TradeStation and MultiCharts.

Multi-Market Strategies

The first technique, which is also the most commonly encountered, is to build a strategy over multiple markets, where each market is different. Some traders only trade multi-market strategies based on the belief that single-market strategies are too likely to be over-fit. Other traders prefer to focus on a single market.

Regardless of your preference, a trade-off between robustness and performance should be expected when building strategies. It would be asking too much to expect a strategy designed to trade multiple markets to perform as well on any given market as a strategy designed specifically for that market. On the other hand, the risk of over-fitting will generally be higher for a single-market strategy.

A middle ground is possible, however. While there's nothing wrong with trying to develop a strategy that reliably trades a basket of largely unrelated markets -- say, crude oil, gold, wheat, stock indexes, forex, etc. -- another approach is to group related markets and build over only the markets in each group. I'll focus on the latter approach here.

In the example below, I've built a strategy over three stock index futures: E-mini SP MidCap 400 (EMD), mini Russell 2000 (TF), and E-mini SP 500 (ES). Using five years of daily bars and assuming $25 per contract for trading costs (slippage, commissions, etc.), I built a strategy by maximizing the net profit while minimizing the drawdown, where the net profit was weighted twice as much as the drawdown. I reserved the last 25% of the data for out-of-sample testing. Position sizing was set to use one contract per trade. The results are shown below in Fig. 1.

Figure 1. Equity curves for a trading strategy built over daily bars of the ES, EMD, and TF futures markets .

The thicker curve at the top represents the combined (portfolio) equity curve, whereas the three curves below represent the respective equity curves for each market. It's apparent from the equity curves for each market that the strategy trades very similarly on each market.

While the three markets are related and probably have a high degree of correlation, the actual prices are different in each price series. We can conclude that the strategy is therefore insensitive to the variation in prices among the markets -- it works pretty much the same on each market even though the tick-by-tick details of the prices are different for each market. This helps achieve the goal of making the strategy insensitive to random market noise since, presumably, random elements will be different from market to market even in related markets.

Moreover, it's reasonable to conclude that the strategy logic is keying in on elements that the three markets have in common. Since all three markets are stock index futures, these elements are presumably related to how stock index futures trade on this time frame.

Intraday Single-Market Strategies

Another technique for making strategies more robust is one that can be applied to a single-market strategy on intraday data. Let's say you want to develop a trading strategy for 5 minute bars of the E-mini SP 500 futures (ES). If you want to focus on the ES but you're concerned about inadvertently fitting spurious patterns at that bar size, you can try fitting it simultaneously to other, similar bar sizes. This approach is based on the idea that a strategy that trades on, say, 5 minute bars should also hold up on, say, 7 minute bars. Any strategy that doesn't trade similarly on both bar sizes would be presumed to be over-fit to one price series and therefore excluded.

In Fig. 2, the results of building a strategy over 5, 7, and 9 minute bars of the ES (day session) are shown. One year of intraday data was used, and $25 per contract for trading costs was assumed. The other settings were the same as in the previous example except that 33% of the data was reserved for out-of-sample testing.

Figure 2. Equity curves for a trading strategy built over 5, 7, and 9 minute bars of the ES futures market .

As shown by the three lower equity curves in Fig. 2, the strategy traded similarly over all three bar sizes, suggesting that the strategy was not over-fit to one bar size. As in the previous example, we can conclude that the strategy logic is not fit to the random elements (i. e. noise) associated with any one bar size. This should give us more confidence that the strategy is not over-fit to the ES market.

Directly Including Noise

If the goal is make sure the strategy being developed is insensitive to market noise, the most direct approach is to include noise in the build process. There are several ways to do this. In an article from my other newsletter, The Breakout Bulletin. I explained how to create synthetic price data by randomizing certain elements of an existing price series.

In that article, I randomized the order of the price changes, which preserves the price changes themselves but loses any serial dependency in the data. There are at least two alternative approaches that would preserve the serial correlations while creating a randomly modified version of the original series:

Randomly change a given percentage of bars, and, for each bar to be changed, randomly select a price (open, high, low or close) to modify. Finally, change the price by a random amount. For example, suppose we modify bars with a probability of 20%. If a bar is selected to be modified, we might randomly select the high price to be changed. Finally, we would change the high by an amount randomly chosen between, say, 0% and 10% of the average true range over the past 50 bars.

Apply the synthetic price series method described in the article mentioned above but use a chunking technique to help preserve the serial correlations. The chunking technique groups the price changes for some pre-selected number of bars and randomizes the order of the chunks. For example, suppose the chunk size is 20 bars. Each series of 20 bars is considered one chunk, and the order of the chunks is then randomized. The randomized chunks of price changes are then reconstituted into a price series, as explained in the article. The chunk size could be chosen based on an analysis of the serial dependency, if any, in the original prices.

Regardless of which method is chosen, the resulting series would be added to the portfolio, just as in the prior examples. Since the goal is to make sure the resulting strategy is insensitive to the random elements introduced into the data, at least several such synthetic price series should be added to the portfolio in addition to the original prices. The strategies would then be built over all series, original and synthetic, as a portfolio.

Conclusions

Achieving insensitivity to price variation is one way to build robustness into a trading strategy. The degree of price variation can range from random fluctuations (i. e. noise) to prices from a completely different market. To develop a strategy that's insensitive to the desired degree of price variation, the strategy can be built and tested over a portfolio of markets consisting of the original or target price series together with other price series that introduce the desired degree of variation.

The three techniques discussed in this article differed in how the price variation was created. The first technique used different but related markets. The second technique used different bar sizes of the same market. The last technique proposed using synthetic price data generated from the original series by randomly modifying elements of the original series.

Regardless of the approach used, the basic idea of building trading strategies to be less sensitive to the data used to design and test them should help you create more robust trading strategies. And a robust trading strategy is less likely to be over-fit to the market and therefore more likely to hold up well in real-time trading.

Mike Bryant

Adaptrade Software

*This article appeared in the August 2012 issue of the Adaptrade Software newsletter.

One of the characteristics that deter traders from using Trend Following is the typical lower winning percentage rate (i. e. ratio of winning trades vs. losing trades) of such systems. It goes against the natural instinct of wanting to be right most of the time as trades end up in a loss more often than not.

Psychologically, it is harder to trade a system that produces more losing trades. Despite this, Trend Following is a profitable strategy. Could there be a sort of psychological premium received by traders willing to use low winning percentage system?

When recently looking at Ralph Vinces Leverage Space Model. I could see a potential reason why low winning percentage systems might be more robust .

Robust Systems are Volatile

An aspect of robust systems is the volatility in the system results and its equity curve. Similarly to low winning percentage, volatility is also a system feature that traders/investors nearly always want to avoid at least from a psychological point of view.

Here is a quote from David Druz a recent addition to the Trend Following Wizards report which explains the link between robustness and volatility:

The robustness of a trading system is proportional to its volatility. This is the no-free-lunch part. A robust system is one which works and is stable over many types of market conditions and over many timeframes. It works in German Bund futures and it works in Wheat. It works when tested over 1950-1960 or over 1990-2000. Robust systems tend to be designed around successful trading tactics, classical money management techniques, and universal principles of market behavior. These systems are not designed around specific types of markets or market action. And here is the amazing thing about robust systems: The more robust a system, the more volatile it tends to be . This is because robust systems are not optimized to particular markets or market conditions. The converse is also true. You can design systems with excellent returns and low volatility on historical testing, but which work only for given periods in given markets. These systems tend to be curve-fit or market-fit and are not robust. For a system to have the highest odds of profitability over time and markets, the inescapable tradeoff is volatility. Diversification can be used of course, but it will only dampen the volatility so much.

A typical illustration of low-volatility, high-performance equity curve is this one below:

LTCM: smooth equity curve for a while. No robustness there.

The Impact of Money Management

Money Management is a pivotal part of a trading system. It can make or break any system, however good it is. Over-trading a really good system will still lose you money.

Indeed, Vince affirms, in the Leverage Space Trading Model intro, that Money Management represents 100% of a trading system (leaving 0% for signal generation, etc.). This is probably a hyperbole, but the impact of money management should not be understated.

By looking at the impact of the the systems winning rate on the money management part of it, there might be a reason as to why a system might be more robust when it produces more losers than winners.

Optimal f, boundaries and the Tiger Cage

Depending on preferences, there exists an optimal f which maximizes growth and which can take risk factors into account. The optimum approach is obviously to be as close as possible to the optimal f. However, this is not simple: markets change, systems go through different phases of performance and as a result, optimal f moves as well. It is not a fixed value.

From the start, we know that optimal f is bounded between 0 and 1 and that the further we are from it, the less optimal performance will be. Vince had an amusing analogy, comparing the optimal f to a roaming tiger on a football field . The tiger could be anywhere on the field; the hunting trader needs to find its location to place the tiger cage. Any error in locating the tiger would result in sub-optimal performance: the further the tiger is from the cage, the worse the system would perform.

However, there is a corollary from the Optimal f calculations: the optimal f value is bounded by the winning rate of the trading system . F can take values between 0 and 1 but if the system has a win rate of 30%, optimal f will always be between 0 and 0.3.

Going back to the tiger-on-the-football-field analogy, it greatly reduces the task of the hunting trader if we know that the tiger never ventures beyond the 30-yard line. And as a result well never be too far off the target. From a trading point of view, this means that there is less room for error in the location of the optimal leverage and therefore less impact of a sub-optimal leverage .

In terms of robustness, this means that as markets change, so will the optimal f. A trading system with a low winning percentage will reduce the possible variation in the optimal f (e. g. [0,0.3] instead of [0,1]) and therefore the error between the actual f value used by a trader and the optimal f. Reducing the error should also reduce its negative impact on the system performance and make the system less sensitive to underlying market changes. In a word: more robust.

This is just a thought. I do not have any hard evidence or theory for it. As a young kid I always dreamt of having a tiger and riding it to school. Id now like to think that it was an early subconscious call to be a good trader by focusing on catching the tiger of good position sizing/money management



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How to Win Consistently in Forex Trading

Most people will think that success in Forex trading depends entirely on the system or trading strategy you use. In truth, it doesn’t. What it actually depends on, the foundation upon which true success as a trader is built is your mindset and psychology – how you think and feel about the market and how you react to it.

Forex websites trying to sell some indicator or robot-based trading system won’t tell you this, because they want you to believe in their products and that you can make money with them. That’s the source of most of the stories you hear about people who attempt Forex trading and lose money. They come into the market with unrealistic expectations, such as thinking they are going to quit their jobs after a month of trading or thinking they are going to turn $1,000 into $100,000 in a few months. They create a mindset that pressures them with the need to make money and end up trading emotionally – the fastest way to LOSE your money.

I have a friend that says, “I’m not here to be your friend. A friend will tell you what you want to hear. I’m here to be your BEST friend, someone who will tell you what you NEED to hear.” While it is very important to have an effective and uncomplicated trading strategy, it is even more important to manage your emotions around your trades. You need both to experience long-term success in trading.

Before you even start thinking about trading and risking your hard earned money, before we even start discussing strategy, if you feel you want to explore trading as a means of growing your income and wealth portfolio, you need to enter the market with the right mindset.

Discipline

The first thing you need to understand is that trading is a discipline. It is a long-term game of probabilities, you will win some trades, you will lose on some trades, but as long as you a disciplined enough to stick to your trading strategy, to not be emotionally attached to your losses, or worse your wins, you will tend to make more winning trades than losing trades and nett a profit.

You need to know what your trading strategy is and you need to master it. You have to know it inside and out and have absolutely no doubts or questions about that the market needs to look like before you risk your money in a trade. You have to become a “sniper.” Once the market conditions match your strategy criteria, you place your trade, without the fear holding you back.

Risk Management

You always, ALWAYS manage your risk on EVERY single trade. The moment you loosen your control over your trades, you allow emotion to creep in and before you know it, you’re in a downward spiral of emotional Forex trading and losing trades. Only risk the money you are prepared to lose in every trade. In fact, you should go in expecting to lose on any given trade so that you’re constantly aware of the very real possibility of it happening.



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Forex trading part1-how to trade forex using virtual forex

Forex trading part1-how to trade forex using virtual forexFOREX Trading Part 1 - How to Trade FOREX Using Virtual FOREX

F OREX is a shortened term meaning "Foreign Exchange." Another common abbreviation is "FX." FOREX in itself simply means the buying and selling of currencies. It's the largest financial market in the world. With a daily trading volume over $1.5 trillion, it dwarfs even the daily trading volume on the NYSE.

I n this video series, you will be introduced the FOREX markets. The topics covered include brokers, charts, indicators, trading systems, options and futures.

Y ou will learn the basics of FOREX trading, how to spot market trends using charts and indicators, and learn about trading systems. In the first part of this video series you can find out how and where you can open a demo or "dummy" trading account with 50K in virtual equity and start trading a "virtual" FOREX market.



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The forex“experience”

The forex“experience”The Forex “Experience”

Instructor

Following a very successful and productive few weeks of teaching at the Online Trading Academy campus in Philadelphia, I am sitting here waiting to board my plane home to London, killing some time doing a little research on a new project I have just started working on. While doing my work, I came across a currency trading website which was detailing the various advantages of entering into the Global Forex markets and was also explaining why it is “easier to make money” in the FX Markets than it is in other financial arenas such as Equities, Futures and Options. As a multiple asset trader and teacher myself, I decided to carry on reading the information on the site out of curiosity, leading eventually to my inspiration for writing this particular article.

Moving forward through the website I was not all that surprised by the “Golden Nuggets” of information which were being provided. Search pretty much any website in the world or read any book on how to trade the currency markets and you will generally find similar variations of the same tips and tricks to use across the board. Now don’t get me wrong, I really do not have any issue with this at all. I do think it is great that somebody who is new to the markets can search on the web or pick up a book on the subject before going any further with it. This would be a useful exercise in explaining some of the aspects of what is involved in trading FX and would give anyone at the beginner level, a basic idea if it is an activity which they may of may not wish to pursue any further. However, I would suggest that if you really want to know the fine details of online stock trading. then it is best to go ask a trader right? Let’s be honest if you wanted to get the most accurate idea of what a day in the life of a doctor is like, then really it would make most sense to go and ask a doctor about it. That’s why we here at Online Trading Academy hold the 3-Day Market Timing Classes across the world, so as to give people a solid insight into trading and investing to achieve short-term income and long-term wealth.

What always surprises me the most about the generic information found on websites and in the trading books, is typically just how generic it actually is and also how misleading it can be as well. While there are many facts about the FX markets that happen to be true, this does not automatically mean that it is information that will prove to be useful in the quest to attain consistency in the markets. One of my earlier mentors in trading once told me to be cautious of anything which comes for free. When I asked him what he meant by this, he simply replied that in his humble experience he found that anything really worth having always had a price. That price could be financial, time-based or maybe a mixture of both. Whatever way I looked at it he said, you always have to pay to play the game. I must admit that his lesson was not one of the clearest I had been given back then, yet over time its deeper message became apparent to me on many different levels.

As you may have guessed, I was one of those people who always believed in education and would happily seek the knowledge of others, no matter the costs but I also realized that the more time I spent going through my plan being consistent in my actions and learning from the mistakes I made as a trader, that I gained the most valuable lessons and education of all: experience. My personal definition of “experience” is this: “Experience is nothing more than making bad choices, surviving them and learning a lesson about how to avoid making that same bad choice again.” Others may put this in a very different way than me and of course that is just fine. This is the way I see it and I have found it to be a most empowering way to deal with my experiences in life. So what does this all have to do with the FX website I was looking at earlier in my day then? Let’s go a little deeper into it.

There are without doubt certain characteristics of the global currency markets, which give this asset class it’s distinct “uniqueness” over other markets, which in turn have their own “uniqueness” over others too. However, just because someone tells you that it is easier to make money in the FX markets on a random website, does no make it true. Sure I read about how Trends in the FX pairs run longer than other markets, making it easier for traders to get involved in the big moves. I also hear about how cheap it is to get into the world of FX and how tight spreads make it great for day trading opportunities. I also hear about how we all get the economic news at the same time, thus creating a far more level playing field for news-based trading. Another thing I heard about, was how the volatility of the currency markets made it the ideal asset class for breakout style trading too. The list goes on an on. Go search the Internet for yourself and check out the multitude of websites who are saying these factors make FX trading the easiest way to get into the markets and make money. Before you do that though, I ask you to not take this information at face value and approach it from a totally logical and objective perspective instead.

In life you can choose to take someone’s word for something and go do it their way, or respect their opinion, take it into account and go find out first hand, thus gaining vital experience for yourself along the way. This is why as an instructor, I shed the light of my experience on these dynamics of the FX markets with my students in class, showing them a way to go out there in a safe, low-risk fashion and get that all important experience for themselves. The Online Trading Academy Core Strategy is unique in its simple rules-based approach and allows us to see the market for what it really is, no matter what other factors may or may not be true about how the world of FX really works. The strategy recognizes one fundamental and undeniable fact and that is that it is the Institutions and Banks who dominate the market with orders to buy and sell currency which easily absorb the orders and actions of the retail trading public. When you understand that these institutional orders are what create imbalances between the willing buyers and the willing sellers, resulting in actual Demand and Supply falling out of equilibrium, then and only then, do we get movements in price. This simple and straightforward principle is independent of things like economic news reports, trends and spreads and when we learn to recognize what the imbalances look like on a price chart, then and only then do we get to the true moving parts of the market and gain real worthwhile experience.

As traders, we must focus on what is real in the markets and not simply go by what we feel or what we are told to be true. For sure there may be some of you reading this right now and asking the question of why you should take my word for it either? I say that is good. I am glad you are thinking this way. Don’t take my word for granted. Visit your nearest Online Trading Academy campus and see for yourself how we do things to get the very best experience of all. Stay objective and have a great trading week.



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Kansas City SMG Workshop

Online Trading Academy

7501 College Boulevard, Suite 275

Overland Park, KS 66210

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Event Details

This is a workshop for New Missouri Stock Market Game Teachers and Advisors.

The Stock Market Game™ (SMG™) is a 10-week Internet educational simulation that encourages students to learn about stock markets and the American economic system. Over the last 25 years, this program has helped more than six million students nationwide and in 15 other countries learn how financial markets work and how capital is raised to fund business growth. SMG™ is used in grades 4-12, college courses, and by those who seek to learn more about investing. Teams of three to five students invest a hypothetical $100,000.00 in a portfolio of stocks and mutual funds listed on the New York and American stock exchanges and the NASDAQ market.

Participants develop skills in personal finance, economics, math, language arts, social studies, business education, and technology while building and maintaining a stock portfolio. Teams use the Internet to follow their portfolios, research stocks, study how the financial markets work, enter trades with real time prices, manage budgets, and see their daily regional and state rankings as they compete with 20 –30 teams in their region. Regions are set using grade level and geographic locations.

The Missouri Council on Economic Education (MCEE) coordinates SMG™ for all school districts and adults in the state of Missouri as part of its mission to raise the economic and financial literacy of Missouri citizens. It achieves this primarily by working with Missouri public and private school teachers and their students. Training of teachers and adults allows them, their students and their families to become informed voters, consumers, employers, savers and employees. MCEE is part of the National Council of Economic Education and its network of university – based affiliated state councils. MCEE has five affiliated centers for economic education throughout Missouri that develops programs for teachers. MCEE Centers are located on three University of Missouri campuses in Columbia, Kansas City and St. Louis as well as at Central Missouri State University in Warrensburg. MCEE is located on the University of Missouri – Kansas City campus.

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