A trading strategy using macd,fibonacci and moving averages

A trading strategy using macd,fibonacci and moving averagesA Trading Strategy Using MACD, Fibonacci and Moving Averages

In todays article, we will go through an intraday trading strategy involving the use of the MACD indicator, the Fibonacci Retracement tool and two moving averages. Depending on the traders skill, two extra moving averages can also be added to the strategy. This is a trading strategy done wholly with default indicators. We will now demonstrate how to use these indicators together to work out a simple forex strategy.


The following indicators are used for this strategy, and customization of the settings is done as follows:

MACD (12, 26, 9)

Fibonacci Retracement tool

5 Exponential Moving Average (5 EMA) which we shall set to a yellow colour.

15 Simple Moving Average (15 SMA), set to a blue colour.

100 Simple Moving Average (100 SMA) set to a red colour.

200 Simple Moving Average (200 SMA) set to a white colour.

The use of the 100 SMA and 200 SMA are optional. They are not compulsory components of the trading strategy. In addition, all indicators are used with their default settings.

Strategy Description

Before we go on to the strategy proper, there is a need for us to establish some baseline principles.

One of these principles is that if the price of the currency pair is too close to the 100 SMA or 200 SMA (i. e. within a range of 25 pips), we do not open any positions. This is done irrespective of whether trade conditions are screaming for a trade to be opened or not.

Secondly, the strategy is designed to work best on hourly charts where a candlestick represents the price activity in the markets or on the currency pair for one hour. This makes it suitable for intraday traders, whose trading process involves opening and closing positions within the same trading day.

Thirdly, the MACD signal that will be considered for this trade is not the conventional upward or downward movement above or below the zero line. Rather, we will look at the position of the bars of the MACD indicator relative to the MACD signal line (the red dotted line in the MACD indicator window). So if the bars of the MACD indicator are located above the MACD signal line (irrespective of whether the MACD is in positive or negative territory), this would constitute our bullish signal. If the bars of the MACD are located below the signal line (irrespective of whether the MACD is in positive or negative territory), then this indicates a bearish signal for us.

With these principles in place, we can now move on to the core aspects of this trading strategy.

For the strategy proper, it is essential to remember that any trades to be taken must be done at the open of the new candle. Therefore, we must wait for the previous candlestick to close, and then for a new one to open.

Long Trade

When the 5 EMA crosses the 15 SMA in an upward direction and is now located above the 15 EMA, this is a signal to prepare us for a long trade. Then we take a look at the MACD indicator. If the bars of the MACD indicator move above the MACD signal line at the same time that the 5 EMA crosses the 15 SMA to the upside, then we can open a long trade on the asset, and hold the position until a reverse signal (the sell signal situation) occurs.

Short Trade

When the 5 EMA crosses the 15 SMA in a downward direction and is now located below the 15 EMA, this is a signal to prepare us for a short trade. Then we take a look at the MACD indicator. If the bars of the MACD indicator head below the MACD signal line at the same time that the 5 EMA crosses the 15 SMA to the downside, then we can open a short trade on the currency pair, and hold the position until a reverse signal (the buy signal situation) occurs.

Positions must only be opened when the new candle opens, and because the trade is conducted on an hourly chart, the targets and stops are relatively small, perhaps in the order of 50 pips. The trader must use the grid lines on the MT4 chart to ensure that the two signals occur at approximately the same time so as to produce a good signal. This is especially so when thinking of exiting the trade as a result of the opposite signal appearing. This means that if the MACD bars cross below the signal line but the accompanying 5 EMA/15 SMA cross does not occur at the same time, then we leave the position open until the 5 EMA has crossed the 15 SMA. In the same vein, when opening a trade position, the 5 EMA has to have crossed the 15 SMA for the position to be open. If this happens when the MACD bars are already in the right position, then the trade position can be opened.

In essence, the cross of the 5 EMA on the 15 SMA is the essential ingredient used for opening the trade. The MACD bars cross on the signal line is merely used as a confirmatory filter on the trade. But that does not make the cross of the MACD bars on the MACD signal line less significant. Indeed, it helps to prevent fake signals generated on the 5 EMA/15 SMA cross. For instance, there will be times when the 5 EMA will cross the 15 SMA to the upside when the MACD bars are below the MACD signal line, or the 5 EMA crosses the 15 SMA to the downside and the MACD bars are above the MACD signal line. These are fake signal situations and the trades should not be opened when these occur.

Trade Exit Points

We have already said that the appearance of the reverse signal should serve as the trigger for trade exit. This should be done when prices are not very trending.

Now what is the role of the other indicators mentioned in the strategy?

The 100 SMA and 200 SMA are usually located below the price action in an up-trending market. They will therefore make good areas to use to either set stop losses for the long trades, or sometimes, they will serve as further confirmation of long trades if the prices bounce off them, making them act as support to the price action and therefore solid entry points.

If the 100 SMA and 200 SMA are located above the price action (usually in a down trending market), then they will serve as resistance levels and therefore good places to enter short trades from, especially when price action is heavily trending. They can also be used as stop losses when trades are taken based on the 5 EMA/15 SMA cross + MACD bars/MACD signal line cross signals.

The Fibonacci retracement levels can also serve as support and resistance for prices, depending on the price behavior of the asset. It is only rarely that these will be used though, and the trades can be conveniently taken with the other indicators that have been mentioned.

Let us now use charts to demonstrate this strategy.

A look at this chart sums up what a trader looking to go bullish on an asset with this strategy can expect to get. There are two trades here which present opportunities to make 25 pips and 68 pips respectively. At the 2 areas marked with blue circles, we can see that the 5 EMA crosses the 15 SMA upwards at the same time that the MACD bars are already above the MACD signal line, which will work to produce good signals. The upper horizontal white lines close to the area where the number of pips per trade is written show areas where a reverse signal occurs, producing an exit point.

In this trade setup, we show a long trade and a good short trade area, as well as a clear-cut fake signal which occurred because the MACD bars were still located above the MACD red signal line even when the 5 EMA has crossed the 15 SMA to the downside. In the first trade, we see an opportunity that presented 65 pips on the long trade, and a massive 108 pips on a short trade. Study the locations of the MACD bars to the MACD signal line at the same time that the 5 EMA has crossed the 15 SMA in the respective direction.


Practice the trade strategy on a demo account. If you are an intraday trader, then this is another strategy that can be added to your trading arsenal. Download the MT4 from Forex4you and play around with the indicators as you wish.


The author’s views are entirely his or her own.

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Daytrading signals

Daytrading signalsDaytrading Signals

The Day trading technique should consist of admittance as well as leave Signals; quite simply, whenever to get involved with a situation so when in order to get free from this (request the demonstration about the to obtain free of charge use of a good honor successful Signals software program which will aesthetically demonstrate where you can purchase as well as sell).

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The actual admittance Signal needs to be particular as well as should range from the problems that must definitely be fulfilled to be able to key in the trade. For instance, whenever Situation The, W, D, …, and so on. tend to be fulfilled, key in the actual trade. These types of problems should be because goal as you possibly can. For instance, particular problems could be “buy or even market once the share breaks or cracks the greatest cost from the prior half an hour or even the cheapest cost from the earlier sixty mins respectively” or even “buy whenever the buying price of the foreign currency will go 15 pips over its 19-period shifting typical. ” They are quantifiable occasions. They may be calculated.

The problem, ”buy whenever the buying price of the actual share is actually trending upward, ” isnt particular sufficient. It doesnt stipulate exactly what “trending up” indicates. How could you trade depending on the Signal that you simply don’t understand what it really indicates? Generalities such as they are exactly what trigger traders to get rid of cash.

Following the program getting used creates a good admittance Signal along with a placement is actually used, the actual leave problems also need to end up being recognized; quite simply, once the placement is going to be shut. The actual shutting from the placement may possibly end up being once the preferred revenue is actually recognized or even once the optimum permitted reduction is actually arrived at (in the actual area upon putting halts, We talk about this particular within higher detail).

The actual technique needs to determine precisely once the trader may recognize their revenue to check out an additional trade. When the revenue situation is actually fulfilled, the actual Day trader SHOULD leave. He or she cant make use of discernment as well as attempt to speculate when the revenue could be more or even under typical – he or she SHOULD adhere to their own guidelines. To reduce the actual likelihood associated with getting away from a fantastic placement too soon, the actual technique may use several leave Signals with regard to some other part of the entire placement; for instance, rather than promoting the actual three hundred, 000 Euro-U. Utes. Buck placement all at one time, the actual trader may market 1 great deal (100, 000) at any given time depending on particular problems since the trade advances.

Investment banking job description in plain english

Investment banking job description in plain englishInvestment Banking Job Description in Plain English

It’s funny to see how people look at the investment banking job description and get more confused . So, what do you guys do, really? Here is my attempt to answer the question in plain English.

Investment Banking Job Description Decoded

Investment banks help corporations and governments improve their way of using and managing money.

These banks have 2 main roles:

1. Capital Raising

Investment banks assist their clients to raise money through stock or bond offerings. The proceeds can be used for expansion, new investments or repay old and expensive debts. Alternatively, i-banks can help companies spend idle cash by buying back stock/debt at a good price.

Investment banks advise their clients on certain strategic moves such as buying or selling a business, and restructuring business lines to improve profitability. In many cases the strategic move (e. g. acquisition) requires concurrent capital raising exercise described above.

This is what bankers do in boutique investment bank; but for large global banks they have two additional divisions that work closely together.

Investment Banking Job Description in Full-Serviced Firms

1. Corporate finance (or simply known as Investment Banking)

This division is responsible for the Capital Raising and Advisory work mentioned above. Check out what corporate finance analyst does in daily life here.

2. Sales and Trading

This division is responsible for buying and selling financial products for their Institutional clients to earn the spread. Institutional clients are mostly hedge funds, pension funds and other mutual funds. The spread means the difference between the buying and selling price) and commission.

Financial products include plain-vanilla stocks and bonds, together with convertible bonds, high yield bond and other fixed-income products, foreign currencies, commodities, and derivatives (structured products).

This division also works hand-in-hand with Corporate Finance in stock / bond offerings: Their Institutional Sales Team is responsible for promoting these stock/bond to their clients.

A few big Investment Banks have Proprietary Desk which uses the firm’s own money to buy and sell financial products. This is a high risk high reward business that can bring glory or demise to the firm. Since the financial crisis most banks have either closed or substantially downsized their proprietary trading business. Goldman remains the best in this trade.

This division is responsible for tracking and writing research reports and make buy/hold/sell recommendations to Institutional clients.

While this is not a revenue-generating division, it has an important role to keep clients in the Sales and Trading department happy.

The research reports are also useful tools for bankers in Corporate Finance to talk to their clients and show how much the i-bank as a whole care about them (especially if it is recommending a buy rating).

You may notice that there are potential conflicts between Corporate Finance and Research. There must be procedure known as the “Chinese Wall” in place to separate the two.

Other Opportunities Within the Bank

Other than these 3 divisions, a full-serviced Investment Bank may have other front-office operations such as private wealth management, fund management, private equity and even a retail banking arm (e. g. Citibank).

An investment bank also has middle and back-office operations such as credit, treasury, operations, risk management, financial control, internal audit, IT, HR, legal, tax and strategic planning departments.

Our Thoughts

The opportunities in an Investment Bank are not limited to the Investment Banking division.

Eager to work in an intense environment? Go for Sales and trading.

Wanna train your analytical skill? Research and the credit department might be good for you.

Or if you simply want a stable job with good benefits, risk management, internal audit, financial control and treasury are excellent choices.

Take your time to talk to recruiters or your contact in the industry to find out the best career for you. You can also drop a note below and well get the answer for you.

But Wait… This Job Description Shouldn’t Lead to the Huge Pay that You Guys are Getting

Yes, another very frequently asked question. Check out our other interpretation on the investment banking job description and our FAQ page .

You can also sign up to my mini-course and receive:

Great tips

Practical advice

Useful links to help you craft your resume, ace the interview and nail the offer!

* Illustration courtesy of Hiking Artist

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How to live off your dividends

How to live off your dividendsHow To Live Off Your Dividends

For most investors, a safe and sound retirement is priority number one. The bulk of many people's assets lie within accounts dedicated to that purpose; however, as daunting of a task as saving for a comfortable retirement is, living off of your investments once you finally do retire is equally as challenging.

Most withdrawal methods call for a combination of spending interest income from bonds and selling fund/stock shares to cover the rest. Personal finance's famous four-percent rule thrives on this fact. The four-percent rule seeks to provide a steady stream of funds to the retiree, while also keeping an account balance that will allow funds to be withdrawn for a number of years. But what if there was another way to get that four or more percent from your portfolio each year, without selling shares and reducing principal?

One way to enhance your retirement income is to invest in dividend paying stocks and mutual funds. Overtime, the cash flow generated by those dividend payments can supplement your Social Security and pension income or perhaps provide all the money you need to maintain your pre-retirement lifestyle. It is possible to live strictly from your dividends, if you do a little planning.

It's All About Dividend Growth

One of the best reasons why stocks should be part of every investor's portfolio is, unlike the interest from bonds, stock dividends tend to grow over time. More importantly, that dividend growth has historically outpaced inflation. For those investors with a long timeline, this fact can be exploited in order to create a portfolio that can be used strictly for dividend-income living.

The smart strategy lies within using those dividends to buy more shares of stock in a firm, so that they will receive even more dividends and buy even more shares.

For example, assume you bought 1,000 shares of a stock that traded for $100, for a total investment of $100,000. The stock has a 3% dividend yield. so over the past year you received $3 per share, or a total of $3,000 in dividends. Assuming the stock price doesn't move much, but the company increases its dividend by 6% a year, after 10 years the hypothetical portfolio will have $7,108 in dividends. After 20 years of dividend reinvestment, you will receive more than $24,289 a year in dividends.

But What If You Are Already Retired?

Compounding of dividend income is certainly advantageous if you have a long-term timeline, but what about if you are about to enter retirement? For these investors, dividend growth plus a little higher yield could do the trick.

First, retired investors looking to live off their dividends may want to ratchet up their yield. High yielding stocks and securities, such as master limited partnerships. REITs and preferred stocks. generally do not generate much in the way of distributions growth; however, adding these to a portfolio would increase your current portfolio yield. That'll go a long way to helping pay the current bills.

Nonetheless, retired investors shouldn't shy away from classic dividend growth stocks like Procter Gamble. These firms - especially those with higher average dividend growth rates - will increase dividend income at or above the rates of inflation and help power income into the future. By adding these types of firms to a portfolio, investors sacrifice some current yield for a larger pay-out down the line.

While an investor with a small portfolio may have trouble living off of their dividends completely, the rising and steady payments will go a long way into helping reduce principal withdrawals.

The Bottom Line

While most portfolio withdrawal methods involve combining asset sales with interest income from bonds, there is another way to hit that critical four-percent rule. By investing in quality dividend stocks with rising payouts, both young and old investors can benefit from the stocks' compounding, and historically inflation beating, distribution growth. All it takes is a little planning and investors can live off their dividend payment streams.

Algorithmic trading strategies vwap

Algorithmic trading strategies vwapAlgorithmic trading strategies vwap

Home → Uncategorized → Algorithmic trading strategies vwap

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Trading strategies involving options and futures

Trading strategies involving options and futuresTrading strategies involving options and futures

Written on August 23, 2015 by in Uncategorized

There is the basic binary option Buy stock google plus which was discussed earlier; a trade based on whether you believe the price at expiry will be higher or. Mar 18, 2013 · goo. Disclaimer: Futures, option stock trading is a high risk. CME Group Education is your source trading strategies involving options and futures for information on the derivatives and risk management industry. I think What time does stock market open in new york the best thing about OTA is the way they continue to keep you in the loop with additional. trading strategies involving options and futures Over 10 years of accurate day trading results with emphasis on trading options emini futures. trading strategies involving options and futures CapitalVia is an investment advisory company which provides trading recommendations in Stocks, Commodities and Currencies Offers investment and stock information about how to trade binary options market trading books on subjects such as candlestick charting, commodity and day tips for intraday trading in bse trading, fibonacci, futures and options trading, swing. Combines the speed of direct-access order routing with the power to test and automate trading strategies FUTURES TRADING. Find out how to use basic options trading strategies in your Historical fx options data portfolio About Education. We provide chilean stock market hours millions Mexico stock market chart of investors with actionable fx pro forex peace army commentary on the. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Find stock prediction software indian market out trading strategies involving options and futures how Stock broker license barrie to use basic options trading strategies in your portfolio About Education

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Disclaimer and Risk Warning. Please read.

Risk Warning. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Disclaimer All information posted on this website is of our opinion and the opinion of our visitors, and may not reflect the truth. Please use your own good judgment and seek advice from a qualified consultant, before believing and accepting any information posted on this website. We also reserve the right to remove, edit, move or close any post for any reason.

Advertisements Warning Advertisement links are displayed throughout the site. Some pages in the site may contain affiliate links for products. These advertisements and/or links do not reflect the opinion, endorsement, or concurrence of this website or affiliated parties. The FPA's reviews are never influenced by advertising. Some ads might contain potentially misleading and/or unbalanced claims and information that may fail to disclose risks and other important considerations involved in speculative trading.

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The page you were looking for could not be found.

Disclaimer and Risk Warning. Please read.

Risk Warning. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Disclaimer All information posted on this website is of our opinion and the opinion of our visitors, and may not reflect the truth. Please use your own good judgment and seek advice from a qualified consultant, before believing and accepting any information posted on this website. We also reserve the right to remove, edit, move or close any post for any reason.

Advertisements Warning Advertisement links are displayed throughout the site. Some pages in the site may contain affiliate links for products. These advertisements and/or links do not reflect the opinion, endorsement, or concurrence of this website or affiliated parties. The FPA's reviews are never influenced by advertising. Some ads might contain potentially misleading and/or unbalanced claims and information that may fail to disclose risks and other important considerations involved in speculative trading.

Spammers be Warned If you spam the FPA's forums or reviews, we reserve the right to edit your post in any way we please to make fun of you. By spamming us, you agree to any edits we make and to take no legal or other actions against the FPA or its associates for anything we do to or with your spam.




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Futures trading simulator

Futures trading simulatorFutures Trading Simulator

Infinity AT Trading Simulator

Start your free trial of the Infinity AT trading platform. The revolutionary platform offers Level II market book, single click order entry, brackets and trailing stops, real-time charts and indicators, visual confirmation of orders on the chart, real-time composite position, PL tracker and more.

Depth of Market (Level II Book)

Infinity AT provides real-time streaming exchange prices through its Trading Ladder. AT shows CME Group and Eurex bids, offers and volumes 10 tics deep and ICE data is 5 tics deep. The platform technology provides exceptional speed (run the Market Book/Trading Ladder side by side with your existing vendor and see for yourself).

Single Click Order Entry and Management

For traders that rely on swift performance, Infinity AT provides for single click order entry and order cancel functionality.

Drag Drop Order Management

Working limit, stop, bracket and trailing stop orders are visible on the Trading Ladder. Orders can be modified simply by dragging and dropping the orders with your mouse.

Brackets, Trailing Stops and OCOs

Infinity AT provides both simple brackets and multiple brackets (up to 3 multiple targets). In addition, traders can add or initiate trades with trailing stops.

Integrated Charting

Infinity AT customer can choose to use the advanced charting that is integrated into the platform. This charting feature provides advance studies and customization features, which can substantially lower your charting cost. Intra-day charts available for as little as $26 per month.

Multiple Book View

Infinity AT is customizable and allows traders to view multiple market books simultaneously.

Flatten Feature

This provides traders with a single button click on the Trading Ladder to cancel working orders and flatten their position.

Auto Reverse

The Auto Reverse feature allows traders to reverse their open position with a single click of the mouse.

Easy to Use Fully Customizable User Interface

Traders can customize everything from mouse button action to the layout and color schemes of the Infinity AT platform.

Futures Trading Simulator

Just as we have stock market games and forex demo accounts, there are future trading simulators designed to test new futures strategies, or teach traders the ins and outs of the futures market. Making the most of a futures trading simulator, though, has a lot more to do with the simulator you pick than it does the theories or trading programs you test.

Simulators vs Demo Accounts

Even seasoned traders often fail to see the difference between what makes a forex simulator and what makes a demo account. There is a distinction, and it is very important to understand.

A simulator is a trading program that operates very much like the real thing, but often the market data is simulated. That is, the program is not connected to the data coming from the market including pricing, volume, liquidity, etc. Thus, anyone seeking to test strategies would not want to use such a program since the data that comes out of it is not based on a real data.

However, a simulator is still an excellent option for new traders. For one, simulators operate like trading programs, even if the data isn’t real. Buy orders are still processed with the same interface, and the profits and losses are still calculated equally to that of a real program, even if the actual price changes aren’t real. Also, indicators can be used and monitored by traders to see how they respond to price, even if price is just a figment of the computer’s imagination.

The relationship between a trading simulator and a demo account is very much like the geometric relationship between a square and a rectangle. While a square is a rectangle, a rectangle is not a square. So, where a futures trading simulator can be called a demo account, a demo account is not necessarily a futures trading simulator.

This is because a demo account can be based on feeds that are either artificial or real, but in most cases a demo is strictly tied to real market data. Thus, when trading a futures trading demo account, the prices, volume, etc. of the market are all real. If you make or lose $10,000 in a demo account, then you would have made or lost $10,000 in a real account had you made the same trades. This can’t be said in a simulator because of disconnects in real pricing and simulated pricing.

Why Trade with a Simulator

The futures markets are very much different from other markets including the spot stock and currency markets, and any other spot market, for that matter. Because futures markets are based on prices in the future, the relationship between a market position and account balance is as different between a futures and stock account as is the importance of volume, or even the type and size of each order.

Traders often think that an understanding of the stock, currency, and commodity markets means that a trader will be an immediate success in the futures market. This isn’t at all the case.

Not only are the futures markets different in that they are centered primarily on the future prices of goods, but the size of each position is also larger. Even the smallest of units on the futures market, the mini lot, is still significantly larger than some of the biggest positions on the stock exchanges.

Take into consideration that an investor could reach the top position size on retail stock brokerages by trading only 10,000 shares. Most brokerage firms charge more for larger share orders. Assuming a trade of 10,000 shares of a $2.50 penny stock, that trade equals only $25,000. A trader could stake as little as $5,000 in a futures account and own some $80,000 worth of silver metal. That’s a big difference!

But the differences go even further. The stock trader could buy 1000 shares, or 10 shares, or even 5356 shares. A futures trader, though, has far less flexibility, and can purchase only whole lots (if even whole mini lots) and does not have the same “position accuracy” as do spot traders. For that reason, all new traders would be advised to see first a trading simulator to understand the ins and outs of trading regardless of their financial literacy.

Welcome to the oaks academy

Welcome to the oaks academyOur Mission

The Oaks Academy is a Christ-centered school that exists to provide a rich, classical education to children of diverse racial and socioeconomic backgrounds, preparing them to succeed in a rigorous secondary educational program and to demonstrate spiritual, social and emotional maturity.

Now serving 665 students on three campuses, The Oaks Academy is impacting Indianapolis and beyond.

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Over 85% of our students receive need-based scholarships. Your investment ensures a bright future for our city.

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Forex7days system made1442pips in40days!

Forex7days system made1442pips in40days!Forex 7 Days System Made 1442 Pips in 40 Days!

March 21 2012

Forex 7 Days System trades EUR/USD pair on the H1 timeframe. Forex 7 Days System makes profit from 50 pips to 200 pips per trade. TP1 is 50 pips, TP2 is 100 pips and Tp3 is 140 pips while the stop loss is 45 pips max. Forex 7 Days System made 1442 pips in 40 days. Watch this video below that shows it making 1442 pips in 40 days.

Doing technical analysis is not easy. It takes watching the charts for hours. When your technical analysis goes wrong, you can lose your confidence to analyze the market correctly. The accuracy of Forex 7 Days System is above 92%. When you download Forex 7 Days System, you will get:

1. Forex 7 Days System User Guide plus Template

2. A Signals Indicator that will give you Buy/Sell signals with TP, SL targets.

3. You will also get a Support and Resistance with Pivot Template. This Support and Resistance Template will show you the support and resistance levels with pivot on all timeframes on a single charts.

This is what the Forex 7 Days System will look on your chart.

It is always a good idea to test a system first on the demo account for at least one month on the demo account. After testing the system for one month on the demo account, make an analysis of the performance of this system. If the performance is not good according to you, simply get a refund. And in case you feel satisfied with the performance of the system, further test it on a live account for one month with a small deposit of $250. Use the lot size of 0.01. There is no substitute for live trading. Good performance in demo trading does not mean a good performance on a live account. Only way to know whether a system is going to work is to trade live with it. But first testing it on the demo account will help you become more familiar with the system. Plus if a system does not performs well on a demo account, it simply means it will not work on a live account.

The developer of this system is also giving 2 months of money back guarantee. What this means is that if you get interested, you can try this Forex 7 Days System on your demo account for two months. This will help you in determining how accurate and how easy this system is to trade with. The developer of this system claims that he has tested his system adequately and it summarized 7 years of his forex trading experience. Trading with this system on the demo account for one month will give you a fair idea of how good this system is. Make a trading journal. Enter each trade that you make with this system on the demo account in that journal. After each trade do an analysis of how good the signals were and how good was your trading experience with this system. At the end of the month, check what was the overall win rate of this system during one month of demo trading, how many pips it made and how many pips it lost. If you dont feel satisfied with the performance of this Forex 7 Days system, simply go for a refund.

Get A Simple Forex System FREE That More Than Doubles My Account Every Month With 2-3 Set & Forget Trades & Can Also Be Used To Trade Forex Binary Options!

Cnh offshore hedging opportunities in chinese renminbi

Cnh offshore hedging opportunities in chinese renminbiCNH: Offshore Hedging Opportunities in Chinese Renminbi

In light of China's status as the world's largest exporter with the largest trade surplus, undervaluation of the CNY has been criticized by other nations in the latest IMF and G7 meetings. This issue has dragged on for years, but has become increasingly sensitive lately in the face of lingering high unemployment in the U. S. and Europe amid the slow recovery from the recession.

A week earlier, the U. S. House of Representatives voted in favor of a bill that would authorize the White House to impose punitive tariffs on a variety of Chinese imports for unfair trade practices as a result of its undervalued currency. However, there is a long way to go before this becomes law as the Senate will not take the bill until after the November election. The Obama administration has also decided to delay the decision on whether it believes China manipulates its currency to create an unfair trade advantage.

China's plan to open up the CNY market

The CNY was fixed in Shanghai at a new all-time high against the USD at 6.6497 on Friday, and closed at a record high of 6.6435. In recognition of the political realities, China has allowed the CNY to appreciate at the quickest pace since the 2005 revaluation. CNY has appreciated 2.74 percent since China announced its de-pegging to the USD in June. However, do not expect China to accelerate the CNY appreciation in one big step. As Premier Wen pointed out in a recent CNN interview, an appreciating CNY will not by itself cure U. S. economic problems. But moderate appreciation of the CNY will not hurt continued solid Chinese growth. Premier Wen, in a speech in New York before meeting with President Obama, said that a 20 percent increase in CNY value would cause severe job losses and trigger social instability in China. He also emphasized that China will manage its exchange rate in its own "long term interests."

We, therefore, expect continuous, gradual CNY appreciation similar to the past few years, at perhaps a 5-8 percent annual rate, as a sign of cooperation in the global market in order to achieve its long-term goals. But bolder appreciation will be unlikely unless China achieves its long-term interests.

What are China's long term interests? Based on Premier Wen's CNN interview, one is to rely on stimulating domestic demand to stabilize and further grow the Chinese economy. China is already working towards that goal by pushing for real exchange rate appreciation through salary increases, rather than with the nominal exchange rate. Among China's 31 provinces, 27 have raised their minimum salary by an average of 22 percent this year and the remaining four will introduce measures to hike wage rates later this year. This can be seen as one of the many policy efforts by Beijing to shift the economy from export-driven to consumption-driven.

CNH – The irst step toward CNY internationalization

Another long-term interest is to internationalize CNY so that CNY can first become a global trade settlement currency, then an international investment currency and finally an international reserve currency.

The launching of offshore CNY settlement in June by China was the first step to speed up the voluntary adoption of the CNY as a trade settlement currency. The subsequent signing of the Supplementary Memorandum of Cooperation between the People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has effectively given Hong Kong a new unique role as an offshore center for trading CNY, or, as the new offshore currency deliverable in Hong Kong has been called, CNH. CNH will be a pilot market for China to gradually moving towards a freely traded CNY, without causing internal domestic disruptions before the onshore market is ready.

What does CNH offer?

Any corporate can now hold CNY in a CNH account with a Hong Kong trade settlement bank. However, CNY onshore and the CNH offshore are separate markets. CNH can be transferred to make onshore CNY payments to the extent that the transaction is trade-related. However, CNH can be traded and delivered in Hong Kong offshore without restrictions with its own liquidity and pricing, reflecting specific demand and supply conditions for CNH deliverable in Hong Kong. Forwards and options can now actually be settled in CNY offshore.

Economists have long pointed out that a major barrier to Beijing's plans to encourage overseas firms to use CNY to settle their trade with China is the lack of tools available for hedging foreign exchange risk. Foreign firms are blocked from buying swaps or forwards in the onshore market, and non-deliverable forwards and options are an imperfect substitute because they can only be settled in USD.

With the CNH market, overseas firms will be able to trade in a whole raft of CNY-denominated financial products, largely free of Beijing's oversight. As the CNH liquidity improves, it is hoped that exporters and importers will eventually give up on the USD as their settlement currency of choice, and consider using CNY as well.

Implications for foreign companies and investors

CNH will significantly extend the scope for multinational companies to manage their asset and liability exposure to CNY. An offshore company without immediate trade-related reason to hold CNY, but with potential future CNY exposure, can now build exposure on CNY by acquiring CNH-denominated assets. On the contrary, offshore companies can potentially issue CNH-denominated debt as a hedge to Chinese onshore assets.

The Shanghai authorities have recently indicated that they will allow CNH to be used to settle trade-related transactions, such as foreign direct investment. This has effectively formalized a route into the mainland for the proceeds of Hong Kong bond issues, which previously were subject to case-by-case approval.

Both offshore and onshore companies may now be more willing to accept CNH as payment, as they will be able to use it for trade-related payments in the future and have access to a broader CNH-denominated asset class in the near term. As CNH asset markets develop, a broader range of assets with higher yields will become available.

On a transactional exposure level, offshore companies with future payables in CNY can raise their hedging ratios by selling USD and buying CNH spot and park the CNH in a CNH account. As recent liberalization measures have allowed banks in Hong Kong to access the local bond market, these banks will offer yields on CNH assets which are closer to onshore government bond yields at around 2.5 percent across the curve.

The views expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of SVB Financial Group, or Silicon Valley Bank, or any of its affiliates. This material, including without limitation the statistical information herein, is provided for informational purposes only. The material is based in part upon information from third-party sources that we believe to be reliable, but which has not been independently verified by us and, as such, we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete. The information should not be viewed as tax, investment, legal or other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment or other decisions. You should obtain relevant and specific professional advice before making any investment decision. Nothing relating to the material should be construed as a solicitation or offer, or recommendation, to acquire or dispose of any investment or to engage in any other transaction.

Foreign exchange transactions can be highly risky, and losses may occur in short periods of time if there is an adverse movement of exchange rates. Exchange rates can be highly volatile and are impacted by numerous economic, political and social factors, as well as supply and demand and governmental intervention, control and adjustments. Investments in financial instruments carry significant risk, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. Before entering any foreign exchange transaction, you should obtain advice from your own tax, financial, legal and other advisors, and only make investment decisions on the basis of your own objectives, experience and resources.

Trading strategy index

Trading strategy indexNDX100/SP500 Relative Strength Strategy

By Erik Skyba, CMT

Senior Market Technician, TradeStation Labs

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According to the Capital Asset Pricing Model, when the broad market begins to advance or decline individual stocks will outperform or underperform the market averages based on their beta component or systematic risk in relation to the market. Typically, higher-beta stocks will outperform the markets on the upside and underperform the markets on the downside, while low-beta stock performance tends to be the exact opposite. This outperformance effect can indicate that investors are more willing to take higher levels of risk in their portfolios in hopes of achieving above-average market returns as shown by our strategy. This outperformance relationship can also be used as a trading-signal generator because market moves tend to be more sustainable.

The calculation for beta basically comes from a combination of volatility and correlation values of a stock's returns relative to the market index. High-beta stocks are more volatile than low-beta stocks. If we were to analyze specific sectors of the market, we would notice that some sectors have higher average volatility than others. Volatility is a dynamic characteristic of stock returns. Over time, industries go through cyclical periods of profit expansion and profit contraction. And while the beta comparison was the basis for the development of this strategy idea many years ago when the NDX100 Index and Small Cap Indexes had higher volatility than the SP500 Index, the volatility comparison has leveled out over the last year and a half. (Refer to Figure 1.1 Small Cap volatility premium still exists.) So while this predictive relationship has been thought to be the historical premise for this strategy's long-term outperformance, recent observations might contradict this belief.

With that said, this model uses a weekly calculated relative-strength-comparison indicator to enter and exit trades. The relative-strength indicator is calculated by dividing the price of Symbol 1 by the price of Symbol 2. If the price of Symbol 1 increases and that of Symbol 2 declines, then the indicator will increase and vice versa. (Refer to Figure 1.2.) The strategy then uses a simple moving average as a signal generator. If the relative-strength indicator moves above the moving average, a long trade is initiated. If the indicator moves below the moving average, a short trade is generated. We are then using these signals to enter and exit the SP500 Index as seen in Figure 1.3.

Figure 1.1: Annualized Index Volatility SP500 Index (Red), NDX100 Index (Blue), Russell 2000 Index (Grey)

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Dollar Index ETF Trading Strategy

November 21st, 2013 at 1:40 pm

We all know quantitative easing devalues the Dollar but contrary to that general statement it looks as though we could see the dollar index continue to rise for a few more weeks.

If we analyze the chart of the Dollar ETF (UUP) it is clear that the short term momentum has turned up. The break above the down trend line and recent bounce off support bodes well for the dollar index.

The bull flag chart pattern that has formed in the past month has a measured move price target of roughly $22.30. The level also happens to be a key pivot point on the chart along with high volume resistance.

I expect the dollar to continue to work its way higher over the next week or two with $22.30 being the line in the sand where sellers will jump on price and drive it back down, or at minimum force price to consolidate for a few days.

US Dollar ETF Trading Strategy – Daily Chart Analysis

Chris Vermeulen GoldAndOilGuy Free Trading Ideas

This entry was posted on Thursday, November 21st, 2013 at 1:40 pm and is filed under blog. ETF Trading Newsletter. ETF Trading Strategies. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

About academyft

About academyftBest Online Trading Academy 2015

Since its inception in 2012, the Academy of Financial Trading has been on somewhat of a crusade… to teach people how to trade correctly. We are determined to provide those with an interest in trading with an honest, clear and complete education – one which will not only just expound the rewards, but will also concentrate on the risks involved in trading.

All too frequently, potential traders get caught up in the buzz of trading – in the excitement of entering a market, and of achieving a return of several hundred percent in one trade. This is a clear indication that the trader is behaving like a novice.

The ease of access whereby people can access the financial markets is increasing. The advances in mobile technology has meant that anyone is now able to trade at any time… regardless of your experience. You can trade from your sofa. You can trade during your lunch break, whilst sitting on a park bench. You can trade from a bus stop, before you start your daily commute.

Online brokers are aware of this. Their advertising budgets and marketing departments tend to target the inexperienced, with images and suggestions of grandeur. At the Academy of Financial Trading, we believe that unless you know exactly what you are doing, unless you have a proven trading strategy, then failure is a distinct and likely possibility.

Having emphasised our conservative, risk based approach, we are delighted to have now educated in excess of 100,000 students. We regard this as a phenomenal milestone, and we feel that it is a testament to our supportive based educational offerings.

We are also hugely excited to announce that we have been honoured to be presented with three distinct awards by Global Banking and Finance magazine. We have been recognised as the Best Online Trading Academy 2015 Australasia, the Best Online Trading Academy 2015 Europe and the Best Online Trading Academy 2015 USA.

We will continue to strive to provide our students with a service above and beyond what is expected, and we look forward to assisting those who wish to learn exactly how the markets work, and what is required in order to trade successfully .

Forex bonus&promotions

Forex bonus&promotionsForex Bonus & Promotions

Everyone loves to receive a gift and at ForexTime (FXTM) we know that you love to receive a bonus! In this section you will find information on FXTM’s promotions and trading competitions so all you have to do is choose the one which suits you best and claim it! Whether you are new to Forex or a seasoned trader, just starting with FXTM or a long standing client we are sure there will be a forex bonus to suit your trading needs.

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FT Global Limited is regulated by the IFSC with Licence numbers IFSC/60/345/TS and IFSC/60/345/APM.

FXTM does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as the USA, Belize, Japan, Iran, British Columbia, Quebec, Saskatchewan and all of the countries of the European Economic Area.

Renko brick forex trading strategy pdf practice binary options

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Demystifying absolute return stock trading strategies

Demystifying absolute return stock trading strategiesDemystifying Absolute Return Stock Trading Strategies

Youve heard it before: trading todays stock market can be hazardous to both your wealth and health. The market can go up fastand it can fall even faster. In such an environment, many sophisticated investors and portfolio managers turn to absolute return strategies that seek to make money no matter where the market goes.

But this concept can be intimidating to experienced and newbie traders alike. Let me demystify the concept and show how any investor can incorporate an absolute return approach no matter what their experience level or account size.

Click here to learn how to utilize Bollinger Bands with a quantified, structured approach to increase your trading edges and secure greater gains with Trading with Bollinger Bands® A Quantified Guide.

Before we go any further, lets review the concept of risk .

Sources of Risk

Risk is a scary word to investors, but the reality is that you cant make any kind of meaningful return without taking on some risk. The there are two kinds of risk that we deal with in the stock market: systematic and unsystematic .

Unsystematic risk is company or industry specific risk. It is also known as specific . diversifiable . or residual risk. It can be reduced through diversification. The impact from a bad news event, an earnings miss, or an analyst downgrade is considered unsystematic risk.

But even a portfolio of well diversified assets cannot escape risk. Systematic risk is also known as market risk or un-diversifiable risk. It represents the risk inherent to the entire market or an entire market segment. The impact from things like global recession, war, terrorism, or inflation cannot be reduced or controlled through diversification, but it can be addressed through hedging.

Limiting Risk

The first way we limit risk in an absolute return strategy is to diversify by buying baskets of longs and shorts from various market segments, so that one or two blow ups wont crater your entire portfolio. This reduces the unsystematic or diversifiable risk. In Sabrients models, we usually strive for 10 to 50 positions, with limitations on the number of positions coming from each sector and/or industry. Most investors are comfortable with the concept of diversification.

However, for systematic or market risk, it can only be addressed by hedging which means holding short positions.

At this point, the concept of shorting a stock stops many investors in their tracks, particularly those with less experience or smaller accounts.

And rightly so, because there is no limit to the amount you can lose if you sell short a stock that you dont ownand hold it as it rises to the stratosphere. In addition, the process of short selling can be intimidating or difficult, such as if you broker doesnt have the shares available for you to borrow.

But there are other ways to play the short side if you dont have the appetite or account size for shorting.

The most popular alternative to shorting stocks is to buy put options on those same stocks, or to buy puts on an overall market index or sector exchange traded fund (ETF). The vast majority of the more liquid stocks are optionable, and your risk is limited to the premium (i. e. purchase price) paid.

You can do this on the long side, too, by purchasing call options. Options limit your risk to the premium paid but of course they are an expiring asset whose price includes a time premium. so they suffer from time premium erosion. (There is no free lunch.)

Absolute Return as a Portfolio Strategy

What does absolute return mean? It is the actual return that an asset or portfolio of assets achieves over time, without regard to how it performs relative to a benchmark (i. e. relative return ).

A typical example of relative return is a long only mutual fund that seeks to outperform a market index, fund category, or its peers. On the other hand, an absolute return strategy strives for positive absolute returns in all market conditions, whether the market goes up or down usually by employing some form of market neutral approach, including short selling, futures, options, leverage. The resulting portfolio generally will show low correlation with the overall market performance.

In a nutshell, an absolute return strategy seeks to make money whether the market goes up or down. In fact, even if the overall market stays flat, you might still make money on the relative performance of your selection of stocks.

Hedge funds can get quite analytical about their market neutral implementation, rebalancing constantly to maintain a beta zero position (note that correlation with the market would be a beta of 1.0, and inverse correlation is 1.0). However, many portfolio managers or traders simply strive for a dollar neutral portfolio allocation, with approximately equal capital allocated between their longs and shorts.

So, you would need to own, or otherwise be positioned to benefit from an increase in price in, a given basket of stocks (longs) and at the same time be positioned to benefit from a decline in price of a separate basket of stocks (shorts). You are simply seeking to capture the performance spread between the longs and shorts.

Example of an Absolute Return Long/Short Strategy

Below is a performance chart of a rank that is ideal for absolute return long/short strategies. It scores stocks based on growth potential, valuation, and earnings quality. Each curve represents the performance of the given quantile of the eligible universe. There are 50 curves shown, so for an eligible universe of 2000 stocks, quantile 1 represents the compounded performance of the highest scoring 40 stocks, re-scored and rebalanced every month for 9 years. Quantile 2 is the second highest scoring 40 stockson down to quantile 50 at the bottom. What this tells us is that over time, the highest scoring stocks in quantile 1 will tend to greatly outperform the lowest scoring stocks.

Below is an example of a 10 long / 10 short portfolio for an absolute return portfolio based on the ranking system shown above. In this sample portfolio, one new long short are put on each week as a form of a pairs trade . Also shown is what a comparable investment in the SP 500 SPDR (SPY) would have returned (long or short).

You can see that sometimes the given long or short outperforms the SPY long or short position and sometimes it doesnt. But as illustrated in the previous chart, over time the long positions tend to outperform the averagesand greatly outperform the short positions.

If we look at each weeks positions as a long/short pair in which we are seeking to capture the performance spread between the long short, we find that 7 of the 10 paired positions in the sample table provided a positive net long/short return, averaging +5.5% per paired position, versus the SPY average return of less than +0.9% per long trade.

Best of all was the 9/25/09 set of positions in which the TEO long went up +21%, and the VMC short went up +16%, for 5 week total return of +37% (assuming shorts margined against all cash longs). Thats the ideal outcome!

Summary A Strategy for All Seasons

Even the most experienced investors and traders can get caught up worrying about risk. It can make it difficult to sleep at night when the market is in turmoil and you have a lot of your money invested. One way to deal with this uncomfortable situation is to invest in an all weather absolute return long/short portfolio strategy that seeks to make money no matter where the stock market may be headed by capturing the performance spread between a basket of long and short positions.

Thus, unsystematic company specific risk is reduced by trading diversified baskets of stocks, and systematic market risk is controlled using hedges or a market neutral approach employing short positions or put options.

Although short selling within an absolute return portfolio strategy can be an intimidating endeavor, holding a diversified basket of shorts or employing alternative put options are effective ways of gaining short exposure while reducing the risk associated with selling short an individual stock. The most important concept is to use a proven system for choosing your positions and stick with it. Youll sleep like a baby.

Scott Martindale is the Senior Managing Director for Sabrient Systems LLC (Sabrient ) in Santa Barbara, CA. Sabrient publishes five quantitative indexes that are tracked by ETFs.

Objective of training strategy

Objective of training strategyAligning Six Sigma with Objectives and Strategies

Henry Killackey 0

In a well-managed business that has implemented Six Sigma, the organizations objectives and strategies and continuous improvement are all closely aligned. Organizational objectives enhance the efficacy and importance of Six Sigma initiatives. And Six Sigma specialists can play an integral role in ensuring the execution of strategy.

In many organizations, however, there seems to be great confusion between strategy and objectives. Senior-level strategy meetings, as rare as they are in organizations, are often disrupted by the topic of objectives and, as a result, an understanding of corporate strategy is never realized. The execution of strategy is necessary for an organization to get to the place where it desires to be. Without an understanding of strategy, execution becomes an impossibility.

Strategy Versus Objectives

So what is the difference between strategy and objectives? Objectives are the goals that the organization strives to achieve. They are reflected in performance metrics, strategic plans, mission statements and anyplace where employees need reminding of the importance of their work. The strategy is the action plan that is going to enable the organization to achieve its objectives.

As an example of the relationship between objectives and strategies, here is an objective and its companion strategy:

Objective: Increase the number of e-newsletter subscribers who sign up online each week by 15 percent.

Strategy: Make signing up for the e-newsletter online a one-step process, instead of a process that requires a signup step followed a confirmation step later when the e-newsletter arrives. (And the success of the strategy will be measured by comparing the average number of new subscribers each week for the three months before the process change to the number of new subscribers each week for the three months after the change.)

Too often strategies are not executed because they are not understood. According to the Balanced Scorecard Collaborative, an educational, training, research and development firm, nine out of ten companies fail to implement strategies and 85 percent of executive teams spend less than one hour per month discussing strategy. With this lack of regard for strategy, it is no wonder as to why organizations do not achieve their objectives.

But when an organization is able to clearly establish its strategy, the entire process of implementation begins with the communication of strategy through senior leadership. Senior management must communicate the strategy to the organization, justify the strategy and establish buy-in for the strategy. Communication is a process that begins with the top of the organization and goes to the bottom.

However, the actual process of strategy execution begins with the bottom of the organization. Employees within the organizational silos perform the activities that comprise the strategy. It is through the daily activities of employees that an organization can achieve its objectives. So, just as executives play a crucial role in formulating and communicating strategy, employees are essential in executing strategy.

The Strategic Role of Six Sigma

Organizational objectives can enhance the efficacy and importance of Six Sigma initiatives. While strategy is executed to achieve objectives, Six Sigma specialists can play an integral role in ensuring the execution of strategy.

Objectives can give the utmost priority to specific Six Sigma projects. For instance, if an organization wants to improve customer satisfaction by 25 percent, Six Sigma projects related to the voice of the customer can take priority and become an important part of the organizational strategy of achieving the customer-related objective. To become a part of strategy execution in this case, Six Sigma professionals could develop customer surveys, test questionnaires, gather customer data, analyze data and establish focus groups to name a few activities. Also, some old projects can be given new life through corporate objectives. Ideas for projects that have never been supported by a Champion can be reintroduced and possibly gain support through the relevance of new objectives. By letting organizational objectives align with Six Sigma projects, Six Sigma professionals can serve as leaders in showing employees how to execute strategy.

Also, to improve the process of Six Sigma project selection for Champions and Master Black Belts, Six Sigma professionals can align the needs established by organizational objectives with Paretos Principle, or the 80-20 rule. Through incorporating factors such as savings, probability of success, cost and time of completion, Six Sigma professionals can find the essential 20 percent of projects that can generate 80 percent of the results that are necessary for achieving objectives. While objectives can guide Six Sigma professionals to the right type of projects, logic-based premises such as Paretos Principle can assist in the identification of the specific projects that are necessary for success.

While Six Sigma professionals are traditionally known for demonstrating cost savings, they also should be regarded as those who execute strategy. By building the process of project selection around the most immediate organizational objectives, Six Sigma professionals can enhance the importance of their own work and optimize their contribution to the organizations success.

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Forex investing online

Forex investing onlineForex Investing Online

Forex Trading involves investing your money in foreign currencies, for a short or long term. To profit, you must take advantage of fluctuations in the exchange rate. Purchasing a foreign currency and selling it the next day, even an exchange rate that's one cent higher can make you profits of $1000 or more.

Trading is constantly happening in the forex markets as markets around the world are open at different times of day, overlapping one another. Time zones vary and the markets will open in one country while another is near closing. What happens in one market will have an effect on the other countries' forex markets.

Currency is the money that trades hands, from one to another. Banks and exchanges are the primary source of forex trading, as millions of dollars are traded daily. There is nearly two trillion dollars traded daily on the forex market. Should you get involved in forex trading? If you are already involved in the stock market, you have some idea of what forex trading really is all about.

The stock market involves buying shares of a company, and you watch how that company does, waiting for a bigger return. In the forex markets, you are purchasing one currency while selling another. A currency pair has a "value" just like a stock would, and it goes up and down with the markets. You can sell a currency pair short or "go long", depending on which currency you think will gain ground in the coming days or weeks. As you do this, you are gaining or losing as the currency exchange differs daily from country to country. To better prepare you for the forex markets you can learn about trading online using free Forex demo software.

You will log on and create an account. The software will allow you to make purchases and trades so you can then see first hand what a gain or loss will be like. As you continue on with this fake account you will learn how to make decisions based on what you know, which means you will have to read about the market changes or look at technical signals on Forex charts.

If you, as an individual want to be involved in forex trading, you must get involved through broker or a financial institution. The amount of money you are investing is minimal compared to the millions of dollars that are invested by governments and by banks at any given time. This does not mean you can't get involved. Your broker or investment advisor will be able to tell you more about how you can be involved in forex trading. In the US, there are many regulations and laws in regards to who can handle forex trading for US citizens so if you are searching the internet for a broker, be sure you read the fine print, the information about where the company is located, and be sure to determine if it is legal for you to do business with that company.

How to clean price data for backtesting

How to clean price data for backtestingHow To Clean Price Data for Backtesting

Cleaning data for backtesting is not easy but its very necessary to get meaningful results. Mis-adjusted price splits can skew the price data and mislead the unwary backtester into thinking theyre found the holy grail when the strategy merely happens to catch the good side of a bad gap.

Heres the steps to screen out dirty data and produce a clean dataset:

1. Pick at least 3 candidate data vendors.

2. Format the data for comparison.

3. Write a program to do a smart comparison and run it on the 3 candidate data sets.

4. Analyze the mis-compares to see which set is in error. if 2 of 3 sets agree, assume thats the correct value and the outlier is wrong.

5. Send feedback to the data vendors so they can fix the errors.

6. Select the set of historical price data to use for backtesting and lock it down to prevent changes during the backtesting.

7. Feed the golden price data to the backtesting engine.

This process took me several weeks of work but was worth it to get accurate results. Theres little point of going to the work of backtesting if the underlying data is riddled with errors.

Read on for details if you are going to attempt this on your own or if you just want to see what preparations go into serious backtesting. When trading live and personally looking at charts, its easy enough to spot dirty data . Large gaps on a price chart are eye catching and you can check the news on a recent chart. Obviously some price gaps are real but a few are errors — usually a split or special dividend not adjusted properly. An alert and patient human can sort that out case by case. With computerized backtesting covering over a decade, dirty data is much more prevalent, harder to detect, and harder to fix.

Step 1: Pick candidate data vendors. The data that comes with the backtesting engines is a natural first choice and yes it needs to be cleaned! I have access to TradeStation and Worden Telechart (a. k.a. Blocks, Backscanner, StockFinder). Thats two sets of data but I wanted an independent source so I did a study of the historical price data food chain. To summarize, all data originates from the exchanges and data companies capture the data as reported by the exchanges. The captured data is offered for resale (by agreement with the exchanges). CSI Data impressed me because they supply data for the big websites such as Yahoo, MSN, Google and I believe that millions of eyes on the data will help root out errors. Also, CSI Data offered delisted data, which gives a more accurate view for backtesting. (CSI Data has since priced the delisted data out of reach of most private individuals, once they realized how much institutions would pay for it. I feel very lucky to have gotten 14 years of delisted data for a mere four figures.)

Step 2: Dump out the data. To get the historical price data ready for comparison, you need to dump it out of the software tools. Telechart makes it easiest with the Export to Text capability under the Databank menu item. CSI Data is extremely flexible about writing data too. TradeStation has no facility for writing out data. I had to create a simple Easy Language script that writes the Close, High, Low, Open, and Volume for each day to a text file for each symbol. The ticker symbol is the name of the text file and is not listed inside the files. Take care to match the format in all three sets of data. I wrote mine in this order: Date, C, H, L, O, V. Its very important to always use split-adjusted data. Another word to the wise: each vendor uses a different units of measure for volume you need to adjust accordingly.

Step 3: Write a program to compare the data. With programs like tkdiff available for free on the web, I thought this step would be easy, but I thought wrong! First of all, with nearly 7500 tickers, it takes way too long to manually load the files into tkdiff. I needed to automate the comparison. Once I automated, I found that minor differences of a penny or two happen almost weekly. (This can happen, for example, if one vendor takes the Close as the last executed price and another vendor uses the middle of the last spread between bid and ask price as the Close.) I very quickly decided that I didnt want to know about small differences in the data between the three vendors. Thats not going to have a material effect on backtesting results. What does matter, however, is the huge gaps that cropped up from time to time. To identify those, I wrote a fuzzy diff program. It compares the data from two vendors and flags mis-compares, sorting into major errors ( values that are more than $0.04 off), minor errors (less than $0.04) and no errors. I ran the fuzzy diff twice: once comparing CSI and TradeStation, and again comparing CSI and Worden data sets.

Step 4: Analyze the mis-compares. The previous step yielded a list of price data points that didnt compare between vendors. I painstakingly researched each of the major errors, looking at the two price charts and researching the news on the ticker around the time of the error. In most cases, it was clear which was the faulty data set.

Step 5: Feedback to the data vendors. I decided to be a good citizen and report most of the data errors I had found. CSI Data had the fewest errors, promptly responded to my feedback and generally defended the correctness of their data. TradeStation has a dedicated staff that quickly verified and fix all errors I reported. Worden had the most errors and didnt respond at all when I pointed them out. Needless to say, I am very wary of using the Worden data now.

Step 6: Select the final historical price data. In the end, I came up with a final list of stock tickers. A few tickers had glaring mis-compares and no obvious culprit so I deleted them from my list. I designated the cleaned set of CSI data (plus the un-checked delisted data) as my golden historical price data set. I keep that locked down in a seperate directory to avoid inadvertent changes. (The vendors update data at least daily and may fix errors. Even a fix is unwelcome once backtesting begins — each strategy needs to perform on exactly the same data to make comparisons between strategies.)

Step 7: Feed the golden price data to the backtesting engine. TradeStation, my backtesting engine of choice, runs on its own data by default. To use an external dataset, you have to use the Symbol Lookup->3rd Party tab to point to the data and also set up attribute and data order parameter files to tell TradeStation how to read it. See the TradeStation help files under 3rd Party Data for complete instructions.

This arduous process helps you get accurate, high-quality results from backtesting.

2 Responses to How To Clean Price Data for Backtesting

Pat Thorn | 4/02/10

I am a programmer new to Forex and was most interested in your appraisal of MACD as an indicator, i have read a lot about this indicator on the web. I have found if i combine MACD with Fast Stochastic it is amazing my results so far, still analysing, havent bitten the bullet yet. I am going to start this coming monday.

Is your backtesting data the actual tick or price at the time it happens as opposed to the Open, Close, High and Low per time frame? From wat i have read i believe it is.

Being a programmer that knows a bit about data mining i can appreciate the amount of time and effort you have expended. I congratulate your tenacity.

If my startegy as described above works, i have you to thank for that.

backtester | 4/02/10

Thanks for your gracious comments. I wish you well with your trading, whatever strategy you choose.

My backtesting data is all end of day, just Open, High, Low, Close. Mostly my backtests are entering Market on Open except stop losses so it is admittedly coarse.

Ive got more info on MACD (as it applies to stocks) at truthaboutmacd Have not yet applied MACD to Forex.

Glad to hear you are backtesting and assessing the situation thoroughly before risking cash.

Geojit bnp paribas launches mobile online trading app for android os

Geojit bnp paribas launches mobile online trading app for android osGeojit BNP Paribas launches mobile online trading app for Android OS

MUMBAI: Following the tremendous success of Flip Me, the award winning mobile trading platform created by Geojit BNP Paribas in 2010, the company recently launched its new version for Android OS. Flip Me was the first mobile trading solution that offered clients the facility to place orders on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) as well as Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). Now, Geojit BNP Paribas' customers with an Android Operating System in their Mobiles / Tablets can download the Flip Me Android application to obtain multiple market watch views with real-time updates, configure and place orders for all Cash and Derivative segments of the stock exchanges and view the order book and trade book in an optimum security environment. It also offers portfolio informationwith real time updates and dynamic real time charts. An offline order facility is also available through Flip Me, enabling investors to place orders outside market hours.

New features have been added to the existing application, which utilise the enhanced capabilities of the phone hardware and the Android operating system. While watching the market, customers can initiate and authenticate voice calls to the tele-trading center of Geojit BNP Paribas. With the new application, customers can easily navigate across the functions by left and right finger swipes.

Flip Me provides configurable views and themes, trading ideas to facilitate the clients to make good trade decisions, and multi View Market watch (Graph, MBP and Security Info in a single screen). It is available to all registered customers of Geojit BNP Paribas at no extra cost. The application can be downloaded for free from Google Play.

Dubai forex brokers

Dubai forex brokersAlpha Capital Markets

ACM Plc (Alpha-CapitalMarkets ) allows you to trade Forex as well as CFDs on indices, commodities and precious metals on low fixed spreads. All its accounts are available in Islamic format upon request.

ACM Plc has a representation office in Dubai's Business Bay in Aspect Tower D of the Executive Towers. This is an opportunity to meet your account manager face to face if you live nearby. The company is head-quartered and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK.

Henyep Capital Markets

Henyep Capital Markets is a global investment conglomerate with a focus on Foreign Exchange and CFDs on equities, indices, commodities and precious metals. The company is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK and by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) in the UAE.

Henyep Capital Markets is better known as HY Markets (HYMarkets ) to retail investors around the world. In the Middle East, the company operates through Henyep Investment Bank Ltd (HY IB) from the 9th Floor of Liberty House in the Dubai International Financial Center.

Both ACM (Alpha-CapitalMarkets ) and HY Markets (HYMarkets ) provide a low fixed spread trading environment on the popular MetaTrader 4 platform. They also provide swap-free Sharia compliant accounts. ACM provides higher leverage and allows you to trade marginally smaller sizes than HY Markets. Click here to compare HY Markets and ACM side-by-side.

Friday, January 16, 2015

Forex broker Alpari closed operations - Dubai Forex brokers

Just one of my friend in Dubai told me shocking news regarding Alpari closed his trading account. He also told me that he is not the only in Duabi, got the issue with Alpari. Thousands of Dubai residents dealing with this Forex broker had suffer losses and their accounts been suspended.

I dig into the matter and came across that's fairly a bitter truth. Here is recap what exactly happened today that forced Alpari shutting off all his operations.

What Causes this!

"Swiss franc cap of 1.2 was been removed with respect to Euro by Swiss National bank which dramatically make CHF to jump down to 30%. against the Euro and for sure other currencies."

Now What Alpari is stating

"The recent move on the Swiss franc caused by the Swiss National Banks unexpected policy reversal of capping the Swiss franc against the euro has resulted in exceptional volatility and extreme lack of liquidity. This has resulted in the majority of clients sustaining losses which has exceeded their account equity. Where a client cannot cover this loss, it is passed on to us. This has forced Alpari (UK) Limited to confirm today, 16/01/15, that it has entered into insolvency. " Official statement Alpari

Forex gbp usd

Forex gbp usdGBP/USD Forecast Nov. 9-13

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GBP/USD had a disastrous week, as the pair dropped 400 points. GBP/USD closed at 1.5042. This weeks key events are Average Earnings Index and Claimant Count Change. Here is an outlook on the major events moving the pound and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD.


Nov 13, 14:30: US retail sales disappoint once again USD slightly weaker. The story repeats itself over and over again: retail sales rise only +0.1% in October and last month was flat after.

Nov 12, 11:38: Aussie gains strength following positive employment data. Overnight the Aussie has spiked following a big drop in unemployment with the rate falling from 6.2% to 5.9% leading.

Nov 11, 14:36: EUR/USD to parity, GBP/USD: USD shining through, USD/JPY: 135.00 possible if BoJ stimulates further. Divergence in central bank policy is making trading currency pairs easier, noted Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst for Oanda, on.

Nov 11, 10:52: UK unemployment data disappoint. Some mixed Chinese data earlier this morning with higher than expected retail sales but lower industrial production indicates how the.

Nov 11, 10:30: UK wages disappoint GBP/USD slips. Slightly worse than expected wage data from Britain: wages remain at a 3% gain instead of 3.2% expected. Excluding bonuses, they fell.

Nov 10, 18:21: Mid-2016 for a BoE hike, US rates at 1.50% by December 2016. With central banks remaining the main theme in the markets, we discuss the interest rate scenario in US and UK.

Nov 10, 13:33: Peaceful slumber. Currency markets have remained in the peaceful slumber they started the week in, with the majors’ content to consolidate after.

Nov 10, 11:04: GBP/USD: Trading the British Average Earnings Index. British Average Earnings Index, released each month, is a leading of consumer inflation. A reading which is higher than the market forecast is.

Nov 10, 9:22: A Quiet day in the FX markets. Reality hit home yesterday as risk aversion set in causing equities to sell off but FX markets had a placid.

Nov 10, 7:20: 3 Reasons to Short GBP/USD Deutsche Bank. The pound was certainly hit by the recent downgrade of inflation forecasts by the BOE. For cable, another blow came.

Nov 9, 14:41: EUR/USD offered at 1.0850, GBP/USD heading down to 1.47, USD/JPY aiming higher. In today’s forex forecast, we discuss the outlook for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, and USD/JPY, with Steven Woodcock, Senior FX Analyst.

Nov 9, 14:21: Markets jolted by NFP release. The highly anticipated US employment data for the month of October released last Friday has sufficiently jolted market participants, busting.

Nov 9, 10:58: GBPUSD: Vulnerable But Faces Corrective Risk. GBPUSD: The pair sold off to resume its broader downside pressure the past week leaving risk of further weakness on.

Nov 9, 9:50: Rate hike Speculation. Markets look to be taking the increased prospect of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve next month in their.

The US dollar pummeled the pound last week, following the Non-Farm Payrolls report, which more than beat expectations. with 271K jobs gained and a 2.5% y/y gain in wages. This outstanding release points to a strong labor market, and certainly keeps the December rate hike option wide open. In the UK, the BOE lowered forecasts and extended the inflation target for 3 years, and the pound reacted with sharp losses. Solid PMIs and an excellent Manufacturing Production report was not enough to stop the dollar juggernaut.

GBP/USD graph with support and resistance lines on it. Click to enlarge:

BRC Retail Sales Monitor: Tuesday, 00:01. This index measures the change in retail sales in BRC stores, and precedes the official retail sales release by one week. The indicator rebounded strongly in October, posting a strong gain of 2.6%.

Average Earnings Index: Wednesday, 9:30. This key event is a leading indicator of consumer inflation. The index improved to 3.0% in August, which was within expectations. The upswing is expected to continue in September, with an estimate of 3.2%.

Claimant Count Change: Wednesday, 9:30. Claimant Count Change is one of the most important indicators, and an unexpected reading can have a sharp impact on the movement of GBP/USD. The indicator improved in September, posting a gain of 4.6 thousand and easily beating the estimate of -2.3 thousand. The markets are expecting a smaller gain in the October report, with a forecast of 1.6 thousand.

BOE Governor Mark Carney Speaks: Wednesday, 10:30. Carney will speak about the inflation report in London. The markets will be looking for clues as to future monetary policy moves by the BOE.

RICS House Price Balance: Thursday, 00:01. This indicator provides a snapshot of the level of activity in the housing sector. The index slipped to 44% in September, well short of the estimate of 54%. The estimate for the October reading stands at 46%.

Construction Output: Friday, 9:30. This minor event helps gauge the strength of the construction industry. The indicator with only one gain in the past five months. The markets are hoping for better tidings in the September report, with an estimate of a 1.6% gain.

CB Leading Index: Friday, 14:30. The index is based on seven economic indicators, but is considered a minor event since most of the data has already been released. The indicator posted a small gain of 0.2% in August, breaking a nasty streak of three straight declines.

* All times are GMT

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD opened the week at 1.5439 and quickly touched a high of 1.5497. It was all downhill from there, as the pair plunged during the week and tested support at 1.5026 (discussed last week ). The pair closed the week at 1.5042.

Live chart of GBP/USD:

Technical lines from top to bottom

With the pound posting sharp losses, we begin at lower levels:

1.5485 is a strong resistance line.

1.5341 was easily breached and has switched to a resistance role.

1.5269 is the next resistance line.

1.5163 is next. This line had provided support since early October until last week.

1.5026 is protecting the symbolic 1.50 level. This line is under strong pressure and could break early in the week.

1.4856 has remained intact since April.

1.4752 is the next support level.

1.4564 is the final support level for now.

I am bearish on GBP/USD.

Last weeks outstanding NFP raises the likelihood of a December rate hike, which would be the first such move by the Fed since 2007. A rate hike would likely send the dollar surging, and rival currencies will be under pressure as the market speculation heats up that the Fed will press the rate trigger in December.

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Further reading:

For a broad view of all the week’s major events worldwide, read the USD outlook .

For EUR/USD, check out the Euro to Dollar forecast .

For the Japanese yen, read the USD/JPY forecast .

For the kiwi, see the NZD/USD forecast .

For the Australian dollar (Aussie), check out the AUD to USD forecast .

For the Canadian dollar (loonie), check out the USD to CAD forecast .

GBP/USD Exchange Rate

The UK may not be the largest country in Europe but it certainly has many unique characteristics that set it apart from the rest and one of them is the fact that it opted not to accept the euro when its neighbors were doing so.


The British Pound is today the 3rd most important reserve currency globally as well as the fourth most traded currency in the foreign exchange market, subsequent to the United States dollar, the euro, and the Japanese yen. The pound and the euro usually fluctuate in value against one another. However, there is often a correlation between movements in their respective exchange rates with other currencies such as the US dollar.

The decision taken by the UK government in 1999 to refuse membership in the Eurozone group has, over the years, created unparalleled investment opportunities for Forex traders and the Pound Sterling to US Dollar FX trading analysis continues to point investors in the same direction.


When viewing the GBP/USD exchange chart, it is crucial to always keep in mind that the GBP/USD pair fluctuates mostly on the relative strength of each country’s economy. This differs from other currency pairs that are affected by other influences. When the UK economy outperforms the US economy, the pound tends to strengthen against the US dollar. Conversely, when the UK economy slows down, the US dollar is strengthened. However, the GBP/USD price does sometimes fluctuate according to the difference in interest rates set by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve (Fed).

GBP/USD pair was nicknamed ‘the cable’ because the GBP/USD pair used to be traded via cable across the Atlantic Ocean; this pair enjoys generally low spreads and few arbitrage opportunities. Ample news information about these two world superpowers makes GBP/USD a great pair for those who trade the news or prefer fundamental analysis over purely technical trading.

GBP/USD - British Pound US Dollar

Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information contained within this website including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible. Currency trading on margin involves high risk, and is not suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange or any other financial instrument you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.


Live and Historical GBP/USD Rates

This chart reflects the value of the currency of the British pound (GBP) against the United States dollar (USD) - that is how many USD are needed to purchase one pound. Both the pound and the dollar are major currencies, and as GBP/USD, they form major pair. They do not form a commodity pair. The pair is known as "cable" for the transatlantic cable laid in 1858.

The British Pound

The British pound has both years and strength on its side. It is the oldest currency still being traded in today's market, and it is one of the strongest currencies as well. The Bank of England which is the governing body of the GBP, is located at the capitol of forex trading in London. The pound is a floating currency and has been since 1971. GBP is very popular as a reserve currency (third) as well as being a popularly traded currency internationally (fourth). Governing officials are depending on the strength of GBP to avoid changing to the euro system, a pressure they have been facings since 1999. Their consistent resistance may pay off as long as the inflation issues GBP faced in early 2008 does not form into a pattern.

The U. S. Dollar

The US dollar is the most widely traded currency in the world. In fact, some commodities like oil and gold are almost completely traded in USD. Twenty-three countries still peg their currencies to the dollar, and at one time, all international currencies were as well. But since the early '70's, the US has led the way in establishing a standard of floating currencies. Though USD is considered a floating currency, its governing body (The Federal Reserve) maintains very close control on the value of the dollar through adjustment of the interest rates. Some major US economic sectors are energy, manufacturing, finance, and agriculture.

GBPUSD Analysis

As one of the largest pairs in volume, GBP/USD represents the close trading relationship between the two influential economies. Naturally, cable has a close correlation to EUR/USD. Because of the high volume and relative stability of both nations, there is low volatility, but there are still trading opportunities-particularly when the Fed announces a change in interest rates. There have also been excellent carry trading opportunities, such as when GBP inflated rapidly in 2008. Whether one trades on this pair or not, it is crucial to keep a close eye on its changes, since these have an influence on all world markets.

GBP/USD rate

Rate Information Type: Currency Bid: Ask: Diff: Diff%: High: Low:

The GBP/USD is a highly and vastly traded currency pair in the Forex market. The GBP, also known as the Great Britain Pound, is among the oldest currencies in circulation to date. The USD, or United States Dollar, is the official currency for the United States of America. Together they make the GBP/USD currency pair. В

The United Kingdom and the United States are the largest single country market in the world due to their banking and financial systems, therefore making the GBP/USD a popular pair to trade.  Movements in value of the GBP/USD can be attributed to the degree of difference in interest rates that occur between the Bank of England’s (BoE) central rate and the Federal Reserve’s rate. Additionally, economic growth and social situations in the UK and the U. S can affect the price, causing it to rise or fall.

GBP/USD Trading Advantages

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Tips for trading online

Tips for trading onlineTips for Trading Online

This is complilation of some common sense tips that will help to make your online trading experience much more enjoyable.

Always, always, ask for and check references.

It seems so simple and yet so few people actually do it. All it takes is a simple e-mail messages out to each of the references the person your trading with supplies. If the person you’re trading with is a member of MOTL. be sure to check out their references list on the site. This is THE MOST important thing to do when trading online. If you do nothing else, at least do this.

Save your e-mail messages.

The best thing to do is to create a folder with the e-mail program you use and store all your trade-related e-mail messages there. I keep hearing “I lost your address” from people I’ve just given my address to only a day ago. This will also help you out in the unfortunate event that you get ripped off, as it’s a almost impossible to track rippers down without detailed information such as an address.

If it’s too good to be true, it is.

This may seem like a tired phrase, but trust me, it’s true. If someone seems very eager to give you an incredibly good deal for your cards, be wary. A lot of problems in life can be avoided if you stop and take a moment to analyze your possible risk vs. your possible gain in a given situation. If you can’t risk losing your cards, find another person to trade with, which brings me to my next point.

There are lots of people to trade with.

Don’t feel pressured into a deal because you don’t think you’ll be able to trade your cards to anyone else. You will. The Internet is not your local card shop, there are millions of people on the Net and a couple thousand on this site alone. Don’t worry, other people will want your cards.

Don’t assume every card is in mint condition.

Always be sure to describe the conditions of the cards you’re trading and ask the person you’re trading with to do the same. You wouldn’t do a trade at a card shop or convention blindfolded, so don’t do it on the Net.

Communicate often.

Nothing upsets people more than to deal with someone who never contacts them, and nothing pleases them more than to deal with someone who does. If the person you’re trading with sends you an e-mail message, e-mail them back promptly. Make sure to send an e-mail message out when you send your cards and when you receive theirs.

Ask permission for references.

Don’t just assume that the person you just traded with wants you to use them as a reference. When you receive their cards, make sure you tell them whether or not they may use you as a reference. There’s nothing worse than having someone check on your references and having one of them respond negatively.

Don’t force people to send first.

If you have a well-established online reputation, you may ask that the person you’re trading with send first, but if you act arrogantly about it, they’ll probably just break off the trade. Don’t assume that since you belong to such-and-such organization, including this one, that it makes you better than everyone else, it doesn’t. Also, if the person you’re trading with does end up sending first, throw in some extra cards with what you send. It doesn’t have to be anything big, just maybe a couple uncommons to thank them for trusting you.

Be patient.

Sometimes the mail is fast, sometimes it’s slow. If the person you’re trading with is in another country, even Canada, expect the trade to take considerably longer. Don’t go crying “ripper!” if their cards didn’t arrive in a week, no one will listen to you. Also consider that some people also can’t afford to drop everything and go to the post office when your cards arrive. If you haven’t heard anything from the person you’re trading with a week after sending your cards, send them a polite e-mail messages asking if they got your cards, whether you received theirs or not. Remember, the cards you send are your responsibility until they reach the hands of the person you’re trading with, so make sure that they got to their destination.

Take steps to safely ship your cards.

Using a hard sleeve and a bubble mailer can go a long way to insuring that your cards get to their destination safely. The post office typically pays more attention to these type of packages, and they’ll actually honor the “Do Not Bend” markings. It only costs a dollar, on average, to send your cards like this. Look at it this way, the stamp you’d normally use + the price of a candy bar = great happiness for the person you’re trading with.

Things don’t get lost in the mail (at least in the U. S. ).

Face it, it just doesn’t happen anymore. You could label a package with just a name and a zip code and it would still probably get to it’s destination. If someone tries to give you the excuse that the cards got lost in the mail, they’re probably full of it, plus, they are still responsible for making sure you get your cards. If you think something may have been lost, go to your local post office and have them do a trace on your package. If you want to be absolutely sure that your cards get to their destination, send them by certified mail and the person you’re trading with will have to sign for them when they arrive.

Ripping someone off is mail fraud.

This is another reason to save your e-mail messages. Any documented deal in which you agreed to send a certain item in exchange for another by mail, is under the jurisdiction of laws pertaining to mail fraud. If you don’t believe me, read Title 18, Section 1341 of the US Code. Those found guilty of mail fraud can be fined and sent to jail for up to 5 years . Contact your local postmaster if you seriously believe you’ve been ripped off, and he or she will tell you what you can do.

Finally, most people are honest.

Although there are some rippers out there, online trading wouldn’t exist if most people weren’t honest. If you just use some common sense and try to follow these guidelines, you should have many successful trades.

© 2012 – 2014 Magic Online Trading League.

Stock options trade position comparison spreadsheet

Stock options trade position comparison spreadsheetStock Options Trade Position Comparison Spreadsheet

This worksheet has been added to our stock options trading spreadsheet. and will allow for the entry of two different positions and get a profit graph that will compare their risk reward.

The worksheet tab is called PosComp [Position Comparison], and although it has similarities to our other position spreadsheets, the ability to see the 2 different profit graphs is very beneficial:

The position spreadsheet is for tracking and adjusting your actual stock option positions

The option position spreadsheet is for tracking an options position and seeing how the theoretical value and profit will change

The stock option position worksheet is for comparing a stock option position to a stock only position

Whatif position modeling is an important part of trading and preparation for making trade adjustments, along with seeing the risk reward of an options position you may want to trade into.

When I did the short options entry timing video, the profit graph used was the position comparison worksheet being discussed in this video.

Let’s go into the trading spreadsheet and look at the inputs and how this worksheet is used.

Comparing 2 Stock Options Positions

You are looking at the profit graph comparing the 2 short positions that were traded into:

Blue graph = -1 50c 2.00 +1 45c 1.45

Yellow graph = +1 49p 1.65 -1 44p 1.45

Now, whatif you would like to combine these 2 option spreads and compare them to the same spreads entered at the same time, instead of using short options timing setups:

Blue graph = position math for the spread that was traded into – it could have been a whatif for a resistance reject entry that was completed at sup

Yellow graph = position math for entering both spreads at the same time

Interestingly, the 2 spreads at those strikes and prices could have been entered at a credit, even though they were long spreads.

But compared the profit math to the call and put timing spreads, and the huge difference in risk reward.

We’ll talk more about this in another video, but just to show another spread position comparison, we are going to compare the 2 long timing spreads to what the position would look like if we had planned to do 2 ratio short spreads:

Blue graph = 2 long debit spreads using the entry timing setups

Yellow graph = profit math for 2 short ratio spreads using the same strikes and entry setups as the debit spreads

Position Comparison Worksheet Inputs

You are looking at the trade input spreadsheet and what you are seeing is the position worksheet that has been split into 2 separate input areas – this is what allows us to overlay the 2 separate position graphs.

You are already familiar with how to do the inputs:

The top input area is for entering stock option position1 and the lower section is for entering position2

You can see how I separated these by the gray cell rows

Enter whether the trade is an options trade or underlying trade – by inputting an o for option and u for underlying

The enter the quantity, strike, type if it’s an options trade, and price

Then go to the inputs to the right of the chart

Leave 100 in the yellow mult cell, since we are trading equity options

Enter the amount you want for an incremental change to the graph

And enter the price you want the graph to start at

That’s the end of the stock options position comparison video. I think that you will find it very useful for comparing and modeling different trade positions at different prices, or the difference between 2 different position types.

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Trading strategy random walk

Trading strategy random walkProof that you cannot beat a random walk

There is much speculation to what degree financial series are random (and what kind of randomness prevails).

I want to turn the question on its head and ask:

Is there a mathematical proof that whatever trading strategy you use you cannot beat a random walk (that is the expected value will always be 0 assuming no drift)?

(I found this blog post where the author used the so called "75% rule" to purportedly beat a random walk but I think he got the distinction between prices and returns wrong. This method would only work if you had a range of allowed prices (e. g. a mean reverting series). See e. g. here for a discussion.)

Trading methods: random walk vs. prediction

+1 08 december 2014, 09:48 • A. B.

‘ Markets are not predictable, but successful trading does not require effective prediction mechanisms’.

Some traders believe that the market is efficient. Others believe it isn’t. Some of them buy a portfolio of exchange-traded shares and surrender to the market and others plot complicated prognostic models trying to predict further market movements. Both are wrong. The market is not fully efficient: in other words, its fluctuations are not fully random . But it makes no sense trying to predict them either because getting it right does not necessarily imply making profit. Bruce Babcock made a great description of the markets: ‘ The truth is that the markets are not predictable except in the most general way. Luckily, successful trading does not require effective prediction mechanisms ’. In this post I am going to try and show you the difference between predicting price fluctuations and making money .

The Efficient-Market Theory implies that price fluctuations are absolutely random. All available information is incorporated in the asset price and any price fluctuations are coincidental deviations from the fair value of the asset. There are no underestimated or overestimated assets and any attempts to ‘beat the market’ in the long term are doomed to fail. There is no fundamental or technical analysis. Defenders of the theory believe that buying the entire stock market index is the only efficient trading strategy. I’ll perform an experiment to overturn this.

Let us generate a range of exchange quotations using a random-number generator. Our zero number will be an asset price of 1000 points. Every subsequent quotation will be calculated as the previous quotation minus a random number ranging from -1 to +1. As soon as we have 60 ‘trades’, they will be transformed into a one-minute candlestick with date, time, opening price, highest price, lowest price, and closing price for the minute. So we’ll generate exchange quotations with the length of 50,000 minutes. To maintain experimental integrity let us generate 30 ‘securities’ in the same fashion. Figure 1 demonstrates model price charts for our securities:

The charts have been brought to 60-minute discretion for better clarity. One can see that even random-number charts have abrupt and low-sloped trend movements as well as periods of stagnation and explosive volatility . Now let us drill down the inner properties of our resulting quotations. Let us calculate the increment of 15-minute quotations. For that purpose we calculate the ratio of a 15-minute bar’s closing price to the closing price of the previous 15-minute bar. Next we shall find the logarithm of the resulting values and build a distribution diagram:

For better clarity we have distribution diagrams of two portfolios here, each with five randomly generated ‘securities’. It’s obvious that the resulting distribution diagram is just about perfectly described by a normal distribution of a continuous random variable. Its mean value, median and mode are zero, with a statistically tolerable margin of errors. Thus we can conclude that our random variable is distributed normally. A principle difference from actual exchange quotations is the fact that the market is characterized by an extended exponential distribution or, in extreme case, a Laplace distribution. Let’s recall the famous Bollinger indicators that use standard deviation as a measure of volatility. In case of normal distribution a little fewer than 70% of values lie within one standard deviation from the mean value, about 95% – within two deviations, and 99% – within three. So the probability decreases much faster as the value of standard deviation grows. That’s why this principle comes in handy when you calculate mathematical expectancy of a trade.

Suppose we are going to open a long position as soon as the price crosses up its 15-bar moving average line. Let us set a take-profit order on the upper Bollinger line at a distance of two standard deviations and a stop-loss order – on the bottom line at a distance of four standard deviations from the 15-bar moving average line of closing prices.

As we can see, our expected potential loss exceeds our potential profit. But the expected probability of a winning trade is higher than the probability of a losing trade. The higher the value of standard deviation and the greater the difference between the lengths of stop-loss and take-profit are, the higher are mathematical expectancy and probability of making a closing gain from the trade. Let’s look at the results from a trading system that uses one standard deviation for the take-profit, five deviations for the stop-loss, and a one-minute 100-period window for determining the parameters:

This approach has shown profit for all 30 securities! All of them, taking into account they were provided by a random-number generator! You can’t possibly predict price fluctuations because there is a priori no logic about them. Let’s take a closer look at the results:

— average profit per trade is almost four times smaller than average loss;

— mean probability of a winning trade is nearly 83% which is almost 5,5 times higher than mean probability of a losing trade (17%).

That’s why the trading system demonstrates positive mathematical expectancies for trades in all 30 tests . I have simply used the properties of normal distribution of a random variable without trying to predict market movements. You can look at the system behavior with 30-minute quotations for comparison:

The results are as good as identical. The random-number function is a random value with the same kind of normal distribution. The probability of making profit is over 84% and average loss is three times higher than average profit which results in a positive mathematical expectancy.

So you can refer to this experiment without hesitation next time somebody tells you that you can’t make money on random exchange quotations. You could create trading systems with a much higher mathematical expectancy considering that the stock market is far from random. Not only will it make up for brokerage fees, but it will earn you some daily bread with butter, too.

A Guide to Trading with the Random Walk Index

In the foreign exchange market, there is a handy technical indicator. It is centered on prices, particularly on price differences, and their impact when a random entry (whether heading upward or downward) or a random walk-in during a trade. Since it involves the analysis of stocks and their prices, and therefore, the determination of a weak or strong trend, it seems to be a profitable analysis tool.

The technical indicator in subject is called the Random Walk Index.

About Random Walk Index

The Random Walk Index (or RWI), introduced by Michael Poulos, is a technical indicator meant for the identification of a stock’s purpose in its entry in the forex market; was the entry random or was it due to a trading strategy? Its results are achieved by first, focusing on the number of points, then, by calculating the average true range within a set period. It follows that by determining its nature, you are fit to decide whether a downtrend or an uptrend is worth pursuing.

Employing the Random Walk Index as a trading strategy is rather simple ; you concentrate on a stock once it’s already in the market. The catch, however, is making sure the data (whether for low periods or high periods) that you will provide for n and ATR are correct. Remember, the distance between 2 points is referred to as a straight line, and it shows an unreliable market if the prices are far from the straight line; the greater that the price difference is, the stronger the trend.

**representations: n = number of points; ATR = average true range

For low periods:

RWI = [(high X n) – low] ? [(ATR X n) vn]

For high periods:

RWI = [high – (low X n)] ? [(ATR X n) vn]

As the Theory Goes

The Random Walk Index describes the theory that stock prices change mainly due to their independence; better predictions can be made by not relying on a range of factors that are unrelated to an entry. They may maintain trends that resemble the ones before, but the trends are always unique. Unlike other theories that are based on previous trends and the history of a particular stock, it says that regardless of the trading behavior, it will lead a certain path; it argues that all stocks have equal distribution levels.

Options trading strategies understanding position delta

Options trading strategies understanding position deltaOptions Trading Strategies: Understanding Position Delta

Measures the rate of change of delta.

Figure 1: The four dimensions of risk - AKA, the "Greeks."

Figure 2 contains some hypothetical values for SP 500 call options that are at, out and in the money (in all these cases, we will be using long options). Call delta values range from 0 to 1.0, while put delta values range from 0 to –1.0. As you can see, the at-the-money call option (strike price at 900) in figure 2 has a 0.5 delta, while the out-of-the-money (strike price at 950) call option has a 0.25 delta, and the in-the-money (strike at 850) has a delta value of 0.75. (To learn more about these four risk measures, read Using "The Greeks" To Understand Options .)

Note: We are assuming that the underlying SP 500 is trading at 900

Figure 2: Hypothetical SP 500 long call options.

At this point, you might be wondering what these delta values are telling you. Let's use the following example to help illustrate the concept of simple delta and the meaning of these values. If an SP 500 call option has a delta of 0.5 (for a near or at-the-money option), a one-point move (which is worth $250) of the underlying futures contract would produce a 0.5 (or 50%) change (worth $125) in the price of the call option. A delta value of 0.5, therefore, tells you that for every $250 change in value of the underlying futures, the option changes in value by about $125. If you were long this call option and the SP 500 futures move up by one point, your call option would gain approximately $125 in value, assuming no other variables change in the short run. We say "approximately" because as the underlying moves, delta will change as well.

Be aware that as the option gets further in the money, delta approaches 1.00 on a call and –1.00 on a put. At these extremes there is a near or actual one-for-one relationship between changes in the price of the underlying and subsequent changes in the option price. In effect, at delta values of –1.00 and 1.00, the option mirrors the underlying in terms of price changes.

Also keep in mind that this simple example assumes no change in other variables like the following:

Delta tends to increase as you get closer to expiration for near or at-the-money options.

Delta is not a constant, a concept related to gamma (another risk measurement), which is a measure of the rate of change of delta given a move by the underlying.

Delta is subject to change given changes in implied volatility .

Long Vs. Short Options and Delta

As a transition into looking at position delta, let's first look at how short and long positions change the picture somewhat. First, the negative and positive signs for values of delta mentioned above do not tell the full story. As indicated in figure 3 below, if you are long a call or a put (that is, you purchased them to open these positions), then the put will be delta negative and the call delta positive; however, our actual position will determine the delta of the option as it appears in our portfolio. Note how the signs are reversed for short put and short call.

Forex trader sglossary

Forex trader sglossaryForex Trader's Glossary

A glossary of forex jargon, nicknames, slang, terms and origins of expressions used in forex trading.

10 Yr - US 10 year Note

30 Yr - US 30 year Bond

Aggressive - Traders and/or price action are acting with conviction

Analyst - A financial professional who has expertise in evaluating investments and puts together buy, sell and hold recommendations

Asian Session - 5:00 PM EST - 2:00 AM EST

Asian Central Banks - Refers to the central banks or monetary authorities of Asian countries. These institutions have been increasingly active in major currencies as they manage growing pools of foreign currency reserves arising from trade surpluses. Their market interest can be substantial and influence currency direction in the short-term.

Aussie - Also, "Oz" or "Ozzie", refers to the AUD/USD pair

Barrier Level - A certain price of great importance included in the structure of a Barrier Option that calls for series of events to occur if achieved.

Barrier Option - Any number of different option structures (such as knock-in, knock-out, no touch, double - no-touch-DNT) that attaches great importance to a specific price trading. In a no-touch barrier, a large defined payout is awarded to the buyer of the option by the seller if the strike price is not 'touched' before expiry. This creates an incentive for the option seller to drive prices through the strike level and creates an incentive for the option buyer to defend the strike level.

Bearish - Negative for price direction; favoring a declining market. For example "We are bearish EURUSD". This means we think the Euro will weaken against the dollar.

Bears - Traders who expect prices to decline and may be holding short positions

Bernanke - US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Bid - The price at which a buyer will pay. A bid is left side of a 2- way price, or opposite the "Offer". On-line traders can sell at the bid price. A 'bid' market refers to an overall buying bias, or an accumulation of bids.

Big figure - refers to the first 3 digits of a currency quote, such as 117 USD/JPY or 1.26 in EUR/USD. If the price moves by 1.5 big figures, it has moved 150 pips.

BIS - Bank for International Settlements located in Basel, Switzerland is the central bank for central banks. The BIS frequently acts as the market intermediary between national central banks and the market. The BIS has become increasingly active as central banks have increased their currency reserve management. When the BIS is reported to be buying or selling at a level, it is usually for a central bank and thus the amounts can be large. The BIS is used to avoid markets mistaking the interest for official intervention.

Black Box - The term used for systematic, model-based or technical traders

Blow off - The upside equivalent of capitulation . When shorts throw in the towel and cover any remaining short positions.

BOC - Bank of Canada, the central bank of Canada.

BOE - Bank of England, the central bank of the UK.

BOJ - Bank of Japan, the central bank of Japan

Bps - Basis Points are 1/100 of a percent, or 0.01% If the Fed hiked rates 25 bps, they increased the overnight lending rate 0.25%

Buck - Market slang for 1 million units of a dollar based currency pair or for the US dollar in general.

Bullish - Favoring a strengthening market and higher prices. For example "We are bullish EURUSD". This means we think the Euro will strengthen against the dollar.

Bulls - Traders who expect prices to rise and who may be holding long positions.

Buy Dips - Look to buy 20-30 pip pullbacks in the course of an intra-day trend.

CAD - The Canadian dollar, also known as Loonie or Funds .

Cable - The GBP/USD pair, also called Sterling. So called because the rate was originally transmitted via a transatlantic cable beginning in the mid 1800's when the GBP was the currency of international trade.

Capitulation - A point at the end of an extreme trend when traders who are holding losing positions just throw in the towel to exit those positions. This usually signals that the expected reversal is just around the corner.

Carry Trade - A trade strategy that captures the difference in the interest rates earned from being long a currency that pays a relatively high interest rate, and short another currency that pays a lower interest rate. "Unwinding The Carry Trade" - refers to any prolonged movement of a currency pair in the direction opposite of that taken by those who positioned to benefit from the interest rate differential. Example: NZDJPY has been a famous carry trade for some time. NZD is the high yielder and JPY is the low yielder. Traders looking to take advantage of this interest rate differential would buy NZD and sell JPY, or be long NZD /JPY. So if NZD /JPY is trending up, traders are piling into the carry trade. When NZD /JPY begins to downtrend for an extended period time, most likely due to a change in interest rates, the carry trade is said to be unwinding.

CB's - abbreviation referring to central banks

Choppy - Short-lived price moves with limited follow through . Not conducive to aggressive trading.

Commodity Currencies - Currencies from economies whose exports are heavily based in natural resources and refers to Canada, New Zealand, and Australia.

Components - The dollar pairs that make up the crosses (i. e. EURUSD + USDJPY are the components of EURJPY). Selling the cross through the components refers to selling the dollar pairs in alternating fashion to create a cross position.

Consolidation - A period of range-bound activity after an extended price move.

Convergence of M. A.'s - A technical observation that describes moving averages of different periods moving towards each other. This generally forecasts a price consolidation .

Corporates - refers to corporations in the market for hedging or financial management purposes. Corporates are not always as price sensitive as speculative funds and their interest can be very long-term in nature, making corporate interest less valuable to short-term trading.

Crater - the market is ready to sell-off hard.

Cross (i. e. Yen cross) - A pair of currencies that does not include the US Dollar.

CTA's - refers to commodity trade advisers, speculative traders that can resemble hedge funds and are active short-term traders; frequently refers to the Chicago-based or futures-based traders.

Deal - An FX term that denotes a trade done at the current market price. It is a live trade as opposed to an order .

Defend a level - Action taken by a trader, or group of traders, to prevent a certain price or price zone from trading because they likely hold a vested interest to do so, such as a barrier option .

Devaluation - when a pegged currency is allowed to weaken or depreciate based on official actions; the opposite of a revaluation.

Divergence - In technical analysis, a situation where price and momentum move in opposite directions, such as prices rising while momentum is falling. Divergence is considered either positive (bullish) or negative (bearish), both of which are signals of major shifts in the direction of the price. Positive/bullish divergence occurs when the price of a security makes a new low while the momentum indicator starts to climb upward. Negative/bearish divergence happens when the price of the security makes a new high, but the indicator fails to do the same and instead moves lower. Divergences frequently occur in extended price moves and frequently resolve with the price reversing direction to follow the momentum indicator.

Divergence of M. A.'s - A technical observation that describes moving averages of different periods moving away from each other. This generally forecasts a price trend .

Downtrend - Price action consisting of lower-lows, and lower-highs.

Dove - dovish-refers to data or a policy view that suggests easier monetary policy or lower interest rates. The opposite of hawkish .

DJIA or Dow - Abbreviation for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

ECB - European Central Bank, the central bank for the 12 countries using the Euro.

English, Bill (William) - the Finance Minister of New Zealand; also deputy prime minister.

EST/EDT - Eastern Standard Time/Eastern Daylight time. The time zone of New York City.

European Session - 2:00 AM EST - 12:00 PM EST

Expiry - The precise date and time when an option will expire. The two most common option expiries are 1000 NY time (NY cut) and 1500 Tokyo time (Tokyo cut) and these time periods frequently see an increase in activity as option hedges are unwound in the spot market.

Exporters - Corporations who sell goods internationally, which in turn makes them sellers of foreign currency and buyers of their domestic currency. Frequently refers to major Japanese corporations such as Sony and Toyota, who will be natural sellers of USD/JPY, exchanging dollars received from commercial sales abroad.

Extended - A market that is thought to have traveled too far, too fast.

Fed - The Federal Reserve Bank, the central bank of the United States, or the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), the policy setting committee of the Federal Reserve

Fed Officials - refers to members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve or regional Federal Reserve Bank Presidents.

Figure / The Figure - Refers to the price quotation of '00' in a price such as 00-03 (1.2600-03) and would be read as 'figure-three'. If someone sells at 1.2600, traders would say 'the figure was given' or 'the figure was hit.'

Fin Min - abbreviation for Finance Minister

Fix - One of the approximately 5 times during the FX day when a large amount of currency must be bought or sold to fill a commercial customers' orders. Typically these times are associated with market volatility. The regular fixes are (all times NY)

5:00 AM - Frankfurt

6:00 AM - London

10:00 AM - WMHCO (World Market House Company)

11:00 AM - WMHCO (World Market House Company)- more important

8:20 AM - IMM

8:15 AM - ECB

Flat or flat reading - Economic data readings matching the previous period's levels; unchanged.

Follow through - Fresh buying or selling interest after a directional break of a particular price level. The lack of follow through usually indicates a directional move will not be sustained and may reverse.

FOMC - Federal Open Market Committee, the policy setting committee of the US Federal Reserve. 2009 voting members are:

Ben S. Bernanke - Chairman

William C. Dudley - New York, Vice Chairman

Elizabeth A. Duke - Member

Donald L. Kohn - Member

Daniel K. Tarullo - Member

Kevin M. Warsh - Member

Charles L. Evans - FRB Chicago

Jeffrey M. Lacker - FRB Richmond

Dennis P. Lockhart - FRB Atlanta

Janet L. Yellen - FRB San Francisco

FOMC minutes - Written record of FOMC policy setting meetings are released 3 weeks following a meeting. The minutes provide more insight into the FOMC's deliberations and can generate significant market reactions.

Funds - refers to hedge fund types active in the market, also used as another term for USD/CAD pair.

G7 - Group of 7 Nations - United States, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom, France, Italy, and Canada.

G8 - Group of 8 - G7 including Russia.

Gap - A quick market move that finds price skipping over several levels without any trades occurring. Gaps usually follow economic data or news announcements.

Geithner, Timothy - Secretary of the US Treasury, which has responsibility for the US dollar in currency markets.

Given - Refers to a bid being hit or selling interest.

Giving it up - A technical level succumbs to a hard-fought battle.

GMT - Greenwich Mean Time - The most commonly referred to time zone in the FOREX markets. GMT does not change during the year, as opposed to daylight savings/summer time.

Gold ('s Relationship) - Commonly accepted that gold moves in the opposite direction of the US dollar. There is a long-term correlation coefficient of bout -0.75, but shorter-term correlations are less reliable.

Greg Ipp - Economics reporter for the Wall Street Journal

Greenback - Nickname for the US dollar

Gunning, Gunned - refers to traders pushing to trigger known stops or technical levels in the market.

Handle - Every 100 pips in the FX market staring with 000.

Hawk - Hawkish - A country's monetary policy-makers are referred to as "hawkish" when they believe that higher interest rates are needed, usually to combat inflation or restrain rapid economic growth, or both.

Hildebrand - Philipp Hildebrand, Member of the policy-setting Directorate of the Swiss National Bank ( SNB )

"Hit the bid" - To sell at the current market bid.

Illiquid - Little volume being traded in the market that often creates choppy market conditions.

IMM - International Monetary Market-the Chicago-based currency futures market, part of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

IMM Futures - A traditional futures contract based on major currencies against the US dollar traded in the pits of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

IMM Session - 8:00 AM EST - 3:00 PM EST

INDU - Abbreviation for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Jenkins, Paul - Paul Jenkins, Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada.

Juncker - Jean Claude Juncker, the Prime minister and Finance minister of Luxembourg, currently the head of the EU's group of finance ministers, ECOFIN.

Keep the powder dry - To limit your trades due to inclement trading conditions; either choppy or extremely narrow markets, where it may be better to stay on the sidelines until an opportunity is more clear.

Kiwi - Nickname for NZD/USD

Knock Ins - Option strategy that requires the underlying product to trade at a certain price before a previously bought option becomes active. Knock-ins are used to reduce premium costs of the underlying option and can trigger hedging activities once an option is activated.

Knock Outs - Option that nullifies a previously bought option if the underlying product trades a certain level. When a knock-out level is traded, the underlying option ceases to exist and any hedging may have to be unwound.

Level - A price zone, or particular price that is significant technically or based on reported orders/option interest.

Leveraged Names - Short-term traders, referring largely to the hedge fund community.

LIBOR - The London Inter-Bank Offered Rate. Banks use LIBOR as a base rate for international lending.

Limits - An order that seeks to buy at lower levels than the current market or sell at higher levels than the current market. An order with restrictions on the maximum price to be paid or the minimum price to be received. As an example, if the current price of USD/YEN is 117.00/05, then a limit order to buy USD would be at a price below the current market, e. g. 116.50.

Longs - Traders who are have bought a particular pair

Loonie - Nickname for USD/CAD

London Session - 3:00 AM EST - 12:00 AM EST

L/T - long term, usually refer to daily or several days.

Macro - The longest term trader who bases trade decisions on fundamental analysis. A trade holding period can last anywhere from around 6 months to multiple years.

Medley Report - refers to Medley Global Advisors, a market consultancy that maintains close contacts with central bank and government officials around the world. Their reports can frequently move the currency market as they purport to have inside information from policy makers. The accuracy of the reports has fluctuated over time, but the market still pays attention to them in the short-run.

Models - Synonymous with black box . Systems that automatically buy and sell based on technical analysis or other quantitative algorithms.

MoM - Abbreviation for month over month, the change in a data series relative to the prior month's level.

Momentum - Any of a series of technical studies (e. g. RSI, MACD, Stochastics, Momentum) that assess the rate of change in prices.

Momentum Players - Traders who align themselves with an intra-day trend that attempt to grab 50-100 pips.

M/T - medium term

New York Session - 8:00 AM EST - 5:00 PM EST

No touch - An option that pays a fixed amount to the holder if the market never touches the predetermined Barrier Level .

Offered - If a market is said to be trading "offered", it means a pair is attracting heavy selling interest, or offers.

"On top" - Attempting to sell at the current market order price.

One touch - An option that pays a fixed amount to the holder if the market touches the predetermined Barrier Level.

Order - An order to execute a trade at a specified rate. It is the opposite of a deal.

Paid - Refers to the offer side of the market dealing.

Pair - The Forex quoting convention of matching one currency against the other.

Paneled - A very heavy round of selling.

Parabolic - A market that moves a great distance in a very short period of time, frequently moving in an accelerating fashion that resembles one half of a parabola. Parabolic moves can be either up or down.

Patient - Waiting for certain levels, or news events to hit the market before entering a position.

Pound - Nickname for the GBP/USD

Profit - taking-After a price increase, traders who earlier went long (bought) begin selling to 'take their profit'.

Pullback - The tendency of a trending market to retrace a portion of the gains before continuing in the same direction.

Range - The opposite of a trend. No net change in price, or equal highs and equal lows.

RBA - Reserve Bank of Australia, the central bank of Australia.

RBNZ - Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the central bank of New Zealand

Real Money - Traders of significant size including pension funds, asset managers, insurance companies, etc. They are viewed as indicators of major long-term interest market interest, as opposed to shorter-term, intraday speculators.

Resistance - A price that might act as a ceiling. The opposite of support.

Revaluation - When a pegged currency is allowed to strengthen or rise as a result of official actions; the opposite of a devaluation .

Shorts - Traders who have sold, or shorted, a currency pair, or those who are bearish on the market.

Short-covering - After a decline, traders who earlier went short begin buying back.

Short squeeze - When traders are heavily positioned on the short side and a market catalyst causes them to cover (buy) in a hurry causing a sharp price increase.

Sidelines, sit on hands - Traders are encouraged to stay out of the markets due to directionless, choppy . unclear market conditions.

Slippery - simply a term used when the market feels like it is ready for a quick move in any direction

Sloppy - Choppy trading conditions that lack any meaningful trend, and or follow through.

SOTD - Our Todd Gordon's technical report "Strategy of the Day "

Sovereign names - refers to Central Banks active in the spot market

Strikes - The specific spot price that is the basis for a currency option contract. Option A 1.2500 strike call option holder can buy the previously agreed upon number of EURUSD if the spot price is above 1.2500

Support - A price that might act as a floor

Swissy - The nickname for USD/CHF

SNB - Swiss National Bank, the central bank of Switzerland

S/T - Short term

Sterling - Nickname for GBP/USD

Stops - refers to 'stop-loss' orders. Order type whereby an open position is closed at a specific price. Often used to minimize exposure to losses if the market moves against an investor's position. As an example, if an investor is long USD/JPY at 119.50, they might wish to put in a stop loss order at 119.20, which would limit losses should the dollar move lower.

Stop loss hunting - When a market seems to be reaching for a certain level that is believed heavy with stops. If stops are triggered, then the price will often jump through the level as a flood of stop loss orders are triggered.

Stops building - refers to stop loss orders building up; the accumulation of stop loss orders to buy above the market in an upmove, or to sell below the market in a downmove.

Technicals - Short for technical analysis, the process by which past price patterns are studied for clues as to the direction of future price movements.

Technicians, or "Techs" - Traders who base their trading decisions on Technical Analysis .

Thin - Illiquid - slippery - Choppy ; A light volume market that produces erratic trading conditions.

Tokyo Session - 7:00 PM EST - 4:00 AM EST

Trading Bid - A pair is acting strong and/or moving higher; bids keep entering the market and pushing prices up.

Trading Heavy - a market that feels like it wants to move lower, usually associated with an offered market that will not rally despite buying attempts.

Trading Offered - A pair is acting weak and/or moving lower, and offers to sell keep coming into the market.

Trend - The opposite of a range . Price movement that produces a net change in value. An uptrend is identified by higher-highs and higher-lows. A downtrend is identified by lower-highs and lower-lows.

Trichet - Jean Claude Trichet; the president of the European Central Bank ( ECB ).

T/P - Take profit. Refers to a limit orders that look to sell above the level that was bought, or buy back below the level that was sold.

Ugly - Describing unforgiving conditions that can be violent and quick.

Online trading academy-my experience

Online trading academy-my experienceOnline Trading Academy - my experience

Oct 15th, 2010, 04:19 PM

As I promised from the other big thread: Questrade, I registered and completed the 7-day course at Online Trading Academy. I kept my word.

I took the 7-day Professional Trader Course: tradingacademy/course. al-Trader. aspx and yes, the cost is as advertised on the website. More on the cost and value later. This is a school, they teach you the skills and tools. They don’t promise you to get rich or earn 110%.

Instructor . I'll call him Mr. R. It is hard to summarize a person, but simply put, he was amazing. He's one of those quick, witty, fast, smart, nice guys that you may know of. He used to work at trading companies (more than 10), thanks to his awesome personality, smartness, he met lots of high up people, CEO's of banks, trading firms, etc. Mr. R would answer all questions, good and stupid questions. One of the students was clearly not there to listen, yet Mr. R still answered his questions (I certainly wouldn't have). Instead of writing financial formula's down on the board (eg. GDP, ATR. ) he would DERIVE them from scratch. OMG. Its like when I was at University, some smart kid doesn't memorize physics equations, but derives them from nothing. Geezz.

Mr. R told us over 40 real life stories, which really drove the point to each thing he was talking about. Esp. ones where people made mistakes, his clients that had millions of $ with him at his old job. He also showed us his own personal trades, and WHY he did it, and man, he must be a millionaire by now, with his GOOG, AAPL, and BIDU trades alone. But he plays everything, currency, options, etc. He was telling us how the Japanese Yen was way too high, he's been shorting it for weeks, showed us graphs for proof, then on the Wed/Thurs night, Bank of Japan announced they purposesly pushed DOWN the Yen (I'm sure you guys heard about this). Holy profit Batman. His teachings came true 100%. But given all the proofs that he showed us, I shouldn't be surprised, but still. Seeing it in action is impressive. I'm sure he made a nice bundle there again.

Hence, Mr. R is simply an amazing guy. He cares about the students, and he's friendly too. No wonder he has so many friends. He promises to respond to all our emails, maybe late, but he will. And he is true to that word. i emailed him like 3 weeks ago, never heard from him, then suddenly a few days ago, I get his reply. Thanks. Of course, I gave him top marks at the evaluation at the end, I think everyone in my class did as well.

Class started on a Saturday, 9am. Basically, they teach you how to day trade stocks by teaching you technical trading skills. They also built many other skills, concepts so you can do this full time to earn a living. Starting on Monday, using the info we were taught on Sat and Sun, everyone trades for real with real money for 2 sessions each day. Each session was I think 2 hour? But when you are trading, you get excited or nervous or mess up by clicking the wrong button, the time flew by so fast, it seemed like 10 minutes. As advertised on their website, you trade with the school's money.

The instructor sets us up by going through a list of MUST DO's each day before you trade. Showing us what info we need to pay attention to, who's up/down graded, sector analysis, etc. so we can get a feel of what the market will be like today for trading.

You may go long or short on 10 stocks they give you. You may only buy 10 shares max, and keep 1 stock max at a time. Your stop is 10 cents. So things are pretty tight and it was hard to make money. Your goal was to get $0.10 profit and get out. Repeat. It is harder than it looks. My first day, I total gain was like $0.60. Then the rest of the week, I lost like $6.00 total. Due to not being able to use and understand all the things I've learned to clicking on the WRONG button by shorting vs. not shorting. One time I forgot to put in a stop limit (I was busy chatting with my neighbour), the stock I was in dropped 70 cents, the big boss that's monitoring us ran in and yelled at Station #__ for stop limit. (Which was my station). So, I am glad I'm able to make this mistake in class and not at home with my own money. There are lots of things you can learn from trading it for real.

Click on the above link to see the 7-day. Basically it is all technical trading tools and skills. Yes, you can read books to get all this, but you'd have to read maybe 20 books and somehow know to pick out important ones to get the same info. The most important difference is that an Instructor is there to teach it to you. Explain things when you don't understand, and explain WHY that tool is important. And you CANNOT ask a book a question. It won't answer ya.

After introducing a tool, eg. RSI, Mr. R would tell us his opinion on using this. If it was a good indicator or not (from his many years of trading experiences). His experiences alone was worth a lot IMO. Like having someone there to tell me this indicator is lagging so don't use it to make your buy/sell decisions.

The amount of info they taught us was enormous. My head actually hurt when 3pm comes along. It felt like someone stuck a needle full of info and injected it into my brain. I have two big bound paper full of handouts (2 inches thick), and I took so much notes each day, my hands hurt after each day. Reminded me of my University years. At 4pm, everyone in the class was basically spent. But the amazing Mr. R. kept going like the Energizer Bunny. No, actually I bet he'd beat the E Bunny hands down. When I went home every day at 4:30pm, I had to simply rest, soooo much info crammed into my head. I almost dreaded going to the next morning sometimes. Reminded me of my HR block tax course. So you certainly get your money's worth there in content.

Online Trading Academy - my experience

Jun 20th, 2012, 11:38 AM

It was great to see such an in-depth review of the course and nice to see the follow-up post with results. Though I suspect anyone from the finance world would guess the results were at least somewhat predictable. I'd like at add a few comments - I worked at various brokerage firms as a trader for eight years and then successfully on my own (as a short term momentum trader) for four years. If I hadn't found more exciting ventures I would still be doing it.

The OP mentioned that 'if you don't have $5k to spare you shouldn't be in the stock market.' I've heard a similar argument made for other trading courses (FX especially). You need MUCH more than $5,000 to spare to justify spending $5,000 on a course. If you have $100k to invest you need to beat the index by more than 5% to make back your course costs in a year (a very difficult task). I had eight years of experience and I was still very content to beat the index by 5%-10% trading for myself. I would not expect similar results from a course regardless of how comprehensive the course material was.

In my opinion (and most professional traders share this opinion), you will get far more value putting the $5,000 into an account and trading with it. Set rules, do technical research, read books, keep stats and adjust. If you aren't motivated to do the research on your own then this is not the game for you. You should LOVE the charts. You should get excited about the trends. If it just seems like a means to an end then you will get bored and make mistakes. Maybe $5,000 is a small amount relative to your net worth but it is enough to start learning. Play money accounts are possible but it is a different game entirely once you start trading with real money (even a small amount). If you can't stick to your rules with $5,000 at risk you won't stick to your rules with $250,000 at risk either. $5,000 is plenty to test your self discipline (a lack of which is the downfall of many trader).

I've had this conversation with other people considering expensive courses to quickly master trading. They usually go ahead with the course anyways. I have yet to hear of anyone being successful. The get-rich-easy allure is too strong and means these courses will always have customers.

Also, people don't share the really good ideas. If you have great ideas then you keep them secret and end up making 220 managing a hedge fund. If you have good ideas you end up prop trading for a big bank. If you have decent ideas you might be an institutional broker and share your ideas with mutual fund managers. If you have average ideas you might be a broker to small investors. If you don't have ideas you might end up selling expensive trading courses. It's the pecking order of the finance industry.

I've had many people ask me about trading. I tell them to start reading about some trends and technical indicators and following some patterns. If it excites them, then they should keep reading and starting trading a very small amount. If they are not excited they should park their money in ETFs and forget about it. Trading will not work for you unless you love it.

Sorry to ramble on. Maybe someone finds this useful. If you are considering paying for a trading course please PM me and I'd be happy to discuss free education alternatives.

Kevin mak

Kevin makTeaching Statement

Kevin Mak is the Director of the Real-time Analysis and Investment Lab (RAIL) at the Graduate School of Business. The RAIL facility has been built to integrate experiential learning components into GSB classes and motivate students to learn by actively making decisions and analyzing outcomes. The lab is equipped with industry standard financial data applications used by practitioners on a day to day basis. In addition, it is host to a suite of trading and portfolio management simulations that allow students to ‘paper trade’ scenarios with real or simulated market data. Kevin teaches GSB students about decision making given uncertainty and how to identify and quantify various types of risks. In addition, Kevin guest-lectures in other related courses that utilize the RAIL facility.

Kevin is the director of Stanfords Real-time Analysis and Investment Lab. His primary role at the Stanford GSB is to facilitate learning in the RAIL facility by teaching, guest-lecturing and coordinating the use of the educational resources in the facility. Kevin teaches FIN562, Financial Trading Strategies, as well as guest-lectures for various accounting and finance courses in the MBA curriculum. Kevin earned his Bachelor’s of Commerce followed by his Masters of Finance degrees at the University of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management. While at Rotman. he was the Manager of the Financial Research and Trading Lab where he co-invented two trading and portfolio management simulation platforms.

Kevins primary interest is in marketplaces and their function - from equity markets to online sports betting and e-commerce markets. He strives to understand the microstructure, liquidity formation, pricing, and network effects in each of these unique but similar markets.

Kevin is actively involved in the investment industry, providing investment consulting and training to various regulatory bodies and investment management firms. Kevin was awarded his CFA charter in 2008. Kevin is an adviser to Massdrop, a community commerce startup founded by his former students.

Forex trading pro download

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The Forex Trading Pro System contains over FIVE hours of training videos and has all the information, the techniques, tips, all of the tricks, and all of the strategies you need to start trading the forex market successfully! It teaches you (Step-By-Step) the exact strategies and systems used by professional traders. No other system even comes close to what this one has to offer. No other system actually tries to understand the market.

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Forex Trading Pro System

22хDVDRip | MP4/AVC,

211 kb/s | 1024x768 | Duration: 5 hours | English: AAC, 30 kb/s (2 ch) | + PDF Guide | 553 MB

Genre: Trading

The Forex Trading Pro System contains over FIVE hours of training videos and has all the information, the techniques, tips, all of the tricks, and all of the strategies you need to start trading the forex market successfully! It teaches you (Step-By-Step) the exact strategies and systems used by professional traders. No other system even comes close to what this one has to offer. No other system actually tries to understand the market.

Here's An Overview Of What You're Going To Learn.

Forex Trading Pro System Video Course

Download and install free software for viewing charts

Start making simple trades.

Customize your Forex trading charts for maximum effectiveness

Duplicate successful trades shown in our live examples

Control your risk so that you can succeed where 95% of other traders fail

What the professionals know about Forex correlation and how it can multiply your profits.

How to turn a profit using scalping, day trading and position trading techniques.

Discover top-down price analysis to see the market's REAL trends.

Custom Indicators - These special indicators are the same ones we use in our live trading examples.

Charting & Trading Apps - Learn about software that helps you in charting, trading and keeping everything organized.

Plus more, much more!


Buy Premium Account To Get Resumable Support & Max Speed

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When it comes to Forex trader Joe Atkins, you know youre in good hands with your trading. Joe will show you how to become a winning trader and get you away from all the bad habits of a losing one. You can see plenty of videos of what he is talking about and how his system will work for you. It has a money back guarantee, which makes us more comfortable about this product. If it is not for you, a refund will be available.

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Strategies for futures spread trading

Strategies for futures spread tradingOther People Are Reading

Calendar Spreads

One popular futures spread strategy is the calendar spread. This is particularly popular in the agricultural and crop markets. A calendar spread is where a near month futures contract is either purchased or sold short, and then the opposite position is taken with a far month futures contract of the same commodity. For instance, a trader may buy a July corn contract and then sell a December corn contract, thus creating a July to December calendar spread. This spread will be profitable if the price of corn is higher in the near month and then falls in the far month. Obviously, since crops are seasonal, calendar spreads are used quite often with agricultural commodities.

Intermarket Spreads

An intermarket spread in the futures markets consists of simply buying a futures contract in a certain market and then selling a futures contract in a related market for the same expiration month. You could trade the "crack" spread where heating oil futures and crude oil futures are used in a spread. Also, there is a "crush" spread where soybean futures are paired with either soybean oil or soybean meal futures.

Realize that when a trader uses intermarket spreads, she is not trading on those particular markets, rather trading on the relationship between those two markets. These spreads are based on finding extremes in these relationships and then betting that they will revert back to their common mean.

Interexchange Spreads

Another spread strategy used in the futures markets are interexchange spreads. This type of spread is constructed by purchasing a futures contract at one exchange while simultaneously selling a related futures contract at another exchange. An example of an interexchange spread would be when a trader buys a December wheat contract at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) while selling a December wheat contract at the Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBOT).

As with intermarket spreads, the interexchange spread is also based on the relationship between the contract pair used in the spread. When that relationship temporarily diverges and reaches an extreme, traders initiate the spread and profit from a return to normalcy.

Training and development plan

Training and development planPlanning for Quality Improvement

All settings will need to have a quality improvement cycle in place to ensure that they consider how to best create, maintain and improve their provision in order to offer the highest quality experiences for all young children and their families. This cycle will include;

A self–evaluation audit. This provides the starting point for the improvement process. In Islington the EYFS team has developed the Quality Indicators as the tool through which managers, (often together with a Link Advisory Teacher) and staff teams can identify strengths and prioritise areas for further development. It is based on the Every Child Matters outcomes and guided by the principles of the EYFS framework.

Identifying and agreeing improvement priorities. A number of objectives mayl be identified from this process. It is also important to take into account any OFSTED recommendations, any issues raised from filling in your OFSTED SEF and any workforce development needs, including CPD fro individual staff and designated people, qualification ratios and progression e. g. towards EYP status.

A Training and Development plan can be drawn up reflecting these objectives. This should include measurable success criteria and clear actions and should be monitored every six months and evaluated annually.

Carrying out agreed actions.

Review to evaluated progress.

See 'related documents' to download the proforma for the Training and Development Plan and the Islington Quality Indicators.

Training and Development Plan

Another important aspect of the ASR process is the consideration of any training needs identified during the ASR process in light of departmental priorities. This should be carried out with the guidance of the HoD if they are not a Panel member. Where appropriate group training needs should be identified, priorities agreed and, if necessary, budgetary provision made in the departmental planning submission.

A summary of the departments training needs should be forwarded to the Staff Training and Development Manager (and/or the Academic Staff Development Officer and the Director of Postgraduate Training where relevant) in the form of a departmental training plan.

Below is a suggested template which may be adopted when compiling the departmental training plan:


Write a few lines of introduction which outlines the process followed which has resulted in the training plan (i. e. ASR process - dates and numbers involved). Introduction should also explain the strategic fit of the needs identified .

Forex trading days per year

Forex trading days per yearForex trading days per year

Forex trading days per year

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Forex trading days per year, top companies in the stock market.

This can be done by averaging 20% per month. So, you. or to sleep in when it rains, let's assume you could average 20 trading days a month. Just because the forex market trades 24 hours a day doesn't mean you have to. Free Annual Reports. every release of data, viewing the 24-hours-a-day, five-days-a-week foreign exchange market as a convenient way to trade all day long. The forex market is the largest financial market in the world, trading around $1.5 trillion each day. Trading in the forex is not done at one central location but is conducted between participants through electronic. Free Annual Reports.

Forex trading days per year:

Here we'll look at income potential for stock, forex and futures day traders. You average 5 trades per day, so if you have 20 trading days in a. A Forex Trading Plan Limit Your Greed and Make $53,000 Per Month After Two Years. Note After reading this article, make sure to read this newly published. Before you even if the markets. forex trading days per year By reversal to those that want to be patient enough profit or lose money out of the questions are also available styled for a boy’s room opt for one or more effective advantage for you so to trade for you.

top companies in the stock market:

Some firms specializing on foreign exchange market had put the average daily. The duration of the trade can be one day, a few days, months or years. I started out aspiring to be a full-time, self sufficient Forex trader. 60% or 100% profit per year, or even per month, but the risk they are taking.

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Forex – How Many Trades Per Day. Forex Trading Platforms – 3 Questions To Ask When Comparing Trading Platforms Forex Tips Automated Forex Trading makes me $3000 per day. Because of this fact, many forex traders use automated software to keep them abreast of any. HOW MANY TRADING DAYS IN A YEAR. HOW MANY TRADING DAYS. HOW TO CHOOSE A FOREX HOW TO CHOOSE

What is our prefer to trade forex, make a lot of trade per day. In the end it is the net profits that do matter and not how many times you are trading. Stock Market Trader Salary – How Many Days Is The Stock Market Open Per Year. automated forex trading This allows us to determine how many lots we can optimally trade AND yet. Plan To Earn 20% On Your Account We know that the Forex trades 5.5 days a. you can quit pretending and get easy avg return of 6 % / per year.

Since you have posed the question question of how many trading days in a year, let me first. On average people will take 2 weeks of vacation per year. I know there are traders who spend eight hours and more per day trading while others may spend eight hours per week in front. Forex Hours – What are the. What the brokers don't tell you - Forex Trading for Beginners - Продолжительность Mark Jenkins 70 371. How Many Times Should You Train Per Week? -.

Learning price action - how long, how many hours per day, how many pips. I have tried discretionary trading last year but my approach was totally.

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Warren buffett’s best dividend stocks

Warren buffett’s best dividend stocksWarren Buffett’s Best Dividend Stocks


By Carolyn Bigda | March 2, 2015

Consider adding these big payers, all owned by Berkshire Hathaway, to your portfolio.

When it comes to dividends, Warren Buffett is happy to collect them but not to pay them. His holding company, Berkshire Hathaway (symbol BRK-B ), has never paid out any of its profits to shareholders. But when the Oracle of Omaha looks for companies to invest in, he often focuses on businesses that repurchase shares or issue dividends, or both. “Buffett likes companies that return cash to shareholders,” says David Kass, a finance professor at the University of Maryland who owns Berkshire shares and follows Buffett’s moves closely. Investors could do worse than to follow the master’s lead. And if you’re looking for current income, you might want to consider some of Buffett’s favorite dividend-paying stocks.

See Also: Doubling Down on a Falling Stock


In his latest letter to Berkshire shareholders. released February 28, Buffett does hold out hope that Berkshire might pay a dividend someday. He suggests that in 10 to 20 years, the company may have grown so large that it will be hard for it to allocate its capital efficiently. In that case, he says, its leaders will have to choose between paying dividends or, more preferably in Buffett’s view, buying back shares if the stock is cheap enough. In either case, given Buffett’s age, 84, someone else is likely to be making those decisions.

Regardless of how Buffett feels about paying dividends, you might want to consider some of Buffett’s favorite dividend-paying stocks if you’re looking for current income. But you have to be judicious. We don’t normally second-guess the master, but we have doubts about some of his holdings. Berkshire, for example, has continued to hold shares of Coca-Cola (KO ), Buffett’s largest position, even though U. S. consumers are drinking less soda and analysts have been lowering their 2015 earnings forecasts. Last year, Buffett added to an already sizable position in International Business Machines (IBM ), a stock that we suggested selling in December because the tech giant had failed to keep up with industry changes. Around the same time, Berkshire increased its stake in Deere & Company (DE ), even though the maker of farm equipment has warned that sales for the fiscal year that ends in October could fall 17% as the agriculture sector experiences a temporary slowdown.

All three stocks may end up performing brilliantly in the months and years ahead. But Buffett holds plenty of other dividend payers that we think are more attractive. The following four companies have solid earnings and sales outlooks for 2015. The stocks yield nearly 3% or more, well above the 2% yield of Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index. And all but one of the firms recently announced a dividend hike. (The stocks are listed in alphabetical order. Prices and related figures are as of February 26.)

Start with General Electric (GE. $25.89, yield 3.6%) . During the 2008 financial crisis, Buffett pumped $3 billion into GE in the form of preferred stock with a 10% annual dividend to keep the company afloat. The industrial conglomerate has since recovered, and Buffett walked away with a sizable profit, plus about $260 million worth of GE common stock. Today, CEO Jeffrey Immelt is shrinking GE’s financial-services business, which tripped up the company in 2008, and focusing instead on GE’s core industrial segments, which produce everything from jet engines to gas turbines. Because of plummeting oil prices, sales to energy firms are dragging down results; they fell 6% in the fourth quarter compared with the same period in 2013. But industrial revenues jumped 9% for the same period. GE announced a 5% dividend hike in December. Analysts expect earnings to increase by an equal amount, to $1.73 per share, in 2015. The stock trades at 15 times that figure, compared with 17 for the S&P 500.

From bankruptcy to a recall crisis, General Motors (GM. $37.56, 3.2%) has also faced its share of troubles. But the automaker is on the road to recovery. Buffett must certainly think so. In the fourth quarter, he upped his stake in GM by 3%, to 41 million shares, which are now worth $1.4 billion. S&P Capital IQ analyst Efraim Levy says U. S. auto sales should rise 2.7% in 2015. That, plus fewer recall expenses and a growing perception that GM cars are getting better and can hold their own against those from foreign manufacturers, will boost GM’s results. Consumer Reports on February 24 named the Chevrolet Impala and Buick Regal among the magazine’s top 10 picks for 2015. Analysts see the automaker’s earnings surging 49% in 2015. With things looking up, GM execs have announced plans to increase the dividend 20% in coming months. And the stock is cheap, trading at just 8 times estimated 2015 profits.

This past holiday shopping season wasn’t a windfall for United Parcel Service (UPS. $101.86, 2.9%) . Fourth-quarter profits came in at $1.25 per share, well below analyst expectations of $1.42. Higher costs were largely to blame as Big Brown boosted staff and invested in technology to make sure packages were delivered on time. The stock, meanwhile, has slumped 11% since reaching a record closing high on January 22, the day before fourth-quarter results were released. But Nate Brochmann, an analyst at investment bank William Blair & Company, says he doesn’t think the selloff will last long. He says UPS will learn from the experience and become more efficient. Moreover, growth of e-commerce in the U. S. and Europe should help drive profits. Analysts think earnings will increase 9% this year, to $5.17 per share, giving the stock a price-earnings ratio of 20. As if to show they’re not fazed about the recent earnings disappointment, UPS directors raised the payout by 9% in February.

The biggest yielder in Berkshire’s portfolio is Verizon Communications (VZ. $49.37, 4.5%) . The wireless giant’s payout is more than twice that of the S&P 500. Verizon is something of a contrarian play. It is being hurt as more consumers sign up for wireless-service plans with lower monthly fees and, in some cases, no contracts (at the cost of forgoing a subsidized phone). That in turn has made it tougher for wireless companies to hang onto customers. But Verizon maintains one of the leading networks, and although the number of subscribers cutting ties has increased, Verizon’s churn rate—the percentage of subscribers ditching their wireless plans—is comparatively good: 1.14% in the fourth quarter of 2014, compared with 1.22% at AT&T and 1.7% at T - Mobile. Although Verizon is contending with more price-conscious customers, analysts estimate that its earnings will increase by a robust 9% this year, to $3.66 per share. The stock trades at a modest 13 times earnings.

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