Online trading academy burnaby world stock exchange fact book2011

Online trading academy burnaby world stock exchange fact book2011Online trading academy burnaby world stock exchange fact book 2011

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Abonacci trading system review

Abonacci trading system reviewAbonacci Trading System Review

Abonacci offers figured every set includes a distinctive rate of recurrence and also the exact same computation cant be requested additional set in various 30 days. He or she expose a brand new idea phone stages, exactly where it may just end up being determined at the conclusion of every 30 days, to look for the stage with regard to following brand new 30 days. Every stage is actually continuous that is comparable to the actual physics idea of wavelength and it is utilizing a set fibonacci duration 0% in order to 100%.

Click Here to Download A NEW Trading Tool and Strategy For FREE

Abonacci offers just existed because September 15 2010 and it has already been probably the most precise program which i have experienced to date! The actual drawback is actually youll want to depend on Bob Abonacci in the future away using the Theme each and every start of 30 days since the computation isnt exposed in order to anybody as well as amazing in order to Bob. Nevertheless, nevertheless it show which FOREX TRADING could be organized as well as foreseeable to lessen the amount of poor deals. Regardless of what techniques you utilize, buying and selling offers this particular increase included.

Forex day trading strategy video-chapter13

Forex day trading strategy video-chapter13Forex Day Trading Strategy Video chapter 13

Here is a forex day trading strategy video which covers one of the strategies disclosed in the The Forex Trading Strategies Guide for Day and Swing Traders eBook which will be released later this month.

The first two examples I go through are exclusive to Chapter 13 (my apologies, I say Chapter 15 in the video). The third example I look at uses a strategy from Chapter 14 as well, since I wanted a bit more confirmation on the signal.

The trade setups, entry criteria, stops and profits targets are all covered in detail in the book, and hopefully these video will help you once youve read through the book (when its available) to solidify your understanding.

This strategy can also be used for swing trading or even long-term trading depending on what time frame you have on your chart.

I will be making videos for some of the other strategies covered as well over the coming days.

Forex Day Trading Strategy Video Chapter 13

You can check out this post for the MT4 session highlighter I mention in the video: vantagepointtrading/archives/8072

Forex trading online

Forex trading onlineAnalyze Method

Fundamental Analysis consider that analysis strategic, management, product, financial statistic, and all about financial information influence the decision of buying securities in Stock Exchange.

Many factors that used by fundamentalist, they are:

Supply and Demand for a commodity have significant influence of fluctuation. If a demand of a commodity is increasing, its followed by increasing the value of commodity.

Technical analyze is an analyze method that used to trial fluctuate in the past for forecast of fluctuation in the future. Technical analyze is used to forecasting the security value, they are: Stock, Forex, option, or another instrument that can use for trading.

The trader who usually use technical analyze is called chartist . chart trader or market technicians.

Prince Albert: A Billionaire Stepbrother Romance Reviews

Prince Albert: A Billionaire Stepbrother Romance

He’s the most famous one on the planet – wealthy, gorgeous, and a notorious playboy. He’s also the most conceited, insufferable, arrogant man I’ve ever met.

Did I mention he’s a freaking prince? An actual, real life Prince Not-So-Charming.

He’s tattooed and pierced, too. Prince Albert has a Prince Albert piercing. That's right – he's pierced you-know-where. Allegedly. I’ve never seen it.

4 Steps To Making A Living Trading Forex: The 4 Steps System

4 Steps To Making A Living Trading Forex: The 4 Steps System

Learn the techniques I use to turn $10,000 into $53,000 in 5 months. Learn how you can take charge of your own retirement with Forex. Get this book now.

Forex trading strategies that work pdf60seconds binary options trading

Forex trading strategies that work pdf60seconds binary options tradingForex trading strategies that work pdf. 60 Seconds Binary Options Trading. pilatesboca

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Choosing atime frame

Choosing atime frameChoosing a Time Frame

Choosing a Time Frame

Any Forex trader that intends to use charts for trading analysis must determine which time frames will be most useful. All traders, regardless of their trading style, are likely to use multiple time frames when making trading decisions; however, a trader’s time horizon will play a big factor in which time frames are to be chosen.

First, let us understand that most charting packages allow a trader to choose absolutely ANY time frame: 1 week, 1 hour, 47 minutes, 13 minutes, 2 minutes…whatever! Although virtually any time frame can be chosen, it really only makes sense to use “conventional” time frames. The idea here is that if you are the only trader who cares what a 23 minute chart looks like, it is likely the chart patterns at that time frame won’t be meaningful. For this reason, most traders stick to rather conventional time frames: 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 8 hours, 4 hours, 1 hour, 30 minutes, 15 minutes, 5 minutes and 1 minute.

Investor Horizon

The phrase “investor horizon” attempts to describe how long an investor, or trader, plans to hold an open position. Investor time horizons can vary greatly for each individual. Let’s consider a few broad categories of traders:

This trader will hold almost all trades for a matter of weeks, many trades for months and will even have some trades that are left open for a year or more. Since trades are held for long durations, this trader usually places fewer trades – maybe only 5 to 10 a month. A long-term trader makes most of his decisions based on monthly and weekly charts; however, daily and 4-hour charts may be used to choose precise entry points.

A swing trader is a medium-term trader who holds positions for at least a few days, maybe a week or two, but is usually in and out of positions within a month’s time. This trader will generally place more trades than a long-term trader; however, will still be very selective. To make trading decisions, a swing trader will consider monthly and weekly charts, like the long-term trader, but will also put more emphasis on daily, 4-hour and even 1-hour charts. Monthly and weekly charts help the trader establish a long-term view, and smaller time frame charts are key for choosing the best entry and exit points.

The typical day trader is usually in and out of a position within a day, although some trades may last 2 to 3 days at most. An intelligent day trader won’t completely ignore monthly and weekly charts; however, these larger time frames are much less important and are only reviewed occasionally to establish the “big picture.” Day traders establish their views based on daily charts (as they plan to be out of the trade by day’s end), and choose entry points based on 1-hour, 30-minute, 15-minute and even 5-minute charts.

One can think of a “scalper” as an ultra short-term day trader. These traders only hold a position for 30 seconds to a few minutes. The profit targets for these very short-term trades may only be 5-10 pips, but if this can be accomplished 10-20 throughout a trading day, the scalper could profit by 100-200 pips, which is what a day trader might expect from one or two trades. To trade at this ultra short-term level, a scalper rarely looks at charts with time frames higher than an hour, instead focusing on 15-minute, 5-minute, 1-minute and tick charts.

Drilling Down

Now that we understand the various ranges of chart time frames used by traders of various investment horizons, let’s consider how one trader uses multiple time frames. For the purpose of illustration we’ll consider a day trader, but the same approach applies equally to traders of all investment horizons.

The following is a potential progression of time frames a typical day trader would consider when makes trade decisions:

Monthly Chart

Checked once a week to establish a “big-picture” view of the prevailing long-term trend and very significant areas of support and resistance.

Weekly Chart

Studied 1 to 2 times a week to “zoom in” on the same information seen on the monthly chart.

Daily Chart

This chart will be monitored regularly throughout the day. The day trader will be interested in the current price relative to the day’s open, high and low, which will be seen on the daily chart. One would also look for the prior day’s high and low to be broken on a daily chart.

4-hour and 1-hour Charts

These charts will probably provide the basis for a day trader’s trade setups. These charts will help the trader determine which price areas are likely to be important. Also, chart patterns will become interesting to the day trader at this time frame.

30-minute and 15-minute Charts:

A day trader will most likely choose precise entry and exit points based on these time frames.

Bars Within Bars

A trader should always remember that a graph is just a representation of price action. Therefore, the same trades were made at the same prices regardless of whether a trader is looking at a daily chart of a 1-minutes chart. Smaller time frames only provide more details about the up and down movements of price within each higher time frame.

Consider this example: A trader sits down to the computer and sees a really long (200 pips) bar on a 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD. Having been away from the computer for several hours, this trader must determine what has just happened.

If we ONLY considered a 4-hour chart, this is what we know and what we could speculate:

Fact: Price rose by 200 pips between 4 hours ago and now.

Possibilities:

Price rose by 200 pips in 2 minutes, almost 4 hours ago, and has since then been in congestion for 3+ hours

Price was in congestion for 3+ hours, and then shot up by 200 pips only minutes before we sat down

Price moved steadily up, in step-wise fashion, by about 50 pips for each of the last 4 hours.

The first question to ask is “Does it matter which of the 3 possibilities actually happened?” For most traders, the answer is “YES!!” However, a long-term trader may not care as they’re only interested in Daily charts.

If the answer is: “Yes! It matters!” a trader must “drill down” to smaller time frames to see the actual sequence of the price action. The single 4-hour bar becomes 4 bars at the hourly time frame, 8 30-minute bars, and 16 bars on a 15-minute chart. Sixteen bars will surely give more information on HOW the 200 pip rise happened than can be seen in one 4-hour bar.

Day trading false breakoutsone of the best day trading strategies

Day trading false breakoutsone of the best day trading strategiesDay Trading False Breakouts. One of the Best Day Trading Strategies.

By Cory Mitchell. Day Trading Expert

Cory Mitchell, CMT, is a short-term technical trader and financial writer with more than a decade of trading experience.

Continue Reading Below

Heres how to do that, and a strategy for capitalizing on false breakouts.

Your Psychology and False Breakouts

When you start trading one of the first strategies you often learn, or feel compelled to trade, is a breakout strategy. Whether its a breakout from a range or another chart pattern--such as a triangle or just a small price consolidation--the idea behind a breakout strategy is to capture a big move following a pattern that is easy to spot.

Trading breakouts can work, but be prepared to experience many false breakouts: the price breaks out of the pattern, only to revert right back in.

If false breakouts are frustrating you constantly, the market is telling you something. Why not trade the false breakout instead of trading the breakout? If you are constantly losing money because of false breakouts, could you make some money trading alongside the traders who are taking it? You can, and its a great strategy, though it requires practice, focus and quick reflexes.

Not All False Breakouts Are Equal

False breakouts occur regularly, on all time frames. Not every false breakout is worth trading.

Continue Reading Below

False breakouts are best traded in the direction of the trend. For example, the trend is up and a triangle pattern develops. The price breaks slightly below the triangle, only to quickly jump back in. Thats a trade you want to be long (buy) because the trend dictates the price is likely to move higher (See: Predict Chart Pattern Breakout Direction for Lower Risk Trades ). A false breakout to the downside adds evidence to that conclusion (if it cant go lower, it will try to go higher).

False Breakout Strategy

Figure 1 (click to enlarge ) shows a tick chart of the SP 500 E-minis (ES). The price is moving higher, pulls back (higher low) and then moves to the same point as the prior high. As the price starts pulling back again an experienced traders internal dialogue is strategizing what to do before the trade even occurs:

"The trend is up, but we are in a potential range or possibly a double-top chart pattern scenario. If the price continues to decline below the prior swing low (bottom blue line) the trend is likely transitioning to the downside and we dont want to go long. BUT, if the price pauses at or moves only slightly below the prior low, and then rallies sharply back above the prior low, buy quickly!

Set a stop loss just below the new low, and monitor conditions for when to exit a profitable trade. If the price is moving sharply higher, see if it breaks out above the prior high. If it pauses near the top of the pattern, exit immediately."

The strategy is simple, but it takes practice and focus to implement it. False breakouts occur quickly, and try to draw you into trading the breakout. Be patient. Strategize in your mind:

What is the trend direction? Thats the only direction you trade in.

What would create a false breakout (in the opposite direction of the trend)? If that scenario occurs, how and where will you get in? Will you use a limit order or market order. and how far does the price have to move back into the pattern?

Where will your stop loss be?

Where will you get out of a profitable trade?

Answer all these question in your mind as the trade is potentially setting up. That way, if the trade does occur, then you can take it without hesitation, and know exactly what to do.

The strategy should be written down in your trading plan. though even when you know it well, re-iterate to yourself (answering questions above) exactly what you will do if a trade develops (see: Know These 4 Things About Every Day Trade ).

Considerations and Final Word

How far the price moves back into the pattern for it to be considered a false breakout depends on the market being traded and the "context" of the trade. On a very volatile day, the amount the price needs to move back into the pattern will be larger than on a day where volatility is very low.

Also assess the quickness and depth of the breakout. If the price breaks a long way out of the pattern (about one quarter of the pattern size or more), and then moves back into the pattern slightly, dont trade the false breakout strategy. A false breakout should be relatively small and short lived for trading purposes.

Also, we want to see a sharp move back into the pattern. In this case (figure 1), if the price dropped sharply, but then moved very slowly and choppily back into the pattern, that indicates the buyers arent eager; avoid trading the false breakout strategy.

Risk is relatively small on these trades (difference between entry and stop loss) so dont get greedy with the target. Hold the trade until momentum wanes. This may be near the opposite side of the pattern, or you may hold for a breakout in the trending direction. Exit if a false breakout occurs in the opposite direction of your trade.

The strategy works well because you are only trading false breakouts which align you with the dominant trend. You can still trade normal breakouts in the direction of the trend (which are more likely to work out anyway).

Implementing this technique takes practice. See How to Effectively Practice Day Trading in Demo Account for ideas on how master this strategy through practice.

Sign up for Corys free weekend newsletter which includes trading articles and trade ideas.

Winner of the forex robot world cup announced

Winner of the forex robot world cup announcedWinner Of The Forex Robot World Cup Announced

The Forex Robot World Cup has announced the 1st place winner, Drazen Ziskovic (145.60%). LMD Multicurrency Forex Robot Software.

See The Viedo Of The Winner Of The Forex Robot World Cup

The Winner, Drazen says;

I am 33 years old and have a degree in economics. I became interested in trading the foreign exchange market eight years ago and I’ve been trading forex live for more than six years now.

I am primarily a discretionary trader and most of the time I trade with discretionary systems based on chart patterns. I do not use any indicators or standard analytical tools.

In my trading I like to keep things as simple as possible because my six years of live trading showed me that this is the best approach. I became interested in automated trading at the end of 2006 when I saw the Automated Trading Championship organized by Metaqoutes.

I decided to learn MQL programming and from that day since, I have written and tested many automated trading systems. Some were more successful than others in live trading.

One of my successful EAs won fourth place at the Metaquotes Automated Trading Championship in 2007. In the beginning I started to create the automated trading systems based on indicators and standard analytical tools, but I learned that they don’t have prospects, they’re not suitable for constantly changing market conditions. I realized that the most resilient systems are those based on chart patterns because they respond well to the constantly changing forex market, so for the last year I have been creating systems based on that approach. LMD-Multicurrency is one of those.

When I first saw the Forex Robot World Cup advertisement around October, I decided to participate because the prizes are really good and I knew if I won it would help my financial situation.

Now I am happy because I am among winners. The EA is an automated system based on the chart pattern recognition algorithm and it showed good results. I decided to do some improvements and modifications, make it multi-currency and send it to the Forex Robot World Cup.

It has a built-in knowledge acquired through many years of live trading, creating and testing various trading systems. Another reason is it’s ability to use a risky money management strategy because the EA trades multiple currency pairs, so we do not have all our eggs in one basket.

I think that this risk diversification is the main reason I am among winners. I would like to thank the contest organizers for making this competition possible. It was a really great contest and it is even greater for me because I am among winners. I would also like to congratulate all the winners and participants. Drazen Ziskovic.

3rules to draw perfect support and resistance levels

3rules to draw perfect support and resistance levels3 Rules to draw perfect Support and Resistance levels

What are the most important concepts when it comes to forecast any financial market (Forex, stocks, futures, etc)? I think support and resistance levels, some traders might disagree with me, but the information we could get from these levels could actually help us trade with better results.

There are three things the market could do after hitting a support or resistance level:

Retrace

Change direction

Stall

Knowing what the market is likely to do after reaching one of these levels, we could adapt our strategy to trade based on that information . on what the market is likely to do. Therefore, we need to know how to draw support and resistance levels and be prepared to make the necessary changes to our strategy: move your stop loss levels, close your trade, add to your trade, etc.

But first things first, what are these support and resistance levels:

Support level . Is a level in which the market has been rejected at least twice and it is keeping the market from reaching lower levels.

Resistance level . is a level in which the market has been rejected at least twice and it is keeping the market from reaching higher levels.

Is it important to know why the market has been rejected from these levels?

No, it isnt. I don’t care why the market was rejected from an important level, what is important for me is to determine what the market is likely to do on the following hours/days (after the rejection has happened) so I can profit from it. It’s not important to determine why the market moved up or down, what is important is: whether or not you profited from it, isnt it?

There could be many reasons of why the market has been rejected from these levels: accumulation of buy orders (at a support level) or sell orders (at a resistance level), buyers are attracted by the lower levels (support level) or sellers attracted by the higher levels (resistance level), buyers think or feel the market will go higher (support) or sellers think or feel the market will go lower, etc. But for sure, no one knows the reason behind market rejections, but again, it doesn’t matter, what is important for us is to determine what we are going to do after the rejection. Plus, there is no way of knowing exactly why the market topped or bottomed at certain level.

As a side note, there will always be someone telling you what caused the rejection of the market at one important level, but now you know the analyst or trader is just bluffing.

3 Simple rules to draw perfect support and resistance levels

Rule No. 1 . the market needs to get rejected at least twice from the level (not one, twice).

Rule No. 2 . the more rejections the level has, the more important it becomes

Rule No. 3 . most recent rejections are more important than less recent rejections

A chart is worth a thousand words :)

The resistance level (blue line at the top) it’s very important, the market has been rejected three times from the same level. If there was another resistance level near this one, with only two rejections, the one marked on blue would be more important.

Now, about the support levels (both have three rejections), which one is more important? I’d say support level B, because it is more recent than support level A. So If I was trading this currency pair, I’d take in consideration only support level B.

There is one rule that I always follow . only take on consideration the support and resistance levels that the market is actually taking in consideration. Why would I act based on a level that the market is responding to? Right?

One important thing to consider . support and resistance levels are more like zones instead of levels. So don’t break your head trying to figure out where to draw your level: at close of the candlestick, at the lowest low, etc. Just draw it where it touches the most rejections.

What do you think?

Feel free to comment, you don’t have to agree with me in order to leave a comment. And don’t forget to like it or tweet it if you found this article useful.

Free forex header images

Free forex header imagesFree Daily Signal Email Alert

Use the form below to receive one free signal every day between 6a-8a UTC. Our signals are based on our method of trading, called swing trading. Click here to learn more about swing trading, or become a member today for entry alerts, TP/SL info for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCHF and USDJPY, and more.

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Free Header Images

Web design aims to provide you with a website that is not only pleasing to look at but could leave a lasting impact to the client. One of the components of a website is its header. It is the first thing that a visitor sees upon landing on your page. It is safe to say that your website's header makes an immediate impact on your user so it's extremely important to get it right.

A website's header must be able to achieve what you want to achieve-to effectively convey what you want to tell your users when they drop by your site. So think about things that will intrigue them, things that will get them to read further. You must use your creativity when making a header. There are several techniques that you can employ to connect with your users.

Here are the 5 different types of header designs that you can integrate in your homepage's web design..

Finding the right hosting provider

Since we are working in website and web application design and development, we deal with different situations and challenges. However, one challenge we do not want to face is issues with hosting provider. What would you do if your website or the awesome web application is down for most of the time? Does it really make sense?

Here is what you can do:

Before you buy any hosting solution, check out what people are saying about them. You can do a Google search like Hosting provider name + review. You may also try searching for the hosting providers name in networks like Twitter or ask someone at FaceBook. You may also try different websites that offer honest reviews of providers to find a reliable website host or ask at different webmasters forums that discuss hosting issues and different deals. But what makes a web host reliable? There are different perimeters like uptime, years in business, server specifications according to your need, ssl access, customer support, community, knowledge base etc.

Another very important issue one must consider is when to go for shared hosting and when to go for a VPS hosting provider. If you are running a personal blog or website or starting up, you may consider shared hosting. It is much cheaper compared to VPS hosting. However, if you really concerned about speed and performance of your website along with security, you should think about going for VPS hosting. However, for a VPS hosting, you must have enough technical knowledge or a team to take care of the server.

The biggest problem you may face with a web hosting solution provider is proper customer support. On any given time, you may need immediate support. If the hosting provider, does not have enough professional resources, you will be in great problem. And you will come across many web hosting providers with almost no support staff.

To add, there are many companies who have taken a reseller account and offer web hosting solutions to new webmasters. Their deals can never be close to what the original company is offering. And you will often see that they offer poor customer service.

Also, good web hosting companies develop a community around their service. The community members help each other to solve a lot of regular issues. Does your web hosting solution provider have anything like that?

Tips, if you are planning to get business via organic traffic (SEO), make sure that you have good neighbourhood (other websites in the same space) in the shared hosting space. Or it may hamper your ranking over time.

Start your own blog with a your personal domain name :D

Technical forex trading

Technical forex tradingForex King Solomon Strategy

Belkhayate Indicator Forex MBFX Mostafa Belkhayate Best Forex system Forex … – Nov 04, 2011 · cursosafiliado/Mbfx-Best-Forex-System The MBFX Forex System has been designed with the goal of allowing users to realize profits more quickly Online Trading Academy Forex Review Rick Wright: 15 steps for a perfect trading routine In this report Rick Wright, from Online Trading Academy,

Online Trading Academy Forex Review Rick Wright: 15 steps for a perfect trading routine In this report Rick Wright, from Online Trading Academy, explains with detail his 15 steps trading routine that help him to get in the right mood to trade every morning. Extrinsic Value: Turning Back the Clock – As a follow-up to his previous article pertaining to

Valutaomregning Forex XE The Worlds Trusted Currency Authority – Get free live currency rates, tools, and analysis using the most accurate data. Other services include XE Trade money transfers, XE Datafeed, and more! Online Trading Academy Forex Review Rick Wright: 15 steps for a perfect trading routine In this report Rick Wright, from Online Trading Academy,

The Temple Mount is the holiest site in Judaism, central to the Jewish faith as the site of two ancient temples, the first by King Solomon in 960 B. C. Israeli on Oct. 9 announced a shift in its Syria strategy, instituting …

As the US’s strategy in Syria is publicly debated in Cathy Fasano’s telling confused “37 inches from 37 acres” to deny the existence of King Solomon’s Temple. Simply put, corporate media simply doesn’t understand the public disdain for

“When we took that break it was part of our rebranding strategy which I think has made us even more But as we prepare for the final showdown at King Solomon Hall this evening, the question that lingers on many a fan is whether this season’s winner

Forex Market Analysis, Weekly Financial News Research – FOREXs weekly rundown of upcoming events and market developments can help you make informed decisions when planning building your forex strategy.

“A thousand years before the birth of Christianity, more than 1,500 years before the birth of Islam, King David made Jerusalem our capital, and King Solomon built the Temple with Al Jazeera that Netanyahus strategy is fulfilling his promises

A portfolio strategy warren buffett would approve

A portfolio strategy warren buffett would approveA Portfolio Strategy Warren Buffett Would Approve

What are the attributes of a world-class investment portfolio that even Warren Buffett would bless?

Buffett’s 2013 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders gives us a clue:

“The ‘know-nothing’ investor who both diversifies and keeps his costs minimal is virtually certain to get satisfactory results. Indeed, the unsophisticated investor who is realistic about his shortcomings is likely to obtain better long-term results than the knowledgeable professional who is blind to even a single weakness.”

Instead of instructing people to build a portfolio of hand-picked individual stocks, Buffett – like he has in previous shareholder reports – recommends that people start with a plain vanilla SP 500 index fund (Nasdaq:VFINX).

Although an SP 500 index fund or ETF (NYSEARCA:IVV) might be a good place for exposure to U. S. stocks, it’s only one component, among many others, for constructing a truly diversified portfolio.

A few years ago, I gave up on dull diversification pie charts. Instead, I’ve been illustrating portfolio diversification as the various beef cuts of a cow. (See below)

At a very minimum, the diversified portfolio should also include other major asset classes like real estate (NYSEARCA:RWO), global treasury inflation protected securities (NYSEAARCA:GTIP), and bonds (NYSEARCA:LQD).

In my latest investing video. I explain the concept of a low cost index-based portfolio consisting of core investment holdings and how the major asset classes in my cow illustration integrates with that strategy.

I also analyze the role of non-core investment portfolios and what types of assets are held in them.

Index-based ETFs that are low cost and diversified pass the smell test for both sophisticated and unsophisticated investors alike. And making this the foundation of your serious money investments is a portfolio strategy that even the great Warren Buffett would approve.

The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter uses technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis along with market history and common sense to keep investors on the right side of the market. In 2013, 70% of our weekly ETF picks were gainers.

Follow us on Twittter ETFguide

How forex traders use cci to trade gbpusd

How forex traders use cci to trade gbpusdHow Forex Traders Use CCI to Trade GBPUSD

Talking Points

- Since the July lows, GBPUSD has rallied 1671 pips in a strong uptrend.

- The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) measures deviations from the moving average while showing overbought and oversold conditions

- When CCI crosses up above the -100 line, a buy signal is generated

Dont get thrown off by the lengthy name “Commodity Channel Index” as it is not a new 24-hour cable broadcast devoted to pork bellies and soybeans; though you could use it to trade either of these. CCI is a popular indicator used by Forex traders to identify oversold and over bought conditions much in the same way that RSI or Stochastics is used. But instead of 30 and 70 representing oversold and overbought areas, CCI uses -100 and +100. Though Donald Lambert created CCI back in 1980 to identify cyclical turns in commodities it is very effective with currencies. By measuring the current price relative to the average price of a set period like 14, CCI is low during time prices are below their average and high when prices are above their average. This gives us the oversold and overbought regions.

Why is this important you may ask? Well, it is simple. When we have a strong uptrend, the best place to buy is at price point where traders are no longer selling or selling pressure begins to subside. This is called being “oversold”. How do we know when something is oversold? This is a great question too! Forex traders have several tools and methods at their disposal to show them when prices have fallen too far too fast and when bargain hunters may step in sending prices higher. Candlestick pattern, oscillators and support/resistance levels are the primary tools. With CCI, Forex traders look to buy when CCI crosses above -100.

Similar to real estate investing, without the headache and a lot more fun, Forex traders want to buy the “worse house in the best neighborhood at the lowest price.” In our analogy, the best neighborhood is a strong trend; the “worse house” is the entry zone for our trade. Like the real estate investor, we look for the value of our holdings to increase over time. Since we have bought at a relatively low price, our risk is small relative to the potential gain. Unlike real estate fixer-uppers, Forex traders can forget remodeling as time and trend work to increase the value of the position

Learn Forex: GBPUSD CCI Buy Signals

(Created using FXCMs Marketscope 2.0 charts)

T rading Setup

The current trading setup below shows a GBPUSD daily chart uptrend from August 2013. The chart depicts four successful by signals given by CCI as it crossed down below the -100 line and turned up. Forex trend traders would filter out the sell signals generated when CCI crossed down below the +100 line as more pips are gained when trading with the trend than against it. In an uptrend, traders Forex Traders will take buy signals using CCI and use CCI sell signals to take profits. Waiting for CCI to turn above -100 and looking for price to confirm the move, traders will enter the market long and then place a protective stop order about 4-10 pips below the last swing low.

The Trading Plan

Currently, GBPUSD has just bounce from the 1.6220 area and CCI has generated a buy signal when it crossed above the -100 line. A stop could be placed just below that swing low for a target of 1.6671. Remember to always use stops and to only risk no more than 2% of your account equity on any trade. If the stop is hit, then we look for another trade! CCI is simple way to visually identify potential entries.

---Written by Gregory McLeod Trading Instructor

This article showed you how to use CCI to trade the strong GBPUSD trend. I want to invite you to enroll in our free CCI Course to give you additional practice using CCI buy and sell signals. Sign our Guestbook to gain access to this course that will help you get up to speed on Forex market basics. You can master the material all while earning your completion certificate. Register HERE to start your Forex learning now!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

Forex trading hours in christmas

Forex trading hours in christmasForex trading hours in christmas

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The lazy trader

The lazy traderCovered Call vs Buy and Hold. Performance comparison.

Some time ago, I wrote an article about a simple strategy that beats most traders. The article was about the fact that with the historical upside bias of the markets, plus the fact that 90% of traders lose money and 75% of money managers can't beat the SP500, then by simply going long shares of SPY you would be better off than the majority of traders (including the so called professionals). You would basically track the performance of the SP500. You would also receive a dividend from owning the shares and you wouldn't pay the whole spectrum of ridiculous fees that most funds impose for their under-performance (Early Redemption Fees, Deferred Sales Charges, Performance Fees, Maintenance fees etc).

That simple strategy, although extremely boring and not exempt from volatile periods, would put most big funds in the industry out of work. By the end of the article I mentioned the idea of using 10% of the Fund to sell Out of the Money Calls in order to enhance the returns a little bit more, and then not only be ahead of most traders but also beat the SP500. However, I didn't have the hard evidence to support this last claim.

Can a totally passive, mechanical Covered Call strategy outperform the SP500 returns over a long period of time?

The short answer is YES.

The BXM Index. traded in the US markets, is basically a simulation of a Covered Call strategy where the investor holds an SP 500 stock index portfolio, and "writes" (or sells) the front month, near-term SP 500 Index (SPXSM) "covered" call option, on the third Friday of each month.

The index was introduced in 2002 and a back-test from 1988 to 2003 reflects the following results:

Obviously the strategy under performs in those years where the market rallies considerably. But it outperforms the rest of the years and overall during the entire period.

Another study by Allan Associates from June 1988 to August 2006 concluded that ". the compound annual return of the BXM was 11.77% compared to 11.67% for the SP 500, and BXM returns were generated with a standard deviation of 9.29%, two-thirds of the 13.89% volatility of the SP 500."

Meaning that the strategy outperforms a simple Buy/Hold of SPX and it does it with a smoother equity curve.

There is a similar index in the Canadian markets (MCWX: Montreal Exchange Covered Call Writers Index ) that also simulates a permanent Covered Call strategy that holds shares of an ETF, the Standard Poors Toronto Stock Exchange 60 (TSE60), and sells a Call option that is the closest to the money (rather than the first out of the money). So, if the closest strike at options expiration is the first in the money strike, then Calls of that strike are sold. The Call is simulated to be sold the Monday right after expiration Friday (so the strategy is slightly different from the one used by the BXM American index).

Once again the results show an out performance over the simple buy and hold of the ETF.

From 1993 to 2003 the MCWX index shows a Compounded 181.37% return versus 107.11% for the TSE60.

So, the evidence suggests, that a simple mechanical Covered Call strategy on a Benchmark index tends to outperform over the long term. The Covered Call strategy will under perform the months when the market rallies beyond the Short Call strike price. But it will reduce your losses during market sell offs and it will generate profits during sideways markets. As the table for the MCWX Index shows, some years the strategy will underperform but in the long run not only did it beat the markets benchmark but it also did it with a less volatile portfolio (smaller drawdowns).

Really interesting in my opinion, because, when you think about it. why would anybody pay for a so called "proffesional" to manage their money?

I hope you enjoyed this article.

For more information visit:

How much capital do you need to trade for a living?

It is a good question, and one we probably never asked ourselves in the very early stages of our trading careers. How much capital do I need to trade for a living?

The answer obviously depends on many many factors. One of the most important being the cost of life in your city. Hey, after all you can survive with 100 USD a month in Cuba. hehe. You would only need to make 1200 USD in profits per year to be able to make a living off trading. Well but there's no trading from inside of Cuba so I guess it doesn't count. Anyways, let's say you need 2500 USD per month, that's an accurate assumption for me in Toronto, Canada. 2500 USD per month means 30 000 USD per year.

Now, the second factor, equally important: How much growth on a yearly basis can you confidently say you can achieve on your portfolio? And this is a very tricky question that leads to another question: What kind of returns are consistently achievable over the long term? Because, the fact that you made 40% one year doesn't mean you can repeat it consistently. At that level you are most likely using risks levels that are not long term sustainable. So, what is a realistic yearly return?

Well, it is a well known and sad reality that somewhere between 90 - 95% of traders lose money. Approximately 5 out of 6 Forex traders blow up their entire account in less than 6 months. And it is also generally accepted that 70 to 75% of the so called professional money managers can't beat the SP 500.

That means, if we get to beat the SP 500 every year, we are doing better than 90% of traders out there, who simply don't make a single penny. It also means we are doing better than three quarters of the money managers around the world.

Looking at the data presented on this article. the SP 500 average return over the last 25 years has been 9.28%. There are better and worse years, but that's the average. So, if you get to consistently achieve a 10% yearly return on your trading capital, you my friend, are a stellar trader. And taking it a step further, if you can consistently achieve 20% per year you are definitely elite.

Obviously, you can't assume you are going to be elite. But still let's assume you are an excellent trader and you can achieve 1% return per month. That means 12% per year. Let's assume that you have, in fact, already done it for 3 years at least, otherwise you can't really say "Hey I'm going to start trading for a living tomorrow!!" Ok, with 12% per year, and a need of 30 000 USD per year to live, the math is simple: 30000 * 100/12 = 250 000.

If I were an excellent trader, able to consistently achieve a 12% yearly return, I would need 250 000 USD, that is a quarter of a million, in order to trade for a living.

And this reality is hard. It strikes us all at some point in our careers as traders. Oh that moment of enlightenment and discovery when we say, "Wait a minute! My plan of trading full time with a 10 000 dollar portfolio is totally unrealistic!" Yeah. c'mon, we've all been there.

Over time you realize that trading is a business, like any other. The majority of traders fail. That's true but guess what? The majority of wanna-be rock stars also fail; the majority of wannabe Hollywood actors never get there; the majority of people who wanted to be elite athletes never made it, and for every one you see competing at the Olympics, there were probably 1000 that quit along the way and couldn't make it. Find any lucrative activity, any, with a success rate higher than 10%, and if you find it, please I beg you to let me know.

Like somebody said, trading for a living is not about having a little money and making it big, it is about having a lot of money in order to just make a little.

But hey, cheer up! There is hope! If you can make it (I frankly haven't) life is probably going to be more enjoyable. It won't take one year, two nor three, it will probably take more than a decade of compounding effects, which is indeed very powerful. And in the meantime, while we are not able to trade for a living yet, let's just be happy and welcome any supplementary income we can get from the markets.

If you enjoyed this article you will probably like the one I wrote back in March 5, 2011 about how much money you need to retire. Here it goes: How much money is enough?

LT Trend Sniper - A forex strategy that works

The LT Trend Sniper system is a Forex strategy that I designed and automated in 2012. It went through a live forward testing phase of two years (2013 2014) and it currently trades on a real money account.

The LT Trend Sniper is a simple system that operates based on one entry rule only and two exit rules. It is entirely based on price action and uses exactly zero indicators for its trading decisions. Its simplicity is what makes it robust and likely to keep delivering profits in the future as it exploits a very basic characteristic present in any market where trends are developed. It has succesfully been tested in pairs such as: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCHF. Although the best results by far are obtained from trading EURUSD.

As the name suggests, the strategy attempts to catch trends. Very long term trends in fact on the daily time-frame. Once a trend is identified the system will attempt to ride it for as long as possible, sometimes for even 2 or 3 months, in order to maximize gains. No target profit is ever defined. Instead, the system will try to exploit the trend to its limit, until the trend is as close to its end as possible.

Turtle Trading System Automated. Method 2. (Forex Expert Advisor)

The legendary story of the Turtle Trades. Pretty intriguing isn't it? If you don't know about the Turtles and the story behind them, you can read here. My question always was, are the mechanical systems that they used still valid today? Are those systems still profitable? Are they applicable to Forex?

The Turtles traded several markets with 2 systems (System 1 and System 2). These systems didn't have any discretionary rule. Everything, from entries to exits, position sizing to money management, everything was clearly established to the very last detail. This document is the most comprehensive guide I have seen about the Turtle Trading Methods and I used all that information to automate System 2 in Metatrader. I automated System 2 first as it is simpler to program. My plan is to eventually do the same thing with System 1. Let's see if System 2 still works and if it is applicable to the Forex markets, in particular the EUR/USD pair.

The system uses the daily timeframe and the rules are surprisingly simple. These are the rules for entering Long positions:

Buy when the current price is higher that any other high in the previous 55 days.

Put a Stop loss 2 Average True Ranges away from the entry (by using the ATR the system is flexible to current volatility. When the volatility is higher the Stop Loss will be set farther away and viceversa). The ATR used is evaluated over 20 days. So ATR(20).

Don't put any Target Profit on the orders. The goal is to let them run as far as possible in your favor.

Dynamically calculate position size so that if Stop Loss is hit you only lose 2% of the account. So, if you have a farther away Stop Loss, the positions size will be smaller, and viceversa.

Once inside the trade, if price moves in your favor by half the ATR, then add another long trade. And you do this until you have a maximum of 4 open trades in the same direction.

Every time a trade is entered, move up the Stop Loss of the existing trades, to the same price of the Stop Loss calculated for the new trade just entered.

Exit all the trades when the current price is the lowest price of the last 20 days (This may happen at a profit or a loss). Or exit when Stop Loss is hit.

For short positions the rules are the same but the other way around. You enter when the price is the lowest it has ever been in the last 55 bars and you exit when price is the highest price seen in the last 20 bars. This trading system has all the ingredients recommended by professional Forex traders: it cuts losses short, it lets winners run, it adds to winning positions.

Notice in the above picture how all 4 trades were profitable. However, notice how much of the profit was lost. With some optimization that I will explain in this post, the system can be much more profitable and let fewer portions of the profits slip away.

Pretty simple system but incredibly powerful. Also mentally hard to trade. Buying at a 55 day high is tough as that's the point where most traders think the move is done and start fearing a reversal. Same for shorts when you initiate a short position at the 55 day low. Entries are definitely hard to digest psychologically speaking. Exits are even harder. Waiting for the price to reach the lowest point of the last 20 days is painful while you inevitably watch part of your profits evaporate. But this is the best way to ride a trend as far as possible without arbitrary target profits that cut your winners short. This mechanism allows the strategy to ride monster trends once in a while that skyrocket profits.

I ran a mathematical expectancy analysis of the entries and verified that both Short and Long entry signals have a significant positive edge. This is good as a first step to trust the system. Then I coded the rest of the strategy and started to have fun with back tests.

Here's the result of the back test for the EURUSD currency pair from January 1, 2000 to November 14, 2012 (Fully trust worthy paid data from AlpariUK obtained through direct request to the broker). The spread used was 2 pips which is worse than what most brokers offer today.

(Click on image to enlarge)

One note here about the draw down. The 31.69% relative drawdown is calculated by Metatrader taking into account the biggest drop peak to valley in the equity curve considering floating profits and losses (of non closed trades) in the calculation. That is why the draw down is reported as a higher number than what it actually is. When considering only closed trades instead of temporary unrealized profits and losses, the Maximum Relative draw-down is 21.34% in almost 13 years.

Some more statistics:

Average Annual Return: 13.19%

Ulcer index: 12.06

Sharpe ratio (Compared to SP500): 0.70

Martin ratio (Compared to SP500): 0.89

This performance easily beats the returns of audited professional Forex traders reported on the Barclay Currency Traders Index. A high Ulcer Index of 12.06 reveals what we already know: The system is hard to trade. But who said profitable trading was easy? Also, the Turtle trader must be patient as he will not be trading every single day. The system can stay inactive for weeks waiting for the expected Donchian Channel Breakouts in either direction.

Some further optimizations

The Turtles applied this method using the 55 20 days combination to all the markets they traded. The system was not optimized for specific instruments. It is more of a "universal", a "fit all" approach, which is great because it exploits a more universal market inefficiency that seems to work across multiple instruments. It is a more fundamental occurrence and therefore you would assume it is a market inefficiency that is harder to disappear. But that doesn't mean the parameter selection can not be improved for specific markets and that's what I wanted to do for the EURUSD pair.

First I ran an Optimization test to make sure that the Parameters space provides good results even though parameters were drastically changed.

A coarse optimization was run only for two parameters (days for entry signal and days for exit signal). The great news is that the Parameters space is very solid and profitable across the board (All green). Meaning the 55, 20 set is not the only profitable one. Any combination of days for the entry between 40 and 80, along with any selection of days to exit between 4 and 20 consistently yields positive results. Which is great because it means that even if you are not playing with the most optimal parameters, you still have a high chance of seeing equity growth over the long run.

Once I was confident the Parameters space was that wide and good, I ran a Rank Analysis for the parameters selection. The idea is to obtain the parameters that yields the most stable draw down values and the most stable yearly returns. It looks like the 70 day entry with an 8 day reversal exit is the most stable parameter set, which offers the most stable draw-down values yer after year along with the most stable returns. Here's the back test using the 70 8 combination.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Now the maximum drawdown according to MT4 (which as I said, considers floating unrealized profits and losses) is 25.20%. But in reality it is only 15.66% considering the equity curve based on closed trades.

Average Annual Return: 18.33%

Maximum Drow-Down: 15.67% in 13 years

Ulcer index: 8.98

Sharpe ratio (Compared to SP500): 0.74

Martin ratio (Compared to SP500): 1.77

This is, in my opinion, a far superior version. The essence of the system hasn't been changed. We simply came up with parameters that consistently deliver superior results and that are likely to be profitable going forward regardless of market mutations.

If you think this trading system can be a good addition to your trading arsenal, consider the purchase of the Expert Advisor for only $67. Much less than what is typically charged for unprofitable, over curve-fitted unprofessional EAs out there that can't survive a month of live trading. As part of the purchase you get an Installation and Configuration guide, plus my personal support setting it all up if needed.

Turtles Trading System 2

Expert Advisor $67

Beyond any doubt, the Turtles Trading System 2 has a positive edge. It is profitable and applicable to the Forex markets (you can test it on other currency pairs as well). Although profitable, the method is psychologically hard to trade. The hardest part is letting profits run indefinitely without a predefined profit target. That factor explains why some Turtles were not profitable in spite of the fact that they were all taught the same system. Letting your profits run, as originally sated is what ultimately separates the great Forex traders from the amateur ones.

Thanks for your interest. I hope you enjoyed this article and I also hope that if you make the Turtle Trading System EA part of your trading arsenal, you can benefit from it. For any inquiries and support of any kind feel free to contact me at lazytradergmail.

As a proof that Long term Profitable automated trading is possible, the Turtles Trading system continues to deliver good results after this document was written. During live trading in 2014 the system delivered a solid +42% return. Read the article Profitable Forex Strategies - a follow up for more details.

Saturday, January 12, 2013

Options strategies for low implied volatility environments

My little experience selling Credit Spreads is that the worst possible market environment for option sellers is a market that slowly and almost stubbornly trades higher and higher. I've said that before. The Indexes go up little by little almost painfully and the volatility, the VIX and with it Options' premium in general go down.

In this low VIX environment Credit Spread sellers find that in order to obtain the same credit they use to, they now need to sell strike prices that are closer to current market price. And by doing that, they (and me) expose themselves to higher risk. If the market threatens their short strike Calls then they try to adjust, and realize the price for the adjustment is not good either, and you can barely go too far out with your new options as the premium is much lower when the VIX keeps falling.

We faced this scenario during the first 4 months of 2012. And boy oh boy, was it painful to trade. It sucked. It was not fun at all. And since then I've been thinking that perhaps selling credit spreads all the time doesn't make much sense, even though you master the technique, there are some market environments where the premium is just not there, being right now one of them.

With the VIX this low it is a good idea to look at Long Vega trades. Where your positions benefit from an increase in Volatility.

(Click on image to enlarge)

This is the VIX as of Friday, January 11, 2013 at market close.

Assuming that it will revert to a higher mean at some point, then we could benefit from some strategies like the ones mentioned below:

I'll use the RUT index as an example. Generally speaking, a VIX that goes higher comes in tandem with a market that goes down.

Risk/Reward, Profit Factor and Profitability of Trading Strategies

It is amazing how many traders, specially newbie traders, emphasize how this or that system wins 80% or 90% of the time, as if that is the only thing that matters. When in fact, only the combination of the success rate plus the risk/reward ratio of the trades should be analyzed as a whole.

Let's say for example you are a currencies trader who has a mechanical system that wins 90% of the trades in back test. That's 9 winners out of 10 trades. Now, if that one loser is big enough, it can wipe out all the profits of the previous 9 winners, resulting in a flat account balance. That's the typical behavior found in scalpers. If the risk reward in your system is 9:1, that is your risk is typically 9 times bigger than your target profit, then winning 90% of your trades means you don't make any money after all. Thus, it is really important to talk about risk/reward when you mention winners percentage, otherwise talking about success rate is meaningless.

Other traders will favor the favorable risk rewards, where your risk is smaller than your potential reward. Usually 1:2 or 1:3 is desired. Then they become so obsessed about this, that they will look at your system and will invariably say, well your typical risk/reward is only 1:0.8 (That is your winners are on average 80% the size of your losers, so losing trades are bigger), so that's not a good system, immediately jumping to conclusions. However, your 1:0.8 risk reward system might win 75% of the time, which would make it a very valid and profitable system regardless of the criticized non-favorable risk/reward.

Now a little exercise to compare systems.

How can I determine if a system of a 9:1 risk reward ratio that wins 92% of the time is more profitable than a system with a 1:2 risk reward ratio that wins 50% of the time?

This calculation is what is known as "Profit Factor" . which tries to determine how many dollars you make per every dollar you lose. How to calculate the Profit Factor? Simple:

System number 1:

Wins 92% of the time. That is 92 trades out of 100.

Risk Reward ratio is 9:1 meaning if the typical winners is 1$ the typical loser will be $9.

Now, you do the math, 92 winning trades of 1$, that's $92 in positive territory.

Versus 8 losing trades of $9 dollars, that's $72 lost.

Finally you divide $92/$72 and that's a Profit factor of 1.28. Meaning, you make $1.28 for every dollar you lose.

System number 2:

Wins 50% of the time. That is 50 trades out of 100.

Risk Reward ratio is 1:2 meaning if the typical winners is 2$ the typical loser will be $1.

Now, you do the math, 50 winning trades of 2$, that's $100 in positive territory.

Versus 50 losing trades of $1 dollar, that's $50 lost.

Finally you divide $100/$50 and that's a Profit factor of 2.00. Your strategy makes $2 for every dollar it loses.

A profit factor lower than 1 means the system is not good, a. k.a it loses money. A profit factor of 1 means your system has no particular edge: it loses the same amount of dollars it wins. I would say a profit factor north of 1.25 is probably a good number that implies (over long periods of time, and statistically enough data) a possible real edge.

System number two has a higher profit factor. It makes more money for every dollar it loses. Now, this by itself doesn't mean that system number 2 is better. We haven't considered the opportunities factor. How frequently does system number 2 trade? So, although the profit factor of this system is much higher then that of the first one, maybe it only trades once every month, while the first one trades 15 times every month. In that case you might want to consider System number one, because although it has a smaller profit factor, the opportunities are much more frequent and it can give you more money in absolute numbers in the end.

At the same time, there is the Draw-down to consider. What is the worst period of losses of your system? How much money in percentage terms did it lose over any period of time? How long was the system involved in a draw-down during its worst period? All those factors need to be considered when choosing your system, as your psychological profile will determine which one makes you feel more comfortable.

In the end, it is important to know that the percentage of winners alone is not what determines a system's profitability. Only the combination of percentage of winners plus typical risk/reward ratio of the trades can give you a real picture on how profitable a system is. Also, always be aware that in order to choose your system there's much more to evaluate than just the risk reward ratio or the success rate.

Related Articles:

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Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Profitting from Delta Neutral trading

How to trade delta neutral and still profit from it?

At first I didn't even know what the hell Delta meant, let alone did I question how to make a profit Delta neutral trading. Anyways, according to Investopedia :

Definition of 'Delta'

"The ratio comparing the change in the price of the underlying asset to the corresponding change in the price of a derivative. Sometimes referred to as the 'hedge ratio'."

Got it. Sure you did. If you didn't, things are simpler in my world.

If you trade options, the Delta of the option means how much money the option wins or losses per every point of movement in the stock.

For example let's say you are considering to buy an IBM February 190 Call.

(Click on image to enlarge)

You could buy that Call option for $234 or less. With a Delta of 0.42, if IBM moves one point in your favor (that is upwards) The Call should increase $42 in value. If IBM loses one point the Call should lose $42 in value. Once the move occurs the Delta of the Option changes. It will increase if the movement of the stock was in your favor or it will decrease if the movement was against you. A Put on the other hand will give you negative deltas, that is, you make money if the stock goes down. When options are at the money or close to it, they have a delta of around 0.50 (+50 deltas for Calls and -50 deltas for Puts).

Now, unlike options, when buying stock your Delta is 1 per share. So for example 100 shares of IBM will mean you are positive 100 deltas. If IBM moves up $1 you make $100, if IBM loses $1 you lose $100. Unlike options, the deltas of your stock position don't change, as long as you own 100 shares you will be +100 delta positive.

Using Delta Neutral trading to extract profits form the markets

The objective of Delta Neutral trading is to remove price risk, also known as directional risk and be profitable regardless of stock movement as long as it moves somewhere and doesn't stay in the same place. The Delta neutral technique is achieved by combining options and shares so that your overall delta is as close to zero as possible.

Let's say company XYZ is trading at $100. You buy 100 shares of company XYZ. That is +100 Deltas. You need -100 Deltas to offset the +100 risk. By buying 2 at the money PUTs (remember the at the money options have around 50 deltas) you should be close to -100 deltas which offsets the initial +100 Deltas. Let's say the at the money Puts are worth 5.00

Buy 100 shares XYZ at $100 (+100 delta)

Buy 2 At the money PUTs at $5.00 (-100 delta)

You invested $10,000 in the stock and $1,000 in the Puts. Total investment $11,000.

What happens now is that if the stock moves up by one point, you are making $100 with your shares, but you lose $50 with each Put (because of their -50 deltas), so $100 lost in total for the Puts. However, the delta of your Puts decrease as the stock moves against them. After the movement, the Puts are not out of the money anymore and therefore their delta is not 50 anymore. Let's assume delta is now negative 40 per Put. If the stock moves up another point you make $100 again in your shares position but this time you lose only $80 on your Puts ($40 loss on each Put per the -40 deltas). Now you already have a small profit overall as you gained more in the stock than what you loss with your Put options.

If the stock keeps moving up you make $100 on your shares position for each point of move and you lose less and less on your Put options, resulting in greater profits. You keep making the same money on your shares moving up, while your Puts lose less money than what you are making on your shares.

Back to out XYZ example:

Let's say XYZ moves from $100 to $105. Your Puts are now five points Out of the Money and instead of $5.00 they are now worth $3.00 (time value left) and have a Delta of 0.35. That means you have $600 in your Puts with -70 Deltas. You also have $10,500 of value in your shares, with still +100 Deltas. Overall you went from a delta neutral position to positive 30 deltas.

100 shares of XYZ at $105 = $10,500 (+100 Deltas)

2 Puts Strike $100 at $3.00 = $600 (-70 Deltas)

Combining both components of the position you now have $11,100 and +30 Deltas. There is a $100 profit on the initial amount of $11,000 invested. You can close the whole position now and go home with $100 or you can re-balance your deltas and get back to neutral. Having +30 deltas, you can reduce that excess by selling 30 shares (-30 deltas). You can also buy a new Put with 0.30 negative deltas. Let's say we decided to use the first approach and we sell 30 shares.

30 shares sold at $105

still own 70 shares at $105 (+70 deltas)

still own 2 Puts at $3.00 and 0.35 negative deltas (-70 deltas)

If XYZ keeps moving up you make more money. Let's say XYZ moves up now from $105 to $110, you make $5 on 70 shares. That is a $350 gain, however you lose less than $350 on the Puts as your negative 70 deltas only affect the Puts at the very beginning of the stock movement, and it starts to go down after that. Let's say you lose $250 on your puts, that's another $100 in profit overall. Then again, you re-balance it all back to delta neutral or close the whole thing.

Let's analyze the case when the stock starts to move down.

What happens now is that if the stock moves down by one point, you are losing $100 with your shares, but you gain $50 with each Put, so $100 won in the Puts. However, the deltas of your Puts increase as the stock moves in their favor. So instead of 50 negative deltas per Put, let's assume it is now 60 negative Deltas per Put. If the stock moves down another point you lose $100 again in your shares position but this time you make $120 on your Puts ($60 profit on each Put per the -60 delta). If the stock keeps moving down you keep losing $100 on your shares position for each point of move and you win more than $100 over and over again as your Puts deltas combined is greater that 100. And this results in an overall profit. You keep losing the same money on your shares moving down, while your Puts make more money than what you are losing on your shares.

Buy 100 shares XYZ at $100 (+100 delta)

Buy 2 At the money PUTs at $5.00 (-100 delta)

You invested $10,000 in the stock and $1,000 in the Puts. Total investment $11,000.

XYZ moves from $100 to $95. Your Puts are now five points In the Money and instead of $5.00 they are worth $11.00 and have a Delta of 0.65. That means you have $9,500 invested in your shares, with +100 Deltas and $2,200 in your Puts with -130 Deltas.

100 shares of XYZ at $95 = $9,500 (+100 Deltas, 1 delta per share)

2 Puts Strike $100 at $11.00 = $2,200 (-130 Deltas)

Overall you now have $11,700 and -30 Deltas. You have made $700 in profit. You can close the whole position now and go home with $700 or you can re-balance your deltas and get back to neutral. Having -30 deltas, you can remove that by buying 30 more shares this time at $95. Or you can get rid of one of the Puts and sell shares at the same time like this:

Sell 1 Put at $1,100 and 35 shares at $95.

still own 65 shares at $95 (+65 deltas, +1 delta per share)

still own 1 Put at $11.00 (-65 deltas)

That way you can lock in profits little by little and go back to Delta neutral every time your overall deltas are far from zero.

Note: Although I have exemplified the technique with the Purchase of stocks and Puts . it can also be done shorting stocks and buying Calls. The principle is the same: re-balance to delta neutral from time to time and lock in profits in the process.

Until now, it all sounds too good to be true and it is. This strategy has its weak points:

1- If the stock doesn't move, the options will lose value due to time decay while you gain nothing on your shares, resulting in overall loss.

2- In practice the price of options is not so predictable as Delta is not the only factor that affects it. You also have implied volatility which is a major concern, plus time decay (known as Theta) mentioned above.

3- In case you become a master at Delta Neutral trading, while it is true that the risk of huge losses is minimum, the returns on the overall investment are also small. So, for the average retail trader with a 10 thousand dollar account, it is not worth the time.

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Thread brokers with high leverage and low minimum deposits

Thread brokers with high leverage and low minimum depositsThread: Brokers with high leverage and low minimum deposits?

Brokers with high leverage and low minimum deposits?

Greetings all,

I've been on the forum here for awhile, and I gotta say it's the best forum out there! I have tried to offer my advice and services whenever possible because I think it's all about giving back to the community.

Now, I need some help from all of you! I need a broker that will have high leverage and a low minimum deposit. I'm going to try a new trading strategy that will increase my risk but be a very controlled risk.

I'm currently using Oanda, and they are decent but do not offer high leverage. I'm looking for 500:1 leverage.

Any advice would be very appreciated!

Trading strategy language

Trading strategy languageTradeStation Platform

EasyLanguage

Create your own analysis tools and trading strategies

Exclusive to TradeStation, EasyLanguage is a trader's programming language that allows you to create and modify indicators and trading strategies in TradeStation. EasyLanguage is the driving technology behind all of the analysis tools built into TradeStation. With EasyLanguage you can also build and customize your own unique analysis tools based on your ideas and tailored to the way you trade.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION:

No offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities, securities derivative, futures products or off-exchange foreign currency (forex) transactions of any kind, or any type of trading or investment advice, recommendation or strategy, is made, given or in any manner endorsed by any TradeStation affiliate and the information made available on this Website is not an offer or solicitation of any kind in any jurisdiction where any TradeStation affiliate is not authorized to do business, including but not limited to Japan.

Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options futures or forex); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. Please click here to view the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on our Other Information page. System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.

TradeStation Group, Inc. Affiliates: All proprietary technology in TradeStation is owned by TradeStation Technologies, Inc. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities, Inc. (Member NYSE. FINRA. NFA and SIPC ). TradeStation Securities, Inc. s SIPC coverage is available only for equities and equities options accounts. Forex products and services are offered by the TradeStation Forex divisions of IBFX, Inc. (Member NFA) and IBFX Australia Pty Ltd, ABN 84 142 210 179, holder of AFSL #363972.

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Trading strategy language Best Binary Options Brokers 2015 l2lconsulting

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Gold futures trading strategies

Gold futures trading strategiesGold trading strategies futures, statistical physics stock market.

COMEX Gold futures. This strategy can provide more than 25 times. When compared to an investor trading gold futures, an individual who invests in an ETF. Basic Trading Strategies Even if you should decide to participate in futures trading in a way that doesn't involve having to make day-to-day trading decisions. By August, the price of gold increases by $2 to $352 per ounce and Joe decides to sell. Another common strategy used by futures traders is called "spreads."

Gold trading strategies futures:

Gold futures are standardized, exchange-traded contracts in which the contract buyer agrees to take delivery, from the seller, a specific quantity of gold eg. If you are a hedger or a speculator, gold and silver futures contracts offer a world of. Because they trade at centralized exchanges, trading futures contracts offers. some risk management strategies using options to protect your oil positions. Mar 23, 2010. Day Trading Spot Gold Futures is a touchy subject among traders. You either hate it and think it cannot be day traded for consistent gains or.

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Let's illustrate this precious metals trading strategy with an example. A gold futures contract consists of 100 ounces. Now, the margin requirements can vary from. AlgoTrades futures trading system and automated futures trading strategies are for investing in futures. Proven futures investment - futures trading systems.

Exit and entry points in forex trading

Exit and entry points in forex tradingExit and Entry Points in Forex Trading

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Exit and Entry Points in Forex currency trading

Currency trading does carry a lot of risk. Most dealers lose cash everyday and this occurs simply because they make poor choices, are unfortunate or dont have the required expertise and teaching necessary to be productive in Foreign currency trading. The best thing is that we observe more people trading every day, thinking of making a massive gain. Unfortunately forex dealing is tough. You have to know precisely where to buy and also when to stop buying. Were talking about entry and exit points, which are essential factors in forex dealing. You are able to see them by the use of Pivot Points.

Dealers use Pivot Points to be able to detect when they ought to enter a deal and when theyve got to leave the trend so they can get the largest profit. It’s in no way easy to identify the points and you do require a lot of practice.

Using Fibonacci levels we can create pivot levels. See video:

With the use of Pivot points to recognize Exit and Entry in forex deals

It is possible to calculate pivot levels by using different indications like RSI, CCI or MACD. Every one of these indicators are available on the internet free of charge. Theyre going to work by studying market trends that were discovered in the slot and examining the support resistance levels that currencies have.

Forex pivot points will often be identified by using support resistance levels. Were basically talking about where currencies are likely to rise in value. Marks are placed on areas where the demand from customers is more than available supply. When the resistance levels are damaged well observe a raise in the currency’s bid/ask price. Therefore you are able to use a pivot point as a way to anticipate a trade’s good exit and entry points.

You ought to also consider the use of stop-loss. We are able to determine it as a value which is set under the price that you first bought any currency, then when the market falls assets are sold off automatically when the stop-loss limit point is reached. Every single dealer will evaluate exactly how much risk theyre willing to use and set the value of stop-loss limits.

Forex Entry Points

When we have an uptrend market and the costs exceed pivot points we have to enter the currency trading market by using long position, which is combined with a stop-loss limit thats set under the established pivot level. When we observe a downtrend we need to enter the market with short positions and put the stop loss points higher than pivot levels.

Forex Exit Points

When weve got long deals and prices above pivot levels we have to look at getting 10 to 15 pips below the high pivot level. In similarity, when we use short trades we must exit the moment the prices are likely to reach a value thats the same as the pivot length.

Forex entry points are. Important Fibonacci level or yesterday (or weekly or montly) high/low price level (for short positions low price level)

Forex exit points: Fibonacci level

AUDUSD Chart October 2012:

Entry and exit pivot points are 1,03476; 1,0309; 1,0278; 1,0248 etc

How do you determine exit and entry points and why?

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ForexYard enables you to trade with amounts as small as $100! Starting to trade with such small amounts is the best way to get acquainted with the Forex marketplace. After familiarizing yourself with the ForexYard system and establishing a trading strategy, you may increase the level and scope of your activity, as you see fit.

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ForexYard recommends that all traders with account balances less than $1,000 trade using a Super-Mini Account. This gives you more staying power in the market and the ability to take advantage of multiple opportunities without over-leveraging your account. If you over-leverage your account, you will not give yourself enough room for error. Even if you are correct on the direction of the market, minor fluctuations can generate a margin call and liquidate a good position.

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Wbez915chicago

Wbez915chicagoBy: Yolanda Perdomo

Turtle trader Michael Carr. Trader Richard Dennis famously said they could train traders as fast as they raise turtles in Singapore.

The Eddie Murphy comedy “Trading Places” celebrates its 30th anniversary this summer.

The box office hit explored whether a person who has no formal training can make millions in the markets.

The two main characters, Mortimer and Randolph had two counterparts in Chicago traders William Eckhardt and Richard Dennis.

Dennis reportedly made his first million by the age of 25. A few months after the movie hit theaters, Eckhardt and Dennis put an ad in the newspaper looking for new talent.

“The ad looked like the New York Yankees looking for a starting shortstop,” Michael Cavallo said. He was already in commodities, for the beverage department at General Cinema. But the idea of working with Dennis was on a whole other level.

The ad read something like this: a group of applicants would be trained in Dennis proprietary concepts, trade only for him and get a percentage of the profits.

Chicagoan Jim DiMaria was among those picked. DiMaria says he got an $18,000 draw.

“That was enough to pay my grocery bills and I knew that was going to be secure,” DiMaria said.

The name turtle came from Dennis, who thought he could train traders as fast turtles were raised in farms.

Michael Covel is the author of The Complete Turtle Trader. He says Dennis and Eckhardt believed the markets were a reflection of people and their decision-making or their human behavior.

“If a market was moving up, you want to be following that trend, if its going down, you want to be following that trend and the idea being if the market is moving down, youre shorting the market to make money if the market drops,” Covel explained.

Dennis and Eckhardt took around 20 people: about half with no business background.

Michael Carr is a Wisconsin native who worked for the company that created Dungeons and Dragons. Carr and the other Turtles had three and a half to four years to make money after two weeks of training. He says part of the recruiting process included answering personality questions like “how important is money to you and why? and ‘would you rather be good or lucky?”

Carr, Cavallo and DiMaria wont say how lucky they were. But they didnt lose money.

But not all of the Turtles made money. Several were dropped early in the program. Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt declined to be interviewed for the story. DiMaria would describe the experiment as a success.

“If this were in fact the dollar bet (like the one made in Trading Places), which is the theory, (then, yes) can trading be taught. but maybe not to just anyone,” DiMaria said.

Michael Covel says the lessons learned from the Turtle Traders continue today.

“I think theyre seen as visionaries and very successful traders,” Covel said.

Today, Cavallo is in Massachusetts and works for the Clinton Foundation. Carr is a freelance writer in Wisconsin. DiMaria is still trading with his own firm.

Yolanda Perdomo is a host and producer at WBEZ. Follower her yolandanews .

My most profitable trading strategy

My most profitable trading strategyMy Most Profitable Trading Strategy

Sophia Todorova is the host of the live trading room for the London session. She has a background in teaching and psychology, and as such relishes the idea of assisting new traders on their journey to Forex trading success. Technical Analysis is her passion. The charts speak, and she listens.

The most profitable Forex trading strategy that I have at my disposal works like a charm on any account size. Regardless of whether you are a scalper, or a swing trader, you will be able to benefit from it. This strategy is called ‘ Stand Aside’. This trading strategy works best inmessy, non-directional markets . Without meaning to sound flippant, I can say without a doubt, that it is the most absolute, surefire way to guarantee against losing money while trading. On a day like today, I tend to apply this strategy a lot, and I consider it an essential trading survival skill.

I have learnt the hard way that trying to force a trade when there are no solid trade setups is very risky, and is the quickest way to lose an account. The charts appear to be filled with mixed signals at the moment. This is a great time to catch up on some reading you have been meaning to get done, or just about anything else, except trading. Still, if you have that itch, and you must trade, try doing it on a practice account instead of a live one. If you happen to find a good setup please trade in appropriate position sizes during this light liquidity period.

The markets offer plenty of trade opportunities most of the time, so it really is pointless trying to force-trade when the markets are resting. A good trader knows when to stand aside.

Have a great weekend, everyone, and thank you for reading these articles. I’ll see you all next week. In the meantime try to relax and do something fun

Top dog trading videos

Top dog trading videosTrade Strategies of Professional Traders

Dear Trader,

Whats working in trading now?

Whats the difference between trading strategies of professional traders and those of amateur traders?

You’ll find out (no charge) when you get a free subscription to my Professional Trading Strategies video series:

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Each video is a quick 5-minute tutorial demonstrating one professional trading strategy that most amateur traders are completely unaware of.

Here are some of the topics of these quick videos:

How to determine the trend with confidence (no more having the market turn against you right after you take your trade).

How to know if the market is going to reverse its trend, or simply make a brief retrace and then continue in the direction of the trend.

How the pros run stops (learn how to avoid getting your stops run, and even follow the pros in their stop running if you want to).

How to determine professional smart money volume from amateur volume (and yes you can use volume in your Forex trading!).

How to time your entries for optimal profits and to avoid getting stopped out.

You probably already know that trading is very risky and most people don’t make money. While that’s true, and no one can guarantee your success, I’m happy to share with you my trading knowledge and whats working for me.

TO RECEIVE YOUR FREE SUBSCRIPTION TO THE TRADE STRATEGIES OF THE PROS VIDEOS . simply fill out the short, easy form on the right.

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P. S. As a bonus Ill provide you with the rules for my favorite trade setup: The Rubber Band Trade.

Forex trading uk

Forex trading ukForex Trading UK

888 markets offer a premium Forex trading platform. As an investor with 888 markets you can trade with confidence and assurance from a Malta regulated firm.

Foreign Currency Trading

Foreign Exchange – the World’s Largest Financial Market

What is Forex?

Often referred to as FX or Forex it is considered to be the most liquid market in the world. The Forex market is the platform for trading global currencies. With a daily turnover measured in trillions of US dollars, the Forex market beats the combined turnover of global stock and bond markets.

Forex Currency Trading Why Trade Forex?

Geographical distribution of markets

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Huge number of market participants including banks, commercial companies, investment management firms, Forex brokers, hedge fund speculators and even individual traders.

The Forex Trading Platform Foreign Currency Trading:

Forex traders speculate on the value of one currency compared to another in order to generate profits. Foreign Currency Trading is typically executed on margin accounts and the industry practice is to trade on relatively small margin amounts.

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16-week half marathon training schedule

16-week half marathon training schedule16-Week Half Marathon Training Schedule

If youve ever found it difficult to stick to an intensive training plan for a race, dont worry, youre not alone. For nearly all runners who have jobs to go to and families to take care of — which of course means nearly all runners — it can be next to impossible to adhere to a training plan that requires you to run multiple days each week, many weeks and months in a row.

For Experienced Runners

Its important to note that the training plan outlined above is not designed with beginning runners in mind — this is for runners whove already run a half marathon or several in the past, and who are already running consistently each week so theyve built up their leg, lower body and cardiovascular strength to handle the number of miles theyll be running throughout the training. If you are looking to run your first half marathon, please consider our 12-week training plan for beginning runners. which provides a more intensive training regimen.

More Gradual Buildup to Race Day

Note also that this training program is spread out over 16 weeks rather than 12 weeks, to give your muscles more time to get ready. Because youll be running fewer days each week with this training plan, we recommend giving yourself more time to get ready for the race, to allow both your body and your mind to prepare for running 13.1 miles. Consider cross-training on the days you dont run — anything from strength training to walking a few miles, which will provide the cardiovascular benefits without the pounding impact that running can cause.

Time Your Long Runs With Your Race

The schedule above places the weekly long run on Saturday, followed by a usually much shorter quick run on Sunday. Feel free to swap these if the race youve signed up for falls on a Sunday; Ive always found that its best to do your long runs on the day youll actually be running your race, to allow your body to get used to the rhythm of the short run/long run each week. (Also feel free to move around the mid-week runs as your schedule demands — just make sure you get in two runs of 30 to 60 minutes each in the middle of the week before your long run each weekend.)

As Always, Consult the Experts

Remember that there are a number of ways to structure a half marathon training plan. Running coaches Hal Higdon and Jeff Galloway. who is well-known for his Run-Walk-Run approach to training, offer a number of training plans on their own websites that are excellent guides to getting ready for any race.

Forex weekly outlook

Forex weekly outlookForex Weekly Outlook Feb. 2-6

If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to receive daily updates. Thanks for visiting!

The dollar experienced a mixed week, in which its gains were focused against commodity currencies. The focus is on the US with a full buildup to the Non-Farm Payrolls, but also rate decisions stand out. These are forex market movers for this week. Check out these events on our weekly outlook

US jobless claims plunged 43,000 to a 15 year low indicating the labor market strides in the right direction. Economists expected claims to tick down to 301,000. Earlier that week, the Fed held its monthly monetary policy meeting. repeated the “patience” wording regarding a possible rate hike. However the policy makers were more concerned about international developments and their possible effect on US future growth. The Fed also stated that the labor market has improved further and household spending rose moderately, boosted by low energy prices. Will the US economy continue to improve? Let’s start,

Updates:

Feb 6, 15:20: Slouching Tiger, Southern Dragon. Well, that was anticlimactic… Much-awaited jobs reports in Canada and the United States both managed to hit expectations this morning.

Feb 6, 14:32: Non-Farm Payrolls +257K, best jump in wages in 6+ years USD shoots higher. A great jobs report: +257K, revisions add a huge 147K. Average hourly earnings rise 0.5%, much better than expected. Year.

Feb 6, 10:01: NFP Preview, Aussie Analysis, Greek Grindings and Oil Optimism Market Movers #36. The NFP is eyed with worries after recent US data. And what about wages? The RBA cut rates: a one.

Feb 6, 9:40: Markets await US nonfarm payroll release. We can forget about Greece for one day at least as we focus on today’s nonfarm payroll in the US.

Feb 6, 9:30: Staying Short EUR/USD Targeting 1.08; Rebuilding Long USD Exposure BNPP. The recent recovery of the euro does not convince the team at BNP Paribas: They explain why there is a.

Feb 5, 14:52: EUR/USD: Trading the US Non-Farm Payrolls. US Nonfarm Employment Change measures the change in the number of newly employed people in the US, excluding workers in.

Feb 5, 14:30: US labor costs leap 2.7%, jobless claims 278K mixed data sends dollar down. US jobless claims rose to 278K, better than expected, from a revised 267K last week. The 4 week moving average.

Feb 5, 10:46: ECB opposes greece bailout deal. Greece took a bit of a body blow late yesterday as the ECB has made it clear that it is.

Feb 4, 16:00: US ISM Manufacturing PMI 56.7 points no disappointment. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI came out just above expectations at 56.7 points. However, the employment component fell sharply from 55.7.

Feb 4, 15:32: China Preemptively Cuts RRR Ahead of Lunar New Year. Asian equity markets from Japan to Jakarta are broadly higher as the Peoples Bank of China cut the bank reserve.

Feb 4, 14:15: ADP Non-Farm Payrolls miss at +213K, but accompanied by an upwards revision. You can add another disappointment to the list: ADP shows a gain of 213K private sector jobs in January 2015, slightly.

Feb 4, 13:47: Negative interest rates: The new weapon in the forex wars. Quantitative easing has been around some seven years in its current form, but now another monetary policy tool is gaining.

Feb 4, 10:10: EURUSD recovers. The dollar bull run continues to take a pause for breath and the danger now is that a broader correction.

Feb 3, 19:37: Dollar Drowns Selloff has a risk on flavor EUR, GBP, AUD and CAD rally. The dollar is sold off aggressively with EUR/USD shooting above 1.15 and returning to the pre-QE days, AUD/USD climbing above.

Feb 3, 16:00: US factory orders plunge 3.4% another blow to USD. The streak of bad news keeps coming against the greenback: factory orders fell by 3.4% in December. In addition, Novembers.

Feb 3, 15:35: RBA Joins Global Disinflationary Battle. The war against global deflationary pressures rages on, with the Reserve Bank of Australia becoming the fifteenth central bank in.

Feb 3, 9:58: RBA surprises with a rate cut. Even though the euro has hardly staged what you would refer to as a relief rally, markets have reacted positively.

Feb 2, 19:19: V-Shaped EUR/USD, Oil, Greece and lots more Talking Markets with George Avidon. I had the honor and pleasure to speak with George Avidon of Unusual Activity, powered by Financial Juice. We spoke.

Feb 2, 16:00: ISM Manufacturing PMI falls to 53.5 USD down. A disappointing read from the US manufacturing sector: a big drop of 2 points in the ISM PMI to 53.5.

Feb 2, 14:31: US Core PCE Price Index slips to 1.3%. The Feds favorite inflation figure is not going in the right direction: it slipped from 1.4% to 1.3% y/y. Other.

Feb 2, 8:40: USDCHF: Remains On The Offensive. USDCHF: With a second week of strength seeing further bullishness the past week, additional bull pressure is envisaged. However, watch.

US ISM Manufacturing PMI: Monday, 15:00. Manufacturing PMI declined in December, coming in at 55.5 following 58.7 in the previous month. Economists forecasted a higher reading of 57.6. Manufacturing output is constantly expanding; however, the rate of growth has eased in the fourth quarter. Companies express growing uncertainty about the outlook in 2015, especially regarding exports. Regarding the fall in oil prices, some ISM members think it would have a good impact on the manufacturing sector while others disagree. Manufacturing PMI is expected to reach 54.9 this time.

Australian rate decision: Tuesday, 3:30. Australia’s central bank has kept its interest rate at a record low for 17 months amid the economic transition from mining investment. Many economists believe a rate cut is in order since the economic growth has not picked up to offset the sharp decline in mining investment. Low interest rates may boost investments in the non-mining sectors. In addition. Falling commodity prices like iron and oil will weaken export revenues. No change in rate is expected now.

NZ employment data: Tuesday, 21:45. New Zealand’s Unemployment rate was better than expected in the third quarter, falling to 5.4% from 5.6 in the prior quarter. Employment expanded 0.8%, higher than the 0.5% gain reached in the second quarter and better than the 0.6% rise forecasted by analysts. However, on a yearly base, employment expanded 3.2%, below the 3.7% seen in the previous quarter. New Zealand’s employment market is predicted to grow by 0.8, while the unemployment rate is expected to drop to 5.3%.

US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: Wednesday, 13:15. U. S. private sector employment gained 241,000 jobs in December, beating forecasts of a 227,000 job addition. The increase was broad based and was not affected by oil-related companies that experienced a dramatic fall in crude prices, suggesting the US labor market is resilient and does not depend on any one industry. U. S. private employment is expected to gain 221,000 this time.

US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: Wednesday, 15:00. Service sector activity expanded at the slowest pace in six months, reaching 56.2 in December, after posting 59.3 in November. Economists expected a reading of 58.2. New Orders Index was 2.5 points lower than 61.4 registered in November. Employment Index declined 0.7 points, reaching 56.0 and Prices Index plunged 4.9 points to 49.5. Service sector is forecasted to grow to 56.6.

UK rate decision: Thursday, 12:00. The Bank of England policymakers voted unanimously to leave rates at s record-low in January amid tumbling inflation. Both Martin Weale and Ian McCafferty, formerly opposing such a move, had a change of heart as falling oil prices threatened to weaken further the already subdued inflation. The ongoing improvement in the unemployment rate and wage growth didn’t persuade MPC members to vote for a change in policy. Following this statement, economists pushed back their forecast for a rate hike to early 2016.

US Trade Balance: Thursday, 13:30. The U. S. trade deficit contracted in November to an 11-month low reaching $39 billion, the smallest since December 2013. Falling crude oil prices helped to strengthen domestic demand, but exports fell 1.0% to $196.4 billion in November, suggesting the slowing global economy may start to affect the US market. Economists expected deficit to reach $42.3 billion. U. S. trade deficit is expected to contact further to$38 billion.

US Unemployment Claims: Thursday, 13:30. The number of Americans filing initial claims for unemployment dropped sharply to a 15 year low, indicating the US labor market continues to strengthen. However, the unbelievably low figure can be also attributed to a holiday-shortened week. The 43,000decline was much better than the 301,000 addition forecasted by analysts. The four-week moving average, fell 8,250 last week to 298,500. The number of claims is expected to reach 277,000 this time.

Canadian employment data: Friday, 13:30. Canadas labor market had another mild setback in December, shedding 4,300 positions after contracting 10,700 jobs in November. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.6%. Full-time employment in December grew by 53,500 jobs, while part-time work dropped by 57,700 indicating the overall picture is quite positive. The 12-month gain was 185,700 positions, an increase of 1.0%. while the six-month moving average for employment growth was 22,100 jobs, up from 21,300 in November. Canadas labor market is expected to increase by 5,100 jobs, while the unemployment rate is expected to reach 6.7%.

US Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment rate: Friday, 13:30. U. S. job growth edged up in December, rising 252,000 after a revised jump of 353,000 in November. Meanwhile, the jobless rate declined to a 6.5 year low of 5.6%. However, despite the positive figures, wages did not increase in December a worrisome sign which may compel the Fed to leave rates unchanged for an extended period. Us job market is expected to add 231,000 positions. The unemplolyment rate is forecsted to remain unchanged.

*All times are GMT.

Thats it for the major events this week. Stay tuned for coverage on specific currencies

In our latest podcast, we do a Fed rundown analyze the Greek elections and discuss the suffering Aussie

[audio mp3="podtrac/pts/redirect. mp3/forexcrunch/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Market-Movers-January-30.mp3"][/audio]

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Building-backtesting trading systems

Building-backtesting trading systemsBuilding & Backtesting Trading Systems

January 30, 2013 by Andrew Selby

One of the books that had a powerful impact on my thoughts on trading and markets early in my career was Michael Covels Trend Following. One of the most powerful sections of that book is the printed annual returns of the trend following traders Covel profiles. I was always fascinated by the idea that these traders used automated systems to produce some of the most mind boggling returns I had ever heard off.

Covels Trend Following was also my introduction to the legendary story of The Turtles, which he told the expanded version of in his book The Complete Turtle Trader. The Turtles were a famous experiment that was the result of a bet between Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt where Dennis attempted to prove that trading could be taught and that there was nothing inherently special about his trading. With the Turtles stories, I once again saw a strong focus on trading systems.

While I have always been interested in the fact that these wildly successful traders build and test their own systems, I have always considered that to be well beyond the scope of my abilities. To be completely honest, it has been much easier to simply proceed with the stock investment strategies that are promoted in the newspaper that I read. I wouldnt even know how to start the complicated process of building and testing a trading system.

Heres The Problem:

By strictly (sometimes) following the rules of someone elses stock trading system, I have gone almost an entire year now without buying a stock that increased in price following my buy. Since I bought PCLN on February 14, 2012, I have lost money on ten straight trades.

I could argue that 2012 was a very choppy market that was very difficult to make money in. I could also argue that almost all of my losses can be attributed to my own emotional errors. I can (and have) very easily argue that the experience I gained from my 2012 trading will pay enormous dividends if I just stick to the system.

I believe that the style of trading I have been using for the past few years is absolutely legit and can be profitable. I know a number of traders who were very profitable in 2012 using very similar systems. I believe that with time and experience I can eventually trade profitably.

The Nagging Idea Of A System:

I just cant seem to shake the idea of building and testing trading systems. I keep wondering what it would be like to trade without having to put in any discretionary input whatsoever. If emotions have been one of my biggest problems, why not check them at the door and try a completely systematic strategy?

With this nagging idea in my head and my disgust with my current track record, I decided to get curious. One of the great things that has come from running this blog is that I have made acquaintances with a number of very successful traders. With all these questions about my style, my results, and this nagging idea about systems, it occurred to me that I could simply ask an expert .

As simple as it sounds, this was revolutionary to me. I simply sent a message to a respected systems traders that asked Where should I look to get started learnings about systems? He recommended that I read Stan Weinsteins Secrets For Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets and Curtis Faiths Way Of The Turtle. Ironically, both of these books were already sitting on my bookshelf.

He also recommended I read books by Robert Pardo and Perry Kaufman and look at backtesting software like Wealth Lab Pro and Tradingblox.

Here it was. I have a starting point.

Evolution Or Timesuck?

The big question for me now is whether this curiosity is my evolution to the next level of trading or if Im just wasting time that could be spent analyzing charts and breaking down my emotional decisions. I guess only time will tell.

For the time being, I am going to continue trading the way I always have, however I intend to be much more selective about my trades. Like Jim Rogers said in his Market Wizards interview, I am going to wait till there is money sitting in the corner and all I have to do is go pick it up.

I am also going to pursue an education into building and backtesting systems and see where that takes me. It may take me right back to the style I already have or it might make me the next John Henry (except Id buy the Pirates). Either way it should make for an interesting blog.

I am also very curious as to what my readers think about trading systems. Is this worth exploring or am I just wasting all of our time?

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Free forex scalping robot developed by camilla lindberg has awin ratio of961%and max drawdown oFREE Forex Scalping Robot Developed By Camilla Lindberg Has A Win Ratio Of 96.1% And Max Drawdown Of 11.31%!

Download this FX Trading Robot FREE that has been developed by Camilla Lindberg. Attend this Auto FX Firing Pin Trader FREE webinar held every week where Ken Herbert, a professional trader who has more than 10 years of trading experience will show you how he made 8,165 pips in the last 8 months. This comes out to be 1000 pips per month. At the end of the webinar, you can download the system FREE.

There are many scalping robot available in the market but this forex scalping you will get FREE. The developer of this forex scalping robot. Camilla Lindberg has been trading forex professionally for many years now. She lost money in the first two years. Then she broke even for the next two years. For the last 3 years, Camilla is making good money. Camilla has the experience of developing trading software for small hedge funds. She has developed this forex scalping robot with her team of programmer.

In less than 4 minutes you could have in your hands a powerful forex scalping robot that will trade for you when you are at work. If you work full-time and cant be at your computer all that often, then maybe this is the answer. It wont cost you a penny, and heres what it can do for you:

It will trade for you automatically. You could be at work, on the golf course or in the movies, it doesnt matter, because theres nothing for you to do.

The scalping robot has a 96.1% win ratio. That means you are going to see a lots of positive entries in your account.

This forex scalping robot has a 11.31% maximum draw down, that means you wont be risking that much.

The system has been proven and tested by 3rd party MT4 verification.

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I cant think of any reason why anyone wouldnt try this. Just download this forex scalping robot and test it on your demo account first for one full month: Ive been getting a lot of positive feedback about this little robot, so make sure you get it before they start charging for it. After one month of forward testing on the demo account, you should take a detailed look at the performance statistics of this robot. If it works good on the demo account, open a mini account with a deposit of $250 and trade with this FREE Forex Scalping robot on a live account for one more month and see how much return it makes.

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Risk graphs

Risk graphsRisk Graphs

Risk graphs are the graphical representation of the underlying risk of a stock and/or option position. In this article, we’re discussing an option risk graph.

In order to understand the inherent risks of an option position, traders can use a risk graph to see the profit/loss possibilities of certain outcomes.

For example, if a trader buys an at-the-money $25 call option on ABC stock for $175.00 (100 x $1.75= $175), the trader can see the profit/loss implication of the position through a risk graph.

Here’s the risk graph of the option position described above…

As you can see, if the price of ABC stock is under $25 at expiration, the option expires worthless. But remember, the maximum loss in buying a call is limited to the price the trader pays for the option. In this case, it’s $175. That’s why the blue line is flat to the left of the $25 mark.

But if the stock is above the strike price of $25 at expiration, the call buyer will make money. That’s why the blue line starts rising once the $25 area is breached.

Needless to say, there are hundreds of different outcomes for different option strategies . Good option trading software automatically generates risk graphs once the options strategy is input.

Trading station web

Trading station webTrading Station Web

Description

FXCM Inc. a publicly traded company listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: FXCM), is a holding company and its sole asset is a controlling equity interest in FXCM Holdings, LLC. Forex Capital Markets Limited ("FXCM LTD") is an indirect operating subsidiary of FXCM Holdings, LLC. All references on this site to "FXCM" refer to FXCM Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries, including FXCM Holdings, LLC and Forex Capital Markets Limited.

Forex Capital Markets Limited is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registration number 217689.

Tax Treatment: The UK tax treatment of your financial betting activities depends on your individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future, or may differ in other jurisdictions.

Trading Station Web

Description

Trading Station Web offers over 40 instruments, with basic and complex orders, powerful technical indicators, advanced tools, all on a flexible interface. Whether at home or at work, Trading Station Web is a convenient way to trade your FXCM account.

Congratulations,

Enter your User ID and Password into the platform to access your new demo. Your User ID and Password were emailed to you.

High Risk Investment Warning: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for differences on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss in excess of your deposited funds and therefore, you should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. Before deciding to trade the products offered by FXCM you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. FXCM provides general advice that does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this Website must not be construed as personal advice. FXCM recommends you seek advice from a separate financial advisor.

Please click here to read full risk warning .

FXCM is a registered Futures Commission Merchant and Retail Foreign Exchange Dealer with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association. NFA # 0308179. FXCM is provisionally registered with the CFTC as a swap dealer.

FXCM Inc. a publicly traded company listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: FXCM), is a holding company and its sole asset is a controlling equity interest in FXCM Holdings, LLC. Forex Capital Markets, LLC ("FXCM LLC") is a direct operating subsidiary of FXCM Holdings, LLC. All references on this site to "FXCM" refer to FXCM Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries, including FXCM Holdings, LLC and Forex Capital Markets, LLC.

Please note the information on this website is intended for retail customers only, and certain representations herein may not be applicable to Eligible Contract Participants (i. e. institutional clients) as defined in the Commodity Exchange Act §1(a)(12).

© 2015 Forex Capital Markets. All rights reserved.

55 Water St. 50th Floor, New York, NY 10041 USA

Forex brokers accepting us citizens

Forex brokers accepting us citizensMember Since Mar 22, 2010 31 posts forexstriker Oct 18 2010 at 21:13 (edited Oct 18 2010 at 21:13 )

A list of brokers that have confirmed in writing they will continue accepting US customers after October 18, 2010 with no leverage restrictions:

Revised List 10-18-10 2:10 pm CST

Fin FX (added 10-15-10 C Franks (finfx. fi )

Forex4You (added 10-13-10 Jake)

Forex FS - Australia (added 10-16-10 Jake)

Forex Metals (Panama) (added 10-18-10 Jake)

FOREX MMCIS: (added 10-13-10 Jake)

ForexClub. biz (added 10-18-10 Jake)

FXCast (added 10-17-10 Will accept US citizens if they provide a

InvestTechFX - Canada (added 10-14-10 Terri Horton)

NordFX (added 10-17-10 Jake)

PrimeBank Forex (added 10-15-10 Abhay)

RFXT (Lebanon) (added 10-18-10 Jake)

RVMarkets (added 10-13-10 Jake)

SmartTrade FX - Canada (added 10-17-10 Jake)

Uni-FX (UAE) (added 10-18-10 Jake)

United World Capital (added 10-14-10 Jake)

Member Since Feb 22, 2011 1396 posts vontogr (togr) Apr 24 2014 at 11:47

quite often my followers ask for advice for list of broker accepting US citizens, but without the ridiculous limit imposed to trading, like low leverage, etc. As Caesar has higher profitability with higher leverage I did some research and found this list.

I have not much experience with these so you should let us know your evaluation for these brokers.

My 5 cents:

good broker - FinFx

problematic when you make profit:) - ForexBroker inc or any Russian broker

• AssetsFX (Finland) --- ECN/STP broker --- see post #2078 for more info

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: 200 USD. -- Max. leverage: 100:1. -- Min. position size: micro lot (0.01 std lot)

-- Spreads: variable (from 0 pips) plus commission (5.20 USD round-turn per std lot, or 0.052 USD round-turn per micro lot)

Website: AssetsFX

Email: Contact Us ? AssetsFX -- Tel: +358-40-324-4839

• Fin FX (Finland) --- ECN/STP broker --- see posts #1116, and #2023 for more info ---

--- also see FinFX Brokerage Overview

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: 150 USD. -- Max. leverage: 200:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD 3 pips, GBP/JPY 7 pips.

Website: Home

Email: infofinfx. fi

• MRC Markets (Russia) --- ECN/STP broker --- not regulated --- exercise extra due diligence ---

--- see FSA Alert --- Financial Services Authority

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: 200 USD. -- Max. leverage: 500:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY 7 pips.

Website: MRC Markets

Email: supportmrcmarkets

• Tallinex (Estonia) --- ECN/STP broker --- regulated? --- see posts #1978, #1979, and #1980 for more info

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit (micro account): 100 USD. -- Max. leverage (micro account): 400:1.

-- Spreads (micro account): EUR/USD 2 pips (avg), GBP/JPY _______.

Website: Tallinex - FX Trading Software

Email: infotallinex

• Renesource Capital (Latvia) --- ECN/STP broker --- see post #1971 for more info ---

--- regulated by Financial and Capital Markets Commission (FCMC), Latvia

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit (micro account): 10 USD. -- Max. leverage: 100:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD _______, GBP/JPY _______.

Website: Online trading | FOREX trading | ECN Forex trading --- new web address

Email: inforenesource. eu

• X-Trade Brokers (XTB) (Poland)

Platform: XTB Trader (MT4). -- Min. initial deposit: 500 EUR. -- Max. leverage: 100:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY 7 pips.

Website: Options trading, forex, CFD, commodities, indices, platform

Email: salesxtb

• Varchev Financial (Bulgaria/UK) --- regulated in both countries

--- see posts #1305, #1814 and #1815 for more info

Platforms: MT4, mobile MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: NONE. -- Max. leverage: 500:1 (small position size), 100:1 (large position size).

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 3 pips, GBP/JPY 6 pips.

Website: Varchev Brokers - Forex trading --- new web address

Email: infovarchev

• ForexCENT (Czech Republic) --- see posts #1972, and #1974 for more info

WARNING: see posts #2111 and #2113 for recent information on this broker.

Platforms: __________. -- Min. initial deposit: _______. -- Max. leverage: _______. -- Spreads: EUR/USD _______, GBP/JPY _______.

Website: Trade Forex from 1 cent - ForexCENT!

Email: supportforexcent

Mediterranean / Middle East / Africa

• ForexBrokerInc (Malta)

--- see posts #1801, #1802, #1803, #1960, #1961, #1966, and #1994 for more info

Platforms: MT4, SIRIX Webtrader. -- Min. initial deposit: 5 USD. -- Max. leverage: 500:1 (ECN Micro acct). --

--- Spreads: EUR/USD 1 pip + commission (ECN Micro acct), GBP/JPY ___ pips + commission (ECN Micro acct).

Website: Forex Broker Inc | Forex Trading | CFD Trading

Email: supportforexbrokerinc

• IKOFX (Cyprus) --- not regulated --- exercise extra due diligence ---

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: 1 USD. -- Max. leverage: 500:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY 7 pips.

Website: FOREX | CURRENCY TRADING | FOREX BROKER | FOREX TRADING | METATRADER4 | IKOFX

Email: supportikofx

• Arab Financial Brokers (Kuwait)

WARNING: see posts #2112 and #2113 for recent information on this broker.

Platforms: AFB Platform (MT4), AFB Multi Terminal (MT4). -- Min. initial deposit: 50 USD. -- Max. leverage: 400:1.

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY. pips.

Website: Islamic Investment, Forex Trading, Commodities Brokers, Oil Trading - AFB

Email: customercareafb. kw

• FXGlory (United Arab Emirates) --- not regulated --- exercise extra due diligence ---

--- see posts #1561, #1562, and #1563 for more info

Platforms: __________. -- Min. initial deposit: _______. -- Max. leverage: _______. -- Spreads: EUR/USD _______, GBP/JPY _______.

Website: Glory Way LLC | Best brokerage on the World

Email: Infofxglory

• FXVV Capital Markets Ltd (United Arab Emirates?) --- not regulated --- exercise extra due diligence ---

--- see posts #1477, #1478, #1486, #1582, #1822, #1833, and #1834 for more info

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: 10 USD. -- Max. leverage: 1,000:1 for account balance up to 1,000 USD. --

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 1.5 pips (+ commission 8 USD per std lot), GBP/JPY _______ (+ commission 8 USD per std lot).

Website: Home | FXVV Capital Markets Ltd - Forex, Online Trading, Currency Trading, ECN Forex Broker

Email addresses: not published --- Telephone contact: +971 4374 1436 customer support (UAE)

• FX Company (Mauritius -?) --- not regulated --- exercise extra due diligence ---

Platforms: MT4, MT5 beta. -- Min. initial deposit: 100 USD. -- Max. leverage: 500:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY 8 pips.

Website: FxCompany. Online Forex Trading Systems Platforms, Automated Forex Trading Software

Email: managerfxcompany

• PaxForex (Seychelles) --- see posts #1412, #1581, #1814, #1816, and #2067 for more info

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: 10 USD (mini acct.), 400 USD (std. acct.). -- Max. leverage: 500:1.

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 1.3 - 5 pips, GBP/JPY 4.7 - 6 pips.

Website: PaxForex - Forex Bonus and Contest | Gold | Silver | Currency Trading | CFD - PaxForex

Email: infopaxforex

• ProfiForex (Seychelles) --- regulated by Seychelles International Business Authority (SIBA) ---

--- see posts #1561, #1707, #1708, #1709, #1710, and #1814 for more info

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: $0.10 (for Cent Account). -- Max. leverage: 500:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY 7 pips.

Website: Profiforex Dealing Center

Email: supportprofiforex

• Real Trade (Seychelles) --- see posts #1310 and #1409 for more info

Platform: Real Trader 4 (MT4). -- Min. initial deposit: 20 USD. (Monthly interest paid on free margin) -- Max. leverage: 500:1.

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 1 pip, GBP/JPY 5 pips.

Website: Forex Trading - Real Trade - Best Forex Broker

Email: inforealtrader

Pacific / Asia

• Forex FS (Australia) --- see posts #1814, #2058 and #2106 for more info

Platforms: MT4, JForex (Dukascopy) Web Platform -- Min. initial deposit: 500 USD. -- Max. leverage: 300:1 (currencies), 140:1 (metals)

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY 3 pips.

Website: FOREX FS - HOME

Email: supportforexfs

• SmartTradeFX (Hong Kong) --- see posts #2032 and #2034 for more info

Platforms: MT4 (ECN), Web Trader (STP), Mobile Platform (STP). -- Min. initial deposit: 25 USD. -- Max. leverage: 100:1.

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 0.9 pips + comm (10 USD per std lot), GBP/JPY 4.6 pips + comm (10 USD per std lot).

Website: SmartTradeFX - Forex | CFDs | FX/ 4X Trade | Currency Trading | Forex

Email: SmartTradeFX - Leave a Message --- Phone: 1-888-613-7839 (toll-free from N. America)

Central America / Caribbean

• forex-metal (Panama) --- not regulated --- exercise extra due diligence ---

--- see posts #1308, #1309 and #1409 for more info

Platform: MT4. -- Min. initial deposit: 0 USD. -- Max. leverage: 500:1 (for balance up to $500), 200:1 (for balance over $500).

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 2.3 - 3.9 pips, GBP/JPY 5 - 8 pips. (Spread rebates are offered.)

Email: supportforex-metal

• FX Choice (Belize) --- see post #1407 for more info

Platforms: MT4, ECN. -- Min. initial deposit: 10 USD. -- Max. leverage: 200:1 (MT4), 100:1 (ECN).

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 0.5 - 1.5 pips, GBP/JPY 2 - 5 pips.

Website: FX Choice

Email: infomyfxchoice

• Real Forex (Belize) --- unregulated broker incorporated in France, owned by Finocorp (Belize) ---

--- exercise extra due diligence

Platforms: __________. -- Min. initial deposit: _______. -- Max. leverage: _______. -- Spreads: EUR/USD _______, GBP/JPY _______.

Website: Real-Forex | Exclusive ECN broker

Email: csreal-forex

• StrategemFX (Belize) --- see post #1681 for more info

Platforms: __________. -- Min. initial deposit: _______. -- Max. leverage: _______. -- Spreads: EUR/USD _______, GBP/JPY _______.

Website: Forex Focused Brokerage for Professional Traders and Asset Management

Email: infoStrategemFX

• Pellucid FX (Anguilla - British West Indies) --- unregulated --- see posts #1982 and #1988 for more info

Platforms: MT4, Webtrader. -- Min. initial deposit: 200 USD. -- Max. leverage: 400:1. -- Spreads: EUR/USD _______, GBP/JPY _______.

Website: PellucidFX

Email: supportpellucidfx --- New accounts: salespellucidfx

• Trader's Way (Dominica) --- Russian broker registered in Dominica (do not confuse with Dominican Republic)

--- see posts #1316, #1564, #1809, #1810, and #1814 for more info

Platforms: MT4, CT Trader. -- Min. initial deposit: 1 USD for D/D account, 10 USD for ECN account.

-- Max. leverage: 500:1 up to 1K account, 200:1 for 1K-10K account, 100:1 for 10K-100K account

-- Spreads: EUR/USD 2 pips, GBP/JPY 5.5 - 7 pips.

Website: Best Forex MT4 Broker | Online Trading | Micro ECN | Fixed Variable Spread | Trader's Way

Email: salestradersway

Volatile option trading strategies

Volatile option trading strategiesVolatile option trading strategies

Volatile option trading strategies

Author: Craigslist-USA-only Date of post: 13.12.2015

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Types of evaluations in instructional design

Types of evaluations in instructional designTypes of Evaluations in Instructional Design

Evaluation is the process of examining a program or process to determine what's working, what's not, and why. It determines the value of learning and training programs and acts as blueprints for judgment and improvement. (Rossett, Sheldon, 2001)

Evaluations are normally divided into two categories: formative and summative .

A formative evaluation (sometimes referred to as internal) is a method for judging the worth of a program while the program activities are forming (in progress). They can be conducted during any phase of the ADDIE process. This part of the evaluation focuses on the process.

Thus, formative evaluations are basically done on the fly. They permit the designers, learners, instructors, and managers to monitor how well the instructional goals and objectives are being met. Its main purpose is to catch deficiencies ASAP so that the proper learning interventions can take place that allows the learners to master the required skills and knowledge.

Formative evaluation is also useful in analyzing learning materials, student learning and achievements, and teacher effectiveness. Formative evaluation is primarily a building process which accumulates a series of components of new materials, skills, and problems into an ultimate meaningful whole. - Wally Guyot (1978)

In addition, prototyping is used in formative evaluations to test a particular design aspect by using one or more iterations.

A summative evaluation (sometimes referred to as external) is a method of judging the worth of a program at the end of the program activities (summation). The focus is on the outcome.

All assessments can be summative (i. e. have the potential to serve a summative function), but only some have the additional capability of serving formative functions. - Scriven (1967)

The various instruments used to collect the data are questionnaires, surveys, interviews, observations, and testing. The model or methodology used to gather the data should be a specified step-by-step procedure. It should be carefully designed and executed to ensure the data is accurate and valid.

Questionnaires are the least expensive procedure for external evaluations and can be used to collect large samples of graduate information. The questionnaires should be trialed (tested) before using to ensure the recipients understand their operation the way the designer intended. When designing questionnaires, keep in mind the most important feature is the guidance given for its completion. All instructions should be clearly stated. let nothing be taken for granted.

History of the Two Evaluations

Scriven (1967) first suggested a distinction between formative evaluation and summative evaluation . Formative evaluation was intended to foster development and improvement within an ongoing activity (or person, product, program, etc.). Summative evaluation, in contrast, is used to assess whether the results of the object being evaluated (program, intervention, person, etc.) met the stated goals.

Scriven saw the need to distinguish the formative and summative roles of curriculum evaluation. While Scriven preferred summative evaluations — performing a final evaluation of the project or person, he did come to acknowledge Cronbach's merits of formative evaluation — part of the process of curriculum development used to improve the course while it is still fluid (he believed it contributes more to the improvement of education than evaluation used to appraise a product).

Later, Misanchuk (1978) delivered a paper on the need to tighten up the definitions in order to get measurements that are more accurate. The one that seems to cause the greatest disagreement is the keeping of fluid movements or changes strictly in the prerelease versions (before it hits the target population).

In Paul Saettler's (1990) history of instructional technology, he describes the two evaluations in the context of how they were used in developing Sesame Street and The Electric Company by the Children's Television Workshop. CTW used formative evaluations for identify and defining program designs that could provide reliable predictors of learning for particular learners. They later used summative evaluations to prove their efforts (to quite good effect I might add). While Saettler praises CTW for a significant landmark in the technology of instructional design, he warns that it is still tentative and should be seen more as a point of departure rather than a fixed formula.

Saettler defines the two types of evaluations as: 1) formative is used to refine goals and evolve strategies for achieving goals, while 2) summative is undertaken to test the validity of a theory or determine the impact of an educational practice so that future efforts may be improved or modified.

Thus, using Misanchuk's defining terms will normally achieve more accurate measurements; however, the cost is higher as it is highly resource intensive, particularly with time because of all the pre-work that has to be performed in the design phase: create, trial, redo, trial, redo, trial, redo, etc.; and all preferably without using the target population.

However, most organizations are demanding shorter design times. Thus the formative part is moved over to the other methods, such as the use of rapid prototyping and using testing and evaluations methods to improve as one moves on. Which of course is not as accurate but it is more appropriate to most organizations as they are not really that interested in accurate measurements of the content but rather the end product — skilled and knowledgeable workers.

Misanchuk's defining terms puts all the water in a container for accurate measurements while the typical organization estimates the volume of water running in a stream.

Thus, if you are a vendor, researcher, or need highly accurate measurements you will probably define the two evaluations in the same manner as Misanchuk. If you need to push the training/learning out faster and are not all that worried about highly accurate measurements, then you define it closer to how most organizations do and how Saettler describes the CTW example.

Next Steps

Steps in the Evaluation Phase

References

Guyot, W. M. (1978). Summative and Formative Evaluation. The Journal of Business Education . 54(3):127-129.

Misanchuk, E. R. (1978). Uses and Abuses of Evaluation in Continuing Education Programs: On the Frequent Futility of Formative, Summative, and Justificative Evaluation . San Antonio, Texas: Paper presented at the Adult Education Research Conference, 4-78.

Saettler, P. (1990). The Evolution of American Educational Technology . p350. Englewood, Colorado: Libraries Unlimited, Inc.

Scriven, M. (1967). The methodology of evaluation. R. W. Tyler, R M. Gagne, M. Scriven (eds.), Perspectives of curriculum evaluation . pp.39-83. Chicago, IL: Rand McNally.

Optimal trading strategy and supplydemand dynamics

Optimal trading strategy and supplydemand dynamicsOptimal Trading Strategy And Supplydemand Dynamics

Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics

Here i will explain about Optimal Trading Strategy And Supplydemand Dynamics. Many people have talked about Journal of financial markets elsevier. But in this post i will explain The journal of financial markets publishes high quality original research on applied and theoretical issues related to securities trading and pricing more clearly than another blog.

Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics anna obizhaeva and jiang wang? first draft: november 15, 2004 this draft: april 8, 2006 abstract. High frequency trading: price dynamics models and market making strategies cheng lu electrical engineering and computer sciences university of california at berkeley.

Pages 5 binary options trading strategies for beginners; binary options charts; binary options trading system – strategy for binary options; binary options trend lines. Read more on High frequency trading: price dynamics models and market.

Robin is the george gund professor of finance and banking at harvard business school. he works in behavioral and institutional finance with a particular focus on.

The journal of financial markets publishes high quality original research on applied and theoretical issues related to securities trading and pricing. Academia. edu is a platform for academics to share research papers. Tuomas sandholm. professor carnegie mellon university computer science department 5000 forbes avenue pittsburgh pa 15213 director electronic marketplaces laboratory. You can find more explanation in Binary options strategies articles and trading strategies.

Above you can read article and ebook that discuss about Optimal Trading Strategy And Supplydemand Dynamics . So it became clear that Most investors have probably never seen the p&l of a high frequency trading strategy there is a reason for that, of course: given the typical performance.

A Case Study (Published Oct. 22nd, 2015)

Strategy Design II (Published Aug. 24th, 2015)

Strategy Design I (Published Aug. 23rd, 2015)

Portfolio Building (Published July 26th, 2015)

Still More DEVX (Published July 23rd, 2015)

More DEVX V6 (Published July 3rd, 2015)

Connecting Dots (Published June 16th, 2015)

Trading Perspectives (Published June 1st, 2015)

Cheating by Spoofing (Published April 27th, 2015)

Portfolio Math I (Published January 30th, 2015)

Trading Short Term? (Published January 2nd, 2015)

DEVX V6 Revisited (Published Novermber 25th, 2014)

A Unique Approach (Published Novermber 11th, 2014)

A Donor Within (Published Novermber 6th, 2014)

Winning by Default II (Published August 11th, 2014)

One For All? (Published August 3rd, 2014)

Winning by Default (Published July 28th, 2014)

Test Summary (Published July 20th, 2014)

Nest Egg on Support (Published July 13th, 2014)

Trade Automation (Published July 1st, 2014)

Deviation X (Published June 18th, 2014)

Swinging It (Published June 18th, 2014)

Developing an optimal trading strategy

The main objective of the dissertation is to develop an optimal trading strategy also considering the execution cost of each trading step, using stochastic dynamic programming. More explicitly, the following problem is proposed and solved: Given a fixed block of shares to be executed within a fixed finite number of periods, and given price dynamics that capture price impact, i. e. the execution price of an individual trade as a function of the share traded and other state variables, find the optimal sequence of trades (as a function of the state variables) that will minimize the expected cost of executing within periods.

There has been a tremendous interest and consequent growth in terms of equity trading, partly due to the advent of a large number of mutual and pension funds. In these situations, the impact of trading costs has been assuming increasing importance. Trading costs or execution costs are costs that are associated with the execution of investment strategies which include commissions, bid/ask spreads, opportunity costs of waiting, and price impact from trading. There has been studies where although the performance certain funds have been showed to perform very well compared to market, but actual performance was significantly different (Perold (1988)). The difference arose due to the inclusion of the execution costs. This shortfall is surprisingly large and underscores the importance of execution-cost control, particularly for institutional investors whose trades often comprise a large fraction of the average daily volume of many stocks.

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So the problem of developing an optimal trading strategy, considering the execution costs also comes in to perspective. There are various methods to do this. Here dynamic programming is used to derive an optimal trading strategy considering the execution costs. The use of dynamic programming though not new in financial economics, is novel here by the fact that the trading steps is takes time and the present steps affects the price and thus the costs in the future.

Dynamic Programming

Dynamic programming is a method for solving complex problems by breaking them down into simpler sub problems. It is applicable to problems exhibiting the properties of overlapping sub problems which are only slightly smaller and optimal substructure. When applicable, the method takes far less time than the usual methods.

The key idea behind dynamic programming is quite simple. In general, to solve a given problem, we need to solve different parts of the problem (sub problems), then combine the solutions of the sub problems to reach an overall solution. Often, many of these sub problems are really the same. The dynamic programming approach seeks to solve each sub problem only once, thus reducing the number of computations. This is especially useful when the number of repeating sub problems is exponentially large.

Top-down dynamic programming simply means storing the results of certain calculations, which are later used again since the completed calculation is a sub-problem of a larger calculation. Bottom-up dynamic programming involves formulating a complex calculation as a recursive series of simpler calculations.

The term dynamic programming was originally used in the 1940s by Richard Bellman to describe the process of solving problems where one needs to find the best decisions one after another. By 1953, he refined this to the modern meaning, referring specifically to nesting smaller decision problems inside larger decisions, and the field was thereafter recognized by the IEEE as a systems analysis and engineering topic. Bellman's contribution is remembered in the name of the Bellman equation, a central result of dynamic programming which restates an optimization problem in recursive form.

The word dynamic was chosen by Bellman to capture the time-varying aspect of the problems, and also because it sounded impressive. The word programming referred to the use of the method to find an optimal program, in the sense of a military schedule for training or logistics. This usage is the same as that in the phrases linear programming and mathematical programming, a synonym for optimization.

Dynamic programming is both a mathematical optimization method and a computer programming method. In both contexts it refers to simplifying a complicated problem by breaking it down into simpler subproblems in a recursive manner. While some decision problems cannot be taken apart this way, decisions that span several points in time do often break apart recursively; Bellman called this the Principle of Optimality. Likewise, in computer science, a problem which can be broken down recursively is said to have optimal substructure.

If subproblems can be nested recursively inside larger problems, so that dynamic programming methods are applicable, then there is a relation between the value of the larger problem and the values of the subproblems.[5] In the optimization literature this relationship is called the Bellman equation.

Dynamic programming in mathematical optimization

In terms of mathematical optimization, dynamic programming usually refers to simplifying a decision by breaking it down into a sequence of decision steps over time. This is done by defining a sequence of value functions V1. V2. Vn. with an argument y representing the state of the system at times i from 1 to n. The definition of Vn(y) is the value obtained in state y at the last time n. The values Vi at earlier times i=n-1,n-2. 2,1 can be found by working backwards, using a recursive relationship called the Bellman equation. For i=2. n, Vi -1 at any state y is calculated from Vi by maximizing a simple function (usually the sum) of the gain from decision i-1 and the function Vi at the new state of the system if this decision is made. Since Vi has already been calculated for the needed states, the above operation yields Vi -1 for those states. Finally, V1 at the initial state of the system is the value of the optimal solution. The optimal values of the decision variables can be recovered, one by one, by tracking back the calculations already performed.

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Université Paris-Diderot, Paris, France

© 2014 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY).

Received 29 May 2014; revised 30 June 2014; accepted 14 July 2014

When executing their orders, different strategies are proposed to investors by brokers and investment banks. Most orders are executed using VWAP algorithms. Other basic execution strategies include POV (also called PVol)?for percentage of volume, IS?Implementation Shortfall, or Target Close. In this article dedicated to POV strategies, we develop a liquidation model in which a trader is constrained to liquidate a portfolio with a constant participation rate to the market. Considering the functional forms commonly used by practitioners for market impact functions, we obtain a closed-form expression for the optimal participation rate. Also, we develop a micro-founded risk-liquidity premium that allows better assessing the costs and risks of execution processes and giving a price to a large block of shares. We also provide a thorough comparison between IS strategies and POV strategies in terms of risk-liquidity premium.

Optimal Execution, Optimal Liquidation, High-Frequency Trading

1. Introduction

Stock traders buy and sell large quantities of shares and cannot ignore the significant impact their orders have on the market. In practice, traders face a trade-off between price risks on one hand and both execution costs and market impacts on the other hand. Traders liquidating too fast indeed incur high execution costs but being too slow exposes the trader to possible adverse price fluctuations, effectively leading to liquidation at lower-than - expected prices. For that reason, traders usually split their large orders into smaller ones to be executed progressively. Research on optimal execution?or optimal liquidation?mainly focuses on this issue of optimally splitting those large orders.

To provide an optimal rhythm for the liquidation process, the most classical framework is the one developed by Almgren and Chriss in their seminal papers [1] -[3]. This framework has largely been used and enriched either to better fit real market conditions or to enlarge the scope of modeling possibilities: Black-Scholes dynamics for the price has been considered1, attempts to generalize the model to take account of stochastic volatility and liquidity were made [4]. and discussions on the optimization criterions and their consequences on optimal strategies are also in the literature (see for instance [5] -[8] ). The CARA (or mean-variance) framework is predominant in the literature and it has been studied for instance in [9]. and in [10] that also considers block trade pricing. Very interesting results in the case of IARA and DARA utility functions are presented in [11]. Following the seminal paper by Obizhaeva and Wang [12]. many authors also tried to model market impact in a different fashion, using transient market impact models. Eventually, the literature recently went beyond the question of the optimal rhythm and focused on the tactical layer, i. e. on the actual way to proceed, using for instance dark pools [13] -[15] or limit orders [16] -[18] .

Most of the articles in the literature, be they dedicated to the strategic layer (optimal scheduling) or to the tactical layer (liquidation over short slices of time), focus on IS strategies 2. In this article, we consider strategies constrained to have a constant rate of participation to the market. These execution strategies, called POV or PVol strategies, are more common in practice than IS strategies, although they are suboptimal. Strangely, they are not dealt with in the literature and the goal of this paper is to fill in the blank. Instead of choosing a trading curve of Almgren-Chriss-like models for IS strategies, we optimize one single parameter: the participation rate. Noticeably, for most functional forms used in practice for the execution cost function, the optimal participation rate can be found in a closed form. This is interesting for at least three reasons. First, for trading, an optimal participation rate is easy to communicate on and does not need any complex tool to be used in practice as opposed to the trading curves of most IS strategies. Second, the formula obtained is a function of risk aversion and it can then be inverted to implicit risk aversion from traders’ behavior. Third, the closed-form formula obtained for the optimal participation rate allows writing a closed-form expression for the risk-liquidity premium of a block trade. In effect, transactions involving large blocks of shares cannot be based on Mark-to-Market (MtM) prices and we provide a micro-founded risk-liquidity premium to be added or subtracted to MtM values. Risk-liquidity premia being already known for IS strategies (see [10] ), we provide a comparison between POV-based liquidity premia and IS-based liquidity premia.

In Section 1, we present the setup of the model. In Section 2, we compute a closed-form expression for the optimal participation rate of a POV strategy and the associated risk-liquidity premium. We then discuss the results and analyze the influence of the parameters. In Section 3, we provide numerical examples to illustrate our model.

2. Setup of the Model

Let us fix a probability space equipped with a filtration satisfying the usual conditions.

We assume that all stochastic processes are defined on .

We consider a trader with a portfolio containing shares of a given stock 3 and we assume that he is willing to unwind his portfolio. The velocity at which liquidation is carried out depends on market conditions. Among them, market volume usually has an important role and we introduce a market volume process assumed to be continuous, deterministic,4 and such that , , , .

To model liquidation, we introduce an inventory process by:

where the strategy belongs to one of the following admissible sets:

if one wants to model liquidation using an IS strategy over the time window . This is the classical Almgren-Chriss framework [1] -[3] (see also [9] [10] ).

if one wants to model a POV strategy in which the volume traded by the trader is assumed to be proportional to the market volume process: the participation rate being .

In both cases, the problem faced by the trader is a trade-off between price risk, encouraging trading fast, and execution cost/market impact, encouraging unwinding the position slowly.

We consider that trades impact market prices in two distinct ways. Firstly, there is a permanent market impact (assumed to be linear 5 ) that imposes a drift to the price process :

Secondly, the price obtained by the trader at time is not because of what is usually called instantaneous market impact (or execution costs). To model this, we introduce a function verifying the following hypotheses6:

? is increasing,

? is strictly convex,

This allows to define the cash process as:

where the execution cost is divided into two parts: a linear part that represents a fixed cost per share ? linked to the bid-ask spread for instance, and a strictly convex part modeled by .

One of the main goal of this paper is to maximize over the objective function,

where is such that and is the absolute risk aversion parameter of the trader.

3. Solution of the Problem and Block Trade Pricing

To solve our optimization problem, a first step consists in computing the value of the cash process during the liquidation process:

Proposition 1 Let us consider and implicitly defined by .

Let us then consider defined by.

M1scalping strategy review

M1scalping strategy reviewM1 Scalping Strategy Review

M1 Scalping Strategy in Forex mercantilism is that the financial base together with make the most circulation or simply accessible bank accounts, like checking accounts. The mercantilism strategy that we might wish to gift nowadays may be named as an easy M1 Scalping Strategy, that relies on many indicators and a pair of time frames. Despite its simplicity and therefore the minimum variety of indicators concerned, it offers good results once used many times daily on each the time frames. The strategy helps to pinpoint terribly clear and powerful entries within the market. M1 time frame: All MACD histograms are on top of the zero line, and therefore the three EMAs ar directed upwards and dont cross.

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Dwd strategic plan

Dwd strategic planDWD Strategic Plan

At DWD, we are committed to building and strengthening Wisconsins workforce. That includes equipping workers with the skills they need to fill jobs that employers have available today and job openings in the years to come.

Governor Walker has made developing our state’s workforce one of his top goals, and DWD will play an integral role in advancing this agenda. In this way, DWD will help support job creation and move Wisconsin’s economy forward.

The goals of the DWD Strategic Plan are to:

Improve Our Ability to Connect Job Seekers to Jobs

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These goals not only help DWD fulfill its mission of advancing Wisconsin's economy and business climate by empowering and supporting the workforce, but the goals also reflect DWD's responsibility to improve operational efficiency and accountability, which aligns with Governor Walker's ongoing initiative to deliver programs and services in the most efficient way in state government.

2013 Strategic Plan (PDF)

Forex regulation in the united states

Forex regulation in the united statesForex Regulation in the United States

The Forex market in the US is regulated by two primary bodies. Membership of an independent regulatory body named the National Futures Association (NFA) is obligatory for any broker operating in US territory. The NFA operates both to protect individual investors and funds as well as ensuring the integrity of the market by implementing a code of Forex regulations. An American Congress-sanctioned independent agency, the Commodity and Futures Trading Committee (CFTC), was established to issue regulations and safeguard competitiveness.

The sheer volume and scope of the Forex market makes regulation critical. Global Forex turnover in 2010 pushed $4.0 trillion daily and what happens on the Forex market determines everything from rates of return on investments (ROI) to our holiday budgets. Currency speculation most likely contributes to market volatility and a growing trend of online retail traders has necessitated increasing scrutiny from bodies such as CFTC. Despite the immense growth of the industry in the last five years, the volume of commercial transactions by corporations and governments are regularly dwarfed by those of retail investors and high-frequency trading (HFT). Without regulation, many retail investors would be faced with illegal activities including fraud. In the US, currency fraud has been virtually eliminated by stringent regulations introduced in 2010.

The restrictions on brokers and service providers are substantial. The most critical is the requirement to be licensed within the country where operations are actually based - a lack of licensing indicates illegal activity. Regulatory approval is subject to strict quality control standards and licensed brokers must regularly be audited and evaluated for compliance to industry standards. Brokers are also required to hold a sufficient amount of funds to execute their clients trades, are forbidden from misrepresenting their services - particularly with regards to the degree of risk involved - and must honour all and any contracts opened with a client. It is essential to make sure that any broker you choose to trade with is fully licensed and under the supervision of a regulatory body.

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