Leveraged and inverse etfs aword of caution

Leveraged and inverse etfs aword of cautionLeveraged and Inverse ETFs: A Word of Caution

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have gotten increasingly popular since they were introduced in 1993. Their value is based on a portfolio of investments, often referred to as a basket. In general, the basket consists of different stocks, but may also contain hard commodities, derivatives or other investments. ETFs trade throughout the day just like a stock and their value will fluctuate throughout the trading session.

Lately specific types of ETFs – leveraged and inverse ETFs – have exploded in popularity among individual investors. "Leveraged" ETFs aim to provide a multiple of returns on a given index. As the name implies, “inverse” ETFs try to go up when the market drops and vice versa.

It’s an interesting concept, but one that’s prone to misconceptions – and investors can be seriously burnt as a result. If you trade leveraged or inverse ETFs, it's important to be sure you fully understand what you’re trading.

Leveraged ETFs: typically built for day traders

Leveraged ETFs often have multiples like “2x” or “3x” or “ultra” in their names. That just means the ETF aims to deliver two or three times the return on its stated index.

In other words, a “2x Russell 2000 Index” ETF is trying to deliver twice the return of the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index. If you’re counting on a market rally, you might be attracted to these ETFs to capitalize on a market increase with limited cash down.

Here’s the wrinkle many investors don’t understand: Leveraged ETFs try to deliver the multiple on the index return on a daily basis. If you hold leveraged ETFs for more than one day, you may not get the multiple of the index return you’re expecting, even if your forecast is correct. In fact, you can end up with a loss – not at all what you might expect. You can blame a concept called “beta slippage” for this; it’s an effect of compounding that impacts leveraged ETFs held longer than one day.

How leveraged ETFs can spin out of control

Imagine you’re trading a 2x leveraged ETF that promises twice the return of XYZ index. You buy 1 share of the ETF for $100, and the underlying index is at 10,000.

If XYZ index shoots up 10% the next day to 11,000, your leveraged ETF would increase 20%, to $120. If, however, the index drops from 11,000 back down to 10,000 the following day, that’s a 9.09% decline. Your leveraged ETF would go down twice this amount, or 18.18%.

A decline of 18.18% from the $120 leveraged ETF price would leave you with a share worth $98.18. The index wound up right where it started - but your ETF would be down 1.82%!

Why does this happen? Most leveraged ETFs rebalance their assets daily with an eye towards delivering the multiple of the index’s returns only on that day . The holding period of your trade is not taken in to account, so your return may be quite different.

If the index keeps moving in the same direction every single day, this does result in better-than-expected returns for the longer period. But any reversals in the index’s direction render a leveraged ETF worse off than you’d expect based on its multiple. It only takes one reversal day for this effect to kick in.

As you can see, leveraged ETFs have an additional layer of complexity. If you decide to hold a leveraged ETF for longer than one day, be sure to check your holdings daily, at a bare minimum, to see that their value is in line with your expectations. If you decide to use this ETF for an intra-day trade, be sure to factor in commission costs when assessing the risks. The more frequently you trade, the more commission costs you will incur. Of course, keep in mind that any use of leverage increases your risk exposure and can lead to greater losses.

Inverse ETFs: still tricky, but upside down

Inverse or “short” ETFs have a similar compounding problem. An inverse fund tries to deliver returns that are the opposite of the index’s returns. That is, if the index goes up 1%, then the inverse ETF should go down 1%, and vice versa. “Bear market” funds in this category were attractive to lots of investors during the 2008-09 market downturn.

Take our previous example of XYZ index, but in the opposite direction. You buy 1 share of the inverse ETF for $100, and the underlying index is at 10,000.

If the index falls from 10,000 to 9,000 in one day, a decline of 10%, then an inverse ETF purchased for $100 will rise to $110 – an increase of 10%. So far, so good. If the index then climbs from 9,000 back up to 10,000 on the next day, this is an increase of 11.11%. The ETF will fall by 11.11%, from $110 down to $97.78, resulting in a loss.

Even though the index finished where it started, the inverse ETF performs worse than expected because of the daily rebalancing.

Just like “long” leveraged ETFs, inverse funds do provide better-than-expected returns if the index moves only in one direction – but even one reversal in direction will throw a wrench in the works. If you decide to hold an inverse ETF for longer than one day, make sure you monitor your holdings each day, at a minimum. If you decide to hold an inverse ETF as an intra-day position, be mindful of commission costs when evaluating these opportunities. The more frequently you trade, the more commission costs you will incur.

Inverse + leveraged ETFs = double trouble

If an ETF is both inverse and leveraged, this problem gets worse if the ETF is held longer than one day. If you’re looking for leveraged inverse exposure for longer than a day, you may be better off using other strategies to achieve this. Again, keep in mind that additional leverage will have costs and magnified risks.

Still a doubter? Check out the numbers.

The following table compares S&P 500® index returns from January through June 2009 to the returns of a 2x leveraged ETF, a -1x inverse ETF, and a -2x leveraged inverse ETF, all based on that index.

The S&P 500 was up 3.163% for that period. If you didn’t know any better, you might assume a typical 2x leveraged fund would return 6.33%, a -1x inverse fund -3.16% and a -2x leveraged inverse fund -6.33%. But that simple math ignores the compounding effect described above.

All three funds performed a lot worse than you might have expected due to the problem of compounding (fund expenses were a minor factor here, too). Amazingly, all three funds had negative returns, even though the index itself rose!

Stay alert, stay informed

For some advanced traders, there may be occasions where a leveraged or inverse ETF comes in handy for a day trade – but it’s crucial to understand that these funds aren’t designed for holding periods longer than one day. You may be unpleasantly surprised if you do hold them longer.

At least one provider of leveraged and inverse ETFs has announced plans to change its methodology so that its ETFs will rebalance monthly, rather than daily. This will likely reduce the compounding problem, but it’ll remain an issue for anyone holding the funds longer than a month. If you buy or sell at any time other than the beginning or end of a month, you also stand to be burnt by this compounding issue. Proceed with extreme caution.

In conclusion…

Leveraged and inverse ETFs have proven to be especially tricky. Hopefully now you have a better understanding of how these investments work and the pitfalls you may encounter when trading them. If you hold these investments for longer than one day, be sure to check your portfolio no less than everyday. If you decide not to hold these ETFs overnight, keep in mind that your commission costs will increase in-step with increased trading frequency. Although popular, the performance of these exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can yield unexpected results, which may be far worse than anticipated. As always it’s important to fully understand the risks and opportunities of what you are trading before committing your hard-earned capital.

Sandy jadeja trading strategies

Sandy jadeja trading strategiesUpcoming trading opportunities with Sandy Jadeja

The markets have had dramatic moves over the last few months. Will this continue with further extreme moves ahead or will the markets return back to normal volatility?

WHAT lies ahead for this month, WHERE will you find potential trading opportunities during this period and HOW will you prepare yourself to trade? WHICH markets are going to provide us with good trading opportunities with low risk is the KEY FOCUS of Upcoming Trading Opportunities which is an exclusive program with eSignal and Sandy Jadeja, Chief Market Strategist of mastertradingstrategies

With a focus on Stock Indices, Commodities and FOREX this exclusive class is aimed for both the beginner and experienced trader to help you identify HOW to analyze charts the correct way using a Multiple Time Frame approach.

Zoning in on exact chart patterns to help identify WHEN to enter a market for lower risk is utilized to help traders focus on safer entries with exit techniques discussed for both short term and long term traders.

Learn how to identify and position yourself for potential trading opportunities

Watch step-by-step how to Enter and Exit trades with precision

Discover key markets that offer higher probability trade setups

See a unique trend model that reveals the current trend in the markets

In this exclusive week-end event with Chief Market Strategist - Sandy Jadeja will help you to prepare for potential opportunities that are developing in the current markets using simple trading techniques and incorporating trading psychology. If you are looking to enhance your trading, acquire the right skills and habits of a professional trader, then this seminar is a must-attend. Sandy Jadeja, will share with you the techniques and insights used by today's leading professional traders.

As the markets move into the month of October to November there could be valuable trading opportunities which you will not want to miss and this class is designed to help you gain better insights and increase your knowledge on trading correctly with better risk and money management.

This class is extremely popular and fills up very quickly so please ensure you register immediately to secure your seat. Please feel free to bring a friend along but guests must register in advance.

Speaker biography:

Sandy Jadeja

Chief Technical Analyst for City Index

Sandy Jadeja has been involved with the financial markets for more than 23 years. He is a respected and widely recognized analyst and trainer in technical analysis.

Mr. Jadeja has had his comments featured in such media venues as The Financial Times . The Telegraph . Barron's . the Australian Financial Journal . Dow Jones News and Reuters . Currently, he is featured weekly as a guest analyst on CNBC's Closing-Bell, Today's Business and Squawk Box, as well as Asset TV, which is exclusively for global fund managers. Mr. Jadeja is also associated with the London Stock Exchange and Investors Chronicle . along with other leading financial organizations, as a contributing editor providing weekly commentary on technical analysis. He also writes a widely followed weekly column for City A. M. and features in China Business Daily . as well as the International Business Times .

Mr. Jadeja attracts large crowds of traders and investors to both national and international traders' conferences and world expos. He has participated in and facilitated professional panels of expertise related to trading and investing and been elected exclusively from the UK in 2005 to speak on technical analysis for the GCC Economic Forum in Dubai. He is the founder of the highly recommended spreadbettingtowin, where he shares his trading insights and strategies and provides unique educational workshops focusing on safer trading, risk control and money management.

We will cover equity and futures options .

How to simplify options trading using proprietary timing indicators

How to get "bang for your buck" with "out of the money" calls and puts

How to chart your options positions

A simple money management plan

Sign up for the seminar below: :

Technicals Datas

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Detailed description

Praise for High Probability Trading Strategies

"Robert Miner's new book should be on the 'must have' list for any trader. One of Robert's unique and practical concepts is his Dynamic Time Strategy to project market reversals in any time frame. After a twenty-five-year friendship with Bob, I can honestly say that he is a consummate market timer."

-LARRY PESAVENTO, tradingtutor

"Robert Miner's comprehensive price, pattern, time, and momentum strategies amply demonstrate he is a master technician and trader. This is a must-read for anyone interested in the practical application of Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, and Gann trading techniques."

-KERRY SZYMANSKI, trading analyst/broker, La Canada Capital Management

"Bob Miner has been my mentor for years and continues to educate me in a no-nonsense fashion. This new book should help the trader refine his trading entries and create a viable trading plan. I am grateful for everything I've learned from him over the years!"

-CAROLYN BORODEN, Synchronicity Market Timing, LLC, fibonacciqueen;

and author of Fibonacci Trading

"This book is a major contribution to both the understanding and application of complete trade management. The book teaches the trader crucial aspects about the market that are essential for long-term success in the markets."

-SANDY JADEJA, Chief Market Strategist, Head of Global Training, ODL Markets

"High Probability Trading Strategies is a practical no-hype guide to doing what is necessary for lasting success as a trader. Robert offers those who are committed to learning to trade well both good advice and the specific details often overlooked by other authors and educators."

-RON ROSSWAY, President, Denver Trading Group

"Robert shook up the trading scene with his first book, Dynamic Trading, which was honored as our 'Book of the Year' in 1997. His new book, High Probability Trading Strategies, is equally worthy and a must-read for all serious traders."

-Frank Anthony Taucher, author of The Supertrader's Almanac/Commodity Trader's Almanac

From the contents

Part One. High Probability Trade Strategies For Any Market and Any Time Frame.

Chapter 1. High Probability Trade Strategies For All Markets and All Time Frames.

Any Market, Any Time Frame.

Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategies.

The Basic Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy.

Momentum Reversals.

Most Price Indicators Represent Rate-of-Change.

Momentum and Price Trends Often Diverge.

Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategies.

Which Indicators to Use For Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategies.

Complex Corrections.

Overlap Is the Key to Identify a Correction.

Trends and Five-Waves.

Greater In Time and Price.

Fifth Waves Are the Key.

Momentum and Pattern Position.

Momentum and Pattern Not Enough.

Chapter 4. Beyond Fib Retracements.

High Probability Price Targets for Support/Resistance and Trend Reversal.

Internal Retracements and Corrections.

2-period adx trend trading strategy

2-period adx trend trading strategy2-Period ADX Trend Trading Strategy

J. Welles Wilder pioneered an array of popular indicators (ADX, Parabolic SAR, RSI) in his book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems . The 2-period ADX is our tweak of Wilders ADX indicator to enhance its prowess for day traders. In the 2-period ADX Trend Trading Strategy, we are using a 2-period ADX to catch low risk entries in a trending market.

The concept underlying the 2-period ADX is to find the perfect pause in the market. By using such a short look-back period for the ADX indicator, it becomes extremely sensitive. Hence, it rarely falls below 25. When it does, it is a signal that a break-out is imminent.

Trading Rules 2-Period ADX Trend Trading

Bull Trends

From below the 20-period EMA, price makes a higher swing high above the 20-period EMA.

2-period ADX falls below 25 but price is still above EMA. (signal bar)

Place buy order one tick above the high of the signal bar.

Cancel order if not triggered by the next bar.

Bear Trends

From above the 20-period EMA, price makes a lower swing low below the 20-period EMA.

2-period ADX falls below 25 but price is still below EMA. (signal bar)

Place sell order one tick below the low of the signal bar.

Cancel order if not triggered by the next bar.

2-Period ADX Trend Trading Examples

Winning Trade Bullish Entry

This is a 5-minute ES chart showing a nice bullish trending session. The purple line is the 20-period EMA, and the lower panel shows the 2-period ADX.

From below the moving average, price rose and broke above a swing high. That was our signal that a bull trend has begun.

After rising for several bars, price started to pullback. The pullback consisted of many narrow range bars which stayed above the EMA. The bullishness remained intact.

The 2-period ADX fell below 25. We bought as price broke above the high of the signal bar.

By placing our stop just below the low of the signal bar, our risk was small. Even with a conservative target price, we could obtain a high reward to risk ratio.

In addition, the 2-period ADX offered a second entry in the later part of the session. That entry was another low-risk entry into the bull trend.

Losing Trade Bearish Entry

This is another 5-minute chart of ES futures. In this case, the first signal resulted in a loss.

Price fell below the EMA and broke a swing low, giving us the signal to look for shorts.

After pushing below the support, the bearish momentum waned. The bearish candlesticks had small bodies. Eventually, a strong bullish bar ended the fall. However, the bullish bar had no follow-through. Instead, price drifted horizontally along the earlier support which has flipped to become a resistance.

In the sideways trading range, we had two 2-period ADX signals. The first signal failed almost immediately.

However, the trade risk was low. Hence, the potential profits from the second ADX signal more than made up for it.

Review 2-Period ADX Trend Trading Strategy

The 2-period ADX is an excellent way to find low-risk entries into market trends. Most signal bars are narrow range bars, and its extreme offers a reliable stop-loss level.

The main drawback of the 2-period ADX is that we might get caught in tight trading ranges. However, by combining the 2-period ADX signal with the market bias we identified with price action, we limit our entries to potential new trends. Not only does this method keep us with the trend, it also helps us to avoid false break-outs.

Another characteristic of the 2-period ADX signals is that they occur infrequently. It teaches the virtue of patience in trading. Instead of jumping into a trend as its speeding away, exercise patience and join the train during its perfect pause.

Feel free to use your own trend filters instead of what we suggested. The key is to find potential new trends. The signals do not work as well in mature trends.

Rbytes reviews

Rbytes reviewsTrading Strategy Tester for FOREX 1.803 review

Trading Strategy Tester for FOREX 1.88 is investment tools software developed by PC-Safety.

Trading Strategy Tester for FOREX is a software simulator of Foreign Exchange Market - FOREX. It is an excellent instrument for studying trading in a fast and convenient way, to gain and improve trading skills without risking real money. Saving your time, taking away the necessity to wait hours and even days in real-time conditions for situation to turn out, it will open your eyes on market behaviour.

This business software is shareware, which means you can download and use Trading Strategy Tester for FOREX 1.88 for free during the trial period (usually for 30 days). At the expiration of the period you will have to buy the investment tools product for $99.00. Trading Strategy Tester for FOREX 1.88 is available at regnow and PC-Safety website. Trading Strategy Tester for FOREX 1.88 supports different languages (including English). It works with Windows 98/XP/Vista.

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Link to oanda

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Grid trading-hedged grid strategy

Grid trading-hedged grid strategyGrid Trading Hedged Grid Strategy

What Is Grid Trading?

The basic idea of grid trading is very straightforward. Instead of placing one trade, we place multiple trades forming a grid pattern. Usually these are entered as stop or limit orders around the current price level but not always. Ill explain this in more detail below, but thats the basic idea.

What is grid trading and how does it work?

Grid trading is a play on market volatility. There are two reasons why its favored by forex traders. The first is that it doesnt require you to have a definitive prediction on the market direction .

The second is that it works well in volatile markets, where there isnt a clear trend these conditions are very common in the currency markets.

In this article Ill give some practical examples of grid trading setups, and explain under what conditions grids work as well as their weaknesses. You can download my Excel spreadsheet below to develop your own grid trading scenarios.

Classic Hedged Grid System

A “hedged grid” is made up of both long and short positions. As the name suggests, theres a degree of inbuilt hedging – or protection with this approach. The basic idea is that any losing trades can be offset by the profitable ones. Ideally, at some point the entire system of trades becomes positive. We would then close out any remaining positions and the profit is realized.

As with other grid strategies. the ideal scenario is that the price moves back and forth across your grid. In doing so it executes as many of your orders and passes as many of your take profit levels as possible.

Its precisely this reason that the hedged grid works best in “choppy” markets without a clear trend. However, you can still be profitable in a trending market. Ill get onto that in a minute.

The hedged grid is a market neutral strategy . Whats appealing with this style of trading is that you dont need to predict either a bearish or bullish trend. However if your set up is right, you can still profit in either a bearish or bullish rally. Lets have a look at a basic grid configuration.

Grid Configuration – EURUSD Example

Say we want to set up a grid on EURUSD and the price is currently at 1.3500. To start, our order book would look like this:

Forex trading training course

Forex trading training courseWelcome to the world of advanced forex trading

Successful forex traders(well other traders too, key is successful here) enjoy a lifestyle that is both immensely flexible and financially, hugely rewarding. Best part I like about trading as a profession, it is utopia of meritocracy and dream of any true capitalist. It does not matter who you are, where you are born or where you studied. If you can beat the market, money is yours.

It is not easy at all to be profitable in any kind of trading in long run. Surely, it is possible. But, it takes years of hard work, screen time and patience. But, I bet you will come across hundreds of scamsters who will promise you the moon for $99 to $9995/mo courses. Imagine for a moment, if it were easy;then no smart person would like to have a real job. Why would anyone do any work when you can click your way to be a millionaire. Think about it! But, most gurus want you to believe otherwise. Else, who would fall for $999 package to millionaire. Having said that, in most cases it is not the forex course sellers who are at fault, it is often naive newbies, who would like to believe in forex dream rather than doing the hard work to understand the intricacies of trading. To be fair, most of people out there who want to make money in forex market have their day job and they simply cannot afford to invest the kind of time and energy required to become a profitable trader with edge. To put it simply, unless you take the endeavor of learning trading as serious effort you put to keep your day job, your chance of success is almost ZERO.

But, if you can not give that much effort to learn everything by yourself; you better invest your time to find traders who are successful and rather let them trade your money. Even identifying good traders is quite intensive work, though at least 50X easier than being successful trader by yourself. I would cover most about this topic in this blog as I believe almost 80% retail traders should be in this category for their own good.

Meanwhile,

Best way to learn is by doing it. Also, understanding the basic logic and psychology behind profitable trading.

One of the best video about the topic is here

So, start trading in a demo account.

If you want professional guidance on how to catch fish yourself and a lot of hand holding, try my professional program here .

You can follow my weekly/daily trading setups and advanced forex course by subscribing the newsletter below.

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And iguarantee,if you attend my forex orientation,you will too!

And iguarantee,if you attend my forex orientation,you will too!AND I GUARANTEE, IF YOU ATTEND MY FOREX ORIENTATION, YOU WILL TOO!

Attend This June 20, 2015. Saturday 2-4PM

At Suite 1503A West Tower, Philippine Stock Exchange Center (Tektite), Exchange Road, Ortigas Center Pasig City, 1605 Philippines

And You Will Learn:

I. The Difference between Businesses and Investments

The 2 critical ingredients to make money in Businesses and why you can never retire on a business alone

The 2 critical ingredients to make money in Investments and why you should start now

II. How to trade the Forex Market using a See-Saw and 2 Cups of Water

Understand what Major Currencies, Floating Currencies, and Privatized Currencies are all about

Understand why Currency Pairing is the only way to price currencies

Understand how Currencies are also ruled by the Laws of Physics!

Understanding the Zero-Sum game and how wealth is never destroyed, only transferred.

III. True Horror and Success Stories of Mark’s Students

IV. How to navigate the Trading Platform

Understanding PIPs — the simplified way of measuring profits / losses in the forex market

What is the Risk to Reward Ratio and why it matters

“Short” and “Long” trading explained so you can practice them immediately with your physical money

Stop-Losses and Limit orders and how to use them for ALL your trades

V. Is Forex Trading for you?

Facts that will help you make up your own mind

Know the unparalleled support you can expect from Mark and Forex Club Asia if you decide to pursue forex trading

The offer very few people can refuse.

Heres Why You Should Attend*

“My biggest obstacle in attending Mark’s course was my Funding. But after 2 hours with Mark, I realized that the Forex Market is for me. What I liked most about the Orientation was Mark’s emphasis on Taking profits immediately (I’ll first need to profit, of course). The other things that made me realize that funding is not that big of an issue was the fact that I will get Lifetime membership to Forex Club Asia where I can copy Mark’s trades and methods. Mark asked me if I’d recommend this course and I of course said Yes because it simply is rewarding. Thank you very much!”

“When I attended the Forex Orientation of Mark So, it made me realize the difference between forex and stocks and what happens to both during a crisis. I learned a lot today because aside from Mark’s experienced life lessons, it shows that he really knows what he is teaching. In just 2 hours I gained further info about Forex and I would encourage you to attend as well because you too can learn how to grow and save your money. Thanks Mark!”

*Unique experiences and past performances do not guarantee future results! Testimonials herein are unsolicited and are non-representative of all clients; certain accounts may have worse performance than that indicated. Trading spot currencies involves substantial risk and there is always the potential for loss. Your trading results may vary. Because the risk factor is high in the foreign exchange market trading, only genuine risk funds should be used in such trading. If you do not have the extra capital that you can afford to lose, you should not trade in the foreign exchange market. No safe trading system has ever been devised, and no one can guarantee profits or freedom from loss.

Get it straight from Mark So, the Man who has taught thousands of Filipinos to trade forex since 2006!

The Orientation is worth P2,500

But if you sign up now, you get in for only P500!

All Major Credit Cards Accepted

Want to Register Offline? No Problem

Call (632)6873416, 6874645, 6874445 and a friendly customer representative will be delighted to answer any question on the seminar you may have.

Already a Forex trader?

Want To Just Copy Marks Trades?

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Fractional pip pricing

We make every effort to get the best prices from our multiple liquidity providers in order to keep our spreads as narrow as possible. Our goal is to provide our clients with the lowest spreads in the industry coupled with the best execution quality.

Poor execution makes tight spreads insignificant. On many occasions, dealers that have a low spread may offer poor quality of execution by aggressively re-quoting or slipping clients’ orders, thus making it difficult for you to enter the market at the price of your choice. Some firms offer low spreads yet charge commissions on trades or levy hidden fees, thus often increasing the total cost of execution.

Trading Point offers all traders the same tight spreads, with no exceptions, regardless of account size, trade size or type of customer. No other costs or commissions are charged.

Fixed or variable spread

The interbank forex market has variable spreads. So does Trading Point. If you are trading fixed spreads you are in effect paying for an insurance premium since fixed spreads are typically higher than variable spreads. Therefore, unless you trade only around news events when markets tend to be more volatile your transaction cost is higher. Many forex brokers who claim to offer fixed spreads, impose restrictions on trading around news announcements. In this case your insurance is worth nothing. Trading Point enforces no restrictions on trading during news releases.

Trading Point offers its customers fractional pip pricing. This means that instead of quoting prices with four(4) digits, Trading Point allows you to benefit from the smallest price movements by adding a fifth digit (fraction). Fractional pip pricing allows for tighter spreads and the most accurate quoting possible. This pricing is the result of our efforts to get the best prices from our multiple liquidity providers.

Forex trading strategy#17(trading off the daily chart)

Forex trading strategy#17(trading off the daily chart)Forex trading strategy #17 (Trading Off the Daily Chart)

Submitted by User on March 23, 2012 - 07:49.

Submitted by Adam

Many traders love the allure of the volatility of the forex markets and prefer to trade intraday by opening and terminating positions within the hours of each other. Trading the daily charts is not very common because many traders lack the necessary patience to follow a trade for weeks on end to its logical conclusion. There are many things that a trader will gain by trading off the daily charts.

In the first instance, we must be very familiar with the saying that the trend is our friend until it ends. The only way to determine the true trend for a currency is to look at the daily chart. A typical daily chart snapshot will show the price action for weeks at a time. You can then tell just by looking at the chart to see whether the trend is up, down or ranging.

The chart above is the daily chart for the USDJPY. It is very clear from inspection that the currency pair is in a very strong uptrend after a long period of consolidation that lasted close to a year. Using short term charts will not give the true picture.

Trading off the daily chart will reduce the frequency of trades, but will also allow the trader more time to assess a trade setup and trade it with greater certainty. Trade targets are larger, and a trader can make money from a few trades that will far outstrip what he will make by chasing pips all over the place.

One trade I love to take off the daily chart is the retracement trade. Pullbacks are a normal part of trading because there will always be early bird traders who got into positions very early in the trend and will be looking to take some profits off the table. When they offload their positions, the price action of the currency will retrace.

Now I am usually interested in the continuation of the moves in the direction of the trend. For me to do this, I need to know where the retracement will come to an end. With 5 points to choose from the Fibonacci retracement tool, I need to get a clear idea of where to make my entry.

The tool I have found most useful is the Stochastics oscillator. When it crosses at overbought or oversold levels, it gives me a clear indication of exactly where to make my entries.

From this daily chart above, the Stochastics crossed at oversold levels of 24.1 at the 50% Fibonacci retracement line. An entry here would have produced 250 pips as at the time of writing this on March 20th 2012.

This is a simple strategy that works all the time. Trade the retracements off the daily chart.

This Forex trading strategy article was provided to us by Adam at ForexAccounts .

The yield curve

The yield curveThe Yield Curve

Negative yield curves have proved to be reliable predictors of economic recession over the past 50 years. However, recent experience in the United Kingdom and Australia raises questions as to whether this relationship still applies: both economies have coped with inverted yield curves for some time while enjoying robust growth. В

If the fed funds rate is low, the probability of a recession is also low unless the yield curve becomes inverted. However, if the fed funds rate is high, there is significant (40%) probability of a recession when the yield curve is flat, increasing to high probability when the yield curve is negative (70% at -1.0%).

The above chart plots the yield on 13-week T-bills (a fair approximation of the fed funds rate) against the SP 500 index. The last time the yield curve inverted was at [a] when short-term yields were above 6.0%.

The Yield Curve and Monetary Policy

A flat or inverted yield curve is normally caused by the Fed tightening monetary policy, driving up short-term rates to slow the economy and contain inflation. Recently, however, short-term rates have been at historically low levels and the flat yield curve is due to historically low long-term yields -- caused by low term premiums and low inflation expectations among other factors. Wright holds that when a flat yield curve is caused by factors other than tight monetary policy, its predictive ability is significantly reduced.

The above chart compares the SP 500 index to the yield on 10-Year T-Notes and the Yield Differential (between 10-Year T-Notes and 13-Week T-Bills). The yield curve inverted at [a] and was followed by a sharp fall in the SP 500. Note the historically low long-term yields (below 4.6%) experienced from mid-2002 until early 2006.

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Reading a Yield Curve

In a normal market, short-term securities yield lower returns than those with longer maturity -- investors require a premium to tie up their money for a longer period (a term premium). If we plot the yields on a graph, you will see that the yield curve slopes upwards, with longer maturities returning higher yields. However, there are times when the market inverts and short-term yields exceed long-term yields. The yield curve then slopes downwards and is referred to as a negative (or inverted) yield curve.

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Negative yield curves have proved to be reliable predictors of future recessions. This predictive ability is enhanced when the fed funds rate is high . signaling tight monetary policy.

A flat yield curve is a moderate bear signal for equity markets.

Banks suffer from a margin squeeze, as they pay mostly short-term rates to depositors while charging long-term rates to borrowers, and are reluctant to extend new credit.

A negative yield curve is a strong bear signal.

Normally caused by the Federal Reserve raising short-term interest rates to slow the economy, investors may contribute by driving long-term yields down -- switching out of equities into more secure investments.

A steep yield curve is generally bullish for stock investors.

The Fed may drive down short-term interest rates to stimulate the economy and investors contribute by switching out of bonds into equities, causing long-term yields to rise.

Yield Differential (or Spread)

The yield differential plots the difference between ten-year Treasury notes and 13-week Treasury bills as an approximation of the yield curve:

A yield differential above 2% is a positive sign, indicating a steep yield curve;

A yield differential below 1% signifies a flattening yield curve;

A yield differential below zero signals a negative (or inverted) yield curve.

Sbi launches online forex platform

Sbi launches online forex platformSBI launches Online Forex Platform

Press Trust of India | Mumbai Jun 19, 2015 03:48 PM IST

Countrys largest lender State Bank of India today said it has launched SBI eforex, an Internet - based platform that enables customers to book their foreign exchange transactions online.

The customers will be able to obtain forex rates without having to visit the branch, the bank said in a statement.

The SBI eforex is an innovative platform incorporating robust security features and is designed to be user-friendly, fast and convenient, it said.

This is SBIs second forex technology initiative, having launched SBI Fx Out, which enables customers to send foreign currency remittances from any its branches in India.

SBI launches Online Forex Platform

Mumbai: Country's largest lender State Bank of India on Friday said it has launched SBI eforex, an Internet - based platform that enables customers to book their foreign exchange transactions online.

The customers will be able to obtain forex rates without having to visit the branch, the bank said in a statement.

"The SBI eforex is an innovative platform incorporating robust security features and is designed to be user-friendly, fast and convenient," it said.

"It is a highly flexible product offering the facility to the customers to customise and set their own limits for deal size, daily transaction limits. Details of all deals done are made available to the users on a real-time basis," it said.

This is SBI's second forex technology initiative, having launched SBI Fx Out, which enables customers to send foreign currency remittances from any its branches in India.

SBI Launches Online Forex Platform

Show Full Article

The customers will be able to obtain forex rates without having to visit the branch, the bank said in a statement.

"The SBI eforex is an innovative platform incorporating robust security features and is designed to be user-friendly, fast and convenient," it said.

"It is a highly flexible product offering the facility to the customers to customise and set their own limits for deal size, daily transaction limits. Details of all deals done are made available to the users on a real-time basis," it said.

This is SBI's second forex technology initiative, having launched SBI Fx Out, which enables customers to send foreign currency remittances from any its branches in India.

How to trade options using intraday connorsrsi

How to trade options using intraday connorsrsiHow to Trade Options Using Intraday ConnorsRSI

November 6, 2013 By Matt Radtke

When we trade stocks, we make money when we correctly predict the direction that the stock is going to move. When we trade options, we need to be directionally correct within a specified timeframe. In other words, we need the underlying stock to move in the right direction between now and the expiration of the option contract, by an amount large enough to overcome the premium we paid.

Long calls and puts, as well as many debit spreads, experience time decay. If nothing else changes, they will lose a little bit of their value with each passing day. Therefore, we often want to trade these positions when a significant price move is imminent.

By now, you’re probably becoming familiar with our newest indicator, ConnorsRSI. If not, you can download our exclusive guidebook: Options Trading with ConnorsRSI . All of the strategies that we’ve published to date that utilize this indicator calculate the value of ConnorsRSI from the daily closing prices of the stock or ETF. Low values of ConnorsRSI indicate oversold conditions, while high values indicate overbought conditions.

How often do stocks reach extremely oversold conditions? To find out, we ran a scan on all stocks that are members of the SP 500, starting on January 1st, 2001.* That gives us approximately:

500 stocks x 252 trading days/year x 12.25 years = 1,543,500 ConnorsRSI values

Next we looked at how many times we observed ConnorsRSI values below an extremely oversold threshold. The number of observations for ConnorsRSI values 1-5 is shown in the table below:

205-7-13/1.PNG" /%

* Please note this article was originally published July 2, 2013.

An At-the-Money (ATM ) call with approximately a month left until expiration will typically experience a 20% 40% increase in price if the underlying stock price rises by 1%. Therefore, we next checked how many of the SP 500 stocks with low ConnorsRSI values experienced a maximum price increase of at least 1% over the following five days. The expanded table below shows these results.

205-7-13/2.PNG" /%

The table tells us, for example, that SP 500 stocks closed with a ConnorsRSI value below 2.0 a total of 1461 times since 2001. On 1284 of those 1461 occasions, or approximately 88% of the time, the stock experienced a price increase of more than 1% over the next five days. Since almost all stocks included in the SP 500 offer options, that means there were over 1200 opportunities to collect a return of 20% or more on ATM calls.

If you’ve looked at the free Trading Markets Analytics page, you know that the value of ConnorsRSI for a stock fluctuates throughout the day. We often refer to this as the Intraday value of ConnorsRSI, or sometimes just Intraday ConnorsRSI. It’s the ConnorsRSI value computed from all the previous closing prices of the stock, plus today’s current price. Sometimes the Intraday ConnorsRSI value will reach oversold extremes, before reverting to a less oversold state by the end of the day.

How often do these extreme Intraday ConnorsRSI values occur? The table below is similar to the previous one, except that we used the Intraday ConnorsRSI value instead of the end-of-day value to signal our oversold conditions.

205-7-13/3.PNG" /%

Using the same threshold of 2.0 with the Intraday ConnorsRSI, we can see that there are 3240 occurrences over the past 12+ years, with 2745 of those producing gains of 1% or greater over the next five days. That equates to over twice as many opportunities for outsized gains on ATM calls, while still maintaining a success rate of nearly 85%.

We see similar behavior at the high end of the ConnorsRSI spectrum. The table below shows the frequency of 1% price drops measured from the closing price of the signal day to the lowest low over the next five days:

205-7-13/4.PNG" /%

So how do you find intraday ConnorsRSI values that have reached extreme levels? One of the easiest ways is to use the new Trading Markets Live Screener . On the “All” tab, you can define the parameters that will be used to filter your results. To find interesting candidates for bullish option trades (buying calls or selling puts), I typically use three filters:

Average Volume of 1M shares or greater

Price Above $10

ConnorsRSI of 10 or Below

For bearish option trades (buying puts or selling calls), simply change the ConnorsRSI filter to “90 or Above”. Depending on your trading style, you may also wish to filter on Equity Type and/or Index which will limit your results further. Or, maybe you’ll use additional filters that correspond to your favorite strategies.

Once the Live Screener presents you with a short list of trade candidates, you can use your trading platform to validate things like open interest, volume, and bid/ask spreads on the option contracts that you’re considering. If everything checks out, you’re ready to make your trade.

Learn how to Trade Options Using the ConnorsRSI Pullback Strategy. Download Options Trading with ConnorsRSI today.

Strategy testing

Strategy testingStrategy Testing

Monitor your active strategies and get buy or sell trade alerts for the stocks you are following. You can also place trades and review order status with this tool.

Need more info?

Back-Testing Trading Strategies with Wealth-Lab Pro.

The Trading Strategies and Strategy Testing feature and trade signals generated by the strategies are provided for educational purposes and as examples only, and they should not be used or relied upon to make decisions about your individual situation. You may modify the Strategy Testing parameters as you see fit. Fidelity is not adopting, making a recommendation for or endorsing any trading or investment strategy or particular security. The Strategy Testing feature provides a hypothetical calculation of how a security or portfolio of securities, subject to an example trading strategy, would have performed over a historical time period. Only securities that were in existence during the historical time period and that have historical pricing data are available for use in the Strategy Testing feature. The feature has only a limited ability to calculate hypothetical trading commissions, and it does not account for any other fees or for tax consequences that could result from a trading strategy. You should not assume that Strategy Testing of a trading strategy will provide any indication of how your portfolio of securities, or a new portfolio of securities, might perform over time. You should choose your own trading strategies based on your particular objectives and risk tolerances. Be sure to review your decisions periodically to make sure they are still consistent with your goals.

Strategy Testing

Monitor your active strategies and get buy or sell trade alerts for the stocks you are following. You can also place trades and review order status with this tool.

Need more info?

Back-Testing Trading Strategies with Wealth-Lab Pro.

The Trading Strategies and Strategy Testing feature and trade signals generated by the strategies are provided for educational purposes and as examples only, and they should not be used or relied upon to make decisions about your individual situation. You may modify the Strategy Testing parameters as you see fit. Fidelity is not adopting, making a recommendation for or endorsing any trading or investment strategy or particular security. The Strategy Testing feature provides a hypothetical calculation of how a security or portfolio of securities, subject to an example trading strategy, would have performed over a historical time period. Only securities that were in existence during the historical time period and that have historical pricing data are available for use in the Strategy Testing feature. The feature has only a limited ability to calculate hypothetical trading commissions, and it does not account for any other fees or for tax consequences that could result from a trading strategy. You should not assume that Strategy Testing of a trading strategy will provide any indication of how your portfolio of securities, or a new portfolio of securities, might perform over time. You should choose your own trading strategies based on your particular objectives and risk tolerances. Be sure to review your decisions periodically to make sure they are still consistent with your goals.

Strategy Testing

The Trading Strategies and Strategy Testing feature and trade signals generated by the strategies are provided for educational purposes and as examples only, and they should not be used or relied upon to make decisions about your individual situation. You may modify the Strategy Testing parameters as you see fit. Fidelity is not adopting, making a recommendation for or endorsing any trading or investment strategy or particular security. The Strategy Testing feature provides a hypothetical calculation of how a security or portfolio of securities, subject to an example trading strategy, would have performed over a historical time period. Only securities that were in existence during the historical time period and that have historical pricing data are available for use in the Strategy Testing feature. The feature has only a limited ability to calculate hypothetical trading commissions, and it does not account for any other fees or for tax consequences that could result from a trading strategy. You should not assume that Strategy Testing of a trading strategy will provide any indication of how your portfolio of securities, or a new portfolio of securities, might perform over time. You should choose your own trading strategies based on your particular objectives and risk tolerances. Be sure to review your decisions periodically to make sure they are still consistent with your goals.

Strategy Testing

Chapter 24 "Designing and Testing Trading Systems: How to Avoid Costly Mistakes"

HIGH PERFORMANCE FUTURES TRADING

Probus Publishing Company, Chicago, Illinois 1990

"How You Can Avoid Costly Pitfalls Using Today's Trading Software"

BARRON'S, June 13, 1988

"Is Today's Futures Trading Software Right for You?"

BARRON'S, April 6, 1987

"Black Box Versus Full Disclosure"

Live Interview with John Bollinger - Financial News Network, September 5, 1986

"Serious Software Issues Still Unresolved"

Futures Magazine, January, 1986

Letter to the Editor

Futures Magazine, May, 1985

"Why System Software Fails"

Futures Magazine, September, 1984

"Historical Simulation: The Software Gap"

Financial Investment Software Review, May/June, 1984

"Execution Timing Critical Factor in System Performance"

Futures Magazine, December, 1983

"History Tester Important Factor in Software Selection"

Futures Magazine, July, 1983

"Picking Software Programs: Know Their Limitations"

Futures Magazine, May, 1983

Strategy Testing

Historical Simulation: The Software Gap

By: Louis B. Mendelsohn

President, Market Technologies

Over the past several years there has been a dramatic increase in the number of investors utilizing microcomputers, concurrent with a proliferation of software designed to assist in the investment decision-making process. As technological advancements occur almost daily in the computer industry, a "software gap" -- due in large part to the lengthy lead time necessary for the development of application software -- has become evident. Software increasingly fails to take full advantage of the architecture and capabilities of microcomputers. This gap has particularly serious implications in the investment field, with respect to software directed toward market analysis (often referred to as decision support software) where inadequate software design has a direct impact on "bottom line" trading performance.

Tool Box vs. Black Box

There are currently two major approaches to decision support software. The first, and by far the most widely accepted among stock market traders, is traditional technical analysis software. Designed as a "tool box" for individuals attempting to analyze market trends, technical analysis software is extremely flexible and offers traders a smorgasbord of technical studies from which to choose. The primary function of this type of software is to provide extensive charting and graphic capabilities, thereby reducing the burden of manually tracking and displaying this information.

There are currently two major approaches to decision support software. The first, and by far the most widely accepted among stock market traders, is traditional technical analysis software. Designed as a "tool box" for individuals attempting to analyze market trends, technical analysis software is extremely flexible and offers traders a smorgasbord of technical studies from which to choose. The primary function of this type of software is to provide extensive charting and graphic capabilities, thereby reducing the burden of manually tracking and displaying this information.

The second approach, initially adopted by futures traders in the late 1970's, generates actual buy and sell trading signals through the use of secret "black box" logic locked into the software by the developer. Referred to as system software, this genre is presently gaining increased popularity among stock market traders.

The Need for Historical Testing

Perhaps the most serious manifestation of the software gap affecting decision support software is the unavailability of highly sophisticated and valid historical testing and simulation programs. As a result, individual investors today are no more able to formulate trading plans and evaluate their performance than in the past. With few exceptions, traders must still rely on evaluation methods such as "paper trading." This involves manually applying a trading plan to real data spanning a relatively short time period. After superficial determination of the plan's performance, it is implemented in real-time trading.

Perhaps the most serious manifestation of the software gap affecting decision support software is the unavailability of highly sophisticated and valid historical testing and simulation programs. As a result, individual investors today are no more able to formulate trading plans and evaluate their performance than in the past. With few exceptions, traders must still rely on evaluation methods such as "paper trading." This involves manually applying a trading plan to real data spanning a relatively short time period. After superficial determination of the plan's performance, it is implemented in real-time trading.

This alternative to extensive computerized historical testing is an anachronism. The process of manually calculating technical indicators is extremely burdensome and imprecise, even for relatively simple trading plans. The trader is not able to adequately evaluate many important factors such as maximum draw down, the number and dollar value of consecutive losing trades, and other measures of risk that determine the plan's overall performance. Also, with manual testing (and even using limited computer-assisted testing) it is not feasible to vary technical indicator values and ascertain the effect on the plan's performance. Under these circumstances, trying to determine the plan's profitability and acceptability on a portfolio of trading vehicles becomes impossible. Finally, the plan often appears profitable when manually evaluated over a very limited time span, but fails to produce an acceptable profitability/risk tradeoff during extended periods of real-time trading.

A second and more dangerous alternative to computerized testing involves the formulation of a trading plan and its testing through actual trading. If the plan is profitable, the trader continues to adhere to it. Otherwise, he takes his losses, formulates a new plan and begins the process all over again. This hopscotching phenomenon is alarmingly prevalent and is largely responsible for the losses that many traders incur.

The formulation, testing and implementation of trading plans, through use of sophisticated software, is totally feasible within the framework of existing microcomputer technology. Historical testing capabilities could allow the investor to apply an exact set of indicators to past price data. Buy and sell transactions would be simulated, and the resultant gain or loss from each trade recorded. At the end of the simulation, the program would generate a comprehensive report outlining exactly what would have happened to the trader's positions and account equity had he been trading in real-time over that period, using that exact combination of indicators.

The major benefit of computerized historical simulation and testing is the ability to perform optimization. Through the simulation of multiple combinations of technical indicator values, optimization allows the formulation and fine-tuning of trading plans that are unique for each individual investment vehicle and customized to each investor's trading objectives and risk propensity. As the market undergoes structural and fundamental changes over time, the resultant trading plans are easily re-optimized to reflect these changes (as opposed to remaining static and becoming outdated in relation to prevailing market conditions). Subtle refinements to trading, such as timing of executions and sensitivity of the indicators to retracements, could also be incorporated into these historical simulations.

The inclusion of sophisticated historical simulators as an integral part of decision support software would allow traders to conduct extensive evaluations on the effectiveness of trading plans prior to risking capital in real-time trading and could therefore dramatically improve individual trading performance.

Conclusion

Until investors recognize and acknowledge the importance of historical simulation and software developers accept their responsibility to provide such capabilities, this software gap will continue to severely limit the role of computers in the investment decision-making process, preventing traders from fully benefiting financially from available technology.

Louis Mendelsohn is president of Market Technologies in Wesley Chapel, Florida. Mr. Mendelsohn is a recognized expert on futures trading software and a widely-published author of articles on technical analysis.

Illinois trade schools

Illinois trade schoolsIllinois Trade Schools

When looking to start as well as advance your career there are a few things to bear in mind before beginning a career training program. Some programs offer short term curriculum which will lead to a diploma or maybe a certificate upon finish. Several educational facilities might also offer associates and/or bachelors degrees to those who have finished all of the essential program requirements.

While in the early stages of performing your research keep all of your choices open and request information from schools that are close by and farther away considering they offer something of interest. Also keep in mind online programs and find out if that would be an option. By contacting several institutions from the list of trade schools in Illinois (including those which are technical and/or vocational) down below and assessing each to your ambitions you ought to be on your way to locating a good option for your personal needs.

To help you make the best decision you'd be advised to check with schools both near and far to evaluate your choices. Remember the types of courses vary at each school for the certifications, degrees, and diplomas obtained once you have finished all of the work that is mandatory.

Online trading academy jobs binarie opzioni

Online trading academy jobs binarie opzioniOnline trading academy jobs Binarie Opzioni dapio. it

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Financial trading and avoid fraud on online trading academy xlt stock trading, ed. Online trading academy xlt stock trading academy jobs asus, online trading on. For stage:

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Stock trading tips for trading stocks-from stock trading for beginners to stock trading strategies

Stock trading tips for trading stocks-from stock trading for beginners to stock trading strategiesStock Trading: Tips for Trading Stocks - From Stock Trading For Beginners To Stock Trading Strategies (Stock Trading Systems Book 1) [Kindle Edition]

Free Kindle Reading App Anybody can read Kindle books—even without a Kindle device—with the FREE Kindle app for smartphones, tablets and computers.

To get the free app, enter your e-mail address or mobile phone number.

Book Description

Why Reinvent The Wheel If You Don't Have To? Learn Stock Trading From Those Who Are Already Successful!

Successful stock traders are successful for a reason. They follow a tested and proven set of rules which help them trade effectively.

This stock trading book contains many time-tested stock trading tips/rules/guidelines gathered from numerous successful traders from all over the world. One of the most effective ways to become successful in any endeavor is to “model” yourself after those who are already successful. The tips/rules/guidelines will not only help to get you on the right path to successful stock trading, but help to keep you on the right path.

These useful tips are arranged based on a variety of stock trading topics for your quick and easy reference.

This book was designed as a collection of trading tips as a brief introduction to stock trading for beginners. If you are an experienced and successful trader then you are already putting into practice the information found inside this book. If you are new to trading stock, however, there are tips/rules/guidelines to help you in a number of different areas. If you are interested in more in-depth coverage of stock trading, please check out my other more advanced books in my Stock Trading Systems series.

Create A Simple StockTrading Plan - As the old saying goes, "if you fail to plan, then you plan to fail". Included are some basic guidelines to help you quickly and easily create a basic stock trading plan.

Stock Investing and Stock Day Trading - Whether you are interested in longer-term investing or shorter-term trading there are plenty of timely, useful trading tips for you.

Stock Trading Strategies - Learn the basics of stock trading strategies and why they are critical to your trading success.

Stock Trading Basics - This section of the stock trading guide contains a wide variety of solid trading tips and serves as an excellent reference.

Stock Trading Myths - Some of the things you will hear about stock trading are just plain nonsense. Learn about some common stock market myths that may already be costing you money.

Money Management - Learn the power of money management. Money management is the one key ingredient that can multiply your profits without multiplying your risk level.

Stock Trading Discipline - Learn the importance of trading discipline and why it is absolutely essential for your success.

Inside you will also find tips/rules/guidelines ranging from tips on getting started in stock trading to tips on such important topics as stock trading strategies, day trading stock, and much, much more.

You Can Read this book on your PC, Mac, Kindle device, Tablet, and even your SmartPhone!

Download this Kindle book and start to improve your stock trading today!

Why Reinvent The Wheel If You Don't Have To? Learn Stock Trading From Those Who Are Already Successful!

Successful stock traders are successful for a reason. They follow a tested and proven set of rules which help them trade effectively.

This stock trading book contains many time-tested stock trading tips/rules/guidelines gathered from numerous successful traders from all over the world. One of the most effective ways to become successful in any endeavor is to “model” yourself after those who are already successful. The tips/rules/guidelines will not only help to get you on the right path to successful stock trading, but help to keep you on the right path.

These useful tips are arranged based on a variety of stock trading topics for your quick and easy reference.

This book was designed as a collection of trading tips as a brief introduction to stock trading for beginners. If you are an experienced and successful trader then you are already putting into practice the information found inside this book. If you are new to trading stock, however, there are tips/rules/guidelines to help you in a number of different areas. If you are interested in more in-depth coverage of stock trading, please check out my other more advanced books in my Stock Trading Systems series.

Create A Simple StockTrading Plan - As the old saying goes, "if you fail to plan, then you plan to fail". Included are some basic guidelines to help you quickly and easily create a basic stock trading plan.

Stock Investing and Stock Day Trading - Whether you are interested in longer-term investing or shorter-term trading there are plenty of timely, useful trading tips for you.

Stock Trading Strategies - Learn the basics of stock trading strategies and why they are critical to your trading success.

Stock Trading Basics - This section of the stock trading guide contains a wide variety of solid trading tips and serves as an excellent reference.

Stock Trading Myths - Some of the things you will hear about stock trading are just plain nonsense. Learn about some common stock market myths that may already be costing you money.

Money Management - Learn the power of money management. Money management is the one key ingredient that can multiply your profits without multiplying your risk level.

Stock Trading Discipline - Learn the importance of trading discipline and why it is absolutely essential for your success.

Inside you will also find tips/rules/guidelines ranging from tips on getting started in stock trading to tips on such important topics as stock trading strategies, day trading stock, and much, much more.

You Can Read this book on your PC, Mac, Kindle device, Tablet, and even your SmartPhone!

Download this Kindle book and start to improve your stock trading today!

Fxcm trading station market orders

Fxcm trading station market ordersFXCM Trading Station: Simple OCO Orders

OCO or ‘One Cancels The Other’ orders let you create two linked entry orders that straddle the market, placing an order above and below the current market price. When one order is executed the other order is automatically cancelled. Check out this video to see how to place these orders.

FXCM Trading Station: Entry Orders

An Entry Order is a pending order to enter the market at a price higher or lower than the current price. When the market price hits the entry price, the pending order will be automatically executed and a position will be opened. This video demonstrates how to place Entry Orders.

FXCM Trading Station: Stop Orders

Rule #1 in trading – never open a position without a Stop Loss, ever! This tutorial demonstrates how to place both BUY and SELL stop orders as well as attach a Stop Loss to an existing position in FXCM Trading Station. Although the video is short, the information contained is.

FXCM Trading Station: Limit Orders

When trading Forex, a Limit Order is a pending order to buy or sell a currency pair at a specific price or better. This video demonstrates how to place both BUY and SELL limit orders on new positions as well as attach a Take Profit to an existing position using.

Denver,co-student testimonials

Denver,co-student testimonialsDenver, CO - Student Testimonials

Read what our students are saying:

5.0 stars - based on 59 reviews

“Preparing for an uncertain future financially is stressful. Understanding the financial markets and proper trading rules gives me control of my own future thereby making the future less stressful. ”

Chris Sanchez. November 2015

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“This program is amazing. Every instructor I have met is exceptional. I came in with apprehension and doubt but I left feeling excited and anxious to put my new skills to work for me. I have personal goals that are very important to me that include my children's college educations and future goals for retirement. I feel comfortable that I can control my financial future.”

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“What I like about OTA is that it helps you focus on an area of investing. As an uneducated investor it's hard to know where to start, and if you are making the right moves. OTA helps define a starting point and provides the proper education to grow as an investor.”

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“Having systematic, usable, understandable and simple strategies that are consistent across asset classes makes OTA stand out.”

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“I am very much in love with OTA Denver Center. Everyone is so supportive here.”

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“OTA is a high quality educational company that knows their business. The instructors are dedicated to my success and go out of their way to ensure that I understand the course content. I have been bogged down with information overload in my past investing and trading experience, but OTA's strategy is simple and effective and doesn't bog you down with a bunch of indicators and gimmicks that confuse rather than teach. I am excited about where this education, my commitment to learn and the quality of my interactions with the instructors and my counselor will take me!”

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Find reviews of the leading forex brokers operating in USA. The American foreign exchange market forms a major fraction of the United States economy. This is also one of the largest markets in the world, and it is considered as one of the most important sources of money for the U. S. government. One of the main reasons for the popularity and size of this market is the fact that the official currency in America is the U. S. dollar – a currency that is part of some of the most traded currency pairs.

On the Forex market, the American dollar is symbolized with the letters USD, but in some cases you may see it as US$ or $. At the moment, this is the most traded currency in the world, and it is responsible for a major fraction of the revenue that the foreign exchange market generates on a daily basis.

It also tops the list that includes five of the most traded currencies in the world. Due to the American dollar’s popularity, this currency was adopted by many countries as their functional currency. The process of accepting the U. S. dollar as a functional currency is regularly referred to as dollarization.

The foreign exchange market in the United States is regulated by the Federal Reserve Bank. This is also the institution that is responsible for issuing American dollar coins and banknotes.

Although the U. S. dollar has been the leading currency in the Forex market for many years, currently it is facing strong competition by the Euro, and soon the Euro might turn into the most traded currency in the world.

Foreign exchange market trades in the US are executed by several institutions – central banks, commercial banks, Forex dealers, retail Forex brokers, commercial institutions, investment management institutions and hedge fund institutions.

One of the most special things about the U. S. foreign exchange market is that one of the biggest Forex trading centers is situated there. The city of New York is one of the major trading centers and many of the leading Forex brokers have offices there. All Forex trading brokers and institutions in the US are regulated and licensed by the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

As we mentioned earlier, the Federal Reserve is responsible for issuing the dollar, but it is also the institution that determines the exchange rate of the American dollar compared to other currencies. Another financial institution that plays an important role in the American Forex market is the United States Treasury Department, because it works with the Federal Reserve Bank to create the foreign exchange policies of the US.

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What is abutterfly option trading strategy

What is abutterfly option trading strategyWhat is a Butterfly Option Trading Strategy

A long Butterfly Option Trading Strategy is a limited risk, non-directional options strategy that is designed to earn big (but limited) profits but with a low probability. The long Butterfly spread also wins when the future volatility of the underlying is expected to be lower from the current implied volatility. Just as there are several ways onf constructing a butterfly, there are may ways a trade them for both income as well as speculative/directional option trading.

Let’s start with the fundamentals of the butterfly spread (following is an example of SPX)-

In simple terms, Sell the Body and Buy the Wings. This is a Debit spread requiring investment of $35 only. However, there is only 22.5% probability that this trade can make money.

Here is how the risk reward curve for this spread looks like. As you will notice, if someone can accurately predict underlying move, a butterfly spread can be very rewarding (In the below example, the SPY $117 call butterfly can yield over +400% if SPY is at $117 by April Expiration. Why does Butterfly spread make so much money if the underlying remains at short strike by expiration? Its because At the Money (ATM) option has the highest time premium (aka extrinsic value) and you are selling 2 of those for each butterfly thus making it theta positive.

How about the greeks? Below table summarizes the Greeks, break even points as well as yield of this butterfly spread.

It is delta neutral (at the start), Gamma negative, theta positive and vega negative. To explain it simply, the trade will make money if SPY stays within $115.36 and $118.64 by April 2010 expiration. Before expiration, assuming SPY stays at the same place, it will make money with the time decay as well as implied volatility drop.

This makes the long butterfly a good neutral option strategy for low volatility . assuming you are expecting stock price not moving much in order to collect maximum profits. It is also a low-risk strategy, since your losses are limited if the stock crashes or climbs unexpectedly. The long butterfly can also be created using all put options instead of all call options.

The key with butterfly spread is to book profit quickly and move on to the next opportunity. Don’t be greedy to book all the gains till expiration as even a single day’s large move can throw a positive trade into losing territory.

Broken wing Butterfly (BWB), ATM Butterfly, Iron Fly, Out of the Money Butterfly, 1 or 2 Skip Butterfly etc are several variations based on the similar concept. Later I shall talk about how one can use Butterfly Option Trading strategy for speculation as well as income generation.

What is a butterfly option trading strategy

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Option Trading Strategy: Setup a Butterfly Spread

May 20th, 2014

Hey it’s Sasha Evdakov founder of Rise2Learn. In this video I want to share with you exactly behind What the Butterfly is when it comes to Trading Options and why you may want to trade the Butterfly.

The Butterfly’s just a fancy name for a type of spread because it looks like a butterfly. You can trade a butterfly to the upside you can't really tell downside or you can trade it to collect option premium butterfly’s a very effective strategy because it uses a lot less margin and which means a lot less risk to be able to trade those larger dollar value stocks.

First I want to share with you exactly what the butterfly is and what it looks like on a regular diagram and then I want to show you in the trading program and how to set up the butterfly.

This is what the butterfly construct looks like so that’s a profit picture and it looks like a Torso or the middle part up the butterfly with a little bit of a wings on the side. Now looking at this profit picture you can see that at the center of the butterfly is at 16 now that means that I've sold two contract at the sixty levels and then I've bought protection at 55 and 65.

This is where the wings or the maximum loss starts to happen. The most that we can make from a butterfly is going to be at the sixty dollar level so if we get at the sixty dollar level and we stay there and we don't move and the option expires and then that's where we make the most amount of money.

Normally you don't trade these in terms of holding down forever until expiration you typically will hold them maybe for a few days maybe you’ll hold them for a week or two, it really just depends even put them onto trade as a long position or a short position because butterflies are really great in terms of capital requirements in order to do directional trades and I'll show you that in a second.

Now in this butterfly I have a tighter butterfly but if you take a look at this butterfly we have effect or wider butterfly where the legs or the wings on the side gets spread out further so where we still have our max profit at the sixty dollar level.

Now our max loss starts to take place at the forty five dollar level and the seventy-five dollars level. This gives us a little bit of a wider range unfortunately because we've widen the butterfly there's always something you have to give back in the market.

The market doesn't give you freebies so in this case the wider the butterfly you always usually have 8 shorter max profit or not as much as if you had a tighter one. Something to take into consideration so looking at the trade screen let's do a butterfly setup and we're here June 2014, 31 days out from expiration to set up a butterfly on Apple.

This is just the calls on the left the puts on the right and I just want to show you that how the construct is made so what we're going to do is we're going to click this one right there at the money first and we're going to sell a single contract on there and we're going to do two because that's how it's created.

Now I’ve changed the order entry to blast all just so you could see it and then we're going to buy protection on both sides of this. So we're going to sell this one and then we'll buy protection on little bit in the money and a little bit out of the money.

It will do 3 in this example so we'll go ahead and this time we’ll buy a single at the 590 so that's 15 points out and then over here at the 615 level will buy a single. So these are the orders that I would put on and you can blast all to blast all of them and send it in or to do the order the easier way you can just do buy a butterfly position and it would create a butterfly position.

Let me show you what that looks like on the profit picture so here is my butterfly all positions are spread out for the time being just so you can see what's going on. It's not one single order are so that's three separate single order. We have our single sell, -2 on the June 14 th. 605, so that would be right here this is our two right there in the middle and then we have our two wings at the 590 and the 620 level.

The 590 is right here we buying protection it's a call and the 620 is right here again the call so those are the two that are there for protection. If we didn't have those you could see how our loss could continue further and further at negative seven thousand dollar loss if we don't have those wings are protection.

Now the butterfly looks similar to a calendar but the primary difference here is look at the Vega position where's the calendars positive Vega, this is negative Vega. The butterfly is great for different times in the market when volatility is slamming you on the calendars and it just continues to hammer you then you may want to trade and do a butterfly.

Now what you can also do is mix them up and do a butterfly and a calendar on different stocks or even the same stock but it's a little more advanced strategy but this helps you eliminate or reduce this Vega risk.

If for calendar you had a positive 13 and in this you -13 it would have a zero Vega effect. So all you're playing with is the beta.

Now here we have are thinner butterfly, I say thinner because mean I can tighten it up here and it appears thinner or we have it fatter but relatively speaking It’s still a thin butterfly because we're only two strikes out what we can do is move this to a little bit wider so let's just say we go to 630 here and now it's a lot more wider and we have a beta of 10 dollars almost ten dollars, nine dollars here.

Every single day we make money so here's how this works so our max losses – 762, -765 so if it goes at this range we can lose about that much our max profit’s around seventeen hundred dollars if it gets there and stays there but normally again we don't hold it all the way to expiration so even if we hold it for a few days so let's just say we hold it for a week or two you know we’re up 265 dollars and then we could take this position off.

Even down here at 594 we would make a hundred and seventy dollars if it’s up here again about 140 150 dollars so with prices stay fairly stable then you know we would make this amount of money.

Let's go back to today and what you can do is you can actually shift this butterfly if you believe the prices are going to head higher so let's just say we move it to 610 and now we adjust this to be fairly even of course you can do skewed butterflies and to where one of the wings are not leveled but let's just keep them even for now for easy sake.

Here we have it shifted a little bit so if you expect the price to run up again you can do the same concept and allow things to expire and deteriorate of course you have a little more risk here but normally what I like to do is just if I have a negative Vega, I like to have also a negative Delta because here you'll have additional volatility risk with the butterfly.

These positions are better for calendar positions but instead because we have a negative Vega I typically like to go the other route on these positions and go something like this just because if we have a negative Vega I like to have a little bit of a negative Delta and it helps off set risk.

That's kind of the way I prefer to put on butterflies and that’s if I'm totally neutral this is a neutral position in terms of Vega and Delta. Now of course you need to watch the stock and what it's doing but this would be considered more neutral on a butterfly it would be considered neutral on a calendar if the calendar was further to the right.

Just take into consideration that neutrality is really referred to Vega position and the Delta position because you need to offset both.

That’s how the butterfly works as a little tip or side note you can play these to the upside and something that a lot of professionals like to do is to play these to the upside because its really great for data deterioration.

It’s almost sometimes better than a vertical unfortunately you do have multiple contracts that you're dealing with so you need to understand what you're doing but the way that would look like is something like this.

Here I've adjusted the strike prices in order to account for the butterfly and what I've done is put on the 625 as this middle region and the 635 as a wing and a 615 as a wing of course you can go wider if you'd like but basically here's our current price at 604, right now we’re 605 and if I’m looking for upside direction I could put on this butterfly and the reason we do that is because it's a lot different of what happens.

My max loss first off is -130, -135 on both ends so the max loss is really good our max profit or potential is 865, 860.

What we can do is see what happens to this profit line the white line as time moves forward and you can see that what happens is on this butterfly what's great about it is that it goes to the edge or past these red lines.

That's one thing that's great for this butterfly is that it goes much further out whereas with a lot of other positions it doesn't do that so it'll allow you to as the stock continues moving higher here you know even if your max losses at -120 you’re able to make you know sixty or seventy dollars maybe even a hundred dollars almost a hundred percent on your investment here just for the sheer fact of it not even going in between what you selected but just a little bit you know overtime.

That's one of the things that people do with the butterflies as far as professionals go is they put him on as directional trades not just for Theta exploration so just something for you to think about for the time being but I just want to give you a little more insight behind how these are setup in other ways not just for Theta exploration but using the power of direction and also data deterioration.

Thanks again for watching.

Remember to do what you love, contribute to others, and most importantly live life abundantly.

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Metatrade4create forex demo account

Metatrade4create forex demo accountMetatrade 4: Create Forex Demo Account

If for some reasons you don’t have registered Forex Demo Account. please press Cancel button in Authorization form. There are several ways for opening a forex Demo account:

In Metatrader4 menu “File -> Open an Account”

Simple press Insert on main screen of Metatrader 4.

Right click on Accounts in Navigator menu to display the pop-up context menu, and then click Open an Account.

You will need to fill in this form with your data (like the above one). After choosing your preferred leverage size and deposit value, tick "I agree to subscribe to your newsletters" option, then click Next button.

Pic.13 - Choose the server

Choose one of the PaxForex trading servers that you want to join from the above list and click Next button.

Pic.14 - Opening an account

In this window you will see your login and password to trade on the forex demo account. You will receive internal mail with login and password in Metatrade 4 platform. Keep it in a safe place because you'll need your login and password to login to your forex demo account. Click the Finish button to log into your forex account and start trading.

Later you can always open any number of forex demo accounts by selecting the main menu of MetaTrader 4 "File ->Open Account"

You can switch between demo and trading forex account any time you want by selecting the main menu of MetaTrader 4 "File ->Login” then enter login and password for forex account which you want to connect. In the field Server, choose PaxForex-Server.

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Forex trading strategies forex ara

Forex trading strategies forex araTrading From Event Areas Second Chance Trade Entry Strategies

November Forex Course Special: Get 40% Off Nial Fuller's Professional Trading Course, Daily Trade Setups 'Video' Newsletter, Traders Forum VIP Email Coaching - Learn More Here.

In today’s lesson, I’m going to share with you a very powerful trading ‘tip’ that will significantly improve your understanding of price dynamics as well as how to read a ‘naked’ price chart.

The ‘tip’ is somewhat simple on the surface, but a bit more involved when we dive down a bit, and that’s the part I’m going to help you with today. What I’m talking about is the tendency of a market to never ‘forget’ where a major move started.

How many times have you seen a market retrace back to a level or area where a recent major move started from, only to respect that level almost exactly before making another strong directional move? It happens often enough to be something that you need to understand and know how to make proper use of, because these scenarios can often yield very high-probability / high reward to risk trades.

Let’s hit the charts for an explanation of this powerful trading technique

Before we proceed, it’s important to note that what I’m about to discuss with you is not a perfect science, but it’s an occurrence in the market that is critical to understand, and a tool to have at your disposal when you’re analyzing charts.

The first point you need to understand is: A market will often ‘remember’ and respect where a major move started. That is to say, if a market retraces back to the level or area a major move started from, many times (not every time) it will again bounce or fall away from that same level / area. As a price action trader, this is a HUGE clue for us and we can use it to develop several high-probability entry techniques:

In the example chart below, we can see a few important things taking place.

1) A key resistance level was established near 9735.00 – 9700.00 in the DAX30 market (German Stock Index). This key resistance level and the big move lower from it established an ‘event area’.

2) The first major test of this key level / event area a little over a month later, resulted in a bearish pin bar sell signal that led to another large decline.

An event-area is something I teach more in-depth in my course and members area. For our purposes here today, you should know that an event area is a level or a small area / zone on the chart where a big price move started from. A price action signal by itself can start an event area, it doesn’t have to be at an existing support or resistance level. However, if a big move starts from a price action signal in conjunction with a key level of support or resistance. this is an even stronger event area.

3) The next important thing to note on the chart below was that as the market tested the event area when the pin bar sell signal formed, it reversed yet again, because the market didn’t ‘forget’ about that event area…

In the above chart, not only could have we traded the pin bar sell signal from the key resistance level / event area, but on the subsequent test of that event area, we could have taken what I call a ‘blind entry’ at the event area. The entry would have basically been a limit sell entry somewhere in the range of where the pin bar formed, with a stop loss set just above the resistance near 9714.00 / pin bar high. This is called an ‘anticipatory’ blind entry at an event area on a retrace, or sometimes I will call it a ‘second-chance’ entry.

Note: A price action signal at a key level or event area is a bit ‘safer’ of an entry technique than a ‘blind entry’ because it gives us some confirmation for an entry, but as price action traders it’s important to be able to read a chart and understand the dynamics of event areas, because we won’t always get the price action signal when we want one. Thus, as you gain experience you can try to enter ‘blindly’ at one of these tests of an event area, I also sometimes call event areas ‘hot points’ in the market as they are important ‘hot’ areas where a significant price action event occurred recently.

Let’s look at some more examples:

In the chart example below, we can see a good example of how to use an event area both with and without a price action signal as the entry trigger.

Note the first pin bar on the left of the chart, this initially formed the event area because of the strong down move that followed. So, we knew this level / area near the pin bar would be important on subsequent tests in the future. Sure enough, price has respected this event area on each subsequent re-test.

The pin bar buy signal from February 27 th would have been a very obvious trade since it was rejecting and false-breaking down through the event area and price had bullish momentum behind it at that point. Note the nice up move that followed.

Next, when the market retraced all the way back down to the event area on April 4 th. we could have successfully entered long on a ‘blind’ limit buy entry near the event area, note the powerful up-move that followed over the next four days.

Now, let’s look at another example of how a recent event area clued us into a potential ‘blind’ or price action signal entry.

Note, the key level near 1.6670 area on the GBPUSD and the big move lower that started from that level on January 24th, this big move told us that this was a level the market might not forget (event area). A long-tailed pin bar sell signal formed here on March 13 th. this price action signal and the move lower from it further solidified this level as an event area. Note, how the market then fell away from that level as price sold lower from the pin. We then had another re-test of the event area that led to a modest move lower before the market surged up above the event area. Now, as the market retraced back down to the event area, you would have already known this level was important and an event area (now you know for future reference).

You could have entered a blind buy limit near 1.6700 – 1.6670 area, or you could have waited to see if a buy signal would form. In this case, a very nice long-tailed pin bar buy signal did indeed form and price is still moving higher from it as of this writing. I also made a video of this buy signal when it formed, you can check it out here .

Hopefully by now you’re starting to see how the market ‘never forgets’ about key chart levels and event areas. Once you get more experience and familiarity with these levels, your eyes will begin to instantly be drawn to them on a daily price chart, and you’ll start to feel more confident in your ability to analyze and trade with just raw price action and levels.

This next example was a pretty easy one to identify and one that we first discussed in our January 14th commentary. In November of 2013 we had two pin bars in the NZDUSD carve out an event area up near 0.8410. As price retraced back to this area in mid-January of 2014, we would have already had this key resistance / event area drawn in on our charts and our attention would have been focused on it as price drew closer. Not only would a blind sell entry have worked as price hit that 0.8410 event area, but we also got a nice pin bar sell signal for further confirmation that a move lower was probable.

We can see the market fell all the way down to the key support near 0.8080 after breaking down below that event area pin bar from January 14th. Note, how well price respected that key support and that the market didnt forget about that level either. Im telling you guys, this stuff is POWERFUL!

Lets take a look at some more examples so the idea crystallizes in your mind…

The daily charts below both show the spot Gold market, one of my favorites to trade. You will notice in the first chart below, a key level / event area formed through about $1277.00. Note the small pin bar on August 7 th of 2013, the pin bar and subsequent powerful bullish move from it told us that this $1277.00 level was an event area to keep our eyes on if price re-tested it in the future.

We can see price did re-test it on October 2 nd of 2013, and a blind buy entry would have worked well here with a tight stop loss just below $1277.00. However, had you missed that entry or been waiting for a price action signal to ‘confirm’ your entry, a clear fakey buy signal formed on October 15 th. just a couple weeks later. This fakey signal at the event area led to a nice push higher.

Now, here’s where things get even more interesting…

The chart below is also of Gold, and we are looking at the exact same event area from the chart above, just more recently. This $1277.00 level has been an important level and event area all the way back from that pin bar on August 7 th we discussed in the chart above.

Now we are looking at about the most recent 3.5 months of daily chart data in Gold, and we can see this $1277.00 event area is still in-play and working quite well.

Note that since the start of this year price has tested this event area 4 times and each time the level held, at least initially. Most recently we had a fakey buy signal from this event area which formed April 24 th and that we discussed in our April 24 th commentary. Just today (May 2 nd ), the market tested this event area at $1277.00 yet again and it held yet again …we will wait to see how this fakey signal from April 24 th plays out, but the power and effectiveness of event areas and key chart levels cannot be disputed as you can see by today’s lesson!

I hope you’ve enjoyed this brief lesson on key levels and event areas. It’s clear upon observing and analyzing the raw price charts of a market that the market truly ‘never forgets’ where major moves started. By learning to spot these key levels and event areas, we can mark them on our charts and when the market starts approaching them on a retrace in the future, we have a high risk/reward scenario setting up to pay close attention to.

I suggest you first learn to trade these second-chance entries at key levels and event areas with a price action signal as a ‘confirmation’ / entry trigger, then as you gain experience you can try the ‘blind’ second-chance entry we discussed here today. For more information and training on key levels, event areas and my proprietary price action trading techniques, checkout my members’ courses and trading community for more information.

Future options trading using adelta neutral trading strategy

Future options trading using adelta neutral trading strategyFuture Options Trading Using a Delta Neutral Trading Strategy

By David Rivera

On March 19, 2011

Many traders believe that future options trading is the best part of the trading arena. They are actually referred to as an option on a futures contract. This is a type of derivative tool that is used in the buying and selling of futures trading on a recognized market. In commodity future options trading two individual parties agree to enter into a transaction.

These transactions involve future options that are bought and sold at a particular price. Buying a futures contract simply means that you are agreeing to pay a certain price in the future for products. In commodity options trading, buyers and sellers use hedging to manage the risk that they experience in the market.

Using a delta trading strategy has become one of the popular methods of trading futures. The delta itself is a ratio that compares the change in the price of an underlying asset, with the price of a derivative. In delta neutral trading, traders do not focus on the specific direction of the market itself. Here are some specifics that make this type of trading successful:

Sum of ratios is zero

There are other ways to use the delta in futures trading. Delta neutral trading is unique in that the sum of ratios here is actually zero. The delta figures are gotten depending on which way you want the market to go. Your position as a buyer or a seller will also factor into this process.

Despite market movement

Trading techniques are affected by the movement of the market in some way. Delta neutral trading makes a point of making money despite the market’s movement. In essence, traders neutralize the market’s movements, whether trending up or trending down. This strategy takes advantage of the volatility of the market and turns it into profits. This market position often requires adjustments in order to limit risks.

Author's Bio:

The author of this article has expertise in future options trading. The articles on delta trading strategy reveals the author’s knowledge on the same. The author has written many articles on commodity options trading as well.

Trading journal example(excel spreadsheet)

Trading journal example(excel spreadsheet)Trading Journal example (Excel spreadsheet)

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Best forex robot2013

Best forex robot2013Best Forex Robot 2013 | List

Best Forex Robot 2013

Best Forex Robot 2013

Top 10 List of best Forex robot

(Forex Minute Trader, Wall Street Forex Robot, Instant Forex Profit Robot, Forex Overdrive, Vladimir LST system, Forex Growth Bot, etc. see at the picture above)

PipJet is a Forex trading robot created by the Forex Megadroid Team. Just so you know, Pip Jet development has been in the process for 2 years. The team has been working to perfect their robot to make sure that it will match or even beat the success of their Forex Megadroid Robot. PipJet takes advantage of that currency pair that they discovered a particular pattern. This pattern, as they say, will be the next gold rush in Forex trading and will change the way trading is done for years.

In terms of performance, PipJet is a beauty. It has been trading for almost two years with only three losing trades and a very low drawdown. With 5 live accounts, it has already made nearly $40,000 since August of 2010. They have a number of recurring trends with a certain currency pair that can be easily exploited and turned into profit. They have already automated its process and now theyre looking forward to provide it to Forex readers, hoping to get an advantage.

FapTurbo‘s objective is to automate your whole forex trading tactic with setting trades for you and also allowing you get on with more important things of your businesses.

The Scalping Method it is a short-term buy and sell that involves getting small profits, and quite often.

A long term highly developed FAP method together with small fixed ‘Stop Loss The long run strategy includes trades on a four hours or even longer time frames.

Forex Megadroid

Forex Megadroid is the perfect robot for those who wanted to trade forex but do not have enough time like of those who have a day job, and thus need an intelligent software and minimal human intervention.

Forex Megadroids Artificial Intelligence qualities or RCTPA made it able to forecast the markets movement in the next 2-4 hours, which I think is the most important aspect in forex trading. The Forex Megadroids use of the RCTPA is a new and exciting technology.

If you are doubtful about the performance of the Forex Megadroid, you should stop thinking that way because, the system has been backtested since 2001, and its shown performance of 95.80% is amazingly consistent.

Million Dollar Pips

The Million Dollar Pips system tracks the trends in the market each day. The automated trading system does this for a number of markets around the world. As most experienced traders know, timing is everything in the market. Traders can incur losses and profits when the markets go up or down just a few fractions of a percentage point.

This is why the automated system is perfect. The automated bot monitors the system and determines what trades you would make if you had the opportunity to do so. Because of the constant monitoring and the fact that the system has built in safeguards, you are ensured a profitable trading experience.

Forex Growth Bot

This Forex Bot is designed to search for specific market conditions. When all the conditions are right, the robot makes a trade. If conditions begin to subside, Forex Growth Bot will close trades promptly to prevent losses.

Forex Growth Bot works in all market conditions even during times of bad news. This is because the Bot works in any market and is able to adapt. It will quickly close out any position that fails to go in a profitable direction.

Vladimir LST system

This program win consumers heart. It is abbreviated from Learn Simulate Trade. The system is developed for in the low profit ratio of about 34% success rate winning your trading. Even in the high risk, the designer would guarantee your profits. And I believe it since I used the program several weeks ago, Its not a mythology.

Forex Over Drive

Forex Over Drive is a completely automated system and works on the Metatrader 4 platform. Once its installed, you only have to run Metatrader 4 and the robot will enter trades according to set parameters and close trades in the same way all on autopilot. No human decision is required.

Forex OverDrive strives to prevent brokers from stop loss hunting, in order to help prevent losses and protect your money.

Instant Forex Profit Robot

Instant Forex Profit Robot is a great automated Best Forex Trading Robots specifically developed by Kishore M. The robot is sort of a Forex expert who assists you to in generating profits from Forex trading. The video on the demonstrates how Instant Forex Profit Robot opens and closes up to 30 trades in a day without any problem. Also, the robot operates on extremely short timeframes which reduces the danger of loss and maximizes profits

IFXProfit Robot has proven to be specifically many traders dreamt about, An EA which may generate pips consistently and much more frequently to get a reliable forex income great system.

Wall Street Forex Robot

Wallstreet Forex Robot calls itself “the most advanced and intelligent self-updating Forex robot, automatically adapts to current market condition”

90% of Wallstreet Forex Robot positions open during periods with the lowest spreads and highest market liquidity.

Forex Minute Trader

Works on EUR/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/JPY, USD/JPY, GBP/USD

NEW Auto-Optimizing Scalping System That Is Proven To Work On LIVE Money Accounts!

Tested exhaustively, Optimized, and Improved For Multiple Brokers using Real Money

And still There are more Forex trading robots list, you can see the list at the picture above.

Forex fundamental trading strategies

Forex fundamental trading strategiesForex Fundamental Trading Strategies

Written by Aboutcurrency

Fundamental Trading Strategies | Written by Kathy Lien

The following table shows that on average since 2003, the trading ranges for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD increases 200% the day after Thanksgiving. The impact on USD/JPY is less significant but we still see similar trading activity.

Fundamental Trading Strategies | Written by Joseph R. Plazo

Why should you worry about the price of oil if youre not buying and selling oil? If youre trading currencies, theres one very good reason. Many of the most important currency trading pairs rise and fall on the price of a barrel of oil.

Fundamental Trading Strategies | Written by David Rodriguez

Did you know that the Canadian dollar has a very unique trading characteristic at the end of every month? According to our statistical analysis, we found that over the past 10 years, USD/CAD tends to fall in the last week of the month with a 95 percent confidence level.

Fundamental Trading Strategies | Written by Kathy Lien

If oil crashes, there will be ripple effects across many economies. In theMiddle East, a lot of wealth and home valuations are tied to oil, making it even more important for those traders to look for hedging opportunities. The same is true here in North America.

Fundamental Trading Strategies | Written by Kathy Lien

Oil prices are rising and the US dollar is falling, but is this the natural relationship between these two assets? Taking a look back at the two prominent oil shocks of the past four decades (1973 and 1979), we see that this is not necessarily the case.

Fundamental Trading Strategies | Written by Kathy Lien

Selling US dollars was one of the best trades of 2007. Since the beginning of the year, the dollar has fallen as much as 13 percent against the Euro, 10 percent against the Japanese Yen and 8.5 percent against the British pound.

Fundamental Trading Strategies | Written by Kathy Lien

Increased Exports One of the biggest reasons why a weaker dollar will help the US economy is because it increases the competitiveness of US goods.

News this week that a 32 year old Canadian energy trader by the name of Brian Hunter recently lost approximately $5 Billion dollars in a period of only one week in the natural gas market caused an uproar on Wall Street.

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Forex trading and the wonders of social media

Forex trading and the wonders of social mediaForex Trading and the Wonders of Social Media

Posted 2 years ago | 2:10 AM | 5 June 2013 1 Comment

A few years back, some forex brokers decided to join the social media bandwagon by introducing features that allow their clients to share their trading metrics and strategies. With these social media features, brokers can let their clients interact with fellow traders as well.

FXOpen and FXStat Trade Book

Forex broker FXOpen continues to be in partnership with FXStat, a forex trading analytics service, with Tradebook still integrated within FXOpens trading platform. With Tradebook, clients trading with FXOpen are able to follow other FXOpen traders and look at their trades.

In addition, traders who are on Tradebook have access to a built-in economic calendar. forex news stream, and statistics on indicators that can be used for analysis. One can also get email notifications on the trade activity of other traders, which means that you will be alerted if your favorite trader opened or closed a trade!

InterbankFX and IBFXConnect

InterbankFX (IBFX) has its own social media platform called IBFX Connect. Just like FXOpens Tradebook, IBFX Connect allows IBFX clients to follow and even copy the trades of other traders on the IBFX Connect platform and analyze their trades. The difference is that any trader on an MT4 platform can join this network even without opening an account with IBFX!

The homepage of IBFX Connect has many features including a leaderboard, ranking performers in terms of percentage and pips for the week, month or for all time. Next is a chart aggregating all the open positions shared within the IBFX Connect community, allowing you to quickly gauge market sentiment. On top of that, IBFX Connect features a live activity feed and it allows you to filter the entries from everyone: traders you follow, top traders for the week, top traders for the month, and top traders of all-time.

Tradersmarter and Social Binary Chart

For those of you who are testing the waters with binary options, this might be something right up your alley.

Tradesmarter is a white-label company that allows other brokers to use its platform for binary options trading. The company plans to release its Social Binary Chart, which will allow traders in the Tradesmarter community to track and see the positions of other traders. As with most other sites nowadays, you can sign in via Facebook and post a photo or avatar. Thats just the beginning as it features many additional tools like a Binary Options Wiki, Option expiration alerts, and a blog users can read to know whats going on with currencies. Its plethora of tools but of course, you need to open an account with one of Tradesmarters broker partners to access the Social Binary Chart.

But, what if you dont have an account with FXOpen, IBFX, or a Tradesmarter partner? Well, the good news is that you can get many of these social features by opening an account on MeetPips and integrating your MT4 platform through MT4pips and MT4Sync. These tools will AUTOMATICALLY pull your trades and calculate all the stats you want.

Need to know how well you do on your EUR/USD trades? No problem!

Want to know how crazy your account balance swings in and out of positive territory each month? Well post a graph for you!

Whats even cooler is that you can journal these trades with MeetPips! You can import your trade data from your MT4 platform to review and write your thoughts on each and every single trade that you want.

Remember, writing down and discussing observations of the market and of yourself can help a great deal in understanding trading psychology. Whether youre a noob or a trading veteran, Im sure youll find these tools extremely useful!

As Dr. Pipslow once said, No trader is an island. We should treat forex-related social networking sites as avenues for learning from other traders. So dont hesitate and participate! After all, with the pretty volatile market environment, wouldnt you feel better knowing that youre not just on your own?

Strategies based on the‘on-balance-volume indicator’

Strategies based on the‘on-balance-volume indicator’Strategies based on the ‘On-Balance-Volume Indicator’

If you need to compare volume flows and price for any asset over a selected time-period, then you could use the ‘On-Balance-Volume’ (OBV) indicator to perform this task. The OBV was invented by Joe Granville in 1962 when he issued his complete OBV philosophy in his publication “How to read the Stock Market”. You will find that the OBV is regarded as possibly the most revered momentum indicator and functions using the inter-dependences of the price, volume and momentum of an asset.

Basically, you need to understand that if the price of an asset records a higher daily close than its prior reading, then the OBV regards all of that day’s trading as up-volume. In contrast, if price ends the day by posting a lower daily value, then that day’s trading is deemed to be down-volume. As such, the OBV main-line is created by the cumulative sum of all these negative and positive volume values.

You can detect these concepts in the above diagram. You need to appreciate that the OBV may be predicting a potential price reversal when its readings alter direction as Granville discovered during his extensive research. You can identify this effect in the middle of the above diagram when the OBV starts to rise signaling the end of the current bear channel.

Very importantly, the price of an asset will most often start to track the OBV after its readings alters direction. Consequently, the OBV is very useful at identifying the birth of trends. For example, if OBV begins to post a sequence of higher lows and peaks, then you should consider instigating a new long position using the applicable asset. Alternatively, if OBV starts to record a series of descending lows and tops, then you assess this performance as an alert to sell.

In addition, you can identify if quality trades are developing when the readings of the OBV commence diverging from price because the OBV concentrates on tracking the trends of assets. You should also note that Granville advised that if OBV starts producing declining values within a bullish trend, then a market top could be forming as buying pressure begins to wane. Under such circumstance, you should not anticipate price action to continue to rise for much longer as a price reversal could occur shortly.

Granville also instructed a similar sequence of events for bearish trends except you need to kept watch for the OBV to start generating a sequence of rising values. In addition, he advised that his OBV will produce its best performance in assisting you in identifying weakening trends when it is used with the 20-period moving average. You will then be able to detect such events more readily by observing everytime this moving average crosses over the OBV line. You should appreciate that the OBV is considered to be one of the simplest momentum indicators to deploy.

Should you witness divergences between the reading of the OBV and price, then you should expect that a price reversal could happen shortly. In addition, if you detect the OBV altering direction after following the price of an asset for an extended time period, then you need to consider such a development as a signal to activate a new position.

Many investors use the OBV to help confirm the recommendations of their breakout strategies. This is because the OBV has acquired a good reputation at detecting when price is about to change direction. A major reason why breakout strategies are so favored by traders is that they produce opportunities to initiate new positions at the birth of new trends. These locations are very valuable to detect because you will then be able to instigate new trades with great profit potential but exhibiting minor risk exposure. The next diagram illustrates an example.

Breakouts are generated after price pierces either support or resistance levels of a consolidation box. In the above diagram, price breaks above resistance to create a new bullish trend producing an excellent buying opportunity. However, instead of opening a new position immediately, you could consult the OBV indicator. If this tool is also displaying readings that are now rising in value, then you will have attained addition vindication for activating a new long trade.

Macd(moving average convergence-divergence)how to use macd in forex trading

Macd(moving average convergence-divergence)how to use macd in forex tradingMACD (Moving Average Convergence-Divergence) How to Use MACD in Forex Trading

MACD is one of the most reliable indicators. Although we do not believe in using any indicators in our own trading and we always use the candlesticks charting and Bollinger Bands to find the trade setups, still we believe that MACD is a strong indicator specially for novice traders who are used to get in and out of the market too early.

MACD is a lagging indicator and its delay makes you be patient , not to rush to enter the market or get out of it too early. Recently we published another article about MACD to show our followers how they can use slower settings of MACD to have a better entry, and hold the positions longer to maximize the profit: How To Use Slower Settings Of MACD Indicator?

There are so many professional traders (both stock and forex traders) who rely on this indicator. Of course, we should not exaggerate about this indicator. It is not a magic tool to show you the buy/sell signals. However, compared to the other indicators, it is great. It can be used along with RSI to confirm the trade setups.

Why MACD Works?

That is a million dollar question. Before we tell you why MACD works, we prefer to explain about one of the most important reasons of forex traders (and also all other kinds of traders) failure. Maybe you have heard this a lot from us, but it has to be reminded in this article too. Lack of patience is one of the most important reasons of forex traders failure. Most traders are not patient enough to wait for a strong trade setup. After several minutes, hours or days that they wait for a trade setup (depend on the time frame or system they use), and they cannot locate any, they lose their patience and force themselves to take a position while there is no sharp and clear trade setup. So they lose.

On the other hand, when they succeed to take a good position, they get out too early with a small profit, because they are afraid of losing the profit they have already made. They do not have enough patience to hold a position until it hits the target. So they make their profit limited, because of lack of patience.

MACD is a solution for these problems, because it is delayed and this delay forces you to wait more, both when you are waiting for a trade setup, and when you are holding a position. Thats why MACD is recommended both by forex and stock traders.

(Note: Heikin Ashi is one of the other tools that helps you wait more both before the trade setup and while you are in the market. You can read about Heikin Ashi here .)

Sometimes your other indicators and even the price chart show you a trader setup, but MACD tells you to wait, and it keeps you from going against the trend and losing money. There are also a lot of cases that you want to follow a trend, but MACD tells you that it is too late and the trend is exhausted and may reverse at any time. In this article, we will do our best to cover all of these cases and help you use MACD in your trades in the best possible way.

What Is MACD Definition?

MACD stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. MACD is an indicator used in technical analysis. This indicator is developed by Gerald Appel who was a trader and market technical analyst.

MACD is the difference of a 12 and a 26 exponential moving average. MACD subtracts the 26-period from the 12-period and the result will be displayed in a single line which is the MACD main line. Typical MACD indicators, have one extra line, which is an exponential moving average of the main line. This moving average is set to 9 by default and it is called signal line. In MetaTrader. the default MACD doesnt have the main MACD line. Instead, it has bars (histogram). On other platforms, you can see both the MACD main line and MACD histogram .

MACD histogram is the difference of MACD main line and the 9 exponential moving average:

MACD Histogram: MACD Main Line Signal Line

As you see, MACD is nothing but the combination of two moving averages. In spite of this, it is a very strong and reliable indicator because it eliminates the market noise.

MACD Formula:

If you are a trader, probably MACD formula will have no use for you. You will need it, if you are a programmer and want to use MACD in designing and developing an EA (expert advisor ) or robot. However, the formula helps you understand the indicator better. We already talked about this indicators calculation:

Main Line: 12 EMA 26 EMA

Signal Line: 9 EMA of Main Line

Histogram: Main Line Signal Line

Download The Coloured MACD:

The MACD that comes with MetaTrader by default, has only one color with the histogram. If you like to have the same colored MACD we have on our charts (below screenshots), please download and install it to your platform before we start explaining about MACD and the way we use it in technical analysis and forex trading. This indicator works in MetaTrader. You need to copy and paste it to the /experts/indicators/ folder and then restart your platform and apply the indicator on the price chart. Click Here to download the coloured MACD.

To install the Coloured MACD on your MT4 platform, you have to copy the indicator to the “Indicators” folder.

To do that:

Click on “File” menu at the top left of your MT4 platform.

Click on “Open Data Folder”.

Open the “MQL4” folder.

Open the “Indicators” folder.

Copy and paste the indicator to “Indicators” folder.

Restart the MT4 platform.

Open a price chart.

Press Ctrl+N to open the navigator. Open the “Indicators” dropdown.

Drag “FxKeys-MACD. ex4” and drop it on the chart.

How Does MACD Look Like On The Price Chart?

The below chart shows how coloured MACD looks like. It also has the Moving Average 9 but we always set it to zero, because we dont use it. It doesnt help. In the indicator you downloaded above, it is set to zero by default, but you can change it back to 9 if you like.

The MACD bars (histogram) you see below, reflect the difference of the main and signal lines. On the price chart, you see the main and signal lines. The red one is the main line and the green line is the signal line. As you see, wherever the distance of these two moving lines is bigger, the MACD bars will become longer too, and wherever these two lines cross, the length of the related MACD bar is zero (follow the black arrows).

As you see, when there is an upward movement and pressure (the market is bullish), MACD histograms go up and change the color to blue and when there is a downward pressure and movement (the market is bearish), they go down and change the color to red.

MACD bars form highs and lows. When we have an uptrend, they form higher lows and when we have a downtrend, they form lower highs and when the bars go under the zero level, they form lower lows:

How Does MACD Save You From Going Against The Trend?

As we mentioned, MACD is delayed and so when you see a reversal signal with the candlesticks and Bollinger Bands and you want to take a position against the trend, MACD tells you No. Of course, if you know about the Elliott Waves and also the cycles, you will not take any positions against the trend, even if you dont have MACD on your chart, but as knowing the cycles and Elliott Waves is very difficult, you can use MACD to stay on the right track.

Please look at the below reversal signal. A candlestick is formed completely out of the Bollinger Bands and then there are three Bearish candlesticks that are all reversal signals. Three candlesticks before this, you already had another reversal signal, but you should have ignored it, because it was fresh and it came just after a big Bullish candlestick. But, the second sell signal (the yellow zone), assures that you can go short. Lets say you wouldnt have MACD on your chart, or you had it, but you wouldnt pay any attention to it. You could go short and set your stop loss above the highest high.

And guess what? Your stop loss would be triggered:

So going against MACD is dangerous. Of course, the above signal formed by the candlesticks are not strong enough. That is why the price did not reverse and kept on going up. As novice traders are unable to distinguish the strong candlestick trade setups. having MACD can be a big help not to go against the trend based on the weak trade setups.

Going against the trend based on the weak candlestick signals is not the only mistake you can make. MACD also indicates whether the market is overbought or oversold. When it is overbought, it is riskier to go long and when it is oversold, it is riskier to go short. When market is overbought, Bulls (buyers) can start collecting their profit (they sell) at any time, and so the price may go down, and when market is oversold, Bears can start buying at any time, and so the price may go up. Of course, the candles also tell you if market is overbought or oversold, but MACD is also a big help. Lets take a look at an example:

You are a trend trader. You have an uptrend here (below). You see some reversal signals, but you wait for a continuation signal to go long. A strong Bullish candlestick forms (the last one on the below chart) and at the same time the last MACD bar changes its color and shows an upward pressure. This is what you have been waiting for to go long, but you dont consider that the market has been going up for a long time (overbought) and can reverse at any time. Of course it can go much higher, but we never know:

This position goes up only for one more candlestick and then goes down and triggers your stop loss:

MACD Buy-Sell Signals

MACD trading is so common among forex traders. They just wait for a fresh MACD movement for a few bars and then they enter. MACD is really good for trend trading. It is also good for confirming the reversal signals. However, MACD has to be used as a confirmation. The main indicator is the price. If you use MACD as a confirmation for support and resistance breakout. it will be a big help. Those who trade based on the support/resistance breakout have to have MACD on their charts, otherwise their success rate will not be reasonable.

Look at the below image. There is a trend line with valid and visible support line. You are waiting for the support breakout to go short. MACD starts going down for several candlesticks before the breakout, but you dont go short because it can bounce up as soon as it touches the support line. One of the candlesticks closes below the support line and at the same time you see that MACD is going down, BUT it is fresh and it is not oversold. It is above the zero level too. So you go short at the open of the next candlestick, set your stop loss above the high price of last candlestick and your target will be the next support level. It goes down and hits the target very easily.

Now look at the below image which is the same as the above image, but it just shows another support breakout which happened a while after the above support breakout. Obviously, it is a new chance to take another short position, but look at the MACD and its difference with the previous position. In the previous position, MACD had started going down while it was way above the zero level. It means, you would go short while market has been overbought which is a good decision. In this position (below), not only MACD is not above the zero level, but it has already started going up and making higher lows. So the market is oversold and your sell signal is not fresh. It is a second hand sell signal

And guess what would happen if you went short and you didnt consider MACD:

Yes, your position triggers the stop loss before it hits the target.

MACD Divergence

MACD Divergence is one of the most famous and the strongest trading signals that MACD generates. MACD Divergence forms when the price goes up and makes higher highs and at the same time, MACD bars go down and make lower highs. The rule says, the price will finally follow the MACD direction and will go down. However, the problem is you never know when the price will follow the MACD direction. So, if you rush and take a short position right when you see the MACD Divergence, it may keep on going up for several more candlesticks. You should go short when MACD Divergence is followed by a good sell signal by the candlesticks and/or a support breakout.

MACD Divergence can be seen at the end of uptrends. What does it mean? It means if you are a trend trader, you should not go long when you see that MACD Divergence is formed. It can collapse at any time.

MACD Convergence:

MACD Convergence is also a famous signal, but people trust the MACD Divergence more because when the market collapses and goes down, it goes faster and stronger. Fear is stronger than greed and when markets go down, fear is the dominant emotion .

MACD Convergence forms when price goes down and forms lower highs or lower lows, but at the same time MACD bars go up and form higher highs or higher lows. The rule says, the price will finally change the direction and will follow MACD which means it will go up. MACD Convergence can be seen at the end of downtrends. What does it mean? It means if you are a trend trader, you should not go short when you see that MACD Convergence is formed. It can bounce up at any time.

Good luck

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Worldwidemarkets community

Worldwidemarkets communityAmerican Consumers Stay Home

Retail sales were weaker than forecast in October as declines in automobiles, electronics, food and beverages and general merchandise suggested that the slowdown in consumer spending is widespread and could carry over into the important holiday shopping season.

Consumer spending edged up just 0.1 percent last month and September's 0.1 percent gain was revised to flat, according to the Commerce Department in Washington on Friday. Economists in the Bloomberg survey had predicted a 0.3 percent increase.

Sales excluding automobile purchases rose 0.2 percent, half the prediction and September's result was adjusted down to -0.4 percent from -0.3 percent.

Auto dealerships reported a 0.5 percent drop in October sales, after a 1.4 percent gain in September though the decline contrasts with manufactures reports of strong October sales.

Core retail sales that exclude automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services climbed 0.2 percent, half the forecast. September's sales were revised up to 0.1 percent from -0.1 percent. This so-called retail sales control group mimics the consumption component of the government's GDP calculation.

The disappointing sales numbers contradicted many analysts’ expectations that the strong payroll numbers over the past year, combined with savings from cheaper gasoline would translate into higher consumer spending.

Annual sales did not fare much better in October. Headline purchases rose 1.7 percent on the year, down from 2.2 percent in September and the lowest increase since April. Sales without autos gained just 0.5 percent in the 12 months to October. Except for April's 0.1 percent annual increase that was the lowest annual gain in seven years. Core sales declined to 2.9 percent form 3.2 percent in September.

Retail sales figures are nominal, that is, they are not corrected for inflation and consequently the actual sales are lower and the losses greater by the factor of the prices changes on the sales volume for the month.

Retail sales also were restrained by a 0.9 percent drop in the value of sales at service stations in October, primarily due to lower gasoline prices. Service station receipts fell 4.0 percent in September.

The Federal Reserve is still expected raise the Fed Funds rate 0.25 percent for the first time in eight years in December. Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and New York Fed President William Dudley have repeatedly stated that if the economy continues to perform as they expect a December rate ice is "a live possibility". October's strong employment report is no doubt what they had in mind, the retail sales information is not, though by itself it is probably not enough to derail the increase. The U. S. central bank has kept its main benchmark interest rate at 0.25 percent since December 2008.

U. S. economic growth slowed to a 1.5 percent annual pace in the third quarter from 3.9 percent in the second. An overhang of unsold inventory and a steep decline in energy investment and production brought on by the collapse in oil prices reduced economic activity.

Retail sales also were held back by a 0.9 percent drop in the value of sales at service stations, which reflected lower gasoline prices. Service station receipts fell 4.0 percent in September.

Clothing store sales were unchanged last month. Receipts at building materials and garden equipment stores increased 0.9 percent, while sales at furniture stores rose 0.4 percent.

Joseph Trevisani

Chief Market Strategist

WorldWideMarkets Online Trading

Online trading academy awards franchise in nyc

Online trading academy awards franchise in nycOnline Trading Academy Awards Franchise in NYC

New Manhattan Location Will be the 27th for Online Trading Academy

Irvine, CA, June 24, 2008 - Online Trading Academy is proud to announce an agreement with a new franchise location in the heart of New York: Manhattan.

This will mark the second location for John Bang who is also the President of Online Trading Academy New Jersey located in Secaucus. The Manhattan campus is set to open in September of this year.

“We are extremely excited to award a new location in Manhattan to John Bang. John has been an exceptional leader in the Online Trading Academy Franchise network and we are excited about his new location in the center of the financial world,” said Eyal Shachar, President of Online Trading Academy. “For anyone who lives in the state of New York and is currently a trader or wants to become one, this is the perfect opportunity to learn the skills necessary to become a successful trader.”

The Manhattan franchise joins a rapidly growing list of locations worldwide for the leader in financial education. Since 1997 Online Trading Academy has been teaching traders by using the same tools, techniques and analysis that pros use in the modern marketplace. Students work in state-of-the-art classrooms using the same unique “hands-on” approach to learning that has made Online Trading Academy famous.

Online Trading Academy believes that the best way for students to learn is by actually learning in a real trading environment. Students are provided “live trading accounts” to practice trading and Online Trading Academy covers all their commissions and losses. Innovations like this along with fully reimbursed student tuitions in the form of discounted commissions from affiliated brokers have made Online Trading Academy the pioneering institution in the field of financial education.

About Online Trading Academy

Irvine, California-based Online Trading Academy is a network of financial education centers focused on teaching students the art of trading since June 1997. Online Trading Academy offers professional instruction from experienced Wall Street professionals, as well as a wide array of beneficial home study materials to supplement classroom study. Over 200,000 investors have experienced Online Trading Academy’s Education with classroom locations that include: New York, Boston, Los Angeles, Irvine, San Jose, Dallas, Houston, Austin, San Antonio, Chicago, Detroit, Minneapolis, Orlando, Tampa, Phoenix, Baltimore, Washington D. C. Charlotte, Atlanta, London, Toronto, Singapore and Dubai. For more information about Online Trading Academy visit tradingacademy .

High dividend growth vs high yield

High dividend growth vs high yieldHigh Dividend Growth vs High Yield

Which Are the Better Dividend Paying Stocks?

The high dividend growth vs high yield debate raises an important question. Which are the better dividend paying stocks - stocks with a lower initial yield but with a high dividend growth rate. or stocks with a low dividend growth rate but with a higher initial yield?

To address these issues - I don't believe a clear cut, irrefutable answer is actually possible - let's first make some mathematical comparisons and then follow up with a short discussion of related issues.

Comparing Dividend Stocks - High Dividend Growth vs High Yield

To begin, let's compare a couple of scenarios.

Stock A is a classic dividend growth candidate. Let's say that it provides an initial 3% dividend yield and that dividend grows at a rate of 10% each year. Let's also assume that we reinvest those dividends, and that those reinvested funds are done so at a new 3% yield (which then grows 10% annually thereafter).

Stock B is a classic high yield stock. Let's say it's a REIT or an MLP. We'll assume the initial dividend yield here is 7% and that the dividend yield here grows by just 3% a year. Again, we'll reinvest our dividends and we'll assume we get a new 7% yield (which then grows at a 3% annual clip thereafter).

So which is the better investment? More specifically, which produces more income over time?

Most people would assume (rightly so) that Stock A with its much higher dividend growth rate would eventually outgrow the dividends produced by the slower growing Stock B. This is definitely the case made by traditional dividend growth advocates.

But the intriguing part hinges on the word eventually . How quickly would the lower yielding, higher dividend growth company overtake the higher yielder, lower dividend growth company?

Let's take a look at the table below (and assume a $10,000 initial investment).

In the example above, it would take between 30-35 years (Year 33 actually) before the total dividend income from reinvested Stock A would finally surpass the total dividend income from reinvested Stock B.

Make Your Own Reinvested Dividend Calculator -

Warning: Good luck finding an online calculator that provides the numbers in the table above.

It's easy to figure out the returns of a straight compounded rate. It's easy to calculate dividend income based on a dividend growth rate as long as those dividends are not reinvested. And it's easy to determine total dividend income on reinvested dividends as long as there is never any dividend growth.

But how do you go about calculating the income from both dividend growth (on existing shares) and reinvested dividends (at "new money" rates)?

There are actually two methods:

Method #1 - The Pain in the Ass Way to Estimate Total Annual Income on Growing and Reinvested Dividends

You'll need a spreadsheet for this one, and one that's as wide as it is long. Basically, you start with the dividends received from your initial investment and then increase those each year by your dividend growth rate.

Then you have to take the preceding year's dividends (which are reinvested into additional shares) and calculate the amount of dividends those would produce (presumably back at the initial rate). The dividends produced there would then begin to grow at the dividend growth rate in the years that followed.

But each year you would have to separate the dividends received from the year before and "restart" those at the initial yield and then "grow" them by the dividend growth rate each subsequent year.

See? A real pain in the ass.

But once you actually do this, you make a startling mathematical discovery - simply take the total number of dividends received in any given year and subtract the previous year's dividends to determine the total increase in income.

Divide that figure by the previous year's income to determine how much your income grew year over year.

Guess what? As long as the initial yield and the dividend growth rate remain constant, your overall annual income will increase at the same rate each year.

Which naturally leads us to.

Method #2 - The 1 Second Approach to Estimating Total Annual Income on Growing and Reinvested Dividends

This is super easy - based on the mathematical insight above, in order to determine your long term total annual dividend income growth rate, you simply take the annual dividend growth rate and add the "new" initial dividend yield of the repurchased shares.

So in our examples above:

Stock A - 3% Initial Yield + 10% Growth = 13% Annual Compounded Income Rate

Stock B - 7% Initial Yield + 3% Growth = 10% Annual Compounded Income Rate

High Dividend Growth vs High Yield - Adjusting the Numbers

Once you understand how to easily calculate the long term total income growth rates based on the dividend growth rate and the initial yield of reinvested dividends, it makes it much easier to compare these two types of dividend stock scenarios.

And comparing is necessary since, obviously, there's going to be some fluctuation involved in the numbers.

What if you have a slower dividend growth rate on the 3% yielding stock? What if the "high yield" stock is in the 6-6.5% range instead of 7%? What if it's higher? What if you're looking at a higher yielding preferred stock where there's no dividend growth at all?

The takeaway is this:

The higher the yield on the high yield stock, the greater the head start the high yield stock will have. But the higher the dividend growth rate of the lower yielding stock, the quicker it can catch up.

High Dividend Growth vs High Yield - Choosing Quality

I do need to point this out - successful dividend investing is more than just a numbers game. The biggest danger income investors face is being seduced by high yielding but low quality companies.

In my opinion, there are basically 3 types of high yielding stocks.

High quality dividend growth companies temporarily mispriced and on sale. These probably aren't true high yielders, but sometimes, during bear markets or periods of extreme volatility, you might find a high quality company trading at a depressed level so that its current yield may be 1-2% higher than its historical yield.

Structural high yielding stocks. In the example above, I used a hypothetical REIT or MLP where, due to tax regulations, the company is required to distribute 90% of its income to shareholders (unitholders) in the form of cash dividends (distributions).

Struggling companies with temporary high yields. The high yields here may be temporary, not because the stock price is about to rebound at any moment, but rather because the company is likely to either cut or eliminate its dividends. The market may often misprice equities, but the market is also right an awful lot of the time.

If you're going to be a long term dividend investor, dividend safety is paramount. Choose quality companies from the either of the first two categories.

Sadly, there won't be any quality companies in the third category. There will only be unrealistic and unsustainable promises.

High Dividend Growth vs High Yield - Additional Resources

For additional insights into the high dividend growth vs high yield debate (discussion is probably a better word), check out these following resources:

Dividend Growth vs High Yield - Some Surprising Findings - A great article by Low Sweat Investing on Seeking Alpha covering this very topic (and the inspiration for this article). You'll note that he uses different initial dividend and dividend growth rates. What's equally valuable are the numerous comments that are posted in the discussion following the article.

Low, Medium or High Yield: 16 Dividend Growth Stocks for Every Type of Investor - David Fish . also on Seeking Alpha . expands on Low Sweat Investing's article by exploring a middle ground category of companies that exhibit "moderate yield and better-than-average dividend growth."

Don't Reach for Higher Yield, Focus on Quality - A short PDF put out by Edward Jones that compares the total return performance of four categories, including "high yielders" and "Dividend Growers and Initiators" (spoiler alert - "high yielders" don't do so well).

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